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lord of the mark
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FUKCOV - Former United Kingdom Colony of Virginia
Dec 2000 time: 00:25
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quote: Originally posted by Jac de Molay
>>>>A man who has been in power for as long as hussein would have very little to gain and everything to lose by going this route.
Do you know how he defines gains and losses??? What did he have to gain by trying to execute Bush Sr??
>> Now, with the entire Western Intelligence apparatus with eyes on him, he's even more likely to go this route??
Western intellegince is difficult to come by in Iraq, and is widely discounted, as shown in the current debate.
>>And why single hussein out for this potential threat when there are many, many countries that are capable of the same thing.? A trumped-up, speculatory threat.
Which ones have WMD and are run by megalomaniacs with Saddams hisotry of risk taking.
>>>If If If If. You could apply this same rationale to about 4 or five other countries at the moment.
Name them
>>>He also made a gross miscalculation when he thought the US wouldn't respond to his Kuwait invasion. Why would he suddenly think the US wouldn't play ball in the same manner against a greater threat? We stared down someone much bigger and badder in Cuba.
Uh because we dont want to start a war with 2 billion muslims. The grand strategic situation is far different than the cold war. Even now its unlikely we'd really use nukes against him if he used WMD, for precisly those reasons. And he might misjudge for the same reasons hes done so in the past - the nature of his regime precldues him form getting dissenting, and thus accurate information
>Speculation with no hard evidence in terms of his intelligence profile, or past behaviour, to back this up.
You raised the question, I responded with how it would play out. The burden of proof is on you to show his intelligence profile, since you are saying we should gamble our secuirty on his state of mind - that is a matter of considerable disagreement.
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Darius871
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Smith, Wesson, and the RODINA!!!
Mar 2002 time: 23:25
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It's a bit more complicated than 'an enemy of my enemy is my friend'. Let's put it this way:
Al-Qaeda's ambition = destruction of Israel, removal of the U.S. from the Middle East and/or its outright destruction, and fundamentalist government of Muslim nations.
Saddam Hussein's ambition = domination of the Middle East
The U.S. is the ONLY thing that stands in the way of his dream, and massive terrorist attacks on the US with WMD would help him realize this dream. Al-Qaeda would just be a FedEx for his weapons, not an 'ally'.
Also I've always been cynical of this "it's secular regimes like his that Al-Qaeda hates so much" line, because his regime is not thoroughly secular. Read a transcript of any of his speeches. Here are just a few lively highlights:
quote:
In the name of Allah, the most gracious, the Most Merciful;
This is going to be a glorious day. The Iraqi people will, in the name of Allah, add to their honorable record.
It will be a day when the cowardly aggressors will be condemned by both history and the whole world, having been condemned by Allah the Almighty.
Allah the Almighty wishes you to take your pride of place under the sun
Strike with efficiency and competence, in the name of Allah, any of the aggressors' planes
It will not be shaken by the winds of evil; neither will it be frightened, God willing, by the hiss of vipers.
Allah foiled the aggression and the aggressors and, thanks be to Allah, we only suffered light losses in the failed attack.
May Allah bless the souls of our honorable martyrs.
Allah is greater, Allah is greater.
In the name of Allah, the Most Compassionate, the Most Merciful
Allah always helps the faithful and their just cause to prevail over injustice.
Allah Almighty shall extend of the means of strength provided by the faithful on the basis of His Divine instruction: "Extend to them all the strength you can provide…".
Thus, we relied on Allah, and took the position required under the circumstance
Iraq, the land of Jihad
Allah, the omni-powerful is above all power and shall repel the schemes of the unjust.
threats which will make those who have lost all ties with God the Compassionate, and all trust in their people, tremble and shiver
Allah is Great ... Allah is Great ... Allah is Great..
Allah is Great ... Allah is Great ... Allah is Great..
Allah is Great ... Allah is Great ... Allah is Great..
Allah is Great ... Allah is Great ... Allah is Great ...
Allah is Great ... Attacking ... defending ... advancing and charging forward deep in enemy territory, chasing evil to defeat it
Allah is Great ... Allah is Great ... Allah is Great ...
the call of the spirit carrying the body to the destination determined by Allah, to be pure, secure, aromatic, and rosy, as he is a witness to the will of Allah, or a living martyr, so destined by Allah Almighty, whose command is irrevocable, praised He be for all He wills and all He wants.
Allah is Great ... Allah is Great ... Allah is Great ...
Allah is Great ... Allah is Great ... Allah is Great ...
There is no God but Allah.
Allah is Great ... Allah is Great ... Allah is Great ...
Praise be to Allah
The dear chant is raised, as if the men are circumambulating around the Ka'ba, or returning to the place from which Prophet Mohammed, the Messenger of Allah, ascended to God on that Blessed Night, after they cleanse the land of Palestine from Zionist desecration.
