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vondrack

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Praha, Czech Republic
Jan 2002 time: 06:20
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Here is what I did during the diplo/build phases (discovered that it was possible to shortrush even during that time - good thing the F1 trick is completely legal! )
1) GS/Egypt offers peace as 'unaccepted'; cleared the table and exited
-) pollution N of Legopolis, bomber build failed
2) Farmerville finished worker, F1 into the city
[F1 trick phase]
3) Sandonorico changed production to infantry, shortrushed for 160g, and switched to submarine
4) Sharpehaven changed production to submarine
5) Tipperary changed production to destroyer
[/F1 trick phase]
6) Panama finished hydro plant, started bomber
7) Red Bricks finished barracks, started bomber
8) Forkmouth finished hydro plant, started bomber
9) Karina finished infantry, started bomber
10) Zargonia finished submarine, started bomber
11) Sandonorico finished submarine, started another one
12) Logville finished barracks, started bomber
13) Sharpehaven finished submarine, started bomber
14) Tarzania finished infantry, started bomber
15) Ahhmyfoot finished infantry, started bomber
16) Crossing finished factory, started submarine
17) Tiberium finished artillery, started bomber
18) Tipperary finished destroyer, started submarine
19) Nou Camp finished worker, started another one
Last edited by vondrack on 29-10-2004 at 13:35
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vondrack

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Praha, Czech Republic
Jan 2002 time: 06:20
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quote: Originally posted by vondrack
This is how the map of the Western Ocean looks after opening the save and going through the diplo and build phases |
First a couple of observations:
1) the invasion is apparently NOT taking the Inchoff-Invoice route
though we would have (and I believe we should have) to check by moving Blade SW-SW to see whether they are not, for some strange reason, hiding E-E-E-E-E-SE of Inchoff
2) there is a distraction force NE of U-H3
three transports, escorted by 1 destroyer; it must be the group we spotted S-SE-SE-SE-SE of Sufa last turn. Most probably, they do not know we know about them. But it's obvious it's just a distraction meant to force us to split defenders, lacking them where the real blow is to come. I can see ways of severely damaging, or even destroying it at sea, making it's impact on our defense plans bearable.
3) ND BB Haudruff moved to NE of Crossing, together with NDT Schlepper (not seen on the map posted)
Darekill told me about this yesterday. What ND is going to do very much depends on what we do. Theoretically, their ships threaten Zargonia, Crossing, and Logville at the same time.
I know I am contradicting my earlier posts on preemptive strikes, but I suggest a meek peacenik approach in this case. We send ND a very polite note. We don't even expressly ask them to leave, just repeat our desire for peace between our nations - officially tell them how dire our situation is and that we are more or less at their mercy. We offer a moderate pull-back of our pickets (they are no good to us anymore anyway - Louisxiveau is all ND needs to sneak attack us). Yes, let's eat our hat, it's not going to kill us.
If they remain neutral - and I believe they will, since my message seemed to get through to Darekill eventually yesterday - we spare ourselves the nightmare of a 3-front war. If we sink the ships, we gain little, since ND will still be able to retaliate through Louisxiveau - even with no escort ships available. We do not and will not, in the reasonably near future, have forces enough to destroy that city. So, let's take the risk and hope ND is just showing off, playing their part in the scenario written by GS & GoW.
I am going to prepare the note ASAP and post it in our ND diplo thread for a review.
4) no mechanized infantry on the GS rooster
considering they are most likely not taking the Inchoff-Invoice route (that would be the only route allowing transport chaining), this effectively means we are not going to face MIs in 1270AD. Maybe later on, but not in 1270AD.
On a related note... GS only built 4 new marines, 1 transport, and 1 fighter since the last turn. GoW added 10 new marines, 1 transport, 1 destroyer, and 1 fighter. I suspect GoW may be using mobilization to build that much so fast... (remember the fake war we noticed few turns ago? and MZ's note in the public forum? it's a wild idea, but one we should consider)
5) we need to pull the distant submarines back
looking at the map, it's painfully obvious that U-H2, U-K1, and U-H1 are simply wasting time where they are ATM. What we need is a solid submarine picket belt at a certain distance from our coast. Having subs scattered all around is wasteful, as the information gathered is difficult to use (what good is to know there is a number of ships leaving Hurricane/Tornado, when we do not know the route they take?).
I am going to prepare a list of "obvious" moves we should take before developing our plans any further.
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vondrack

