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Drachasor is offline Drachasor
Warlord

Jun 2004
time: 00:22
  Old Post 05-10-2004 00:31
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#421 Report this post to a moderator
Lose 30 kilos (of popups)

quote:
Originally posted by Giancarlo
Oh remember when somebody was asking me about that Rasmussen poll with 3,000 correspondents that was partly taken before the debate?

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Pre...acking_Poll.htm


Are those the people averaging together other polls?

That's a pretty bad way to get polling data, because it makes a lot of bad assumptions (all the other polls have biases that cancel out, that they all have the same margin of error, etc).

I'd take the Gallup Poll over that. Gallop has always done a good job about doing polls well historically.

-Drachasor

Ogie Oglethorpe is offline Ogie Oglethorpe
King
Marietta, GA
Dec 1999
time: 05:22
  Old Post 05-10-2004 00:39
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#422 Report this post to a moderator
Full PM-box? Change here!

quote:
Originally posted by GePap
Do I need to give another reason now, do I Ogie?

Cruelty doesn't suit you, GePap.

Wait a sec, what am I talking about... yes it does.

GePap is offline GePap
King
of the Big Apple
Nov 2001
time: 23:22
  Old Post 05-10-2004 00:49
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#423 Report this post to a moderator
Remove this text



DANCE MONKEY! DANCE!

Ogie Oglethorpe is offline Ogie Oglethorpe
King
Marietta, GA
Dec 1999
time: 05:22
  Old Post 05-10-2004 00:57
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#424 Report this post to a moderator
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Heres a good example of how responsible Blogging actually works.

Suppostion of data, put out for millions to credit/discredit, claim appropriate mea culpa and/or victory

as opposed to CBS which followed Supposition of data, put out for millions to credit/discredit, defend til their dieing breath, walk away in total disgrace.

quote:

Open source journalism changes everything about MSM's approach, which is rarely if ever intentionally collaborative across corporate structures. Valuing the "scoop" as opposed to the truth increases vulnerability to bias and even disastrous meltdowns like the CBS-Rather-Mapes fiasco. Had CBS published the docs on the web with an open source request for commentary on their authenticity, no erroneous claim would have been made. CBS valued the "scoop" more than the accuracy of the story, which gives the lie to a lot of high-minded speeches about the role of the press as watchdog. A genuine watchdog would not hesitate to share out stories in the quest for accuracy. A watchdog interested primarily in its status as biggest watchdog in the neighborhood barks first and loudly, all the time. The actual ordinal mission is forgotten, as CBS forgot its own, as have most news organization in a hunt for ratings.

An example: Powerline has brought attention to a claim of new documents about Saddam-WMD-Al Qaeda being made by CybercastNewsService. If these docs are legit and the translations accurate, they are hugely important. If they are forgeries, they need to be exposed as such, and CNS will take a huge hit on its credibility. So how many of MSM's elite have rushed reporters to CSN's headquarters to assess the docs? I am still waiting for a MSM report on the claim being asserted, which seems like indifference because it isn't a MSM story. Please send me any link to a MSM story on the docs.



reference the Powerline story

quote:


Iraqi Documents Said to Detail WMD and Terrorist Connections

Cybercast News Service says that it has obtained copies of 42 pages of Iraqi intelligence documents from a "A senior government official who is not a political appointee." CNS has had the documents translated; here is how it describes them:

Iraqi intelligence documents, confiscated by U.S. forces and obtained by CNSNews.com, show numerous efforts by Saddam Hussein's regime to work with some of the world's most notorious terror organizations, including al Qaeda, to target Americans. They demonstrate that Saddam's government possessed mustard gas and anthrax, both considered weapons of mass destruction, in the summer of 2000, during the period in which United Nations weapons inspectors were not present in Iraq. And the papers show that Iraq trained dozens of terrorists inside its borders.
One of the Iraqi memos contains an order from Saddam for his intelligence service to support terrorist attacks against Americans in Somalia. The memo was written nine months before U.S. Army Rangers were ambushed in Mogadishu by forces loyal to a warlord with alleged ties to al Qaeda.

