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Pekka is offline Pekka
Chieftain
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Feb 2002
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 01:19
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Right right ok.

David Floyd is offline David Floyd
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 01:39 Visit David Floyd's homepage!
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Agathon,

quote:
You must be joking. The lesson of WWII is that surface ships cannot hope to hold out against air power. Why do you think that the British were so desperate to stop the Bismarck before it reached air cover provided by German naval bombers?

Get a clue man, the wrecks of the Prince of Wales and Repulse are testament to what would have happened had the Home Fleet attempted to defend the Channel in the face of German air superiority.


Naturally, but look at it like this.

The British Home Fleet and other elements of the Royal Navy sail down the west coast of Britain, out of range of the Luftwaffe and still under friendly air cover. The Admiralty times the fleet movement such that the Home Fleet will enter German air cover during the night, and will cover much of the distance to the Kriegsmarine transport concentrations (such as they are) while the Luftwaffe can't really strike.

Meanwhile, the RAF prepares one major sortie with all of its remaining fighters it can put in the air to cover the Fleet. A massive air battle takes place over the Channel, and while the Luftwaffe might well prevail, they would certainly not be able to go after the Royal Navy at the same time.

While the air battle is going, 6-8 battleships along with a couple of dozen cruisers and several dozen destroyers are shooting up everything in sight in the Channel - troop transports, Kriegsmarine escorts, etc., etc.

No one is arguing that this would be a virtual suicide mission, but it would most likely WORK. Any German transport capacity would be devastated, and any German troops stranded on England would be forced to surrender.

Germany's navy just was not large enough to cover an invasion of England. Period. Even air superiority probably wouldn't have been enough. What the Germans needed was either a large force of battleships to meet the Royal Navy in a gun battle, or a force of carriers able to engage the Royal Navy at a distance. Germany had neither.

As for the Prince of Wales and Repulse, this was a completely different case. The British sent these two ships (a BB and a BC) to try to disrupt Japanese landings in Malaysia. While that may sound similar to what I am describing above, the similarity ends there.

The PoW and Repulse both had to travel across thousands of miles of open ocean, with no possibility of friendly air cover, and the two ships did not really constitute a sufficient force to defeat the IJN in the area anyway. Unlike the Germans, the Japanese were fully capable of covering their landings properly.

GePap,

quote:
And yet, after the US was defeated and forced to leave AND Vietnam stopped China and got rid of the psycho-maoist Khmer Rougue regime, all the Soviets got in South East Asia was naval bases, which did nothing to shift the international balance.


True, but the US military intervention did at least show support for US allies in the area, such as Thailand, Australia, and even South Korea, as well as showing the Soviets that the US would definitely intervene to prevent communist takeovers in the region.

I still don't support the war, but looked at in a certain light I think it made sense.

St Leo is offline St Leo
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 01:42 Visit St Leo<br><img src=/forums/images/staff-icon.gif>'s homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by BeBro
*inserts generic oil joke*


Silly kids. The oil's in Norway, not Sweden. George W should invade Norway.

Gangerolf is offline Gangerolf
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May 2001
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 02:17
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quote:
Originally posted by Kitschum


According to this article (with map),

http://www.smb.nu/pos/97/07_per_albin3.asp

Sweden were far gone in preparing for an assault across the sea against the Germans in Sjaelland in Spring 1945, if the Germans hadn't surrendered. Apparently, an invasion force of 60 000, including 4 000 Danes, plus (for Sweden) sizeable sea and air forces, was pulled together to drive out the 28 000 Germans there. No idea how viable it was


A "Swedish D-day". Interesting. Well I don't know exeactly what kind of equipment they had or how much was left of the German navy in the area etc, but it doesn't sound that far-fetched...

quote:
The article also claims that a gallup poll found that the Swedish people were against intervention in Norway by 47% to 33% even "if the Germans started massacres", which seems slightly odd to me and perhaps a measure of the effectiveness with which the Swedish government's neutrality stance diffused to the public


Oh that's nice. But of course, fighting 400'000 well trained Germans to the bitter end would be a massacre in itself...
The threat of massacres was real. In 1945 the German boss in Norway, Reichskommissar Josef Terboven had 10'000 civilian hostages he wanted to shoot, but was (ironically enough) stopped by Hitler and Quisling.

Combat Ingrid is offline Combat Ingrid
Chieftain
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Nov 2001
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 02:55
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quote:
Originally posted by St Leo
quote:
Originally posted by BeBro
*inserts generic oil joke*


Silly kids. The oil's in Norway, not Sweden. George W should invade Norway.



Just got a flashback from "Wag the dog", when they discussed why the US should go to war against Albania:

quote:

-Why Albania? What did Albania ever do to us?
-What did Albania ever do for us?


