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Should NoLa be rebuilt? (Time out:0 days after 08-09-2005, 05:35)
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Colon is offline Colon
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  Old Post 09-09-2005 04:29
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Mobius, wouldn't you think that NO is sinking because of the same reason Venice is sinking? They don't even extract oil in the immediate vicinity.

BlackCat is offline BlackCat
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  Old Post 09-09-2005 04:32
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quote:
Originally posted by MOBIUS


Actually I'lm just having fun watching all the little try-hards tripping over themselves with glee because they actually think I can't back up my claims - I've been reeling you poor dumb schmucks in since DanS laughed at my point...

Your hypocrisy is astounding and you're evidently so caught up spinning your lies that you fail to realise that you are guilty of the very thing you blame me of!

I addressed it in the other thread by pointing you to the post I started the thread with where I posted links to no less than FIVE separate supporting articles!

The thing that really has me laughing my ass off is that I never embark upon an argument that I cannot support! You really have picked the worst thing to call me on


You may have proved DanS wrong, but as usual you have forgotten to provide evidence just as you usually do.

Where is my hypocrisy ? I don't tell any lies as you do.

There may have been one thread as you claim, where you have tried to build up your case, but really, who cares when all others of your claims is unsupported ?

BlackCat is offline BlackCat
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Jul 2004
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  Old Post 09-09-2005 04:38
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quote:
Originally posted by MOBIUS


You are making a claim you imbecile!

Look, you've just done it again - but you're not even supporting your own argument...


Actually it's you that are an imbecile since you aren't aware of the fact that it's you that are making a claim when posting.

If you can't figure this out, then I'll suggest that you take a pause in posting until you are aware of this fact.

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  Old Post 09-09-2005 04:40 Visit MOBIUS's homepage!
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OK, just to put you all out of your misery - and to support my argument for Black Cat...

Gone with the Water

and

Wetland Subsidence, Fault Reactivation, and Hydrocarbon Production in the U.S. Gulf Coast Region

Now I know some of you have difficulty with long words and reading comprehension, but the data to support my claim that hydrocarbon extraction is contributing to subsidence of the area around New Orleans is all in there...

If you claim you can't find this data, I will naturally assume you are indeed stupid!

If however you find the relevant points and disagree with them, say so and why and we can discuss them.

If you need help because you can't find the data (see 'stupid') - just ask and I will point it out for you...

Now to understand everything that is going on about the subsidence of the wetlands, you should really read all of both articles starting with the National Geographic one first, followed by the USGS one which goes into the phenomenon of regional depressurisation in greater detail.

quote:
Nearly 20 billion barrels of oil and more than 150 trillion cubic feet (4.2 trillion cubic meters) of gas have been produced from coastal Texas and Louisiana since the 1920's


What? Do you think the land magically stays up all on its own accord after you extract all that!!?

Last edited by MOBIUS on 09-09-2005 at 04:45

MOBIUS is offline MOBIUS
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quote:
Originally posted by BlackCat
Where is my hypocrisy ? I don't tell any lies as you do.

There may have been one thread as you claim, where you have tried to build up your case, but really, who cares when all others of your claims is unsupported ?


Yeah, the one thread you made the claim in, in the 1st place!

If what you say is true, go and find all these threads - you must be tripping over them all! Show me an example - or be exposed as the liar and hypocrite that you are!

Kuciwalker is offline Kuciwalker
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  Old Post 09-09-2005 04:45
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From one of your sources, MOBIUS:

quote:
Figure 1. Possible effects of petroleum production.


The USGS one.

laurentius is offline laurentius
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  Old Post 09-09-2005 04:48
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quote:

The lost world

As police throw looters in the Greyhound Bus Station and residents sift through toxic mud, rescuers call out for survivors in vain.

- - - - - - - - - - - -
By Michael Scherer


Sept. 8, 2005 | NEW ORLEANS -- There is nothing left for Dr. Bryan Bertucci to do, so he stands in the sun by the side of Route 42 in St. Bernard Parish. He gazes over at St. Rita's nursing home, a simple brick rectangle that now entombs about 30 of his former patients. "It was one of the best homes in the area, " he says.

