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Kalius
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Kriegsgewitter
Aug 2002
time: 16:18
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Imran: Atlanta are the KC of 2004 when it comes to a misleading record. Who have they played? Two winning teams for crying out loud. TWO! Heck, their record is even more misleading that KC's.
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Oh so, Utah is a better team than Cal, Michigan, Miami, Florida State? |
On the same side of that, you can ask is Atlanta better than any of the AFC divisional leaders & wild card teams? They have an equal or better record than 3 of them...
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Doubt it. A desperate team wins at home, after getting a rousing pep talk from their coach, and everyone thinks it means something . |
Yes, it does mean something. It means they have a motivation and the knowledge they can still make the playoffs, and you can see more of it if they can cling onto it.
I can sum up this entire post in three or four words: Atlanta's success = misleading
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Jaguar
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Montgomery County, MD
Apr 2000
time: 00:18
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My current AFC predictions:
1 Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh has the head-to-head advantage over New England. Both have a game against the underrated New York Jets remaining, so it's possible that both teams could end 14-2. Of the two teams, New England is playing a little better right now, but the Steelers just have to win as many as New England to keep the number one seed. Pittsburgh has some tough teams to beat still remaining, (Jets, Ravens, and Bills) but the Steelers have shown that they can beat anyone.
2 New England
New England faces the two worst teams in the NFL in its last four games. Its other two games are against Cincinatti, which still desperately clings onto playoff hope, and the excellent New York Jets. These two teams are both dangerous, and if the Pats don't beat both of them, their chances of taking Homefield Advantage Throughout are next to none.
3 Indianapolis
Although the Colts can't hope to compete with the two juggernauts topping the divison, they have a long winning streak going and they are very likely to take third. If the Colts fall to fourth, the New York Jets will be tough. The Colts can extend their winning streak to six against Houston next week, but their remaining three games are tough. Baltimore, San Diego, and Denver are all playoff contenders, and each one will be fighting for position. San Diego will be looking for the opportunity to snatch 3rd away from the Colts, but in a battle of the AFC's two best quarterbacks, Manning should prevail.
4 San Diego
San Diego should be able to defeat three of the remaining teams on its schedule and clinch its division with 12 wins. But the game against Indianapolis will be too tough for them. Both teams rely almost entirely on offense to win. But there is a huge gap between the number one Colts offense and the weaker San Diego offense.
5 New York
Among the top six teams in the NFL, but they have the misfortune of being in the Patriots' division. They have no hope of winning their division at all, but no team looks anywhere near strong enough to challenge them as the first wildcard team.
6 Denver
Denver put up a good showing against San Diego, but weren't quite good enough to win. However, they are still a solid 7-5 with three easy games ahead against the Dolphins, Chiefs, and Titans, who have a combined 10-26 record. Their last game is against Indianapolis, but as long as they play solidly before then, their playoff spot will already be assured. And even if they lose, there's a good chance that their very next game will be a rematch in the playoffs.
Honerable mention:
-Buffalo is actually a very hot team, and they have an easy schedule remaining. They're in what is by far the best division in the NFL, but they've gotten all their New England and New York games over with. They're 6-2 in the last eight games, with losses only against Baltimore and New England. They face three mediocre teams, but their last game is against the Steelers, so their playoff hopes aren't too good. 9-7 will probably not cut it in the AFC.
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Jaguar
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Montgomery County, MD
Apr 2000
time: 00:18
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I can see NE having a better record than PIT, but I can't see it happening the other way around. However, I think the most likely outcome is that they'll tie at either 15-1 or 14-2, and PIT will get 1st seed from head to head.
I do think New England is the better team, and they will represent the AFC in the Superbowl. Their special teams and defense often score in the double digits. Vinatieri is the best kicker in the NFL, and they scored two touchdowns on defense and special teams this week. Brady threw for 157 yards, and they put up 42 points.
The Steelers are about even with the Pats on special teams. Antwaan Randle El rules, and they're solid on everything else. They don't have anyone quite like Adam Vinatieri, but they're pretty damn good. The two teams are also even on defense (Pats have allowed 189 points so far to the Steelers 185)
However, I think that the Pats offense is clearly better. What it comes down to is the QBs.
Roethlisberger is an excellent quarterback given that he's a rookie, but I think he's a little overrated. He's not the one carrying the team to victory. Roethlisberger is 24th in passing yards. It's not because he's a bad QB, but it's simply because he makes so few attempts. The Steelers have called fewer passing plays than any other team in the NFL. Roethlisberger has thrown the ball 212 times. He has handed it off to a back over 400 times. When he throws, he throws pretty well, but he is not by any means the backbone of the team. The linemen are the backbone of the team.
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06-12-2004 11:10
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ut)
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