Allah is Great ... Allah is Great ... Allah is Great ... with millions of gun-barrels, exchanging places on the battle-fronts, or being stationed where they ought to be from the start of the battle until Allah grants His final victory.
the faithful who prayed for Iraq to be granted Allah's victory, which the Almighty graced Iraq with.
With victory, came the first expressions of gratitude to Allah,
praying to Allah the omni-powerful, the Almighty, to spare us any such hatred or any hatred which we don't know.
break the spikes that others want to use against your people and thus defeat the unjust aggressors, in the name of Allah.
we extend our greetings to you as we live your dear days one by one, and to every living soul and every soul that has a place in heaven, blessed by Allah, the Almighty.
Allah is Great
Allah is Great
Allah is Great
There is no God but Allah
Allah is Great
Praise be to Allah |
Does this stuff sound like it would piss off Osama? Give me a friggin break.
While I have seen no evidence in the speeches or writings of OBL that he detests Saddam Hussein's regime, let's just say hypothetically that he does. Even if Osama hated Saddam, he'd still be ecstatic to get his hands on weapons of mass destruction or at least the means to produce them. Enough so to perhaps ignore any problems he has with Saddam's so-called secularism. Does this sound at least plausible to you?
I know you're probably going to type 'oh he's just using religion to gain support, bla bla bla', but the fact remains that just by doing that he is not secular.
Last edited by Darius871 on 30-01-2003 at 01:00
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germanos
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behind a firm ****, Rotterdam, NL
Apr 2002 time: 06:25
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I certainly DO consider Nazi-Germany a secular state, yet every soldier carried the text "Gott mit Uns" (= God with us) on his uniform belt, similar to the medal below.
Saddams rethoric doesn't mean much, and it certainly does NOT mean he has any support of Osama's ambition to found a islamic fundamentalist Middle-East.
If you are that easily fooled by some rethoric, there is little hope that you will be able to take Powel's words at its value. You should read something on Iraq, the Ba'ath party etc.
Attachment: gottmituns.jpg
This has been downloaded 36 time(s).
Last edited by germanos on 30-01-2003 at 01:23
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Darius871
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Smith, Wesson, and the RODINA!!!
Mar 2002 time: 23:25
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quote: Originally posted by germanos
Saddams rethoric doesn't mean much, and it certainly does NOT mean he has any support of Osama's ambition to found a islamic fundamentalist Middle-East.
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I NEVER said that Saddam supports OBL, or that Saddam is even a devout Muslim; you're putting words in my mouth. I only meant to say that Saddam blatantly exploits religion to stay in power, and therefore is not completely secular in my book (do you have a different definition of 'secular'?). I went further to say that therefore Osama Bin Laden likely doesn't detest him enough to refuse mass destruction weapons if offered.
I also that while Saddam doesn't support OBL and OBL does not support Saddam, I have seen NO concrete evidence that Al-Qaeda is vehemently anti-Saddam and will continue to be cynical of opportunistic speculations by internet posters on Osama Bin Laden's mindset. Only what he has actually said is worth a damn to me. So do you have any sort of facts or quotes, or are you indeed speculating?
Last edited by Darius871 on 30-01-2003 at 01:31
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germanos
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behind a firm ****, Rotterdam, NL
Apr 2002 time: 06:25
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quote: Originally posted by Darius871
I NEVER said that Saddam supports OBL, that's putting words in my mouth. I only say 1) that Saddam uses religion to stay in power, and therefore is not completely secular in my book and 2) that while Saddam doesn't support OBL and OBL does not support Saddam, I have seen no concrete evidence that Al-Qaeda is anti-Saddam and will continue to be cynical about opportunistic speculations by internet posters on the mindset of Osama Bin Laden. Only what he has actually said is worth a damn to me. So do you have any sort of facts or are you indeed speculating? |
Well, certainly YOU never said that Saddam supports al-Qaeda, but this thread was what the 'paranoid' (sic!) whateveryoucalledthem would say when Powel would present the irrefutible evidence that Saddam does. I am responding to THAT.
Question: do you consider the USA a secular state? I do, for the fact that 'state' and 'religion' are seperated, by law (constitution). The same is the case in Iraq.
But if you argue that the USA isn't secular, since you pledge allegance (sp?) to the flag by saying the words: "one nation, under God", then I have misunderstood your meaning of 'secular'.
I don't read arabic well enough to dig through Osama-speaches to supply you with quotes, and even so, it would be very hard to find the name of Saddam in them. You can rest assured that in the many speaches he made, and of which in the US media only the highlights against the US/West would be broadcasted, he has with equal strength condamned ALL nations in the Middle-East for not living up to the Prophets words. Hell man, he hates the Saudi Royals, and you can hardly call THEM not being fundamentalistic!
