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JohnT is offline JohnT

Emperor
Capitalist
Mar 1999
time: 00:34
  Old Post 25-03-2004 18:41
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quote:
Originally posted by Mr. Nice Guy
America? Prosperous?

No offense to my fellow Americans, but enjoy it while it lasts. The EU is going to become the next superpower. This is not to say that I like what's going to happen, but it WILL happen. Someday very soon, America will "fall" underneath the shadow of the EU. You can count on it.


Even if that is true, it doesn't necessarily follow that America will become less prosperous (other than relatively, of course).

Ogie Oglethorpe is offline Ogie Oglethorpe
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Dec 1999
time: 05:34
  Old Post 25-03-2004 19:23
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Kids point about maturing capitalist societies actually has some merit.

If one look sat a microscopic view as opposed to a macrosocopic view, small entrepenurial companies are those that show the most growth potnetial and are indeed the reasons why capitlism succeeds so well. For this reason, we must be constantly wary of any governmental policies that damage the growth of small businesses as these are a large component of the growth engine as opposed to the larger monolithic corporations.

Hence my rationale that governmental regulations be they safety, environmental, labor etc. are most damaging to the small corporations (growth area) while least impacting the larger corporations (excepting that once the business environment becomes so hostile they end up outsourcing as they are more poised to do so).

Kidicious is offline Kidicious
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  Old Post 25-03-2004 20:00 Visit Kidicious's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Ogie Oglethorpe
Kids point about maturing capitalist societies actually has some merit.

If one look sat a microscopic view as opposed to a macrosocopic view, small entrepenurial companies are those that show the most growth potnetial and are indeed the reasons why capitlism succeeds so well. For this reason, we must be constantly wary of any governmental policies that damage the growth of small businesses as these are a large component of the growth engine as opposed to the larger monolithic corporations.

Hence my rationale that governmental regulations be they safety, environmental, labor etc. are most damaging to the small corporations (growth area) while least impacting the larger corporations (excepting that once the business environment becomes so hostile they end up outsourcing as they are more poised to do so).


I say the slow down in growth creation is due to the maturing of the economy, not the lack of dynamics in the economy. Productivity in new industries isn't higher. In fact it's lower. Productivity growth usually slows regardless of how dynamic an economy is. There are exceptions, but in the long run it's true.

Ogie Oglethorpe is offline Ogie Oglethorpe
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Dec 1999
time: 05:34
  Old Post 25-03-2004 20:23
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quote:
Originally posted by Kidicious


I say the slow down in growth creation is due to the maturing of the economy, not the lack of dynamics in the economy. Productivity in new industries isn't higher. In fact it's lower. Productivity growth usually slows regardless of how dynamic an economy is. There are exceptions, but in the long run it's true.


Your point was the macroscopic. Mine was of the micro. Your point regarding productivity of small businesses verses large businesses is generally correct. One would expect that small companies are inherently less productive than large companies. As a conseqeunce they also have the most to gain and/or lose by changes to their productivty. I would argue they are much more susceptible to these then say large companies.

This being said as they grow the producivity will continue to increase until such time as they approach productivity levels of typical large corps. While going through that transition tho' they are providing jobs at a higher rate than the comparable large companies and while going through that tranistion have the more likelihood for growth than comparable established companies (assuming they pull off the cost reductions/unit or service produced that fuel market growth).

It's been pretty much a standard that the smaller companies have the higher risk but also greater return in terms of growth over the long haul.

It would be an interesting statisitc to see the proportion of GDP provided by large cap vs. small cap and individual business owners and how this translates into growth. Additionally the change in proportions over time.

The Mad Viking is offline The Mad Viking
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Feb 2000
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  Old Post 25-03-2004 22:49
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All the growth comes from small cap. Large cap has negative domestic growth, with downsizing & international outsourcing.

*

Che - America is so prosperous because she is rich. How much work does a billionaire have to do if he invests his assets wisely?

