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GePap is offline GePap
King
of the Big Apple
Nov 2001
time: 23:22
  Old Post 21-10-2002 20:59
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The South and west have higher rates of violent crime than the midwest and the Northeast, with the Northeast having the lowest general crime rate. The Northeast also has the most stringent laws about guns, while the west and South hav the most lenient. All these 'no guns equal more crime' theories are usually easilly disproven with facts. If states could violate interstate trade and put checkpoints to enforce gun laws, then gun crimes would be lower still, but states can't, as Strangelove makes clear.

I also wonder what this strange notion that the government woul take everyones guns away is.... they have no need of that. people act on what they know. Control of the press is far more vital to a dictatorship than having an unarmed populace. I also find the whole 'citizens vs. government' view idiotic. Most americans hardly see themselves as citizens anymore. Haf don't vote, an most would commit a crime themselves to get out of Jury duty. They are consumers now, and that side of the equation, business, is always left out of these insane militia stories people cook up. What large business in the US woul ever support an insurrection? chaos means a collapse of market confidence, a collapse of the currency. most business would gladly prefer a 'benevolent' dictator to the rule of the mob, with 'benevolent' defined as their stance on business. Most Americans would never have the time to become guerrilas: too many credit payments: have to keep the house, and last time i heard, guerrilla work, unless self-financed by looting, pays very, very little.

korn469 is offline korn469
King
Poetic Justic
Apr 1999
time: 00:22
  Old Post 21-10-2002 21:18
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Dr. Strangelove

I live in Virginia, but it takes about 20 minutes to drive to tennessee from here or about 30 minutes to drive to north carolina, sorry about the confusion

GePap

quote:
They are consumers now, and that side of the equation, business, is always left out of these insane militia stories people cook up. What large business in the US woul ever support an insurrection? chaos means a collapse of market confidence, a collapse of the currency. most business would gladly prefer a 'benevolent' dictator to the rule of the mob, with 'benevolent' defined as their stance on


you are completely on target here...it is my belief that while the united states isn't a police state that it is no longer a nation for the people by the people, i think it is a nation for the people brought to you by our corporate sponsers

businesses wouldn't want a change in the current government because they influence both democrats and republicans to equal degrees, and i think the government works well for them. on the same hand, corporations are good at meeting consumer needs, and like you say we are a nation of consumers, who have no reason to rebel because things are working out well for most people

however, if things ever did goto hell in a handbasket, which i think is within the realm of possibilities, i for one would much rather have my guns (we have three in my house) to be able to defend myself from any possible threats

Guardian is offline Guardian
Prince
Bergen, Norway
Feb 2001
time: 06:22
  Old Post 22-10-2002 13:50
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Just a thought on a point that was brought up earlier on...

I think it was Lincoln who said something along the lines that gun control was an expression of a government's lack of trust in its people, which - in his opinion - is absurd if the people are really the government.

It follows then, as sure as night follows day, that for people to think they need guns to keep the government from screwing with them is also a severe lack of trust, which is at least as absurd if the people are really the government.

MarkG is offline MarkG
Grand Lord of Apolyton, Owner of all this land as far as the eye can see

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Macedonia, Greece
Jan 1970
time: 07:22
  Old Post 22-10-2002 13:52 Visit MarkG<br><img src=/forums/images/admin-icon.gif>'s homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Dr Strangelove
Last I heard the total number of privately owned guns in the US exceeded 100 million. The US Army has less than 500,000 combat troops. In fact, I think it has fewer than 200,000.
so you're saying that 1 out of 3 americans is armed?

MarkG is offline MarkG
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Jan 1970
time: 07:22
  Old Post 22-10-2002 13:59 Visit MarkG<br><img src=/forums/images/admin-icon.gif>'s homepage!
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hmmm you seem to be wrong
it's double that amount
quote:
According to a 1996 Police Foundation study, in 1994, 44 million Americans owned 192 million firearms, 65 million of which were handguns.

http://www.regulateguns.org/fact_sh...un_industry.asp

so 1 out of 7 americans(you could say 1 out of 2-3 families) has an average of 4.3 guns

you're right. this is a logical defence against the posibility of a turannical goverment

notyoueither is offline notyoueither
Deity
of naught
Aug 2001
time: 22:22
  Old Post 22-10-2002 14:08
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Yeah. It is as a matter of fact. You wanna mess with the NRA?

MarkG is offline MarkG
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time: 07:22
  Old Post 22-10-2002 14:12 Visit MarkG<br><img src=/forums/images/admin-icon.gif>'s homepage!
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you're right. they are armed and i'm not. better not to disagree with them

David Floyd is offline David Floyd
King
The bottom of a large bottle of beer
Jan 1970
time: 05:22
  Old Post 22-10-2002 17:08 Visit David Floyd's homepage!
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Well, that's the same argument the government uses, Mark...

