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Lancer is offline Lancer
Emperor
Oregon Coast, USA! or Bohol, Philippines!
Apr 1999
time: 05:33
  Old Post 09-01-2004 20:30
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How do I protect against recession? Put an end to popups!

I want in insurance policy of sorts to guard against hard times. My dad had a few krugerands in a safety deposit box, but since we're off the gold standard would this help?

I have $5000 for such a policy. Suggestions?

SpencerH is offline SpencerH
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Feb 2002
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Put an end to popups!

diamonds

Lancer is offline Lancer
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Apr 1999
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Spencer, my wife would agree with you, but I never would have thought it...

Why diamonds?

Stefu is offline Stefu
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Jan 1970
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Vote Democrats.

Kidicious is offline Kidicious
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Mar 2003
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Re: How do I protect against recession? Support Apolyton, buy GURPS/ Alpha Centauri

quote:
Originally posted by Lancer
I want in insurance policy of sorts to guard against hard times. My dad had a few krugerands in a safety deposit box, but since we're off the gold standard would this help?

I have $5000 for such a policy. Suggestions?


The gold standard isn't a factor. Gold is good. That's why it's already at $427/oz.

Lancer is offline Lancer
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Apr 1999
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  Old Post 09-01-2004 20:39
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$427? WoW What was it a year ago? It's up by $100 or so isn't it?

Where is the best place to buy gold? I'm thinking Canadian maple leafs...

rah is offline rah
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Lord of the Ferrets
Jan 1970
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  Old Post 09-01-2004 20:40
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Precious metals.

Lancer is offline Lancer
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Apr 1999
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  Old Post 09-01-2004 20:42
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rah, won't demand for stuff like platinum go down in a recession?

Lancer is offline Lancer
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Apr 1999
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  Old Post 09-01-2004 20:44
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Damn, have to go to work. This is interesting...

SpencerH is offline SpencerH
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Feb 2002
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  Old Post 09-01-2004 20:50
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"INVESTING IN DIAMONDS

Many people think of diamonds as an investment and indeed, they can be very good investments. But before you get carried away, we of Jewelry industry would like to give you a few words of warning about this type of investment. These few words of advice can make the difference between a wise move on your part or a financial disaster.

Diamond Investment Facts

White diamonds that cost under $50,000 at a true wholesale price are not rare enough to be considered an investment except in a market that exhibits extreme inflation of the currency. Even then, these less expensive stones may drop dramatically in price when inflation is curbed. If you wish to possibly make a profit and have an easy time re-selling the stone, you have to buy a beautiful and rare enough stone so that there are more buyers than stones available at the time of resale.

The most common use of diamonds as an investment is as an insurance policy against the unexpected. High liability professionals buy important diamonds and often hide them offshore. In the case they end up on the wrong end of a civil law suit, they have a private source of wealth which can get them back on their feet. If the courts can't find an asset and don't know about, they cannot confiscate it. If the investment diamond is never used, it can be quietly passed on to the children in the estate.

Most people believe that DeBeers controls the market for diamonds and therefore they control the price. DeBeers does, to a great extent, control the distribution and base pricing of rough (uncut) diamonds. They do not, however, control the price of polished diamonds. Polished diamond prices fluctuate up and down and are highly impacted by things such as interest rates and inflation. During the high inflation period of 1978-1980 in the U.S., white diamonds were approximately 4 times more expensive than they are now in the late 1990's.

Buying an important or investment diamond at the right price is very critical. The world's diamond community essentially uses the Rapaport Diamond Report as a guide for buying and selling diamonds. No consumer can ever expect to make a profit on a diamond in a few years if they are buying at typical retail prices in stores. Buying a diamond with a GIA diamond grading report and at some kind of discount from the Rapaport wholesale price list (see our section on Rapaport) will help ensure that if diamonds go up over the years to come, the initial bid-ask spread will disappear and a profit may eventually be taken. A reputable dealer should be able to sell you certified diamonds for 5 - 10% over their cost. Any more than that and you are paying too much.