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Praha, Czech Republic
Jan 2002 time: 06:20
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Alright, here we go... considering the situation, I suggest we do a couple of "obvious" or "no-brainer" moves that may reveal important information to us.
1) move Blade SW-SW
or
2) move U-K1 SE-SE-SE-SE
if the tile SW-SW-SW-W-W-W-W (the current "finger" of the FoW) is clear, we will know for sure that the landing is not to happen around Invoice - and we will be able to move Task Force North to a more central position. I'd personally favour moving the submarine, because we need to pull her back anyway. But the ironclad would be just as good, since it can return to his position and refortify with no problem.
3) move the new submarine finished in S'haven ('U-S1') NW-NW-NW-NW
stop if (as soon as) the GS submarine spotted
4) move the new submarine finished in Sandonorico ('U-Sa1') W-SW-SW-SW
looking for the 1/4 GS submarine (moving this way covers most of where that sucker can be)
5) move the new destroyer finished in Tipperary W-W-W-NW-NW-NW, engaging the 2/4 GS destroyer
as mentioned in the turn plan amendments, there must be a 2/4 GS DD on that tile, since the only DD of theirs was exactly 5 tiles from H.B.S. Argonaut
6) move U-H2 eastwards (E-E-E-E, to be precise), watching for GS ships
7) move U-H1 (in the far South) NE-NE-NE-NE
pulling back, trying to establish a new picket perimeter; unlikely to spot anything, but we will need it closer to the coast anyway
Well, that's it - at least for the Western Theater. Any ideas? I am trying to keep it as simple as possible, so that we do not close doors we might need left open...
I am now going to have a look at the mobilization option.
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vondrack

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Praha, Czech Republic
Jan 2002 time: 06:20
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quote: Originally posted by vondrack
Alright, here we go... considering the situation, I suggest we do a couple of "obvious" or "no-brainer" moves that may reveal important information to us.
1) move Blade SW-SW
or
2) move U-K1 SE-SE-SE-SE
if the tile SW-SW-SW-W-W-W-W (the current "finger" of the FoW) is clear, we will know for sure that the landing is not to happen around Invoice - and we will be able to move Task Force North to a more central position. I'd personally favour moving the submarine, because we need to pull her back anyway. But the ironclad would be just as good, since it can return to his position and refortify with no problem.
3) move the new submarine finished in S'haven ('U-S1') NW-NW-NW-NW
stop if (as soon as) the GS submarine spotted
4) move the new submarine finished in Sandonorico ('U-Sa1') W-SW-SW-SW
looking for the 1/4 GS submarine (moving this way covers most of where that sucker can be)
5) move the new destroyer finished in Tipperary W-W-W-NW-NW-NW, engaging the 2/4 GS destroyer
as mentioned in the turn plan amendments, there must be a 2/4 GS DD on that tile, since the only DD of theirs was exactly 5 tiles from H.B.S. Argonaut
6) move U-H2 eastwards (E-E-E-E, to be precise), watching for GS ships
7) move U-H1 (in the far South) NE-NE-NE-NE
pulling back, trying to establish a new picket perimeter; unlikely to spot anything, but we will need it closer to the coast anyway
Well, that's it - at least for the Western Theater. Any ideas? I am trying to keep it as simple as possible, so that we do not close doors we might need left open...
I am now going to have a look at the mobilization option. |
Seeing no objections to this plan, I made the moves as suggested. Kloreep was present in the chatroom. The results were as follows:
20) U-K1 moved SE-SE-SE-SE
spotted nothing -> Inchoff/Invoice route out of question
21) new submarine finished in Sharpehaven named 'U-S1' and moved NW
spotted a 4/4 GS sub W-W of Sharpehaven
22) new submarine finished in Sandonorico named 'U-Sa1' and moved W-SW-SW
spotted a 1/4 GS sub W-W-W-SW-SW of Sandonorico
23) new destroyer finished in Tipperary named 'H.B.S. Tisiphone' and moved W-W-W-SW-SW-SW, engaging a 2/4 GS destroyer - won with 1hp lost
there you have it, bastards! 
24) U-H2 moved E-E
spotted 2 GS destroyers (2/4 and 4/4) at N-N (E-E-E-E-E-SE of Hurricane)
25) U-H1 moved NE-NE-NE-NE
spotted nothing
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vondrack