Berzerker is offline Berzerker
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May 1999
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 05:50
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quote:
That wasn't my point at all, I was just trying to corner Berzerker with his claims of bad so-called socialist countries living off the so-called capitalists' hard work.

That is, to simply show that the system in nordic countries is viable.


Viability cannot be measured by a few years of economic growth due to a devastated Europe. The US is also running into economic trouble because it lost its post WWII advantage while increasing the welfare state. We keep our SS system afloat with a liberal immigration policy.

CO
quote:
Did you read my last post at all? Our goverment spendings did not exlude the military. And our Nordic neighbours are rich despite war damage, NATO membership AND welfare systems.


Scandinavia suffered very little from WWII compared with other countries in Europe. That created an opportunity for Scandinavian countries to get rich off rebuilding the war torn countries while producing welfare states.

Aggie
quote:
But it is still doing better than the United States. Read the opening post. These are the facts.


Why do people keep wanting to compare the US with Sweden? We have a mixed economy here too. And I saw no evidence from the article that Sweden is doing better than the US, on the contrary, Sweden has dropped from 4th to the teens in wealth. I saw evidence of the problems facing Sweden because of its system So what has been their solution? An increase in the welfare state because Sweden is doing so well? Nope, reductions in the welfare state to become more competitive because it isn't doing so well.

Krop
quote:
You're mixing apples and oranges. Are you trying to make a fruit salad?


Did I say the hypocrisy of Euros who make that argument is proof of Sweden's problems? You did the mixing, not me.

LC
quote:
You're seriously overestimating Sweden's military strength in 1941/42. They Germans estimated, in 1943, that the occupational forces in Norway alone should be enough to, should it become necessary, defeat and occupy Sweden, and while that might have been overly optimistic, it does say something about the relative strengths.

The amusing bit is that we might have ended up fighting against Finland in a such scenario ...


The Finns were just itching to invade Sweden because Finns just loved Hitler? C'mon... As for what Sweden should have done, the Finns withstood at least 2 Russian invasions but Sweden could do nothing in conjunction with the allies even after Barbarosa made Germany vulnerable? I imagine the allies would have invaded mainland Europe sooner if they could get the Scandinavians to attack Germany from the north.

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Chieftain
Satan's Majestic Empire
Nov 2001
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 05:56
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quote:
Originally posted by Berzerker
As for what Sweden should have done, the Finns withstood at least 2 Russian invasions but Sweden could do nothing in conjunction with the allies even after Barbarosa made Germany vulnerable? I imagine the allies would have invaded mainland Europe sooner if they could get the Scandinavians to attack Germany from the north.


Why should we have attacked the nazis and not the USSR?

Berzerker is offline Berzerker
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May 1999
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 06:03
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Because you would have had to go thru the Finns and/or several hundred miles of German troops to get to them? And because Russia became an "ally" when Hitler attacked them?

Pekka is offline Pekka
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Feb 2002
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 06:06
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Not really. They would have only had to say 'no wait, we changed our minds and we want to fight too', and that's it. The distance wouldn't have been a problem. You do realize that we are not hostile nations? . They would have not attacked us and we would have not attacked them, simple.

Strategically, if SU had pressed us down fast enough, there could have been a possibility to take out Sweden, in theory. Nazis in Norway, what do you want, you want to take control of the whole NOrthern Europe. No reason to stay and stop, better to control the region and have some advantages of that. Except of course attacking a neutral country could have been a bit of a problem politically, but hey it wasn't an obstacle before

Berzerker is offline Berzerker
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 06:07
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Also, because Russia was devastated by the German invasion and barely hung on for its survival. Why attack them?

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Chieftain
Satan's Majestic Empire
Nov 2001
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 06:09
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quote:
Originally posted by Berzerker
Because you would have had to go thru the Finns and/or several hundred miles of German troops to get to them?


That didn't stop our volunteers from going there
There were very good reasons to attack the Nazis, but we also had very good reasons to attack the USSR. However, both options would put us in trouble, furthermore, I don't think it would have been wise to declare war on both of them

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Chieftain
Satan's Majestic Empire
Nov 2001
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 06:13
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quote:
Originally posted by Berzerker
Also, because Russia was devastated by the German invasion and barely hung on for its survival. Why attack them?




Berzerker is offline Berzerker
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May 1999
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 06:21
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quote:
You do realize that we are not hostile nations?


Hehe

I'm sure at the time (and maybe even in reality) it was better for Swedes to stay out. It sure worked out well for them considering, but I strongly suspect that if Sweden informed the west it would declare war on Germany in conjunction with an allied invasion of mainland Europe the Germans would have folded sooner. That would have allowed the west to move east sooner before the Russians could counterattack and grab almost half of Europe.