But was is truly amazing about this thread developing: Instead of Powel going to put forward evidence of the Iraq/al-Qaeda link, now it is going in the way it has to be proven Saddam and Osama condamn eachother publicly? 
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germanos
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behind a firm ****, Rotterdam, NL
Apr 2002 time: 06:25
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quote: Originally posted by Darius871
I went further to say that therefore Osama Bin Laden likely doesn't detest him enough to refuse mass destruction weapons if offered.
So do you have any sort of facts or quotes, or are you indeed speculating? |
I'm not talking about what Osama would do if he got them offered, I am saying not a hair in Saddams mostache is thinking about giving them to al-Qaeda.
Speculating, offcourse. I'm not a secret al-Qaeda operative, nor an agent of the Iraqi mukhabarat.
I have been giving ample arguments to support my case though. So far I have seen only speculation on the US side, and they have not been avle to put a single piece of evidence to support their case.
The best reasoning I have heard so far is: Saddam is our enemy + Osama is our enemy = they work together.
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Darius871
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Smith, Wesson, and the RODINA!!!
Mar 2002 time: 23:25
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quote: Originally posted by germanos
Well, certainly YOU never said that Saddam supports al-Qaeda, but this thread was what the 'paranoid' (sic!) whateveryoucalledthem would say when Powel would present the irrefutible evidence that Saddam does. I am responding to THAT. |
You used the words "support of Osama's ambition to found a islamic fundamentalist Middle-East", not "support of Al-Qaeda". There's a HUGE difference. Giving finanical aid, training, intelligence, safe harbor, and/or weaponry to Al-Qaeda for the purpose of weakening the U.S. does not necessarily imply support of OBL's ideology.
quote: Originally posted by germanos
Question: do you consider the USA a secular state? I do, for the fact that 'state' and 'religion' are seperated, by law (constitution). The same is the case in Iraq.
But if you argue that the USA isn't secular, since you pledge allegance (sp?) to the flag by saying the words: "one nation, under God", then I have misunderstood your meaning of 'secular'. |
Having the word's 'under God' in the pledge of Allegiance or saying that our inalienable rights are endowed by the Creator, etc. are a FAR cry away from the lengths Hussein goes to, so it's an invalid comparison.
quote: Originally posted by germanos
I don't read arabic well enough to dig through Osama-speaches to supply you with quotes, and even so, it would be very hard to find the name of Saddam in them. |
All of his publicly released videos are translated. Come to me with something real.
quote: Originally posted by germanos
Hell man, he hates the Saudi Royals, and you can hardly call THEM not being fundamentalistic!
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Well I could easily say he hates the Saudis for their alliance to the U.S. and not that their government isn't fundamentalist. This could be extended to say that he wouldn't hate Iraq because of their belligerence towards the U.S.
quote: Originally posted by germanos
But was is truly amazing about this thread developing: Instead of Powel going to put forward evidence of the Iraq/al-Qaeda link, now it is going in the way it has to be proven Saddam and Osama condamn eachother publicly? |
It's not getting off-topic; you spoke of how Osama hates Saddam because he is secular, and I ask for evidence instead of speculation. 
quote: Originally posted by germanos
I'm not talking about what Osama would do if he got them offered, I am saying not a hair in Saddams mostache is thinking about giving them to al-Qaeda.
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[Hypothetically] if it was proven that he has provided conventional assistance to them, would you admit then that he would probably be willing to give them WMD?
Last edited by Darius871 on 30-01-2003 at 02:11
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Edan
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quote: Originally posted by chegitz guevara
I've seen that info, Dino, and I'm willing to accept it as true. However, this has only come out recently. So what was their excuse for the previous two months? |
Some things that come to my mind are:
- possibly the intelligence services were spending that amount of time to make sure that the sources of the intelligence were safe and secure from any possible retaliation from Saddam?
- Or possibly he was waiting for the last minute (ie, after going through the whole UN rigamarol, building up the case, preparing the nation for war, getting troops into the region), and once everything was set up and the stakes were high enough, then showing his hand in a geopolitical game of poker?
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germanos
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behind a firm ****, Rotterdam, NL
Apr 2002 time: 06:25
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quote: Originally posted by Darius871
You used the words "support of Osama's ambition to found a islamic fundamentalist Middle-East", not "support of Al-Qaeda". There's a HUGE difference. Giving finanical aid, training, intelligence, safe harbor, and/or weaponry to Al-Qaeda for the purpose of weakening the U.S. does not necessarily imply support of OBL's ideology.