Other memos provide a list of terrorist groups with whom Iraq had relationships and considered available for terror operations against the United States.

Among the organizations mentioned are those affiliated with Abu Musab al-Zarqawi and Ayman al-Zawahiri, two of the world's most wanted terrorists.


CNS says further that it submitted the documents to Laurie Mylroie, retired CIA counter-terror specialist Bruce Tefft, and a former UNSCOM inspector to check their authenticity.

The CNS account provides a great deal of detail about the documents and has links to partial translations of the documents and other material.

The government official who gave the documents to CNS says he thinks it unlikely that the Bush administration is even aware of their existence, given the large volume of intelligence-related documents waiting to be translated.

Thanks to several readers who alerted us to this story.

Q Cubed is offline Q Cubed
Prince
t3h y3ll0w p3ril
Apr 1999
time: 23:22
  Old Post 05-10-2004 00:57 Visit Q Cubed's homepage!
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#425 Report this post to a moderator
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what mystifies me is why bush kept saying "let me finish" when he wasn't being interrupted.

Drachasor is offline Drachasor
Warlord

Jun 2004
time: 00:22
  Old Post 05-10-2004 01:01
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#426 Report this post to a moderator
Increase Your PM Length

quote:
Originally posted by Q Cubed
what mystifies me is why bush kept saying "let me finish" when he wasn't being interrupted.



He was flustered.

-Drachasor

Koyaanisqatsi is offline Koyaanisqatsi
Prince
of Maine paupers.
May 1999
time: 00:22
  Old Post 05-10-2004 01:26
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#427 Report this post to a moderator
Tired of ads?

quote:
Originally posted by Q Cubed
what mystifies me is why bush kept saying "let me finish" when he wasn't being interrupted.

His record was skipping all night...I think Cheney needs to take him in for maintenance.

Giancarlo is offline Giancarlo
King
Los Angeles
Apr 2000
time: 02:22
  Old Post 05-10-2004 02:07 Visit Giancarlo's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Drachasor


Are those the people averaging together other polls?

That's a pretty bad way to get polling data, because it makes a lot of bad assumptions (all the other polls have biases that cancel out, that they all have the same margin of error, etc).

I'd take the Gallup Poll over that. Gallop has always done a good job about doing polls well historically.

-Drachasor


Funny the Gallup poll doesn't say any different.

Giancarlo is offline Giancarlo
King
Los Angeles
Apr 2000
time: 02:22
  Old Post 05-10-2004 02:37 Visit Giancarlo's homepage!
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#429 Report this post to a moderator
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Bush still leads by 5% after the debate...

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dy...4-2004Oct4.html

"The proportion of likely voters with a favorable view of Kerry grew from 39 percent immediately before the date to 47 percent in the latest poll. At the same time, the proportion of voters with an unfavorable of him dropped by 3 points to 42 percent. However, Bush still remains slightly more popular, with 53 percent of all likely voters saying they had a favorable impression of him."

Just a little tid bit I was looking at... Bush's unfavorable rating actually dropped after the debate.

Edit: Election? I mean debate.

Last edited by Giancarlo on 05-10-2004 at 02:43

DRoseDARs is offline DRoseDARs

Prince
"My god, it's full of peas..."
Jul 2002
time: 21:22
  Old Post 05-10-2004 02:41
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#430 Report this post to a moderator
Remove this text

Oh my god! Kerry did cheat! That was no ordinary pen he was using; it really was a French-made WMD*!

Attachment: 20041004_pen.gif
This has been downloaded 75 time(s).

DRoseDARs is offline DRoseDARs

Prince
"My god, it's full of peas..."
Jul 2002
time: 21:22
  Old Post 05-10-2004 02:42
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#431 Report this post to a moderator
Suffering from ads?