Q Cubed is offline Q Cubed
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Apr 1999
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  Old Post 25-03-2004 22:58 Visit Q Cubed's homepage!
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kinda funny how america in some areas looks like such crap, particularly when we work more on average than even the e asians.

JimmyCracksCorn is offline JimmyCracksCorn
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Dec 2002
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  Old Post 25-03-2004 22:59
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quote:
Originally posted by chegitz guevara
We do such half-assed jobs on everything. Everyplace I turn around I see slipshod work, uncaring employees, half assed jobs. We put massive effort into getting stuff done before its ready, rush, rush, rush, then drop the project and run on to something new.

How did we build an empire this way?


Haha, its funny you say that. You've obviously never lived outside the US.

Customer service, in general, in the US, is SUPERB. At least compared to Canada and the many other countries I've been to. Complain all you want, but rest assured that whatever you think sucks is 100% better than anywhere else.

Try going even to a Mcdonalds in another country, and you'll be there forever waiting just for your ****ing big mac.

Comrade Tassadar is offline Comrade Tassadar
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  Old Post 25-03-2004 23:02 Visit Comrade Tassadar's homepage!
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I live in the Mormon Republic of Utah

LiberalAtheist is offline LiberalAtheist
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Mar 2004
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  Old Post 25-03-2004 23:06
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quote:
Originally posted by Kidicious


True, but wealth creation in a capatalist nation decreases with time. GB, the first nation to industrialize under capitalism and dominate the world economy, was once the wealthiest nation on earth, but with success came maturity and wealth creation slowed. The same thing is happening in the US, and within the next century probably some other nation will create more wealth.


Your example with GB is true, but that may not be that it's wealth declined so much as it is that it declined compared to other nations, who after a certain point could compete at an industrial level. Also there is the devestating effect of ww2.

Last, Britain did turn far less capitalistic after ww2, with the rise of the labor party, which imo made it less productive but more prosperous.

JimmyCracksCorn is offline JimmyCracksCorn
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  Old Post 25-03-2004 23:15
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quote:
Originally posted by Mr. Nice Guy
America? Prosperous?

No offense to my fellow Americans, but enjoy it while it lasts. The EU is going to become the next superpower. This is not to say that I like what's going to happen, but it WILL happen. Someday very soon, America will "fall" underneath the shadow of the EU. You can count on it.


The US's percentage of the worlds GDP is increasing, while Europe's percentage is decreasing (sorry, no source, but everyone knows this).

On top of that, the EU's 400 million people have a combined GDP which is less than the US's 300 million people. Unless the EU really gets its ass in gear, the US will consistently outperform it, and I don't see anything changing that. Plus, the high Euro isn't exactly helping them either.

http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/euro.html

P.S. If you want to see why the US economy consistently outperforms other countries (like Canada, EU, etc...) go to a McDonalds in the US then go to a McDonalds in Canada or somewhere else. You'll see the difference.

American fast food places work like machines!

chegitz guevara is offline chegitz guevara
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  Old Post 25-03-2004 23:17 Visit chegitz guevara's homepage!
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CBEAST!

JimmyCracksCorn is offline JimmyCracksCorn
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Dec 2002
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  Old Post 25-03-2004 23:19
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quote:
Originally posted by LiberalAtheist


Your example with GB is true, but that may not be that it's wealth declined so much as it is that it declined compared to other nations, who after a certain point could compete at an industrial level. Also there is the devestating effect of ww2.

Last, Britain did turn far less capitalistic after ww2, with the rise of the labor party, which imo made it less productive but more prosperous.


Not to mention GB lost alot of its colonial wealth and holdings after WW2 as well... GB came out of that war a significantly smaller country, even if it did give up its empire mostly willingly.

