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Lancer is offline Lancer
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Apr 1999
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  Old Post 22-06-2005 14:03
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Should there be an international law against loans to non representative governments? Suffering from ads?

Iraq is pushing for debt relief. Saddam borrowed and spent a ton of money on palaces, torture chambers, underground bunkers, cronies, weapons...

Iraq doesn't want to pay it back. Was it the rich west's fault that we loaned it in the first place?

Urban Ranger is offline Urban Ranger
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The City State of Noosphere, CPA special envoy
May 1999
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  Old Post 22-06-2005 14:14
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And?

What gives you the idea that a "representative government" is better at paying back loans? Or, for that matter, what if a "representative government" gets overthrown by a "tyranny?"

Lancer is offline Lancer
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  Old Post 22-06-2005 14:29
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What's the deal UR? Are you worried about loans to China because they don't have a representative government?

Oerdin is offline Oerdin
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  Old Post 22-06-2005 14:35
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Yes, the Democratic world should not be in the business of helping the dictatorships of the world thus we should be actively blocking loans and trade with dictatorships and one party states.

Urban Ranger is offline Urban Ranger
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  Old Post 22-06-2005 14:36
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Lance, Lance, Lance. By now you should be old enough to recognise realpolitick.

Saddam Hussein had always been a nasty bloodthirty bastard, but he was okay as long as he remained an US ally.

Lancer is offline Lancer
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  Old Post 22-06-2005 14:51
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"Yes, the Democratic world should not be in the business of helping the dictatorships of the world thus we should be actively blocking loans and trade with dictatorships and one party states."

I agree Oerdin. This might actually help bring them down too. With the Sovs being history I see no good reason to put up with dictators.

"Lance, Lance, Lance. By now you should be old enough to recognise realpolitick.

Saddam Hussein had always been a nasty bloodthirty bastard, but he was okay as long as he remained an US ally."

The time for 'the enemy of my enemy is my friend' is over, agreed. So unless a government can obtain a loan in the name of the people, it shouldn't be given, agree UR? Would you agree even though it would mean no more loans for China?

Zulu Elephant is offline Zulu Elephant
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Jun 1999
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  Old Post 22-06-2005 15:23
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What about loans to dictators with conditions attached - like "We'll lend you ĢXbn if you hold free local elections"

The time for 'my enemies enemy is my friend' has gone but that doesn't mean democracies shouldn't try to engage with dictatorships if it's possible to get progress.

Flubber is offline Flubber
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  Old Post 22-06-2005 19:59
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My question is who gets to decide whomis a non-represenatative government . . . Lets see, the UN general assembly-- err no-- How about the Security Council err no--


Actually I don't think it is the sort of thing that the international community would ever get together on.

Also I wonder is it really helpful to try to hurt such countries. Time and again we have seen that it is the common folk that get hurt by things like sanctions and it never seems to bring regime change

Wezil is offline Wezil
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Nov 1999
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  Old Post 22-06-2005 20:06
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quote:
Originally posted by Flubber
My question is who gets to decide whomis a non-represenatative government . . . Lets see, the UN general assembly-- err no-- How about the Security Council err no--


Actually I don't think it is the sort of thing that the international community would ever get together on.


Excellent point.

quote:
Also I wonder is it really helpful to try to hurt such countries. Time and again we have seen that it is the common folk that get hurt by things like sanctions and it never seems to bring regime change


South Africa.

DinoDoc is offline DinoDoc
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Sep 1999
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  Old Post 22-06-2005 20:11
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quote:
Originally posted by Wezil
South Africa.
Cuba

Atahualpa is offline Atahualpa
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  Old Post 22-06-2005 20:13 Visit Atahualpa's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Urban Ranger
Lance, Lance, Lance. By now you should be old enough to recognise realpolitick.


the term is written realpolitik

Wezil is offline Wezil
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  Old Post 22-06-2005 20:18
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DD - We don't have a consensus on Cuba. Your nation has sanctions while our government encourages Cdns to vacation there (while simultaneously accepting political refugees... ). The international community was much more united wrt SA (eventually).

lord of the mark is offline lord of the mark
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Dec 2000
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  Old Post 22-06-2005 20:34
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you dont need to make it illegal to make loans to non-representative govts, just to make it law that subsequent democratic govts have NO obligation to repay them - you can lend to anybody you want, but at your own risk. That still leaves the troublesome question of definitions - but then even Kofi Annan is on board that dictatorships should not sit on the UN Human Rights Council, so he must have some definition in mind.