MarkG is offline MarkG
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  Old Post 22-10-2002 17:21 Visit MarkG<br><img src=/forums/images/admin-icon.gif>'s homepage!
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i thought the goverment WAS armed

Imran Siddiqui is offline Imran Siddiqui

Deity
The Potterverse
Jan 1970
time: 00:22
  Old Post 22-10-2002 18:03
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quote:
The South and west have higher rates of violent crime than the midwest and the Northeast, with the Northeast having the lowest general crime rate.


What does 'violent crime' have to do with the number of guns? You can use a knife for violent crime.

Facts do prove that states with more restrictions on gun ownership have higher gun crime.

SpencerH is offline SpencerH
King
Co-Ruler of my patch of land south of Birmingham Alabama
Feb 2002
time: 23:22
  Old Post 22-10-2002 18:16
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quote:
Originally posted by GePap
The South and west have higher rates of violent crime than the midwest and the Northeast, with the Northeast having the lowest general crime rate. The Northeast also has the most stringent laws about guns, while the west and South hav the most lenient. All these 'no guns equal more crime' theories are usually easilly disproven with facts.


Another liberal deception, when the stats are analysed impartially the lowest violent crime levels are in places that have gun ownership.
http://www.press.uchicago.edu/Misc/Chicago/493636.html

quote:
If states could violate interstate trade and put checkpoints to enforce gun laws, then gun crimes would be lower still, but states can't, as Strangelove makes clear.


Yeah lets put up checkpoints on the highways. Where did this idea come from Mao's little RED book?

Alexander's Horse is offline Alexander's Horse
Deity
Panmunjon, hands up!
Jan 1970
time: 15:22
  Old Post 22-10-2002 19:18 Visit Alexander's Horse's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Imran Siddiqui

What does 'violent crime' have to do with the number of guns? You can use a knife for violent crime.



Jeez imran I've never seen someone knifed at 100 yards, or through a closed window or screen door. Is there such a things as a drive-by stabbing?

God you can be a dumb bastard sometimes

Rogan Josh is offline Rogan Josh
Prince

Jan 1970
time: 06:22
  Old Post 22-10-2002 19:54
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I must admit, I am confused by one of the arguments I often hear from the pro-gun lobby - that the consitution enshrines the right 'to bear arms'.

If this is a good enough reason to allow anyone to own a gun, why should they not be allowed to have a tank or fighter aircraft or even a nuclear warhead - they are arms too aren't they?

Perhaps Saddam should simply point to the 2nd ammendment....

Dr Strangelove is offline Dr Strangelove
King
USA
Jan 1970
time: 00:22
  Old Post 22-10-2002 21:44
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quote:
Originally posted by SpencerH


Another liberal deception, when the stats are analysed impartially the lowest violent crime levels are in places that have gun ownership.
http://www.press.uchicago.edu/Misc/Chicago/493636.html


The author states that the Jonesboro crime was commited in a place where gun possession was already illegal. This is a patently absurd statement. It is not illegal to own guns in Arkansas! Is this a sample of the quality of the author's work?

David Floyd is offline David Floyd
King
The bottom of a large bottle of beer
Jan 1970
time: 05:22
  Old Post 22-10-2002 21:45 Visit David Floyd's homepage!
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MarkG,

quote:
i thought the goverment WAS armed


That's the point. The government says, "We have bigger guns than you (or in some countries, we have guns and you don't), so you better do what we say." It's an intimidation thing.

Rogan Josh,

quote:
If this is a good enough reason to allow anyone to own a gun, why should they not be allowed to have a tank or fighter aircraft or even a nuclear warhead - they are arms too aren't they?


No, the 2nd Amendment makes the distinction of arms, rather than ordnance. However, ownership of ordnance is protected by general property rights.

Your specific is wrong, but the overall point is correct - I believe we should be able to own tanks if we want to and can afford to.

Further, to answer in a more "mainstream" way, the fact that the Constitution protects the right to bear arms is a good enough reason for being able to because the Constitution is the Supreme Law of the Land, and there is a mechanism for changing the Constitution if enough people want to.