LiberalAtheist is offline LiberalAtheist
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Mar 2004
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  Old Post 25-03-2004 23:42
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quote:
Originally posted by JimmyCracksCorn


The US's percentage of the worlds GDP is increasing, while Europe's percentage is decreasing (sorry, no source, but everyone knows this).




Sadly Jimmy, I don't know this, so I would need a source before I believed it.

JimmyCracksCorn is offline JimmyCracksCorn
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  Old Post 25-03-2004 23:45
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quote:
Originally posted by LiberalAtheist



Sadly Jimmy, I don't know this, so I would need a source before I believed it.


I'll shed a tear for you.

Edit:

Think about it though, the US accounts for 20% of the worlds GDP, while the EU is around 14%.

http://people.hofstra.edu/geotrans/...wthregions.html

The US GDP grew by about 4.1% in 2003, while the EU's grew by less than 1%. So it would only make sense that the US's share in global GDP is rising, while the EU's relative share is declining, or at least declining in relation to the US's.

http://www.scb.se/templates/tableOrChart____32279.asp

Last edited by JimmyCracksCorn on 26-03-2004 at 00:02

GhengisFarb is offline GhengisFarb
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May 2002
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  Old Post 25-03-2004 23:49 Visit GhengisFarb's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by MrFun
The reason America seems to be so prosperous is because commies have not taken this country over.

Yeah that would shoot our prosperity down the toilet. We'd be down and the welfare end of the prosperity list.

GhengisFarb is offline GhengisFarb
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May 2002
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  Old Post 25-03-2004 23:53 Visit GhengisFarb's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Edan
IIRC, we have shorter vacation time than most (all?) European countries, which probably contributes to increased productivity.

Vacation? I haven't had a vacation since 1988. Although getting called up to active duty has been sort of a vacation as I'm only working one job and get 10 hours a day when I don't have to work!

In a few more weeks I get cut loose and get to earn two paychecks as I can work one normal job and still collect the military pay for my 30 days of terminal leave.

Kidicious is offline Kidicious
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Mar 2003
time: 21:34
  Old Post 26-03-2004 01:44 Visit Kidicious's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Ogie Oglethorpe


Your point was the macroscopic. Mine was of the micro. Your point regarding productivity of small businesses verses large businesses is generally correct. One would expect that small companies are inherently less productive than large companies. As a conseqeunce they also have the most to gain and/or lose by changes to their productivty. I would argue they are much more susceptible to these then say large companies.

This being said as they grow the producivity will continue to increase until such time as they approach productivity levels of typical large corps. While going through that transition tho' they are providing jobs at a higher rate than the comparable large companies and while going through that tranistion have the more likelihood for growth than comparable established companies (assuming they pull off the cost reductions/unit or service produced that fuel market growth).

It's been pretty much a standard that the smaller companies have the higher risk but also greater return in terms of growth over the long haul.

It would be an interesting statisitc to see the proportion of GDP provided by large cap vs. small cap and individual business owners and how this translates into growth. Additionally the change in proportions over time.


Sure. My point is that resources are devoted to mature industries in developed nations, more so that emerging industries. That's where the slower growth comes in.

New industries (created by small or large companies) go hand in hand with eocnomic growth and wealth creation, but just creating an environment favorable to business doesn't necessarily create wealth. For example, if resources are scarce, even if new industries were created they would be taking away from other more productive industries.

Kidicious is offline Kidicious
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  Old Post 26-03-2004 01:49 Visit Kidicious's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by The Mad Viking
All the growth comes from small cap. Large cap has negative domestic growth, with downsizing & international outsourcing.


Yes, certainly in this period. And there's a lot of growth from it too. But many new start ups fail, and others stay in the red for many years.

Kidicious is offline Kidicious
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  Old Post 26-03-2004 01:56 Visit Kidicious's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by LiberalAtheist


Your example with GB is true, but that may not be that it's wealth declined so much as it is that it declined compared to other nations, who after a certain point could compete at an industrial level. Also there is the devestating effect of ww2.

