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DanS
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Kickball Capital of the World
Jan 1970 time: 00:27
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Couldn't happen to smarter guys, that's for sure.
I would like to note that even though these guys rock, I think their company is more than slightly overvalued.
By my calculations, the rate of net revenue growth decay is about 32%. With a net margin of 20% and a discount rate of 20%, the Net Present Value of the Google cash stream is "only" $10 billion + $2 billion cash on hand, rather than the $52 billion or whatever that the market is valuing the company at.
This assumes of course that Google will not successfully put another huge market in its crosshairs.
Last edited by DanS on 02-02-2005 at 08:12
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DanS
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Kickball Capital of the World
Jan 1970 time: 00:27
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No, the stock market offering is a non-revenue event.
The internet library is a mind-boggling project. I don't know if it will be hugely successful in the sense of pushing revenue growth, but it's one of those very rare projects that just blows my mind and captures the imagination. As a civilization, we're moving all of our book knowledge from paper to online in the next 10 years. That ranks up there in importance with the Great Library, etc.
Last edited by DanS on 02-02-2005 at 08:21
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Cruddy
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I'm still puzzled as to how a search engine can make money... anyone going to enlighten me?
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Kidicious
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Diety of Kidiverse
Mar 2003 time: 21:27
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quote: Originally posted by Ming
Companies use stock money to stay in business and expand... without it, inventors would get nothing for their ideas. What good is an idea if you don't do something with it. |
I'm not saying that inventors shouldn't get anything for their trouble. But what you are saying is that investors should get something for doing something that is necessary for capitalism to work, but ignoring the fact that capitalism is not necessary.
Now stop contributing to the threadjack. You are setting a poor example. :P
Last edited by Kidicious on 03-02-2005 at 04:52
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Cruddy
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quote: Originally posted by Ming
Paid Search (those paid listings that somebody wondered if anybody clicks on) is the fastest growing internet advertising category. Yes, some people would rather die then click on a paid listing, however, MANY, MANY do.
It's one of the most efficient ways to get somebody to a site. Nothing is cheaper on a "cost per click through" basis. It sure beats the hell out of banner advertising.
When you are getting killed on "organic" listings, and your stuff is appearing on page 150... paid search is a very viable and important option. This is BIG BUCKS!
On any kind of ROI basis, it's the most effective use of money on the internet. |
Oh I SEE... it's a protection racket. "Pay us money or we'll list you in an obscure location".
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Ming
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quote: Originally posted by Cruddy
Oh I SEE... it's a protection racket. "Pay us money or we'll list you in an obscure location". |
However, not true.
While the search engines continue to change the algorithms they use to determine what order a site is listed on a search request so that they can stay ahead of companies who try to manipulate results to help their clients stay near the top, that part of the search has nothing to do with advertising.
When you do search on google (or other search engines)... the results are broken out into two categories. Organic and Paid.
The organic listings are just the traditional results you get. That order is based on the companies search algorithms, determinded by how their little bots go out and index available content. You can't pay them to change the order of the results. However, there are companies available for hire who can prove that they can help you insure that your site will be listed higher... and that's why the search engines constantly update how they do their rankings. Picture it as battle of technology, with the search engines trying to stay ahead of the bad guys 
Paid search is the crap you see usually in bold above the organic listings, and along the right side of the page.
Advertisers pay in auction style for the right to certain key search "words/phrases" to have their site come up on the first page. Words in high demand like "stereo equipment" could cost $20 per click through vs obscure words that might only cost 1 or 2 bucks per click through. The highest bidder is listed first, and so on, with usually the top 3 or 4 bidders appearing on the right side NEXT to the actual organic listings. We only pay for people that click through, so it's not only a classic supply and demand model, but we only pay for perfomance.
Smart people know that it's advertising... but in many cases, it is relevent to what they are looking for. Click through rates are FAR higher than traditional banners (which most people ignore or block) and also tons more efficient than media rich ads (flash, expandable banners, pop ups, pop unders)
As I said, it's one of the hottest mediums out their right now... and google and other search engines are cashing in. Currently, it's a sellers market, and they are making big bucks.
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