Bertucci works part-time as the parish coroner, and he has counted 64 bodies since the storm hit. About half of them still lie in St. Rita's, a home for the elderly and infirm that did not evacuate before the storm. The building is still surrounded by water and caked in mud. Snakes slither on the banks. The haz-mat crews were able to retrieve four bodies yesterday. They have left the rest until the water goes down.
Click here

On a normal week, Bertucci works 80 or 100 hours. When the storm hit, he helped empty a nearby hospital, evacuating the patients to a jail on higher ground, rationing the IV drips, administering the antibiotics. It was days before he had a shower, or changed clothes. Now, for the time being, his work is done. "I am not used to being still," he says. "It is very hard for me." But he has been drawn to the road outside of St. Rita's. As part of his private practice, he used to visit the residents once a month to tend to their needs. He said they loved the home. He says a lot of doctors don't realize how rewarding nursing home work can be.


"Around Christmas we would sing Christmas carols," he says, dressed in a clean hospital smock, a bright white baseball cap and a Mickey Mouse watch. "They didn't know the words, but I didn't either."

There was a time when Bertucci planned to become a Jesuit priest, but he became a doctor instead, fulfilling a similar call to service. Before Hurricane Katrina hit, Bertucci says, the parish offered buses to the residents of St. Rita's. But simply moving some of the elderly patients could have endangered their lives, he says, and so they chose to ride the storm out. "It was just a bad decision." He lost two houses himself, and his business. He sips a Gatorade bottle to guard against dehydration. "I am going to stay here until they get my people out," he says, wiping a tear from the edge of his left eye.

Ten days after Katrina, the remaining residents of the New Orleans area are in a daze. The rate of rescues has slowed to a trickle, but the helicopters still circle in swarms, like flies drawn to the smell of sewage. In the parts of town that have dried, people return to their homes to wade through mud for framed family photos and whatever else isn't ruined -- a rubber football, an antique piece of furniture. "Just stuff to make my wife happy," says Steve Fecke, as he piles photographs and a bedroll on his front stoop. Mostly, though, they find mold already climbing the walls and emaciated dogs that wander the streets.

The highways are littered with abandoned cars, the police are gathering supplies from looted hardware stores, and, at one McDonald's, the golden arches have been blown apart. The Greyhound Station is now the city jail, filled and emptied daily with a steady stream of 45 to 70 looters or worse, says Capt. Chad Dorbonne, an amiable man in a starched white shirt who runs the operation. One of the detainees is charged with eight counts of attempted murder. He shot at police officers as they chased him. "They get food and they get water. They get treated good, which is something they weren't getting on the streets," he says of his inmates.

A sparkling, cream-colored Rolls Royce sits on the curb outside the jail. It was found with a window busted out and the dashboard ripped apart on Wednesday, the sort of looting trophy that a disaster like this makes seem ridiculous. Over at the Sheraton, Blackwater Security, famous for their exploits in Iraq, has taken up positions, each man with a machine gun and a pistol. They are the alpha males of the security set, which now includes police and national guard from nearly every state.

In Chalmette, a community in St. Bernard Parish, whole neighborhoods are slick with crude oil that flowed out of the nearby Murphy Oil Refinery. Lost lap dogs trudge through the stuff, looking like birds caught in the Exxon Valdez spill. Residents drive the streets with no clear direction. Alan Clomburg, a repairman for ocean-bound ships at Buck Kreihs, keeps his pistol by the passenger seat and his wet passport on the dashboard. He still hasn't left his hometown, evacuation orders or no. "I got to go to work," he says, as if the docks might reopen soon.

On the morning of the storm, a week ago Monday, he called his wife at 8:30 a.m. to say the house had survived and everyone was safe. Just then, the waters started to rise. "Fifteen minutes and it was six feet high," he said. "You see vans float down the street." He knew not to go to the attic, fearing that he might be trapped, so he loaded his parents, both in the 80s, into a flatbed boat and lashed it to the side of his house. He had to dive underwater to get out of his house after rescuing his dog. Six hours passed, in the wind and the rain. Then he steered the boat to dry land.

