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Tripledoc is offline Tripledoc
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Jan 2003
time: 05:36
  Old Post 28-05-2004 20:49
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EU undercuts US sanctions with Syrian tradedeal. Inflate your Upload Space

EU clinches landmark trade accord with Syria
Financial Times.
By Judy Dempsey in Brussels
Published: May 27 2004 19:13 | Last Updated: May 27 2004 19:13


European Union member states clinched an agreement on Thursday on a landmark trade accord with Syria, ending months of haggling over a clause on weapons of mass destruction to be included in the deal.


The agreement inside the EU had been held up since December when the European Commission, the union's executive arm, negotiated the trade accord with Syria after several years of talks.

The accord, however, goes beyond the standard EU format because for the first time the Commission inserted a clause on weapons of mass destruction.

It stipulates that Syria must implement all international non-proliferation accords, co-operate on countering the proliferation of WMD and set up effective controls for the export, transit and end-use of WMD-related goods and technologies. If not, then the trade accord would be suspended.

The agreement required the consent of the member states. Britain, Germany and until recently the Netherlands opposed the wording of the WMD clause, wanting tougher language to be inserted.

British diplomats said they were seeking more specific and tougher language related to the export, transit and end-user controls of WMD related goods and technologies.

Other member states that had few objections with the Commission's original text, suggested it should be accepted without change otherwise Syria would not accept the terms of the trade accord.

Diplomats said the new text would be sent to Damascus in the coming weeks. Although Syria may balk at the tougher wording on WMD, diplomats said it was hardly in a position to reject the accord given how the US recently imposed sanctions on the country for allegedly harbouring and supporting terrorist movements.

The WMD clause is not retrospective. But Commission officials said it would be inserted when trade agreements have to be amended. That would mean inserting one in the accord with Israel.
------------------------------------------------------------------------


Who likes the idea that Syria and Israel should not be treated differently on the WMD issue?

There is a pattern. Everytime the US sanctions a country, the EU begins to trade with that country.

Maybe the trade flow already shifted in Europes favour before the sanctions, and this in turn is perhaps what initially sparked the US pressure?

Spiffor is offline Spiffor
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Nov 2001
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  Old Post 28-05-2004 20:58
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quote:
Who likes the idea that Syria and Israel should not be treated differently on the WMD issue?

I do!

Tripledoc is offline Tripledoc
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Jan 2003
time: 05:36
  Old Post 28-05-2004 21:06
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I Thought so!

DanielXY is offline DanielXY
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Dec 2002
time: 05:36
  Old Post 28-05-2004 21:12
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quote:
Who likes the idea that Syria and Israel should not be treated differently on the WMD issue?


So we may get an trade-embargo on Israel cose they have nukes? Interesting...

I dont think Israel should be handled the same like Syria or the like... I mean they are less likly to sell technologie or nukes or whatever to ppl. that actually plan to use them (terrorists, dictatorships...). If simply for the fact that Israel would be one of the prime-targets for such lost nukes...

Tripledoc is offline Tripledoc
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Jan 2003
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  Old Post 28-05-2004 21:20
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The fact that Germany is against weapons embargo against Israel is that they just sold two subs to them.

Meanwhile I understand that Israel has sold advanced AWACS technology to the Chinese.

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May 1999
time: 13:36
  Old Post 28-05-2004 21:22
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quote:
Originally posted by Tripledoc
Meanwhile I understand that Israel has sold advanced AWACS technology to the Chinese.


No.

Tripledoc is offline Tripledoc
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Jan 2003
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  Old Post 28-05-2004 22:06
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Israel still sold Awacs technology to India, did they not?

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Feb 2000
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  Old Post 28-05-2004 22:09
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Yes, to india yes.

To the chinese - no.

Btw it's not awacs but a similar israeli tech. I'm not sure if its based on awacs or not.

In any case, the US would be delighted to make the sale themselves, but the Chinese won't trust them after that whole "plane ridden with bugging devices" incident.