While fine, large 5+ carat white diamonds can make very acceptable long term investments, the diamonds with the best appreciation track record are natural fancy color diamonds such as yellow, pink , blue, green, purple and red. Since serious recording of prices started on these stones around 1970, they have never fallen in price. In recessions, they tend to move laterally and in healthy economies or inflationary times they tend to move up in price. Blue diamonds have approximately doubled in price every 5 years, pink diamonds have doubled in price about every 6-7 years and yellow diamonds have doubled in price about every 8-10 years since 1970. These diamonds are hundreds and thousands of times more rare than the finest "D" color diamonds. And, most famous diamonds are not white. Think about it! The Hope is blue and the Tiffany is yellow, just to mention two stones.

Top quality diamonds are more liquid than real estate but less liquid than stocks or gold. It will take some time to find a buyer for your stone. Interestingly, the more rare and pricey the stone, the easier it is to resell. There are so few truly magnificent diamonds and there is a lot of money in the world looking for that type of stone. It is much easier to sell a $100,000+ stone than a $1,000 stone.

Always buy an important stone with a GIA or EGL certificate. Most large and rare stones have a certificate that was issued at the time of cutting and will be recorded and will stay with it until it is reexamined for a specific reason, the number shop remain the same forever. This is the pedigree for the stone, your assurance of what you are buying and the future owner's assurance of what he/she is buying from you. Don't ever take the jeweler's or dealer's word on the quality of a stone, always insist on certification. Most truly important stones already have GIA or EGL certificates with them.

When in doubt, find a specialist in the field to help you.

Ask an EXPERT in a specific field that has experience and knowledge in the field. "


You'll need more than $5000 but maybe you can get a family consortium together.

Kidicious is offline Kidicious
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Mar 2003
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quote:
Originally posted by Lancer
$427? WoW What was it a year ago? It's up by $100 or so isn't it?

Yes, and it will probably go up more with the fall in the value of the dollar. You are thinking long term though, right? The point is that people will always want gold when things get bad, as an alternative to currency, because the supply of gold doesn't change like the supply of currency.
quote:
Originally posted by Lancer
Where is the best place to buy gold? I'm thinking Canadian maple leafs...


Maybe someone else can help you there.

Spiffor is offline Spiffor
Emperor
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Nov 2001
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  Old Post 09-01-2004 20:53
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Not Diamonds.
IIUC, there are plenty of them in the mines, and their rarity (and high price) is purely artificial. A mere policy change by the De Beers, and your diamonds won't be worth a dime anymore. Go gold. Even if it loses value, it will always be worth enough for you to cope up with the crisis.

el freako is offline el freako
Prince
Bristol, European Union
Oct 1999
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  Old Post 09-01-2004 21:08
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If it's a Japanese-style stagnation you are afraid of you could buy 5 to 10 year government bonds.

as the currrent US bond rate is around 4% then if there was a japanese deflationary scenario bond rates are likely to fall to 1% - that would quadruple your investment.

Whoha is offline Whoha
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Dec 2001
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  Old Post 09-01-2004 21:52
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buy the usual:food,bullets,oil,water,etc.

:) Smiley is offline :) Smiley
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Feb 2001
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Suffering from ads?

Hmm, you raise a good idea with the bullets, though I was more thinking on the lines of guns.

Kidicious is offline Kidicious
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quote:
Originally posted by el freako
If it's a Japanese-style stagnation you are afraid of you could buy 5 to 10 year government bonds.

as the currrent US bond rate is around 4% then if there was a japanese deflationary scenario bond rates are likely to fall to 1% - that would quadruple your investment.


Would your return be that high?