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Yes, to some that is a huge difference, but not to everybody. F.e., the US has supported the Aghani mujaheddin , propably with the same reasoning in mind. We all know how that has backfired on the US. The same goes for Israeli support of Hamas, when it was still weak and a threat for Arafat. I wouldn't bet that Saddam is doing the same.
quote: Having the word's 'under God' in the pledge of Allegiance or saying that our inalienable rights are endowed by the Creator, etc. are a FAR cry away from the lengths Hussein goes to, so it's an invalid comparison. |
The arabic langauge is often very elaborate and speaches drown in words, analogies etc. Some consider it a poetic language. Take a look for instance a your quote: the endless repetative of Allahu Akbhar. It is indeed difficult to compare two languages, cultures. To you it might seem a far cry, it does not necessarry mean that THAT is the FACT.
And who says Saddam is not refering to the Creator in general as well? It is rather ethnocentric to say that the american use of God is refering to the Creator 9neutral), but as soon as it is Allah, it isn't. For Christsake, the Iraqi deputy-president (Tareq Aziz) is a christian!
quote: All of his publicly released videos are translated. Come to me with something real. |
I can't be bothered, read them yourself and you will see: Osama hates all that is not with him, nor a religeous zealot.
quote: It's not getting off-topic; you spoke of how Osama hates Saddam because he is secular, and I ask for evidence instead of speculation. |
Point taken: I'll just wait for Powel NOT being able to provide any evidence Saddam is supporting al-Qaeda.
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Edan
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quote: Originally posted by chegitz guevara
I think this is the case. The pot, however, is war. That's all Bush has wanted all along and he's just playing the game so he'll be allowed to have it. He's not interested in actually disarming Iraq. |
Well, Iraq certainly isn't which is the whole point.
If the US had shown locations of WMDs befor the inspection process, Saddam would have either cleaned it up, or if the proof was overwhelming, admitted to it, but show that he was willing to have it destroyed. Which would do nothing to secure my confidence that he was going to willingly disarm all that WMD technology that the US doesn't have intelligence about.
Saddam had a chance to fully comply and show the inspectors they were serious about disarmament. They failed to do so. And, at this point, I don't see much hope of any inspections being fruitful in showing that Iraq has disarmed.
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Israel has already indicated they're not above a WMD retaliation. And I cannot conceive of the United States doing anything BUT nuking Baghdad in the same scenario. Saddam knows this. He's sadistic and sociopathic, but he's not stupid. That's why he didnt use any WMDs against the US or israel in the first war.
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chegitz guevara
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Ft. Lauderdale, FL Communist Party of Apolyton
Jun 2000 time: 00:25
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quote: Originally posted by lord of the mark
War presents numerous side benefits in terms of strategic position between Iran and Saudi, liberating the Iraqi people, |
Don't even bring them into it. The US has shown its contempt for the Iraqi people since the 1960s. If it gave a damn about them we never would have helped the Ba'athists and Hussein to power in the first place, we wouldn't have supported and armed Hussein, given him chemical and biological weapons, tricked them into invading their neigher, starved them, and then sat back and allowed the Iraqi people to be slaughtered when they revolted at the end of the last war. The Iraqi people mean exactly ZERO to this administration except as a statistical problem.
quote: and removing a bitter enemy of the United States, which disarmament alone does not. |
An enemy which can do nothing to harm us.
quote: However Iraq'a WMD's ARE a big concern. |
Why?
quote: The US has been aware from the beginning that if Iraq disarmed we would not go to war, |
Bullshit. From the very begining we've said we were going to attack no matter what.
quote: Our motivations include but go beyond the formal casus belli - that hardly invalidates the casus belli, which is quite real (unless you believe that Saddam has disarmed, as Iraq claims) |
Our motivations have nothing to do with Iraq except as as easy target. It's just a continuation of establishing global hegemony.
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Ned
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of Aptos, CA
Oct 1999 time: 21:25
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quote: Originally posted by Jac de Molay
He also made a gross miscalculation when he thought the US wouldn't respond to his Kuwait invasion. Why would he suddenly think the US wouldn't play ball in the same manner against a greater threat? We stared down someone much bigger and badder in Cuba.
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Jac, Did you know he asked us first about Kuwait? We said that we would not get involved in Arab-Arab disputes.
Saddam's mistake was putting 9 divisions on the border with Saudi Arabia. That caused the Saudi's to call in their cards with the US.
He later did invade Saudi Arabia, but not in force. The Saudi's defeated him.
But the point here is that Saddam probably would have taken Saudi Arabia had we not acted promptly was we did. The Arab-Arab non interference statement was "overbroad." The US Ambassador did not limit the "permission" to Kuwait alone.
Later, after having received US "permission" to take Kuwait, he may have been surprised at Bush's insistance that he leave. But, given that the demand was limited to Kuwait, Saddam had no good reason not to simply stay and fight it out. His regime, after all, was not threatened. Had our objectives not been so limited, Saddam may have peacefully withdrawn.
The goes to show you just how bad limited objective wars can be. It is a wonder that we repeated the fundamental mistakes of both Korea and Vietnam.
This Bush seems to have learned the lesson of Korea, Vietnam and Gulf War I.
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