Lancer is offline Lancer
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  Old Post 22-06-2005 23:04
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Zulu, what does a dictator borrow against if not the future earnings of the people he rules? Yet they have no say in how that money is spent...imo they shouldn't have the debt.

"My question is who gets to decide whomis a non-represenatative government . . . Lets see, the UN general assembly-- err no-- How about the Security Council err no--"

Flubber that's an excellent question. Considering it I think I was wrong to suggest an international anything. However if the people get rid of the dictator and can prove that they had no say in the process by which the money was borrowed, they shouldn't have to pay it back. Make it a legal matter, use the courts. Then nobody will be willing to make such a loan and the problem will be solved.

"Also I wonder is it really helpful to try to hurt such countries. Time and again we have seen that it is the common folk that get hurt by things like sanctions and it never seems to bring regime change"

Flubber, another good one. I just wonder if those palaces helped the Iraqi people. Remember this is different from aid, which incurs no debt. Food and medicine could still come in.

Wezil, yes, I was wrong about the international bit.

"you dont need to make it illegal to make loans to non-representative govts, just to make it law that subsequent democratic govts have NO obligation to repay them - you can lend to anybody you want, but at your own risk. That still leaves the troublesome question of definitions - but then even Kofi Annan is on board that dictatorships should not sit on the UN Human Rights Council, so he must have some definition in mind."

lotm, I have read your reply first, excellent point. One thing though, isn't Kofi Anon about to be sent up the river because of the oil for votes mess?

Imran Siddiqui is offline Imran Siddiqui

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  Old Post 22-06-2005 23:10
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Woot, Lancer.. your proposal would utterly derail the "War on Terror" (not that that is a horrible thing seeing where it has been going lately).

Anyway, if you don't want to lend to dictatorships, tell your country not to do it. There isn't going to be a treaty that passes on this.

Flubber is offline Flubber
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  Old Post 22-06-2005 23:10
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quote:
Originally posted by Wezil

South Africa.


Ok "never" brings regime change is too harsh and unequivocal. "Rarely" is a better word.

My question is do people think that sanctions were the determining factor or was it the fact that changing attitudes re race both inside and outside South Africa made the racial divisions untenable in a country that otherwise tried to be a democracy ( among those that they considered to have status).

While South Africa had an inherently offendise form of government, I hardly viewed it as a dictatatorship.

Lancer is offline Lancer
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  Old Post 22-06-2005 23:22
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Imran, it might just be happening anyway. The Iraqis are going to get debt relief and the lenders can't help but notice, yes?

Tingkai is offline Tingkai
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Aug 2001
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  Old Post 22-06-2005 23:49
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quote:
Originally posted by Flubber
My question is who gets to decide whomis a non-represenatative government . . . Lets see, the UN general assembly-- err no-- How about the Security Council err no--


G7, which are all democratic nations.

But a question is: Would banks tolerate such a rule, or would banks finance candidates who overturn the rule in the G7 countries? Afterall, there's lots of money being made on these loans. The risks are high, but so are the returns.

Imran Siddiqui is offline Imran Siddiqui

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  Old Post 22-06-2005 23:52
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quote:
Originally posted by Lancer
Imran, it might just be happening anyway. The Iraqis are going to get debt relief and the lenders can't help but notice, yes?


The lenders are getting theirs. IIRC, the US is paying off the loans.

Wezil is offline Wezil
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  Old Post 22-06-2005 23:56
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quote:
Originally posted by Flubber
My question is do people think that sanctions were the determining factor or was it the fact that changing attitudes re race both inside and outside South Africa made the racial divisions untenable in a country that otherwise tried to be a democracy ( among those that they considered to have status).


I would like to think it was a question of changing attitudes but I suspect it was the sanctions. Some countries don't seem to mind being international pariahs, SA wasn't one of them.

quote:
While South Africa had an inherently offensive form of government, I hardly viewed it as a dictatatorship.


Maybe not technically but they were a long way from 'representative'.

Urban Ranger is offline Urban Ranger
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May 1999
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  Old Post 23-06-2005 14:41
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quote:
Originally posted by Lancer
The time for 'the enemy of my enemy is my friend' is over, agreed.