Japher is offline Japher
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Jun 2002
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  Old Post 09-01-2004 22:21
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Bonds are not a good buy right now because the market is still recovering. It is a good idea to buy bonds in a good market to protect against a bad market however... Gold is a good buy as it counter acts the market... Still, we are still in a 'down' market.

You could also check out hedge funds if it is just the deflation of the US dollar you are worried about.

Question: Investing in gold. Does it just mean buying actual gold, or could you just buy Futures?

Kidicious is offline Kidicious
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quote:
Originally posted by Japher
Question: Investing in gold. Does it just mean buying actual gold, or could you just buy Futures?


Futures would be just as good, but I think most people buy actual gold for a long run investment.

Japher is offline Japher
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  Old Post 09-01-2004 22:30
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Really? I never think of anything I buy and take home as an investment. I don't even posses my stock certs... Actually, I have a few, but I don't even like holding my savings bonds.

Spiffor is offline Spiffor
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  Old Post 09-01-2004 22:31
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quote:
Originally posted by Japher
You could also check out hedge funds if it is just the deflation of the US dollar you are worried about.

Hedge funds are surely the best investment to do if you want to feed your (grand)children when the whole economy collapses

Lancer, if you want to save money for a traditional economic downturn, why don't you simply put your money in the bank? Unless there's a major economic collapse that wrecks everything, the Bank is one of the safest places out there to put your money: interest rates are always higher than the inflation, meaning that you cannot possibly lose money, unless a 1929-like crisis shows uo.

Kidicious is offline Kidicious
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quote:
Originally posted by Japher
Really? I never think of anything I buy and take home as an investment. I don't even posses my stock certs... Actually, I have a few, but I don't even like holding my savings bonds.


You keep the actual gold to hedge against a govt collapse. Otherwise govt bonds are probably the best investment in a downturn.

Japher is offline Japher
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On Hedge Funds:
Hey, I said just check them out. They ARE extremely risky, but they are good way if it is only this(US) economy one is worried about.

Bank accounts are only giving about 4% right now, and inflation is at 3%. Yaay! 1%! Safe, gaurenteed.. sure, but your making only 1%.

Spiffor is offline Spiffor
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Nov 2001
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  Old Post 09-01-2004 22:42
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quote:
Originally posted by Japher
Bank accounts are only giving about 4% right now, and inflation is at 3%. Yaay! 1%! Safe, gaurenteed.. sure, but your making only 1%.

I could make 0% for all I care, if I devote a part of my savings in simply being sure to have money in times of crisis. Actually, if I was fearing a major crisis, I'd buy gold even if I expected it to lose value, simply because gold will keep being worthy of something the day people wipe their ass with 500$ bills.

Kidicious is offline Kidicious
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quote:
Originally posted by Spiffor
Actually, if I was fearing a major crisis, I'd buy gold even if I expected it to lose value


If all currency became worthless I think gold would become more valuable because the demand for it would increase. It's value would increase because it would be used for exchange and store of value, instead of just a store of value.

Brundlefly is offline Brundlefly
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Nov 2001
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  Old Post 10-01-2004 00:01
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Re: How do I protect against recession? Support Apolyton, buy Galactic Civilizations

Use Rogaine.

chegitz guevara is offline chegitz guevara
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Jun 2000
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The price of diamonds is going to fall as flawless syntheitics become available. Two companies are doing this now, and it won't be long at all before significant quantities of them hit the market to make the price of them fall.

chegitz guevara is offline chegitz guevara
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Vote against Bush.

Ogie Oglethorpe is offline Ogie Oglethorpe
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Dec 1999
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  Old Post 10-01-2004 00:56
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Land

Japher is offline Japher
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Lancer has land, I don't see why he just doesn't use it as his soul medium. There is a lot you can do with it.

Provost Harrison is offline Provost Harrison
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Feb 2000
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  Old Post 10-01-2004 01:33
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A rare metal such as platinum or perhaps palladium. Remember their value does not just lie in jewelry but in their utility as catalysts in the chemical industry.

 
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