22-06-2003 12:59									#61
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Colon, UR - doesn't this mean that once China opens all its systems it becomes bestest in everything? Why not?

	22-06-2003 13:03									#62
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I don't know. Though Singapore is worried. Lee Kuan Yew once lamented, "How can we compete with a country that will have 10 times the production of Japan?"

Methinks he exaggerated just a bit.

	22-06-2003 13:07									#63
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yeah, but if we agree that India has the advantage of halfway democracy and halfway open markets, and we can see that China is far ahead even through planned economy (which was just an argument for India's weakness, they used planned economy), I can only logically deduce that once China has open markets it will boom out the rest of Asia.

And I'm not certain if that would be a stabilising factor

	22-06-2003 17:04									#64
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quote: Originally posted by Ecthelion yeah, but if we agree that India has the advantage of halfway democracy and halfway open markets, and we can see that China is far ahead even through planned economy (which was just an argument for India's weakness, they used planned economy), I can only logically deduce that once China has open markets it will boom out the rest of Asia. And I'm not certain if that would be a stabilising factor

I think you've been missing out on China's history since the death of Mao. They've abandoned old fashioned planned economics for quite a while already. (it's even in the article this thread is supposed to be about)

I bet it would be a stabilising factor. A lot of PRC's bluster towards Taiwan is intended to keep the military happy and to divert domestic discontent. (since there's plenty of discontent that doesn't have an outlet in representative polls)
I also think a democratic China wouldn't let North Korea off the hook that easily.

Remember we haven't had good experiences with economic succes-stories that retained an authoritharian regime. (Germany and Japan)

	22-06-2003 17:19									#65
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quote: Originally posted by The Vagabond Another factor in favor of the Chinese is that they seem to be very hard-working and enduring. As for the Indians, they don't seem to distinguish themselves in this respect from other nationalities.

Bullshit. I have a good friend in India who's working her butt off at an IT corp from dusk till dawn for 6 days a week. She's often still at the office when many people in Belgium have already finished their working day. (and there's a time difference of +5:30 hours) And she gets paid 250€ a month.

Indian workers are the best deal you can have. They work hard, they're well educated and they don't complain. If that country wouldn't have such a godawful infrastructure and administration it would be roaring to the #1 spot.

	22-06-2003 17:26									#66
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quote: Originally posted by Urban Ranger Ah, but they will be crushed as well. Consider that Indian IT companies have compete worldwide, but Chinese ones don't, because there's a 1.2 billion persons market place for Chinese software. Japanese and Korean companies have similar but smaller advantages.

But India has a 1 billion person marketplace, so there's not much difference there. I still say that China's geographical advantage is it's relative close proximity to the more receptive markets of the Pacific Rim vs. India's proximity to Europe. Anyway, with regaads to software, doesn't India actually surpass China in software production? I think that neither China or India get top dollar for their software products.

	22-06-2003 17:41									#67
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quote: Originally posted by Ted Striker Now that is some serious information Doc that I've never heard of before. Thanks for the history lesson.

I read about this movement in "The India Times", India's largest newspaper, a couple of years ago. A major portion of the edition was devoted to Bose, including a article discussing his association with Hitler's Germany and Hirohito's Japan, why this wasn't really such a bad thing after all and why it shouldn't be an impediment to naming him India's greatest national hero of the 20th century. There was even an article submitted by prime minister Vijaypur, which I find really interesting considering that a member of his party assasinated the Mahatma 55 years ago.

	22-06-2003 17:44									#68
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Colon, if China becomes freer (and, let us assume, thus economically stronger), it will try to gain control all over Asia. Taiwan and North Korea will be annexed, all the rest of Asia vassalized. How does that sound? EU-esque?

	22-06-2003 17:50									#69
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Didn't the government of China recently announce that it was going to experiment with local free elections in some province?

Perhaps this was to take place in the region to be inudated by the Three Gorges Dam.

	22-06-2003 17:54									#70
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wouldn't surprise me. although even if china did have some 'free' local elections, do you honestly think anyone hostile to the communist authorities would get in...

	22-06-2003 18:01									#71
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quote: Originally posted by Ecthelion Colon, if China becomes freer (and, let us assume, thus economically stronger), it will try to gain control all over Asia. Taiwan and North Korea will be annexed, all the rest of Asia vassalized. How does that sound? EU-esque?