Ten days later, he is still driving around in a jeep caked with oil and mud. "I'm just looking at what I used to have," he says. The oil didn't make it into his house, but it coats the lawn outside. "I just hope they don't play it like an environmental disaster," he says of his town, a hope that will certainly go unfulfilled. The emergency personnel on scene say that it will take 15 years before people can live near this kind of spill. One man points out that the Murphy Oil Refinery had been looking to expand anyway, so maybe they would just buy out the nearby homeowners.

For years, people like Clomburg, and his community leaders, have been asking the federal government to shut down an ill-used shipping canal that connects the Gulf of Mexico to the Mississippi River through St. Bernard Parish's backyard. The canal has been sucking salt water into the marshes for years, killing them off and eroding the land. As far back as the late 1980s, local politicians have asked for the canal to be closed, warning of the danger of a storm surge. Nothing happened; the Environmental Protection Agency started a study. "Maybe now they will listen to us," says Clomburg.

But the canal is a moot point. St. Bernard Parish is a wasteland of toxic mud. "It is slick out there and it is nasty," Lt. Kevin Cadena of the Colorado National Guard barks to his troops, as they prepare to search door to door for survivors or bodies. "You lose your hat in there, you leave it there. I'll get you another one."

The troops deploy, two at a time, calling into the house for people who do not respond. They search each room anyway, knocking on doors with flashlights, trying not to slip on the mud. If they find a body, they say they will mark it on a map for someone to pick up later on. The only sound comes from a desperate dog barking in front of an empty house.

Outside St. Rita's, a few miles away, Dr. Bertucci looks at the pool of water between him and the bodies of his former patients. "The world as I knew it does not exist anymore," he says.

http://www.salon.com/news/feature/2...08/new_orleans/


It seems it will definately be a different city. Think if authorities would tell you couldnt live in your home for the next 15 years. Its really hard to imagine what it feels like. I suspect most of the survivers will be emotionally damaged for the rest of their lives and will probably suffer a major mental breakdown or deep deppression. :/

MOBIUS is offline MOBIUS
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  Old Post 09-09-2005 04:54 Visit MOBIUS's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Colon
Mobius, wouldn't you think that NO is sinking because of the same reason Venice is sinking? They don't even extract oil in the immediate vicinity.


Why is everything black and white with you lot?

There are many factors at work, which GePap's links cover perfectly. So yes, the main reason is probably similar to Venice, however there may be contributing reasons such as hydrocarbon extraction for example.

Besides, my assertion was that subsidence due to hydrocarbon extraction was principally affecting the Gulf Coast Wetlands around New Orleans.

Colon is offline Colon
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  Old Post 09-09-2005 04:58
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Mobius you said: "Oh and part of the reason the area around New Orleans is sinking is because of all the oil and gas being pumped out from underground..."

What I'm reading is that oil/gas extraction can contribute to wetlands to dwindle through re-activation of faults, not that it directly causes the surface to drop.

[edit] hadn't read Mobius last post yet

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  Old Post 09-09-2005 04:59 Visit MOBIUS's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Kuciwalker
From one of your sources, MOBIUS:

quote:
Figure 1. Possible effects of petroleum production.


The USGS one.


That's why it's called the 'introduction', read on...

Kontiki is offline Kontiki
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  Old Post 09-09-2005 05:00
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Holy sh*t. Take a look at the first article Mobius linked to - the National Geographic one. Keep in mind it's from the October 2004 issue. How scarily accurate was the scenario laid out in the first part?

quote:
It was a broiling August afternoon in New Orleans, Louisiana, the Big Easy, the City That Care Forgot. Those who ventured outside moved as if they were swimming in tupelo honey. Those inside paid silent homage to the man who invented air-conditioning as they watched TV "storm teams" warn of a hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico. Nothing surprising there: Hurricanes in August are as much a part of life in this town as hangovers on Ash Wednesday.

But the next day the storm gathered steam and drew a bead on the city. As the whirling maelstrom approached the coast, more than a million people evacuated to higher ground. Some 200,000 remained, however—the car-less, the homeless, the aged and infirm, and those die-hard New Orleanians who look for any excuse to throw a party.