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Praha, Czech Republic
Jan 2002 time: 06:20
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quote: Originally posted by vondrack
Seeing no objections to this plan, I made the moves as suggested. Kloreep was present in the chatroom. The results were as follows:
20) U-K1 moved SE-SE-SE-SE
spotted nothing -> Inchoff/Invoice route out of question
21) new submarine finished in Sharpehaven named 'U-S1' and moved NW
spotted a 4/4 GS sub W-W of Sharpehaven
22) new submarine finished in Sandonorico named 'U-Sa1' and moved W-SW-SW
spotted a 1/4 GS sub W-W-W-SW-SW of Sandonorico
23) new destroyer finished in Tipperary named 'H.B.S. Tisiphone' and moved W-W-W-SW-SW-SW, engaging a 2/4 GS destroyer - won with 1hp lost
there you have it, bastards! 
24) U-H2 moved E-E
spotted 2 GS destroyers (2/4 and 4/4) at N-N (E-E-E-E-E-SE of Hurricane)
25) U-H1 moved NE-NE-NE-NE
spotted nothing |
After a brief debate with Kloreep, we did two more moves - one (U-Q1) was posted in the turn plan and never objected, the other one was very obvious:
26) U-Q1 moved E-E-NE, engaging the 2/4 GS destroyer - won, 1hp lost

27) 58th Artillery moved to Sharpehaven and ordered to bombard the 4/4 GS submarine W-W; 1hp off the submarine
28) new ('62nd') artillery finished in Tiberium moved to Sharpehaven and ordered to bombard the 3/4 GS submarine W-W; 1hp off the submarine
29) 59th Artillery moved to Sharpehaven and ordered to bombard the 2/4 GS submarine W-W; 1hp off the submarine
30) H.B.S. Legopolis moved S-S-SE-E, enagaging the 1/4 GS submarine - won, no hp lost
Updated picture:

Last edited by vondrack on 30-10-2004 at 02:29
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vondrack