Sirotnikov is offline Sirotnikov
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  Old Post 28-05-2004 22:12
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Btw, this amuses me, as Europe is trying the good cop bad cop approach (Europe being the good cop and America being the bad cop). I'm doubtful it will work on Assad Jr. but it remains to be seen.


And as far as Israel and syria go - its a nice attempt to treat them the same.

Maybe you could start by cancelling the ban on Israel to participate in the security council.

Tripledoc is offline Tripledoc
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Jan 2003
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  Old Post 28-05-2004 22:14
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But India is friendly with Iran?

http://www.irna.ir/khabar/india/news-e12.htm

Last edited by Tripledoc on 28-05-2004 at 22:22

lord of the mark is offline lord of the mark
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Dec 2000
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  Old Post 28-05-2004 22:27
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quote:
Originally posted by Spiffor
quote:
Who likes the idea that Syria and Israel should not be treated differently on the WMD issue?

I do!


What Id like to ask Sen. John Kerry.


Dear Sen Kerry

You have stated your strong support for Israel, your support for sanctions on Syria, and your support for a tougher line with Saudi Arabia. I presume you also are intent to make sure that Iran does not obtain nuclear weapons.

At the same time you have stated your attempt to have a more multilateral foreign policy, particularly contrasting your view with the administrations policy on Iraq. Since the US did not go into Iraq alone, I can only presume that you mean that we should only use force in such situations with the consent of the UNSC. And that we should use economic and political sanctions before resorting to force.

How, then sir, do you make these sanctions effective? While you support sanctions against Syria, the EU intends to engage with Syria, and some members of the EU, like France, with substantial support from the politically active members of their populations, oppose such sanctions, citing Israels possesion of nuclear weapons. Similarly, what will you do, if and when Iran acquires nuclear weapons? Will you go to the UNSC?? What will you do when you are told there by France that no action is warranted, since Israel also posseses nuclear weapons? And that France will veto any move to sanctions, much less military action, against Iran? Will you simply accept that Iran will have nuclear weapons and there is nothing we can do about it? Can you reconcile that position with your claim to be strong on national security?

I ask you this sir, not out of preference for your Republican opponent, who has made many mistakes, who is a reactionary on domestic policy, and whom i would be happy to see replaced, but out of concern for how you and your foreign policy advisors, Misters Holbrooke, Berger, et al would deal with a real world in which our nominal allies DO NOT share the strategic goals and views you have eloquently enunciated.

Sincerely
Lord of the Mark

GePap is offline GePap
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Nov 2001
time: 23:36
  Old Post 28-05-2004 22:52
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quote:
I ask you this sir, not out of preference for your Republican opponent, who has made many mistakes, who is a reactionary on domestic policy, and whom i would be happy to see replaced, but out of concern for how you and your foreign policy advisors, Misters Holbrooke, Berger, et al would deal with a real world in which our nominal allies DO NOT share the strategic goals and views you have eloquently enunciated.


Well, the sad issue is that soverign states get to act in a soverign manner- we can make our reasons known to Europe-that is as far as it goes. The Europeans favor internationalism, evcen if they know the US does not share their strategic goals (like with regards to Syria).

Sadly events show we lack the power to go at it alone.

lord of the mark is offline lord of the mark
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Dec 2000
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  Old Post 28-05-2004 23:01
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quote:
Originally posted by GePap
quote:
I ask you this sir, not out of preference for your Republican opponent, who has made many mistakes, who is a reactionary on domestic policy, and whom i would be happy to see replaced, but out of concern for how you and your foreign policy advisors, Misters Holbrooke, Berger, et al would deal with a real world in which our nominal allies DO NOT share the strategic goals and views you have eloquently enunciated.


Well, the sad issue is that soverign states get to act in a soverign manner- we can make our reasons known to Europe-that is as far as it goes. The Europeans favor internationalism, evcen if they know the US does not share their strategic goals (like with regards to Syria).

Sadly events show we lack the power to go at it alone.