*Weapon of Mental Disruption

Sava is offline Sava
King
GO GO GO!
Mar 2001
time: 23:22
  Old Post 05-10-2004 03:03
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#432 Report this post to a moderator
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bwahahahah

DRoseDARs is offline DRoseDARs

Prince
"My god, it's full of peas..."
Jul 2002
time: 21:22
  Old Post 05-10-2004 03:09
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#433 Report this post to a moderator
Put an end to popups!

Viva la France!

Attachment: aniflag.gif
This has been downloaded 74 time(s).

Ogie Oglethorpe is offline Ogie Oglethorpe
King
Marietta, GA
Dec 1999
time: 05:22
  Old Post 05-10-2004 03:15
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#434 Report this post to a moderator
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I told you first!

Pen by Le Q

DRoseDARs is offline DRoseDARs

Prince
"My god, it's full of peas..."
Jul 2002
time: 21:22
  Old Post 05-10-2004 04:01
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#435 Report this post to a moderator
Suffering from ads?

Best.
Campaign ad.
Ever.

http://www.n3t.net/humor/Seriously.mpg

DRoseDARs is offline DRoseDARs

Prince
"My god, it's full of peas..."
Jul 2002
time: 21:22
  Old Post 05-10-2004 04:02
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#436 Report this post to a moderator
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Actually, someone on DU.com told me first yesterday.

Ogie Oglethorpe is offline Ogie Oglethorpe
King
Marietta, GA
Dec 1999
time: 05:22
  Old Post 05-10-2004 06:31
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#437 Report this post to a moderator
Increase the size of your Attachments

Don't tell me I'm starting to think like the wack jobs over at DU. :shudder:

oedo is offline oedo
Prince
and the revolution
Feb 2000
time: 05:22
  Old Post 05-10-2004 08:59 Visit oedo's homepage!
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#438 Report this post to a moderator
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You should. The people are pretty funny over there. And it's an excellent news source. Better than freerepublic, since they don't pull that many threads on DU.

Ogie Oglethorpe is offline Ogie Oglethorpe
King
Marietta, GA
Dec 1999
time: 05:22
  Old Post 05-10-2004 16:47
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I'm sure I'ld get banned within 1 day.

DRoseDARs is offline DRoseDARs

Prince
"My god, it's full of peas..."
Jul 2002
time: 21:22
  Old Post 05-10-2004 16:53
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#440 Report this post to a moderator
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Well yeah, if you act in an overtly obvious manner... like Jag does.



Edit: At least I think it was Jag who mentioned he got himself banned pretty quickly over there...

Docfeelgood is offline Docfeelgood
Emperor
Homeless in Texas.
Aug 1999
time: 23:22
  Old Post 05-10-2004 19:13
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#441 Report this post to a moderator
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quote:
The Pro-Kerry spin doctors have been screaming their lungs at you and you have taken the bait.


Actually I don't like either one of them


Go back and look to see if Bush broke his campain promises about attacking another country.


"I was honored to be flanked by Colin Powell and General Norman Schwartzkopf recently stood by me side and agreed with me. If we don't have a clear vision of the military, if we don't stop extending our troops all around the world and nation building missions, then we're going to have a serious problem coming down the road, and I'm going to prevent that.


think we've got to be very careful when we commit our troops. The vice president and I have a disagreement about the use of troops. He believes in nation building. I would be very careful about using our troops as nation builders. I believe the role of the military is to fight and win war and therefore prevent war from happening in the first place. So I would take my responsibility seriously. "
October 3, 2000
The First Gore-Bush Presidential Debate




BUSH: That's hard to tell. I think that, you know, I would hope to be able to convince people I could handle the Iraqi situation better.
MODERATOR: Saddam Hussein, you mean, get him out of there?

BUSH: I would like to, of course, and I presume this administration would as well. We don't know -- there are no inspectors now in Iraq, the coalition that was in place isn't as strong as it used to be. He is a danger. We don't want him fishing in troubled waters in the Middle East. And it's going to be hard, it's going to be important to rebuild that coalition to keep the pressure on him.
October 11, 2000

The Second Gore-Bush Presidential Debate

Last edited by Docfeelgood on 06-10-2004 at 04:57

 
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