Last, Britain did turn far less capitalistic after ww2, with the rise of the labor party, which imo made it less productive but more prosperous.


I was carefull not to say that wealth declined in GB. I acknowledge the other factors. But what really slowed down GBs productivity growth was the fact that it was already largly productive.

Ogie Oglethorpe is offline Ogie Oglethorpe
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  Old Post 26-03-2004 01:58
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quote:
Originally posted by Kidicious


Sure. My point is that resources are devoted to mature industries in developed nations, more so that emerging industries. That's where the slower growth comes in.


Agreed. But in line with the orginal post topic "why are we so prosperous...." Do we in fact have a higher percentage of small cap businesses as a percentage of GDP than other developed nations? Hence are we capable of sustaining that growth?

quote:

New industries (created by small or large companies) go hand in hand with eocnomic growth and wealth creation, but just creating an environment favorable to business doesn't necessarily create wealth. For example, if resources are scarce, even if new industries were created they would be taking away from other more productive industries.


I suppose but one could argue it the most effective means the government has of creating GDP growth, that being the incenting small businesses as resource scarcity maybe beyond the government's control.

Ogie Oglethorpe is offline Ogie Oglethorpe
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  Old Post 26-03-2004 02:04
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quote:
Originally posted by Kidicious


Yes, certainly in this period. And there's a lot of growth from it too. But many new start ups fail, and others stay in the red for many years.


Agreed, higk risk high reward. On average tho' small caps outperform large caps.

Kidicious is offline Kidicious
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quote:
Originally posted by Ogie Oglethorpe


Agreed. But in line with the orginal post topic "why are we so prosperous...." Do we in fact have a higher percentage of small cap businesses as a percentage of GDP than other developed nations? Hence are we capable of sustaining that growth?


During the last few decades, downsizing and specialization has created improvements in productivity. So that's one factor.

Ogie Oglethorpe is offline Ogie Oglethorpe
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  Old Post 26-03-2004 02:12
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Yes and unfortunately we can't really know if the unemployment number reflect a growth in small businesses either as the establishment survey vs. the residence survey are at odds.

(edit - but thats only for the last few years not decades)

Kidicious is offline Kidicious
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quote:
Originally posted by Ogie Oglethorpe


Agreed, higk risk high reward. On average tho' small caps outperform large caps.


You shouldn't expect this if you open your own restaurant or something. Small caps that outperform are those that offer a new product or service, and are cutting edge in technology.

Ogie Oglethorpe is offline Ogie Oglethorpe
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  Old Post 26-03-2004 02:20
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All depends on the market your entering. A restaraunt might be the exact ticket if the conditions are right. Likewise a cutting edge technology might be ripe for a big player to come in and run you out of business in a heart beat. Gotta find your niche and work it hard.

All in all it depends. Historically small businesses despite the huge risks outperform the large businesses.

Kidicious is offline Kidicious
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quote:
Originally posted by Ogie Oglethorpe
Yes and unfortunately we can't really know if the unemployment number reflect a growth in small businesses either as the establishment survey vs. the residence survey are at odds.

(edit - but thats only for the last few years not decades)


I'm sure a lot of people are starting up new companies. The thing is, do they have good ideas, or do they just want to open another restaurant. If it's the former then we should have growth and wealth creation. If it's the latter then they will mostly fail, and so will the economy.

Ogie Oglethorpe is offline Ogie Oglethorpe
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  Old Post 26-03-2004 02:21
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quote:
Originally posted by Kidicious


I'm sure a lot of people are starting up new companies. The thing is, do they have good ideas, or do they just want to open another restaurant. If it's the former then we should have growth and wealth creation. If it's the latter then they will mostly fail, and so will the economy.


Heres hoping they're good smart capitalists then.

Kidicious is offline Kidicious
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quote:
Originally posted by Ogie Oglethorpe
Likewise a cutting edge technology might be ripe for a big player to come in and run you out of business in a heart beat.


quote:
Originally posted by Ogie Oglethorpe
All in all it depends. Historically small businesses despite the huge risks outperform the large businesses.