MarkG is offline MarkG
Grand Lord of Apolyton, Owner of all this land as far as the eye can see

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Macedonia, Greece
Jan 1970
time: 07:22
  Old Post 22-10-2002 21:55 Visit MarkG<br><img src=/forums/images/admin-icon.gif>'s homepage!
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quote:
That's the point. The government says, "We have bigger guns than you (or in some countries, we have guns and you don't), so you better do what we say." It's an intimidation thing.
i dont know if that's what happens in your country, but in my country the goverment says "you elected us for four years so we do what we want". sometimes the people respond by saying "no way are you geting elected again" and then the goverment says "i'd better try to cover this up somehow" and changes it's mind
we call it democracy

SpencerH is offline SpencerH
King
Co-Ruler of my patch of land south of Birmingham Alabama
Feb 2002
time: 23:22
  Old Post 22-10-2002 22:24
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quote:
Originally posted by Dr Strangelove

The author states that the Jonesboro crime was commited in a place where gun possession was already illegal. This is a patently absurd statement. It is not illegal to own guns in Arkansas! Is this a sample of the quality of the author's work?


I believe the author may have been referring to that it is illegal to sell a gun to a minor (I'm not sure about possession though). AFAIK, Lott has no axe to grind one way or the other over gun laws and crime stats, he didnt expect to get the results he did.

The points he made that I thought were pertinent are such as this:

"Q: Your argument about criminals and deterrence doesn't tell the whole story. Don't statistics show that most people are killed by someone they know?

A: You are referring to the often-cited statistic that 58 percent of murder victims are killed by either relatives or acquaintances. However, what most people don't understand is that this "acquaintance murder" number also includes gang members killing other gang members, drug buyers killing drug pushers, cabdrivers killed by customers they picked up for the first time, prostitutes and their clients, and so on. "Acquaintance" covers a wide range of relationships"

You know that stats can be manipulated by a variety of mechanisms. What Lott did was to pull apart the more generalized stats such as "acquaintance murders" and look at the parts.

The results of that analysis contradicted many of the views put forward by the gun-control media.

SpencerH is offline SpencerH
King
Co-Ruler of my patch of land south of Birmingham Alabama
Feb 2002
time: 23:22
  Old Post 22-10-2002 22:48
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Heres the original article from the Journal of Legal Studies Univ of Chicago press. Its long but 'enlightening'.

Attachment: lott and mustard.zip
This has been downloaded 2 time(s).

Dr Strangelove is offline Dr Strangelove
King
USA
Jan 1970
time: 00:22
  Old Post 23-10-2002 01:19
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quote:
Originally posted by SpencerH
Heres the original article from the Journal of Legal Studies Univ of Chicago press. Its long but 'enlightening'.


Oh yeah! It's enlightening all right. Did you think that I wouldn't catch on to the slight of hand these @(*^$&# used by applying the "dummy variable" to compensate for the fact that they were comparing full year statistics of counties which did not have "shall issue" concealed weapon laws with partial year statistics of those counties which had enacted such laws during the study. Applying such compensatory calculations to a statistical study merely reduces the power of the study. It would have been better to do a prospective study using matched pairing over a longer period of time.

notyoueither is offline notyoueither
Deity
of naught
Aug 2001
time: 22:22
  Old Post 23-10-2002 01:56
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quote:
Originally posted by MarkG
quote:
That's the point. The government says, "We have bigger guns than you (or in some countries, we have guns and you don't), so you better do what we say." It's an intimidation thing.
i dont know if that's what happens in your country, but in my country the goverment says "you elected us for four years so we do what we want". sometimes the people respond by saying "no way are you geting elected again" and then the goverment says "i'd better try to cover this up somehow" and changes it's mind
we call it democracy


Democracy? You mean like when the Army says they are taking over?

Try that in the US...

MarkG is offline MarkG
Grand Lord of Apolyton, Owner of all this land as far as the eye can see

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  Old Post 23-10-2002 02:03 Visit MarkG<br><img src=/forums/images/admin-icon.gif>'s homepage!
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blah

Last edited by MarkG on 23-10-2002 at 02:35

SpencerH is offline SpencerH
King
Co-Ruler of my patch of land south of Birmingham Alabama
Feb 2002
time: 23:22
  Old Post 23-10-2002 17:51
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quote:
Originally posted by Dr Strangelove


Oh yeah! It's enlightening all right. Did you think that I wouldn't catch on to the slight of hand these @(*^$&# used by applying the "dummy variable" to compensate for the fact that they were comparing full year statistics of counties which did not have "shall issue" concealed weapon laws with partial year statistics of those counties which had enacted such laws during the study. Applying such compensatory calculations to a statistical study merely reduces the power of the study. It would have been better to do a prospective study using matched pairing over a longer period of time.


Of course it would. That doesnt change the fact that its the most comprehensive study out there (and better than the crap that preceeded it). Now at least theres something to discuss compared to the usual uncited comment about how gun ownership doesnt reduce crime.

 
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