Lame troll.

	22-06-2003 18:03									#72
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it's only a semi-troll. if you think India has the advantage of a freer system, why shouldn't China benefit from a freer system herself?

	22-06-2003 18:51									#73
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The reason China is ahead of India is actually down to the advances made in China before 1980 in education and healthcare. Despite the twin disasters of the Great Leap Forward and the Cultural Revolution , the communists actually made large strides in improving education and life expectancy, which gave China a firm base on which to build a dynamic free-market economy. India, on the other hand, was and is behind China in both literacy and healthcare. India may churn out more students than anybody else, but female literacy is still just 37.7%, compared to China's 72.2%.

On the other hand, India has not had any large scale famines since independence, whilst China has had a gigantic man-made one, which is at least one thing India can hold it's head high about.

	22-06-2003 20:05									#74
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quote: Originally posted by Ecthelion Colon, if China becomes freer (and, let us assume, thus economically stronger), it will try to gain control all over Asia. Taiwan and North Korea will be annexed, all the rest of Asia vassalized. How does that sound? EU-esque?

More like a Greater East Asia Co prosperity sphere.

	22-06-2003 21:48									#75
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Indian workers are the best deal you can have. They work hard, they're well educated and they don't complain. If that country wouldn't have such a godawful infrastructure and administration it would be roaring to the #1 spot.

I don't doubt this. And the infrastructure and administration are improving, albeit slowly.

	22-06-2003 23:48									#76
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Indians have to get the caste system out of thier culture and improve thier infrastructure, if they do that they will start to become an economic superpower.

	23-06-2003 09:19									#77
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quote: Originally posted by Dr Strangelove But India has a 1 billion person marketplace, so there's not much difference there.

I am not sure how big the market is for Hindu software though.

quote: Originally posted by Dr Strangelove Anyway, with regaads to software, doesn't India actually surpass China in software production? I think that neither China or India get top dollar for their software products.

Software production is hard to quantify. How do you count it? Number of programs sold? Revenue $$$? Lines of code? It's not clear.

I agree, neither China nor India get top dollar for programs. IIRC, neither Ireland nor Israel do, either.

	23-06-2003 10:01									#78
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quote: Did you know that upon Independence India was tops in Asia (minus Japan) in just about every field. Per capita income, miles of roads & rails, lowest illiteracy, highest exports, and so on and so forth.

I guess it does help being a former British colony.

	23-06-2003 10:07									#79
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quote: Originally posted by Urban Ranger I am not sure how big the market is for Hindu software though.

India, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh? Singapore has Hindi speakers but it's not an official language.

	23-06-2003 10:12									#80
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The point is that what India loses by lack of a captive audience, it gains in spades by having ready access to a wider and much more affluent audience.

	23-06-2003 10:16									#81
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What India needs is a cultural revolution.

	23-06-2003 10:37									#82
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quote: Originally posted by DanS The point is that what India loses by lack of a captive audience, it gains in spades by having ready access to a wider and much more affluent audience.

The counterpoint is, the East Asian countries win by having both a captive market and ready access to the global one.

	23-06-2003 10:58									#83
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quote: like i said you might be a few pennies better off in china but the price you pay is terms of freedom and basic human rights is far higher.

Don't be too sure of that until you know something about life in China.

quote: quote: Where India overcomes these obstacles, and has a clear competitive advantage—as in software and other information-technology services—it can be a huge success. Ah, but they will be crushed as well

The Chinese are at a big disadvantage in some types of software authoring (and other creative endeavors) in that imagination is not a strong suit of their national mindset.

quote: Didn't the government of China recently announce that it was going to experiment with local free elections in some province?

Latest developments in this thread.

quote: wouldn't surprise me. although even if china did have some 'free' local elections, do you honestly think anyone hostile to the communist authorities would get in...

China already does have free elections at the lowest village level (has had 'em for some years now), and yes, some non-Party members actually beat the Party candidates and are elected! The latest reforms concern mayors and provincial governors. Non-Party members who become elected, however, often face significant hurdles from the (Party-controlled) political heirarchy above them which can greatly limit their effectiveness.

Step by step.