We may lack the power to effectively change regimes, but thats not really whats at issue wrt Iran, or Syria for that matter. Would a Pres Kerry launch a preemptive strike on Iran, IF he saw with certainty that Iran had a nuclear weapon, and IF the UNSC refused to back him due to a French veto, leaving Pres Kerry with the choice of accepting Iranian nukes, or taking "unilateral" (IE with the support of UK and others, but not UNSC sanction) military action. I know what choice GEPap would make - Im interested in what choice a Pres Kerry would make.


BTW, AFAIK Sen Kerry has not said that "we lack the power to go it alone" rather that we are better off acting multilaterally, not the same thing. Also, though he has not formalized any proposals yet, it seems he will suggest an expansion of the army, which would increase our ability to go it alone.



I presume from what i know of Richard Holbrooke, who seems on the fast track to be Kerry's Sec of State, is that he thinks the above scenario wouldnt come up, because he would outmaneuver the French. By taking a more conciliatory line to Europe, he wouldnt change French minds, but he WOULD reconcile Germany, and have more support among the electorates in UK, Italy and elsewhere. In such a situation France would be less willing to use their veto than they were in Feb 2003. Im not sure if that is realistic. I can see that it cant really be enunciated in public.

Last edited by lord of the mark on 28-05-2004 at 23:09

Spiffor is offline Spiffor
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Nov 2001
time: 06:36
  Old Post 28-05-2004 23:06
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LOTM:
Be aware that I'm not France. I am a French Commie, independent minded at that. In the last elections, only 3.6% of my (very right-wing) city voted for me.

In the end, it is obvious the realpolitik types, in France and in the EU, will make our foreign policy, not my idealistic self. Do not assume that my suggestions of foreign policy will be followed.

Edit:
Besides, don't misunderstand my position. I'm all for using our weight for pushing Syria to disarm. Just like I'm all for using our weight for Pushing Israel to disarm. I fundamentally think that WMDs are extremely dangerous in the area, and that Israel is not less dangerous than Syria or other non-fundy Arab countries.

Last edited by Spiffor on 28-05-2004 at 23:12

lord of the mark is offline lord of the mark
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Dec 2000
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  Old Post 28-05-2004 23:13
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quote:
Originally posted by Spiffor
LOTM:
Be aware that I'm not France. I am a French Commie, independent minded at that. In the last elections, only 3.6% of my (very right-wing) city voted for me.

In the end, it is obvious the realpolitik types, in France and in the EU, will make our foreign policy, not my idealistic self. Do not assume that my suggestions of foreign policy will be followed.


Your govt has oppossed UK and Germany on the Syria trade deal. Im not sure that Chirac is any more willing to make a distinction between Syria and Israel than are you.

And if Sen Kerry thinks your position is "idealistic" let him say so. I think my position is idealistic. We can all play the game of self labeling our positions (my position is in fact noble, and a strike against evil doers )

Sava is offline Sava
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Mar 2001
time: 23:36
  Old Post 28-05-2004 23:15
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quote:
Who likes the idea that Syria and Israel should not be treated differently on the WMD issue?



Yes, let's compare a democratic state to a corrupt, oppressive, Ba'athist regime that probably supports terrorists.

Spiffor, I like and agree with you a lot, but you are way off base on this one.

I don't understand the Euro's perception of Israel. In general, Israeli's are good guys... Syria? Bad guys. But yet you treat Israel as if it was some corrupt rogue state. It makes no sense to me.

lord of the mark is offline lord of the mark
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Dec 2000
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  Old Post 28-05-2004 23:17
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quote:
Originally posted by Spiffor
LOTM:
to disarm. I fundamentally think that WMDs are extremely dangerous in the area, and that Israel is not less dangerous than Syria or other non-fundy Arab countries.


You may well believe that. I do not. Sen Kerry says that he does not. I presume he will make policy based on his stated belief that Syrian (and Iranian) WMDs are more dangerous to the region and to the US than is Israels nuclear arsenal.


