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JimmyCracksCorn
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Macedonia - Sovereign country north of Greece.
Dec 2002
time: 05:31
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quote:
Originally posted by Stuie
GW was born on July 6, 1946, in New Haven, Connecticut. Yankee.
He did, however spend most of his childhood in the freak state of Texas. |
Really? I didn't know that.
But regardless, very few people would consider GWB a New Englander...
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badams52
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near the magic kingdom
May 2002
time: 21:31
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quote:
Originally posted by Imran Siddiqui
quote:
They should go with Redman next. Starters on 3 days rest have a horrible record in postseason. |
That's not totally true. IIRC, Beckett pitched a great game in relief (like 4 innings) in Game 7 of NLCS on TWO days rest.
Anyway, I'd rather have Beckett on 3 days and then Pavano on 3 days (if needed) rather than Redman or Willis starting another game  . |
Well, starters going on short rest haven't fared well, just read my quote below. And pitching 4 effective innings of relief is no where near the same as starting a game.
That being said, Beckett on 3 days rest might still be better than well rested Redman or Willis.
from the desk of Rob Neyer at ESPN: http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/playo..._rob&id=1631534
quote:
On its immediate face, the data is stark. Since the introduction of the current postseason format -- six divisions, two wild cards -- there have been 31 games in which one of the starters was going on three days rest and the other had at least four.
The short-rested starters won only six of those 31 games. Ouch.
On the other hand, the short-rested starters lost only 15 games. That's a lot more than six, obviously, but there were plenty of well-pitched no-decisions in those 31 games.
From 1999 through 2002, short-rested starters faced full-rested starters 18 times ... and won only twice. Both were Angels last fall, as Jarrod Washburn beat David Wells in the Division Series, and -- who could forget? -- John Lackey beat Livan Hernandez in Game 7 of the World Series.
But even aside from those two well-pitched games, there were a number of others over that four-October span: Curt Schilling twice in the 2001 World Series, Tom Glavine in the 2001 NLCS, Kevin Millwood in the Division Series last year ... they just didn't get the W's.
Still, it's hard to sugarcoat this. Pitchers starting on three days' rest simply haven't fared well. Since 1995, short-rested starters collectively have a 5.20 ERA. I don't have the numbers for all other postseason starters since '95, but I do know that full-rested starters in games against short-rested starters have a 4.01 ERA. (I also know that both Theo Epstein and Billy Beane do have all the numbers. And as Epstein said Sunday, "The track record of pitchers on three days' rest in general is not good.")
Oh, and by the way, that significant difference is more significant when we consider that generally only the better starters are asked to pitch on short rest. |
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Arrian
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Kneel before Grog!
Jul 2001
time: 00:31
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What George doesn't seem to understand is that Baseball is a flukey game, and as such, damn near anything can happen in a 5 or 7 game series. Further, the more money you spend, the more you tend to run into diminishing returns.
The Yankee core has aged. Their salaries have gone up, and their performance has not. In some cases it has slipped. Giambi is clearly injured, and it killed his production this season and in the playoffs. Bernie appear to be just finding his stroke again after his injuries this year, but his defense has completely gone. Jeter is held together by ace bandages & duct tape. Posada is the only "core" Yankee who has continued to improve since the championship run of 1996, 1998-2000. Jeter's best year was '99. So was Bernie's, IIRC.
Boone is garbage. George just *had* to go get him, but the reality is that his numbers were inflated by playing at Cincy. He can't be as bad as he played in the playoffs, but he isn't particularly good. Matsui was fine. Contreras hasn't been nearly as good as was hoped - his salary is the result of a Red Sox vs. Yankees bidding war. The rest of the teams must have had a ball watching that.
The starting rotation for next year looks shaky. They've put themselves in a position where they MUST sign Pettite, which of course gives him serious bargaining power. Big contract coming. Good pitcher? Yes. Second coming of Whitey Ford? Not quite.
The bullpen sucks (aside from Mariano, of course!), and no doubt George will order his minions to seek replacements. They will spend millions on relief pitchers and likely will do about as well as other teams that hunt through the bargain bin.
The Yanks are old, and bad defensively. Their strengths are power + patience & good pitching. If the pitching slips, the wheels will fall off entirely.
The reality is that normal baseball teams ride a good team for a while and then must rebuild. The Yankees are told by their owner that they must win every year. Thus, no rebuilding. This is dangerous. The reason they started winning in the mid/late 90s after a long period of suckiness is because they finally remembered to pay attention to the farm system (currently stripped bare).
-Arrian
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24-10-2003 11:19
. Either that, or bring in Willis to close it out or something.
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