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Praha, Czech Republic
Jan 2002 time: 06:20
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BIG NEWS!
GS Armada spotted!
quote: vondrack the fact is
vondrack that it's likely GS launched their armada
vondrack from a port
vondrack not from a coastal tile somewhere
vondrack 'cause they did not want to be spotted
vondrack and we had IRs close
vondrack Inchoff it was not
vondrack Tornado it was not (U-H2 would see it at the beginning of this turn)
vondrack Sufa does not allow for a seaborne attack at a city on the third turn
vondrack hmmmm
vondrack Hurricane does allow for that
vondrack turn 1: 5xE
vondrack turn 2: 5xE
vondrack and then you can attack 5xE into Sandonorico
Kloreep|idle Ah, Radar Towers...
Kloreep|idle That'll be nice once we get radio
vondrack if you take the city, you can immediately pour the tanks in
vondrack that's bad
Kloreep|idle Yep
Kloreep|idle Sand can reach New Camp
Kloreep|idle Nou can reach QM
Kloreep|idle And Karina!
Kloreep|idle Also, we sholud tihnk about a 1-infantry-per-city policy
Kloreep|idle As insurance against Cavalry
vondrack no need
vondrack GS lacks Military Tradition
Kloreep|idle Ah, okay 
vondrack theoretically
vondrack 2x(5xE) from Blizzard
Kloreep|idle Hmm
vondrack allows attacking S'haven
vondrack but that would bring them quite close to all those BBs
vondrack if we simply stuff all of them into the bay
Kloreep|idle Sand could only take Nou, QM, Karina, and Oasis
Kloreep|idle And that would be it for the turn
vondrack they'd have to pray to RNG
Kloreep|idle Karina is quite enough, theough
vondrack yeah
vondrack hm, I guess I am betting on Hurricane as the launching point
vondrack plus - Sandonorico is on flat land, just a town
vondrack ah!
vondrack just realized that Blizzard is nonsense
vondrack after 2x(5xE), they would be SW-SW-W of S'haven
Kloreep|idle Forkmouth is also vulnerable, right?
vondrack but that's within the range of artillery positioned SW of S'haven!
Kloreep|idle And it can take Farmerville
vondrack GS would never risk that - especially with so many BBs there
Kloreep|idle Good point
vondrack ok, so we are now 95% sure they set sail from Hurricane
vondrack 
vondrack means they would be
vondrack 5xE from Hurricane now
Kloreep|idle U-H2 N to check?
vondrack that's NW of those two DDs
vondrack sounds like the natural thing to do
Kloreep|idle 
vondrack since we will even have 1mp point left to run away after taking the peek
Kloreep|idle Yep
vondrack ok, let me check one more time before moving it
vondrack Inchoff - not
Kloreep|idle k
vondrack Blizzard - would be exposed to arty bombardment
vondrack Hurricane - very dangerous to us
vondrack Tornado - not, we would see them this turn
vondrack Sufa - transit takes too long
vondrack 5xE from Hurricane is
vondrack N-N-NW of the current U-H2 location
vondrack if we move N, take a peek, then move back S, we should be fine
vondrack Jesus, I am feeling butterflies in my stomach
vondrack ok, let's do it
* Kloreep|idle is now known as Kloreep|dinner
vondrack U-H2 moving N
* Kloreep|dinner holds his breath
vondrack YESSS!!!!
Kloreep|dinner There it is! |
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vondrack

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Praha, Czech Republic
Jan 2002 time: 06:20
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So, there we have it. The main invasion force of GS has 13 transports escorted by at least 6+2 DDs. 13*8=104 units aboard.
In just 2 turns, they will be W-W-W-W of Sandonorico, able to attack the city - if taken, Sandonorico would provide GS with means to immediately pour the rest of their invasion forces ashore, attacking further inland. Nou Camp could fall, then Q.M., Karina, Abilene, Ahhmyfoot... With 70 tanks and a coupla combat settlers, they could theoretically wipe most of our South out.
They must NOT take Sandonorico. That's a given. We need to stuff the city with so many defenders that they will not be able to take it with marines.
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vondrack

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Praha, Czech Republic
Jan 2002 time: 06:20
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OK, a plan here. We will need every infantry we have around Sandonorico. Having to split our forces and defend several landing zones is a nightmare for us.
It's quite obvious what that 3-transport convoy in the South is supposed to do - tie our forces down there in Abilene and Tipperary.
So, let's try to get rid of them... or at least some of them.
Have a look at the picture above (the one with the main GS armada in a yellow circle). Green borders denote where a transport must start a turn to be able to take a city and "flash through" it further inland. Blue border is the movement range of the GS group. It's likely that the GS group heads right to where they will be able to threaten two cities at once - two tiles only. 7 if counting even those that do not allow a "flash through", but just seaborne attacks at both cities.
So, let's assume, that...
1) we build two 1t DDs in Tipperary and Abilene this turn (disbanding a horse and partially shortrushing)
2) we rebase both our bombers to Tipperary
3) we move U-H3 E-E-E-SE
4) we move LNT-BD, LNT-FE, LNT-NC, and H.B.S. Myrmidon closer to Tipperary
Next turn, we:
a) bomb the group, hopefully bringing the DD down to at least 2hp
b) we attack with U-H3, both new DDs (one 3/3, one 4/4), and H.B.S. Tisiphone (3/4)
Odds will be close to 80% for every attack. Unless we suffer from a real bad RNG roll, we should be able to take out at least 2 of those transports, making the remaining one much less of a threat.
If we do not sink everything, we make a "sea wall" around Tipperary and prop the defenses in Abilene as if expecting 8 marines (we can use 9 horses and cavs...). That should allow us to leave (almost) no infantry there.
Sounds good?
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