BTW, you are aware that secular Syria is in close alliance with fundamentalist Iran, fundamentalist Hezbollah, and supports fundamentalist Hamas?

GePap is offline GePap
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Nov 2001
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  Old Post 28-05-2004 23:18
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I doubt Senator Kerry reads this.

But my point still stands- other states get to make their own foreign policy. Our sanctions will do nothing to disarm Syria-until Syria no longer sees a reason to be armed they won't give them up whatever we do short of attacking, and the problems in Iraq make that highly unlikely.

We are also not likely to carry out any pre-emptive attacks against Iran, and if iran follows NK and pulls out of the NPT we won't even have a legal excuse for it. I seriously doubt even the UK would go along with us to strike Iran. And in the end, if they pull out of the NPT, Iran will have as much a right to nukes as we do. We only have a right to ***** at Iran for its nukes becuase they are in the NPT system.

lord of the mark is offline lord of the mark
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Dec 2000
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  Old Post 28-05-2004 23:20
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quote:
Originally posted by Sava



Yes, let's compare a democratic state to a corrupt, oppressive, Ba'athist regime that probably supports terrorists.

Spiffor, I like and agree with you a lot, but you are way off base on this one.

I don't understand the Euro's perception of Israel. In general, Israeli's are good guys... Syria? Bad guys. But yet you treat Israel as if it was some corrupt rogue state. It makes no sense to me.


puh - leeze Sava, lets not start that debate again. Havent we had the generic arab - israeli debate here enough times already. Lets just accept it as fact that theres a difference in perception, rooted ultimately in differences of interest - despite proclaimed "idealism".
GIVEN that, how does a would be multilateralist US administration respond?

Sava is offline Sava
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  Old Post 28-05-2004 23:21
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Gepap: We have the right to ***** about Iran and nukes because they are evil douchebags that would probably kill us all if they had the chance.

GePap is offline GePap
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  Old Post 28-05-2004 23:23
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NO. We could , but we don;t have the right. There is a difference. The only reason the US can push for sanctions is becuase Iran signed a deal way back when saying it would not get nukes if we allowed them to get nuclear power. Well, we accuse them of breaking that deal. If they pull out of the deal than other states part of the NPT would have to stop helping them develop peaceful nuclear power, BUT we would have no legal basis for our complaints.

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  Old Post 28-05-2004 23:24
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quote:
GIVEN that, how does a would be multilateralist US administration respond?
I'd impose some sort of penalty on the EU... trade wise... if they want to go *** for tat on trade sanctions/penalties over Syria... then so be it. While I'm not of the neo-con belief that we need to take on a crusade to democratize the mideast, I do think we should recognize that Syria, Iran, and probably other states are evil, oppressive regimes that should face sanctions and other penalties until they aren't evil, oppressive states.

I'm of the belief that we shouldn't trade with evil asswipes. And we should give our friends a hard time if they trade with evil asswipes.

Sava is offline Sava
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  Old Post 28-05-2004 23:25
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quote:
BUT we would have no legal basis for our complaints.
legal schmegal... I have a problem on a moral level with Iran having nukes... **** legality... if I were president, I'd definitely be *****ing at or about states that I feel are immoral or oppressive.

GePap is offline GePap
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  Old Post 28-05-2004 23:29
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Why you will never be president. Get rid of laws and what AQ did was OK, since they got through.

The NPT deal is a bad deal, but we pushed for it becuase it enshrined our right to have nukes-it was a self-serving deal that we would not get again.

Besides, the Iranian government has more reasons for nukes than we do.

lord of the mark is offline lord of the mark
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  Old Post 28-05-2004 23:33
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[QUOTE] Originally posted by GePap
quote:
I doubt Senator Kerry reads this.


Yes, i know that. It was simply a way of expressing my concerns here.

quote:
But my point still stands- other states get to make their own foreign policy. Our sanctions will do nothing to disarm Syria-until Syria no longer sees a reason to be armed they won't give them up whatever we do short of attacking, and the problems in Iraq make that highly unlikely.