Anyway, thats a different debate from the issue of Sweden's system. Btw, I like the idea behind Sweden's system, we pay half our money here in taxes and don't get very much at all in return. I like systems with low corruption rates, my main problem is the forced egalitarianism, not welfare (although that seems to be how the Swedes pay for welfare).

Pekka is offline Pekka
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Feb 2002
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 06:25
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Right, if you have high taxes, you must have returns for it, that's pretty basic.

Had they attacked Germans, it would have become SUPER complex situation. It's nto that simple really.

Berzerker is offline Berzerker
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 06:25
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Ingrid, look up the stats on what the Russians and Germans lost during the invasion, not the counterattack. It was the worst large scale massacre in the history of the world.

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Chieftain
Satan's Majestic Empire
Nov 2001
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 06:31
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Berz: True, the Russians got pounded bad in the beginning, but as me, Pekka and others try to say, it was a very complex situation for us. No matter if we stayed neutral, attacked Germany, or attacked the USSR, we would have done the morally wrong thing, depending on who you ask. Damned if you do, damned if you don't

Berzerker is offline Berzerker
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 06:32
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quote:
Had they attacked Germans, it would have become SUPER complex situation. It's nto that simple really.


No doubt, but imagine 2 invasions - the allies in Italy or France and the Scandinavias in Norway, Denmark or even Germany or Prussia.

Berzerker is offline Berzerker
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 06:36
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Well, Sweden's government had to look out for Swedes first before others. But I just don't know how y'all figured your safety was ensured with Hitler and Stalin deciding your fate if the west hadn't intervened.

Pekka is offline Pekka
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 06:38
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Yeah imagine everyone jumped on the Germans and Joe sniped Hitler out before he got to his plans. It really would be a complex situation if Sweden had attacked the Germans. THey would have given up neutrality, Germans in Norway, SU would now want the northern Europe including Sweden AND Norway, because Finland would be the last lock before that and the ones who woudl be accepting German help against them, so they would have wanted their own little blietzkrig in north. Germans would have seen this and wanted to put the pressure in there as well.

Before you know it, you would have had to pull off two landings, in Normandy and in Norway.

Then there's the factors that we can't count. And what would have we been supposed to do. Hitler would have pressured us to fight Sweden, which we would have denied, that could have endangered their material support to us, leading to our total defeat against SU in matter of days or weeks. Knowing this Hitler would be in a boggle master too, but he would decide to take the northern europe as a whole, as it geographically would make more sense than not, and taking us out earlier than planned.

For us, and Sweden, we don't want SU OR Germany in here.

What Sweden did was now, retrospectively looking maybe the ONLY right decision, even if it didn't seem right at the moment for many others.

Ted Striker is offline Ted Striker
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 06:47 Visit Ted Striker's homepage!
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Chieftain
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Nov 2001
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 06:47
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quote:
Originally posted by Pekka
For us, and Sweden, we don't want SU OR Germany in here.




I'm off to breach neutrality and invade my bed

Berzerker is offline Berzerker
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 06:55
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quote:
SU would now want the northern Europe including Sweden AND Norway,


SU couldn't even get passed the Finns, they weren't about to attack a Sweden that declared war on the Germans who were flooding a 1,000 miles of Russia. And there was no way the west would have "given" up Norway and Sweden in any post war negotiations, the Russians might not have even got back their own country by the time Germany fell.

quote:
that could have endangered their material support to us, leading to our total defeat against SU in matter of days or weeks.


Finland wasn't at war with SU when Germany invaded as far as I know, you're much more qualified to speak on that though. I understood Russia invaded Finland very early on and was stopped and "peace" was made. The 2nd attempt came in "44? once Russia recovered and figured Finland either deserved some kind of payback or worried about a Finnish sneak attack while it was off invading Poland and Germany. Anyway, the Russian invasion force was quickly diverted to the west and another truce was made.

Pekka is offline Pekka
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 07:02
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"SU couldn't even get passed the Finns, they weren't about to attack a Sweden that declared war on the Germans who were flooding a 1,000 miles of Russia. And there was no way the west would have "given" up Norway and Sweden in any post war negotiations, the Russians might not have even got back their own country by the time Germany fell.
"

Guessing, guessing, guessing. Finland wasn't exactly playing with the SU as much as they were trying to survive the onslaught. They did, fortunately, but it wasn't very sure thing you know. There were several days and weeks and months, where the onslaught and major offensives could have snapped our backs like a twig in storm. No one knew what would happen, no one.

They wouldn't have attacked Sweden if they declared war on Germany, right. Guessing.