The storm hit Breton Sound with the fury of a nuclear warhead, pushing a deadly storm surge into Lake Pontchartrain. The water crept to the top of the massive berm that holds back the lake and then spilled over. Nearly 80 percent of New Orleans lies below sea level—more than eight feet below in places—so the water poured in. A liquid brown wall washed over the brick ranch homes of Gentilly, over the clapboard houses of the Ninth Ward, over the white-columned porches of the Garden District, until it raced through the bars and strip joints on Bourbon Street like the pale rider of the Apocalypse. As it reached 25 feet (eight meters) over parts of the city, people climbed onto roofs to escape it.

Thousands drowned in the murky brew that was soon contaminated by sewage and industrial waste. Thousands more who survived the flood later perished from dehydration and disease as they waited to be rescued. It took two months to pump the city dry, and by then the Big Easy was buried under a blanket of putrid sediment, a million people were homeless, and 50,000 were dead. It was the worst natural disaster in the history of the United States.

When did this calamity happen? It hasn't—yet. But the doomsday scenario is not far-fetched. The Federal Emergency Management Agency lists a hurricane strike on New Orleans as one of the most dire threats to the nation, up there with a large earthquake in California or a terrorist attack on New York City. Even the Red Cross no longer opens hurricane shelters in the city, claiming the risk to its workers is too great.

MOBIUS is offline MOBIUS
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  Old Post 09-09-2005 05:07 Visit MOBIUS's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Kontiki
Holy sh*t. Take a look at the first article Mobius linked to - the National Geographic one. Keep in mind it's from the October 2004 issue. How scarily accurate was the scenario laid out in the first part?

quote:
It was a broiling August afternoon in New Orleans, Louisiana, the Big Easy, the City That Care Forgot. Those who ventured outside moved as if they were swimming in tupelo honey. Those inside paid silent homage to the man who invented air-conditioning as they watched TV "storm teams" warn of a hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico. Nothing surprising there: Hurricanes in August are as much a part of life in this town as hangovers on Ash Wednesday.

But the next day the storm gathered steam and drew a bead on the city. As the whirling maelstrom approached the coast, more than a million people evacuated to higher ground. Some 200,000 remained, however—the car-less, the homeless, the aged and infirm, and those die-hard New Orleanians who look for any excuse to throw a party.

The storm hit Breton Sound with the fury of a nuclear warhead, pushing a deadly storm surge into Lake Pontchartrain. The water crept to the top of the massive berm that holds back the lake and then spilled over. Nearly 80 percent of New Orleans lies below sea level—more than eight feet below in places—so the water poured in. A liquid brown wall washed over the brick ranch homes of Gentilly, over the clapboard houses of the Ninth Ward, over the white-columned porches of the Garden District, until it raced through the bars and strip joints on Bourbon Street like the pale rider of the Apocalypse. As it reached 25 feet (eight meters) over parts of the city, people climbed onto roofs to escape it.

Thousands drowned in the murky brew that was soon contaminated by sewage and industrial waste. Thousands more who survived the flood later perished from dehydration and disease as they waited to be rescued. It took two months to pump the city dry, and by then the Big Easy was buried under a blanket of putrid sediment, a million people were homeless, and 50,000 were dead. It was the worst natural disaster in the history of the United States.

When did this calamity happen? It hasn't—yet. But the doomsday scenario is not far-fetched. The Federal Emergency Management Agency lists a hurricane strike on New Orleans as one of the most dire threats to the nation, up there with a large earthquake in California or a terrorist attack on New York City. Even the Red Cross no longer opens hurricane shelters in the city, claiming the risk to its workers is too great.


Eerie isn't it!?

Yeah, I read that back then - and linked this article into one of the other threads...

Of course Bush claimed that no one had forseen this...

DanS is offline DanS
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  Old Post 09-09-2005 06:55 Visit DanS's homepage!
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Interesting. FYI, in the age of the Apolyton, Socrates sucks. Links rule.

I will take a hit on this one, but as Colon says, it's because of the reactivation of faults, not because the volume of oil and natural gas extracted is very large in the geological scheme of things. Because of this, subsidence seems a rare occurence after oil and gas extraction, so I don't feel bad about laughing in the first instance about it occurring near New Orleans -- even though I admit that it could be happening in other higher elevation places where it wasn't noticed. Besides, AFAIK, Louisiana wells are very high pressure wells that don't occur often on land in other high production areas with which I'm familiar (Texas, Russia, Saudi Arabia).

