 |
|  |
 |
|  |
 |
|
Adalbertus
|
 |
Cologne, Germany
Feb 2001 time: 06:18
|
|
quote: The average lifespan for a species is 3 million years. |
Careful. Average is statistics. It results when you take into account all species that have lived 100 000 years and 100 million years and everything between and beyond. Without at least some sort of error we can deduce only little, and even less "if our time is up". Species disappear usually after a big natural catastrophy or if there are too many too effective competitors so that there is no more food.
Given that second most of animal mass is in humans (cattle, who have tamed us to feed them and to kill them before they get too old, have more. Cow's Brave New World!), we can count as a highly successful species alone by our number (rats and some insects are probably more numerous but smaller). Which makes it probable that there will be some catastrophy (meteorite strike, nuclear war, very drastic climatic changes) which kills human life completely.
I wouldn't think that diseases or a complete breakdown of society would kill all human life. It will throw humans back to stone age (or something like) and a population of some 100 000 people, which is enough to grant further survival.
Btw. Humans are by no means at a physical disadvantage in nature. Our eyes and ears are among the best in nature, just not on the very top, but I would guess at the top 5% of all mammals. Similarly it is with endurance (if you are used to a life in the wild and not to your office). Our hands are tools without equal. Alone this would grant survival in nature.
|
|
|  |
 |
|  |
 |
|
Adalbertus
|
 |
Cologne, Germany
Feb 2001 time: 06:18
|
|
quote: we will cease to be homo sapiens sapiens in a relatively short period of time due to radiation mutation. |
No. At least not that simple. Mutations alone don't do it. They produce some variation, but the average of what is a homo sapiens sapiens will stay the same, because mutations by themselves are not directed. A development to something else can only happen if there is a pressure through selection. There are really two mechanisms involved in evolution.
For the less mathematical the following picture:
Imagine you have a packet of rice and you pour it out on the floor. There will be a heap of rice grains with a high centre and lots of grains around. The position of each grain represent the properties of individual humans, the position of the centre of the heap is the "average human". Evolution means to move the postition of the centre.
Now assume you have a death rate, removing a (for now) arbitrary position a grain, and then let it drop on the centre of the heap. When the grain finds its final position, it is certainly not directly on the center but somewhere else. This is a mutation (e. g. by radiation). Ok, the other grains will move, too, which usually doesn't happen with the genetic properties of people when someone is born, but no picture is perfect. The point here is, that, even if there are different individuals, the position of the centre of the heap doesn't change.
For moving the centre, you need also selection. This is done by taking away preferably grains on the left side, and let them drop, again, on the centre of the heap. This will slowly move the heap and this is how evolution works.
The question in this thread is not about the existence of mutations about which I think anyone here can agree. The question is if selection still plays its part.
|
|
|  |
All times are GMT. The time now is 05:18. Apolyton Time is 00:18. |
top of page
|
| archivepost |
|
Forum Rules:
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
|
HTML code is ON
vB code is ON
Smilies are ON
[IMG] code is ON
|
|
|
|
|
|