And SU is supposed to believe Germany cant' take out Sweden? What about making sure about that. These big powers weren't exactly allying themselves with bunch of countries, rather sweeping and taking control. They didn't actually take leap of faiths.

Would they have given Sweden the promise not to come and 'strengthen' their forces fighting Germany, that would have meant coming through us. Do you honestly think SU would have had lots of problems with Sweden's moral dilemma? Not really. But knowing it, they would have instead more likely sweep through, had they got pass us and had Germans be in Sweden. You suggest Sweden would have passed the waters and land in there? And Germany would have not attacked Sweden via Norway?

Germans in Finland already? It's not really that simple.

Pekka is offline Pekka
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 07:04
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No, first one started in 1939, ended in 1940. In the meantime everyone was gearing up for more, and war was evident. The next one started in 1941 and lasted to 1944. The actual non-shooting face was really short.

Agathon is offline Agathon
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Dec 2002
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 08:25
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quote:
The British Home Fleet and other elements of the Royal Navy sail down the west coast of Britain, out of range of the Luftwaffe and still under friendly air cover. The Admiralty times the fleet movement such that the Home Fleet will enter German air cover during the night, and will cover much of the distance to the Kriegsmarine transport concentrations (such as they are) while the Luftwaffe can't really strike.


Have you ever seen the English Channel? It isn't very wide. You can go there and back again in a pretty short time.

If the Home Fleet were caught anywhere near the channel while the Germans had air superiority, it's good night nurse. They knew this themselves.

David Floyd is offline David Floyd
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 08:35 Visit David Floyd's homepage!
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What's your point? Mine is that combined with a final RAF sortie, and properly utilizing the cover of darkness, the RN could survive long enough to seriously disrupt the invasion.

In addition to the major units of the Home Fleet, also think about ships smaller than destroyers - patrol boats, torpedo boats, motor launches, etc., that could be used to disrupt the mix-matched Kriegsmarine invasion fleet.

The Luftwaffe just would not be able to paste everything quick enough to prevent the Brits from destroying the invasion fleet. Britain would come out of the affair minus most of it's navy and airforce, true, but the Germans would have lost most of their's, as well, along with their airborne forces and a few high-quality infantry divisions stranded in England. What would hurt the most, though, would have been the likelyhood of an immediate American response.

monolith94 is offline monolith94
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Urban Ranger is offline Urban Ranger
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 14:06
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quote:
Originally posted by Berzerker
Empire costs money too... If you think my critique of the Swedish welfare state is an endorsement of the US Congress you must be confusing me with a Republicrat.


Perhaps

My point is though a country with a low tax rate isn't doing so hot, either.

quote:
Originally posted by Berzerker
You said Sweden might have been worse off wrt a brain drain without its system and asked me to prove you wrong. I did, by pointing out the US success at benefitting from brain drains. Even the article identified the brain drain as a problem for Sweden...


The US benefitted from brain drains is not a counter to my point, i.e., Sweden might have been worse off with less equality.

You need to realise scientists and scholars aren't really attracted to money per se, but with access to things such as advanced instruments and lots of research material.

Kropotkin is offline Kropotkin
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 15:22
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quote:
Originally posted by Berzerker
Did I say the hypocrisy of Euros who make that argument is proof of Sweden's problems? You did the mixing, not me.

?

I don't at all see where you are going or saying.

First you make a sweeping remark about what make the swedish economic system of the last 50 years or so fail. The only thing of importance should be the war and the catch up there after. I challenge your ability to make such a judgement. As a response you actually admit that your only source of information is the article in the first post and then you again explain to me and everyone what makes the swedish economy tick. And this goes on... You also seem to mix up the state of the swedish economy with your own moral indignation over Swedish foreign policy during the second world war. (apples and oranges).

As for the last post, I have no clue at all what that has to do with anything.

Chemical Ollie is offline Chemical Ollie
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  Old Post 18-01-2005 16:09
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quote:
Originally posted by Berzerker

Finland wasn't at war with SU when Germany invaded as far as I know, you're much more qualified to speak on that though. I understood Russia invaded Finland very early on and was stopped and "peace" was made. The 2nd attempt came in "44? once Russia recovered and figured Finland either deserved some kind of payback or worried about a Finnish sneak attack while it was off invading Poland and Germany. Anyway, the Russian invasion force was quickly diverted to the west and another truce was made.


Didn't I already inform you in this thread that Finland took advantage of Germany's sneak attack in 1941, and teamed up with Germany to regain the territory they lost in the Winter War? Then they made peace in 44 when Germany was pushed back to its borders, so that SU could focus the efforts on Germany.

But this has nothing to do with the thread topic.

 
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