Last edited by DanS on 09-09-2005 at 07:08

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quote:
Originally posted by DanS
I will take a hit on this one, but as Colon says, it's because of the reactivation of faults, not because the volume of oil and natural gas extracted is very large in the geological scheme of things.


Fault reactivation resulting from hydrocarbon production. Nice to see you've zeroed into just one aspect of the report and you still don't have a leg to stand on...

The whole point of the article is the direct correlation between wetland subsidence in the gulf coast and hydrocarbon extraction.

Good to see that you're admitting you're wrong, but you are still trying hard to squirm out of it...

quote:
Because of this, subsidence seems a rare occurence after oil and gas extraction, so I don't feel bad about laughing in the first instance about it occurring near New Orleans -- even though I admit that it could be happening in other higher elevation places where it wasn't noticed. Besides, AFAIK, Louisiana wells are very high pressure wells that don't occur often on land in other high production areas with which I'm familiar (Texas, Russia, Saudi Arabia).


It isn't a rare occurrence - it happens all over the world just as the article itself documents! It is elementary Geophysics, if you take stuff out from underneath you, there is a very real possibility that the land will subside...

Basically what you're saying is that you laughed about it because you thought my statement was absurd, through your own ignorance of the subject in question...

PWNED

Daz is offline Daz
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Of course it will recover. Theyre just making a big apocalyptic fuss about it to generate more help...

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MOBIUS, you should learn to accept victory graciously. It happens so very rarely for you.

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Still sore about when I last put you in your place...

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You wish, *****. I'm the top.

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quote:
Originally posted by chegitz guevara
You wish, *****. I'm the top.


A classic delusion of the self-righteous - I believe that is what I called you on recently...

Colon is offline Colon
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DanS

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If the lead article in Salon today is accurate, Southern Lousiana may have to be abandoned for years.

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quote:
Originally posted by chegitz guevara
If the lead article in Salon today is accurate, Southern Lousiana may have to be abandoned for years.


i read the article, and it doesnt say that. It says theres a lot of bad stuff around. It says no one yet knows the status. It says there isnt enough money in the Superfund. It doesnt say what areas if any need to be abandoned. And it tosses in lots of disconnected facts - for example mentioning overturned rail cars of coke (a processed form of coal) and ore, alongside discussion of actually toxic materials. Many of said materials discussed being things with bad long term effects on the enviornment, but hardly requiring human abandonment, like DDT.

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Heres the original exchance:

quote:
Originally posted by DanS
I've thought about this and there doesn't seem to be a reason why the level of the city can't be raised to above sea level. It would take a lot of fill material, but that has got to be available somewhere.

How fast is New Orleans sinking?


Oh and part of the reason the area around New Orleans is sinking is because of all the oil and gas being pumped out from underground...

You could always close down all the oilfields around Louisiana and fill them in, that might help..."


DanS was talking about the CITY of New Orleans, relative to the question of raising it. In that context "the area around New Orleans" would presumably include the city. NOW it turns out you meant the wetlands south and east of the city - How does subsidence of said wetlands impact DanS original question on raising the level of the city?

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quote:
Originally posted by lord of the mark
i read the article, and it doesnt say that.


It doesn't say that directly, but it says a lot of things that anyone with any brains could figure out that the area is unfit for human habitation and will be for a long time.

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quote:
Originally posted by chegitz guevara


It doesn't say that directly, but it says a lot of things that anyone with any brains could figure out that the area is unfit for human habitation and will be for a long time.



On the contrary. It says they are pushing all the stuff in Ponchartrain, which will be bad for the environment, but will be good for humans.

I have brains, and i did not read it that way. Now quote the exact things that show that the area (and be spefic please - which parishes, exactly) will be unfit for human habitation.

Indeed you said "southern Lousiana" Lake Charles, AFAIK is considered Southern Louisiana, and it hasnt even been evacuated. People are already going back to the parishes north of Lake Ponch, and parts of Jefferon Parish.