Except that it hasn't. This "War on Terror" has brought in a nice number of strange "allies."

quote:
Originally posted by Lancer
So unless a government can obtain a loan in the name of the people, it shouldn't be given, agree UR? Would you agree even though it would mean no more loans for China?


On what basis do you assume that a "democratic government" will use the money for the people while a "tyranny" won't?

The average Iraqi had done remarkably well until the US slapped an embargo on the country.

Sikander is offline Sikander
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  Old Post 23-06-2005 15:44
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quote:
Originally posted by Urban Ranger
Lance, Lance, Lance. By now you should be old enough to recognise realpolitick.

Saddam Hussein had always been a nasty bloodthirty bastard, but he was okay as long as he remained an US ally.


He was never a U.S. ally. Unlike say, China and North Korea, or Zimbabwe or China's new bestest friends in Uzbekistan.

Proteus_MST is offline Proteus_MST
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  Old Post 23-06-2005 16:23
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Although I think it would be a good thing,
it would be very difficult to realize.

After all there are a lot of country which have no representative governments, but are nevertheless important trading partners to the western world.
For example Sudia Arabia, whose government still is an absolute monarchy (with the sharia as law). I donīt think any state of the western world would to this date accept a trading ban to Saudi Arabia (considering how much oil we get from them )

Urban Ranger is offline Urban Ranger
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  Old Post 23-06-2005 19:25
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quote:
Originally posted by Sikander
He was never a U.S. ally. Unlike say, China and North Korea, or Zimbabwe or China's new bestest friends in Uzbekistan.


Ah, of course not. Saddam was merely a lackey.

My take is the US is far more interested in Uzbekistan - why else would it block a probe into an alleged massacre?

Flubber is offline Flubber
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  Old Post 23-06-2005 19:35
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quote:
Originally posted by Proteus_MST
After all there are a lot of country which have no representative governments, but are nevertheless important trading partners to the western world.
For example Sudia Arabia, whose government still is an absolute monarchy (with the sharia as law). I donīt think any state of the western world would to this date accept a trading ban to Saudi Arabia (considering how much oil we get from them )


I don't know that a trading ban was being discussed. I thought it was merely the idea of not lending money to certain regimes.

Saudia Arabia does not need to borrow any money and would be unaffected by a lending ban. The same would hold true for the bulk of the middle east. The question is how you prevent these dictatorial regimes from lending money if they choose, to other dictatorial regimes.

Flubber is offline Flubber
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quote:
Originally posted by Wezil


I would like to think it was a question of changing attitudes but I suspect it was the sanctions. Some countries don't seem to mind being international pariahs, SA wasn't one of them.



Maybe not technically but they were a long way from 'representative'.


The question then becomes what type of gevernment qualifies as "representative"

S. Africa was a democracy that disenfranchised and oppressed the bulk of its population

Many ME countries are run as shiekdoms with near absolute power

Women are disenfranchised in some countries

heck in some countries, the ruling elite holds power year after year with minimal or no representation at all from other parts

Where is the line?

Proteus_MST is offline Proteus_MST
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  Old Post 23-06-2005 20:04
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quote:
Originally posted by Flubber


I don't know that a trading ban was being discussed. I thought it was merely the idea of not lending money to certain regimes.

Saudia Arabia does not need to borrow any money and would be unaffected by a lending ban. The same would hold true for the bulk of the middle east. The question is how you prevent these dictatorial regimes from lending money if they choose, to other dictatorial regimes.


O.K.
thatīs correct,
the probability that Saudi Arabia might want to borrow money from western countries is very small, indeed.
And at the point in the near or far future where it might forced to do so it definitely has become worthless to the industrialized worlds, as it very probably means that their Oil deposits have been depleted.

Flubber is offline Flubber
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  Old Post 23-06-2005 20:34
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quote:
Originally posted by Proteus_MST


O.K.
thatīs correct,
the probability that Saudi Arabia might want to borrow money from western countries is very small, indeed.
And at the point in the near or far future where it might forced to do so it definitely has become worthless to the industrialized worlds, as it very probably means that their Oil deposits have been depleted.


With the amount of money Saudi Arabia brings in now, if they plan and save at all, they should NEVER have to borrow money again. They should be able to set up endowment and legacy funds to keep the country affluent in perpetuity. Their population is relatively small after all.

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