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Logical Realist is offline Logical Realist
Settler
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Jan 2002
time: 21:13
  Old Post 04-05-2002 03:38
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Anthropic Nonsense Support Apolyton, buy Galactic Civilizations: Deluxe Edition

A quick refutation of the overly cited anthropic principle: http://www.physlink.com/Education/essay_weinberg.cfm

Chowlett is offline Chowlett
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of Candle'Bre
May 1999
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  Old Post 04-05-2002 03:43
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Quick? You call 8 pages quick? What's a long refutation look like?

Boris Godunov is offline Boris Godunov
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Aug 2001
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  Old Post 04-05-2002 04:09
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Excellent. I especially like his closing sentence.

Logical Realist is offline Logical Realist
Settler
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Jan 2002
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  Old Post 04-05-2002 04:17
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Me too, I loved it when he said

quote:
Any possible universe could be explained as the work of some sort of designer. Even a universe that is completely chaotic, without any laws or regularities at all, could be supposed to have been designed by an idiot.


Showing how unfalsifiable and superfluous the Design argument really is.

Boris Godunov is offline Boris Godunov
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Aug 2001
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  Old Post 04-05-2002 04:20
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LOL, yes, that's a good one, too. I must remember to bring that up to the ID people I know...

Lincoln is offline Lincoln
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TN
Jul 2000
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  Old Post 04-05-2002 05:15 Visit Lincoln's homepage!
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The only problem with the article is that it does not mention that the God asserted by much of the world claims to have cursed the earth and brought corruption into his own creation. If the product of original creation was still perfect then it would tend to disprove at least that particular God.

Dr.Oogkloot is offline Dr.Oogkloot
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Jul 2000
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  Old Post 05-05-2002 17:45
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A good article, but it doesn't refute the anthropic principle, it refutes design - that's something completely different.

Also I disagree with this:
quote:
You find that unless you arrange the theory in just the right way you get nonsense, like effects preceding causes, or infinite probabilities.


There's no law of logic that says effects can't precede causes. (unless you define the words that way...)

Oldenbarnevelt is offline Oldenbarnevelt
Chieftain
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Sep 2001
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  Old Post 05-05-2002 19:37
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quote:
Originally posted by Dr.Oogkloot
A good article, but it doesn't refute the anthropic principle, it refutes design - that's something completely different.


You are absolutely right, Dry Scrotum/Dr Eye-Scrotum (how about that translation?), so all of the thread so far has been off-topic.

So let me quote some definitions:

quote:

A N T H R O P I C P R I N C I P L E

Here are some definitions, first from Barrow and Tipler:

Weak Anthropic Principle (WAP): The observed values of all physical and cosmological quantities are not equally probable but they take on values restricted by the requirement that there exist sites where carbon-based life can evolve and by the requirements that the Universe be old enough for it to have already done so.

Strong Anthropic Principle (SAP): The Universe must have those properties which allow life to develop within it at some stage in its history. Because:
1 There exists one possible Universe 'designed' with the goal of generating and sustaining 'observers'. Or...
2 Observers are necessary to bring the Universe into being (Wheeler's Participatory Anthropic Principle (PAP)). Or...
3 An ensemble of other different universes is necessary for the existence of our Universe (which may be related to the Many Worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics).

Final Anthropic Principle (FAP): Intelligent information-processing must come into existence in the Universe, and, once it comes into existence, it will never die out.

R. Michael Perry has another interesting variant of the anthropic principle:
Individual Anthropic Metaprinciple (IAM): The universe that I as an observer perceive is so structured that I am immortal.

Running somewhat counter to all these is this:

The Principle of Mediocrity(PoM): Observers must assume (as far as is possible) that they occupy an unexceptional location in the Universe and may infer statistical properties of like observers from this assumption.


To me, the WAP seems trivial, SAP 3 and PoM may well be right, and the rest seems absurd.

-

Dr.Oogkloot is offline Dr.Oogkloot
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Jul 2000
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  Old Post 05-05-2002 19:47
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Oldenbarnevelt:
I agree about WAP, SAP3 (SAP3 is very likely I think, for other reasons) and POM. I don't think FAP is absurd in the sense that it isn't true, but it does seem absurd to just assume it as a principle.
It was "invented" by Tipler in the context of the Omega Point theory, I think. He thinks it's necessarily true, not just a hypothesis; something about the boundary conditions of the universe, FAP has to be true for the Omega Point to exist and the Omega Point is what creates the universe, something like that. Never really understood what he meant.