So are you saying Orleans Parish will be uninhabitble? the parishes southeast of New Orleans?

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  Old Post 09-09-2005 22:15 Visit chegitz guevara's homepage!
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Did you read that part about those toxins settling into the underground water?

The Mad Monk is offline The Mad Monk
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Mar 2000
time: 23:37
  Old Post 09-09-2005 22:18
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Land subsidence resulting from the extraction of a fluid is much better known in hydrogeology -- there are quite a few examples of it happening in California due to overuse of aquifers.

It's all a matter of pressure, really. When a stratum of rock is saturated with a fluid (water or oil), that fluid bears a good deal of the pressure exerted on that bed by overlaying strata. When fluid is removed, the bed's interal pressure is reduced, and the bed will compress until a new pressure equilibrium is established.

Yes, bedrock can compress, and the extent to which it can compress is dependent on several factors, but mainly depends on the amount of space between grains in the rock. If water or oil is filling that space, the bed will resist compression (collapsing of the space between grains) better than if those spaces were filled with air.

It's been a long time since I studied this, the other geologists on the board can probably do a better job at explaining it than I can.

Sandman is offline Sandman
Prince
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Aug 2001
time: 05:37
  Old Post 09-09-2005 22:18
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quote:
Originally posted by Colon
Mobius, wouldn't you think that NO is sinking because of the same reason Venice is sinking? They don't even extract oil in the immediate vicinity.


I thought Venice started sinking because they were extracting groundwater...

MOBIUS is offline MOBIUS
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Prifysgol Caerdydd
Dec 1999
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  Old Post 09-09-2005 22:26 Visit MOBIUS's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by lord of the mark
DanS was talking about the CITY of New Orleans, relative to the question of raising it. In that context "the area around New Orleans" would presumably include the city. NOW it turns out you meant the wetlands south and east of the city - How does subsidence of said wetlands impact DanS original question on raising the level of the city?


Well that is the whole point - I wasn't directly answering his question, merely using it to support my argument about the vanishing wetlands and the fact that this trend needs to be reversed if NoLa doesn't want to suddenly become an island in the middle of the Gulf of Mexico...

When I say 'around' I am being non-specific, however I am also not including New Orleans in the comment otherwise I would have specifically said so.

The deliberate omission on my part is that I don't know whether New Orleans itself is affected in this way, and we all know how foolish it is to make unsupported assumptions on Poly don't we...

I am tempted to comment only in what I do know, hence the wording. Now it is entirely possible that New Orleans may in a small part be affected by this phenomenon, but the links in question haven't specifically proved this. The fact that New Orleans is literally surrounded by oil and gas fields - well I'll let you draw your own conclusions...



Well, well, well...

(Please excuse awful pun!)

So I think what you're saying is that you're defending DanS' inability to read properly...

Remind me to get you to defend me in an argument in the future...

MOBIUS is offline MOBIUS
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  Old Post 09-09-2005 22:40 Visit MOBIUS's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by The Mad Monk
Land subsidence resulting from the extraction of a fluid is much better known in hydrogeology -- there are quite a few examples of it happening in California due to overuse of aquifers.

It's all a matter of pressure, really. When a stratum of rock is saturated with a fluid (water or oil), that fluid bears a good deal of the pressure exerted on that bed by overlaying strata. When fluid is removed, the bed's interal pressure is reduced, and the bed will compress until a new pressure equilibrium is established.

Yes, bedrock can compress, and the extent to which it can compress is dependent on several factors, but mainly depends on the amount of space between grains in the rock. If water or oil is filling that space, the bed will resist compression (collapsing of the space between grains) better than if those spaces were filled with air.

It's been a long time since I studied this, the other geologists on the board can probably do a better job at explaining it than I can.


Of course there is a very neat solution to all of this, which is linked to my little jokey clue about filling them in...

CO2 sequestration

Or basically a Win/Win/Win situation where we can bury billions of tonnes of greenhouse gases, rebalance the pressure equilibrium (possibly even raise the land?) and the added benefit of increasing well efficiency by flushing out the last dregs of hydrocarbons in them - which could extend the useful life of these fields...

Hell, if we did that you could even argue that using hydrocarbons would become a carbon neutral activity!

 
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