1. Im not sure what reasons Syria has for keeping them. As you have stated so eloquently, CW is of limited military use. Whatever prestige reason, bargaining chip reasons, or other reasons will have to be weighed against the consequences of sanctions.
2.As far as limits due to overstretch in Iraq
A. An attack on Syria would likely be by air, not ground forces. No overstretch there at all
B. A threat of attack over CW would likely be tied to an ultimatum to stop Syrian support of insurgents/terrorists within Iraq - it would thus make the situation EASIER in Iraq
C. Were not talking short term. Kerry wont be in office till Jan 2005 (if he wins) and will be in office till 2009. I dont think we will be in overstretch for that entire period.


quote:
We are also not likely to carry out any pre-emptive attacks against Iran, and if iran follows NK and pulls out of the NPT we won't even have a legal excuse for it. I seriously doubt even the UK would go along with us to strike Iran. And in the end, if they pull out of the NPT, Iran will have as much a right to nukes as we do. We only have a right to ***** at Iran for its nukes becuase they are in the NPT system.


I wonder if Kerry and Holbrooke share your belief that the US has no right to a preemptive strike against NKor or Iran even if they have nuclear weapons. If so Id like to see them state it. I dont think they trust MAD to work in those cases, and I dont think they are willing to lose an American city to preserve the sanctity of the Treaty of Westphalia and the UN charter. Again, Im NOT asking for your views on the proper conduct of international relations, Gepap, i think i have a good idea of them by now. Nor am i advancing my own views. I AM trying to reconcile what seem to be contradictory aspects of Sen Kerrys views. I am as yet undecided how I will vote in November. I am impressed with some aspects of Kerrys speech the other day, and some aspects of Holbrookes record - but I need to get around the contradictions, which are by no means minor in IMHO. Since I dont think you share the viewpoint of Kerry and Holbrooke, perhaps you are not the best to defend it.

lord of the mark is offline lord of the mark
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  Old Post 28-05-2004 23:34
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quote:
Originally posted by GePap
Besides, the Iranian government has more reasons for nukes than we do.


I somehow doubt Sen Kerry shares that belief.

Sava is offline Sava
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  Old Post 28-05-2004 23:35
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quote:
Besides, the Iranian government has more reasons for nukes than we do.
so? who gives a flying **** about Iran... and why are you defending Iran? jesus christ, if the Iranian government had the chance, they'd probably cut your head off for being a Westerner. As a liberal (as I generally perceive you), you have often voiced discontent with right-wing, conservative theocratic elements in America... but yet, you're defending Iran like their some innocent state being bullied by EVIL AMERICA.

It's okay to be upset or to criticize America's hypocrisy... but c'mon man, be sensible. In the grand scheme of things... Iran is a bad guy.

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  Old Post 28-05-2004 23:37
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quote:
Originally posted by Sava
I'd impose some sort of penalty on the EU... trade wise... if they want to go *** for tat on trade sanctions/penalties over Syria... then so be it.


starting a trade war with the EU in an attempt to force them to sanction Syria or Iran would be far more damaging to the US position in the world than simply attacking Syria or Iran.

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  Old Post 28-05-2004 23:39
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quote:
Originally posted by lord of the mark


starting a trade war with the EU in an attempt to force them to sanction Syria or Iran would be far more damaging to the US position in the world than simply attacking Syria or Iran.
well, I'm not in a position to know the most effective way to impose sanctions on Syria... I was just tossing that out there as an idea. I'm sure there are much better ways to get what we want without pissing off the euros.

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  Old Post 28-05-2004 23:40
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quote:
Originally posted by Sava
I'd impose some sort of penalty on the EU... trade wise... if they want to go *** for tat on trade sanctions/penalties over Syria... then so be it.


Sort of a repeat of the Helms- Burton act on Cuba?
Here European companies are not allowed to trade with the US if they trade with Cuba.

You want all trade to go to the US, and you can't even pay for it.

 
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