The second sentence seems to suggest that the first sentence is unlikely. Either way when the new idea is used to create a new industry we get economic growth.

Ogie Oglethorpe is offline Ogie Oglethorpe
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  Old Post 30-03-2004 23:43
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A long dead thread resurrected. My point was/is essentially the article below.

quote:

March 29, 2004, 8:51 a.m.
Creating Work
The current system is a make-work scheme for non-workers.

By Herbert E. Meyer

"There's only one thing really worth working for...to create work. I don't know if you've ever thought about machines," he said. "Every machine that's put into a factory displaces labor. That's a very old story, of course. The man who's put to work the machine isn't any better off than he was before; the three men that are thrown out of a job are very much worse off. But the cure isn't socialism — or, if it is, I'm too much of a capitalist myself to see it. The cure is for somebody to buckle to and make a job for the three men.
"I believe that that's the thing most worth doing in this modern world," he said quietly. "To create jobs that men can work at, and be proud of, and make money by their work. There's no dignity, no decency or health today for men that haven't got a job. All other things depend on work today; without work men are utterly undone." — from Kindling, by Nevil Shute, 1938


More than 60 years after Nevil Shute wrote his savvy novel about a British investment banker who struggles to restart a dormant shipyard in the midst of England's depression — the book should be required reading for MBA students — the need for work sits at the top of our national agenda. Indeed, as the 2004 election cycle revs up, the only thing that President Bush and Senator Kerry agree about is that today we are not creating enough new jobs.



The question is, "Why not?" One obvious reason is that we are only now emerging from a recession. This should improve the jobs situation over time as economic growth takes hold. Another is outsourcing — the transfer of both manufacturing and service jobs that would have been done by Americans to workers overseas who are well educated, well trained, and willing to work for a lot less money. This won't improve over time; we are so addicted to low prices that we bemoan the loss of jobs to foreigners even while driving to Wal-Mart for a $60 DVD player made in some country whose capital has only just gotten indoor plumbing.

A less obvious reason we aren't creating new jobs fast enough is that — like agricultural productivity a century ago — manufacturing productivity today has risen so high, so fast, that we are able to make whatever we need with fewer people. Since 1995, more than 22 million factory jobs have disappeared worldwide, while global industrial output has risen by more than 30 percent. This really is a worldwide phenomenon; the total number of manufacturing jobs has dropped not only here in the U.S., but in low-wage countries including Brazil and even China.


ENTREPRENEURS ARE CRUCIAL
There is one more reason we aren't creating jobs fast enough, but saying it out loud would be so unpopular, and so politically toxic, that none of our leaders — including those few who actually understand it — seem willing to take the risk. So, here goes: We aren't creating jobs fast enough because we have crippled the people who do the creating, and turned them from the heroes and heroines they are into villains. Read the last sentence again, then say it aloud to whoever happens to be nearby. This is the core of the problem — no, it is the problem — and until we fix it we aren't going to start creating new jobs fast enough. And yes, it really is this simple.

People who create jobs are entrepreneurs, which Webster's defines as "a person who organizes and manages a business undertaking, assuming the risk for the sake of the profit." Sometimes these are people who invent new products or services, then launch companies that become billion-dollar enterprises that in turn spawn new industries. Think of Apple computers, or Starbucks. And sometimes these entrepreneurs launch smaller enterprises, such as neighborhood shops or a local business that specializes in making windows for new homes or in remodeling kitchens. Anyone who launches a new venture is by definition an entrepreneur, and these are the people whose efforts create work for everyone else. They are the only people who create work, which is why entrepreneurs are vital to the economic health of any free society.

The jobs that entrepreneurs create — keep in mind that 80 percent of all new jobs are created by small businesses — provide incomes to the people they hire, who in turn spend their money on the products and services they need and want. This is what allows the big manufacturers, such as the automakers, to rev up their own production lines and by doing so to expand their own workforces. And all this activity, over time, generates enough economic activity to enable still more entrepreneurs to launch or expand their own ventures and thus to keep the economy — think of it as one huge "jobs machine" — humming.

Common sense suggests that a country whose people want jobs would do everything possible to help entrepreneurs to succeed — to encourage them, or at the very least to get out of their way. Alas, nothing is so rare today as common sense. And in the last decade or so we Americans have been making it less attractive for entrepreneurs to do what they do — and less likely they will succeed when they do give it a shot. Through a combination of high taxes and onerous regulation, we have discouraged entrepreneurs from doing the one thing they must do for everyone else's sake — namely, create new jobs.

More precisely, unlike their predecessors, today's entrepreneurs struggle to expand without creating jobs, because the cost of doing so — both financial and emotional — just isn't worth it. This is the big shift in attitude that no one wants to talk about. Even in my own tiny, home-based publishing business, we are killing ourselves to grow — and terrified that if we grow to the point when we need to hire someone, we will be crippled by local, state, and federal taxes on our employee's salary, and made miserable by regulations that might force us to rip out the flower bed for a wheelchair-access ramp or even be sued by someone who never applied for the job we created but somehow feels that he or she is the victim of discrimination.


FINED FOR A COMPLIMENT
And if we push forward anyway and actually do create a job — and assuming the company isn't hit with a multimillion-dollar fine because one morning I lost control of myself and said something vicious like, "You look nice today, Lucille" — rather than be celebrated for our achievements we will be berated or reviled for getting rich on obscene profits.

This is nuts. We have reshaped our society to protect endangered species whose continued survival is of no discernible benefit, such as the black-footed ferret or the spotted owl, while blithely writing laws and regulations that threaten the survival of the one species — the entrepreneur — on whom our lives and welfare utterly depend. And we wonder why we aren't creating enough new jobs! It's like slaughtering herds of dairy cows, then wondering why we haven't got enough milk. Really, it is.

With the need for jobs so pressing, this is the time to launch a full-bore effort to teach Americans just how their jobs get created in the first place; to teach them what entrepreneurs are, what they do, how they do it, what risks they take — and what tax and regulatory changes we must make to help more of them succeed. Above all, we need to teach all this to our children. Which means we need to crash head-on into the Leftist, anti-business culture of our country's education establishment and force it to stop teaching our children that the Furbish lousewort must be protected at all costs, but that entrepreneurs are ruining the planet and should be made extinct.

Until we get Americans to understand that their welfare depends utterly on those few among us who create work — that "soaking the rich" also means "no work for you" — we will never create enough new jobs no matter how rapidly our economy may grow. Entrepreneurs will survive, for we are a hardy species. It's the workers who will suffer, and for their own sakes they need to understand how the world works. This means we want more than merely their tolerance. We want their understanding and even, perhaps, their gratitude.

At the very end of Kindling, the investment banker returns to the now-bustling shipyard that his efforts brought back to life — after serving three years in prison for violating a securities regulation while raising the needed capital.

Upon the blackened, ten-foot wall not many yards from the gate there was a sign that he did not remember. Hesitating for a moment to go in, he went across to look at it. It was a bronze plaque, about three feet square, apparently a memorial of some sort, dignified and restrained. As he approached he saw it bore, embossed in low relief, the sculptured head and shoulders of a man, in profile. He read the words below:
Henry Warren
He Gave Us Work.


Maybe Kindling should be required reading not just for MBA students, but for politicians, union leaders, high-school seniors — and especially for ambitious prosecutors who know how easy it is to trip up an entrepreneur on some technical violation, then trick the public into thinking they have "stood up for the little guy" when all they've really done is thrown a monkey wrench into the jobs machine those little guys so desperately need to keep running.

 
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