BTW, FAP has also been called the Completely Ridiculous Anthropic Principle, or CRAP

Ecthy is offline Ecthy
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Zhonghuà Rénmín Gònghéguó
Mar 2000
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  Old Post 05-05-2002 21:40
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Hi

Rogan Josh is offline Rogan Josh
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Jan 1970
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  Old Post 06-05-2002 00:44
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Do you know the Author? Have you ever met Weinberg? I have.

He is one of the most obnoxious men alive (after Gell-man of course), who thinks that just because he has a Nobel Prize in physics he is entitled to carp on about any subject he likes with the pretence of being an 'expert'. If you have ever read his book ''Facing Up : Science and Its Cultural Adversaries' you will know what I mean.

Oldenbarnevelt is offline Oldenbarnevelt
Chieftain
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Sep 2001
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  Old Post 06-05-2002 00:56
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quote:
Originally posted by Rogan Josh
Do you know the Author? Have you ever met Weinberg? I have.

He is one of the most obnoxious men alive (after Gell-man of course), who thinks that just because he has a Nobel Prize in physics he is entitled to carp on about any subject he likes with the pretence of being an 'expert'. If you have ever read his book ''Facing Up : Science and Its Cultural Adversaries' you will know what I mean.


Thanks for your shining example of an ad hominem.

Even if Weinberg is the smartaleckiest person in the world (which I doubt) -- what does your having met him have to do with it?

-

Buck Birdseed is offline Buck Birdseed
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Nov 2000
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  Old Post 06-05-2002 01:15 Visit Buck Birdseed's homepage!
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Whenever I look at this thread I always think back to one of my favourite Pratchett quotes, from Hogfather:

"Many people are aware of the Weak and Strong Anthropic Principles. The Weak One says, basically, that it was jolly amazing of the universe to be constructed in such a way that humans could evolve to a point where they make a living in, for example, universities, while the Strong One says that, on the contrary, the whole point of the universe was that humans should not only work in universities but also write for huge sums books with words like `Cosmic' and `Chaos' in the titles.

The UU Professor of Anthropics had developed the Special and Inevitable Anthropic Principle, which was that the entire reason for the existence of the universe was the eventual evolution of the UU Professor of Anthropics. But this was only a formal statement of the theory which absolutely everyone, with only some minor details of a `Fill in name here' nature, secretly believes to be true. "

Dauphin is offline Dauphin
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  Old Post 06-05-2002 03:38
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The strong principle has no basis IMO. I am of the view that the universe is as it is because it just is.

The weak principle is true, my existence has certain pre-requisites, (but this of course does not mean those pre-requisites had to be there). In effect it is a statement of conditional probability. Given that I exist, what are the chances of the universe being in the state they are.

I do subscribe to the IAM principle, and will until I am disproven, at which point I won't be bothered about being wrong.

I think the resolution of the Many Worlds Theory will have deep implications on an intelligent designer. If this is the only reality, then intelligent desing is far more likely than if every possibility was manifest sometime, somewhere.

Provost Harrison is offline Provost Harrison
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The farce is strong with this one.
Feb 2000
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  Old Post 06-05-2002 03:41
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Do you ever have a day off Logical Realist? It's all bullshit, I don't really concern myself with disproving the points of creationism, it is such an exasperating, and frankly pointless process.

Ecthy is offline Ecthy
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Mar 2000
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  Old Post 06-05-2002 03:43
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I've just been buggered by some Brit... well, my "Hi " was, of course, directed at Dr. Oogkloot who I haven't seen posting for a long time. Though it was sort of logical he'd post in an ethics thread. Keep 'em coming, LR

Provost Harrison is offline Provost Harrison
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The farce is strong with this one.
Feb 2000
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quote:
Originally posted by Ecthelion
I've just been buggered by some Brit...


Lucky you

Ecthy is offline Ecthy
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Zhonghuà Rénmín Gònghéguó
Mar 2000
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  Old Post 06-05-2002 03:56
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Yes, you're very funny. Now stop spamming threads of sophisticated posters.

Dr.Oogkloot is offline Dr.Oogkloot
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Jul 2000
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  Old Post 06-05-2002 03:58
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quote:
Originally posted by Ecthelion
Hi


Hi

Dr.Oogkloot is offline Dr.Oogkloot
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Jul 2000
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  Old Post 06-05-2002 04:02
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quote:
Originally posted by Sagacious Dolphin
The strong principle has no basis IMO. I am of the view that the universe is as it is because it just is.


If there is more than one world then the strong principle does have a basis. And I think it's very likely that there's more than one world, for physical reasons (many-worlds theory of QM is simpler) and philosophical reasons (a solution to "why is there something instead of nothing" is to say: mathematical existence is equivalent to physical existence).

quote:
I think the resolution of the Many Worlds Theory will have deep implications on an intelligent designer.


I hope so

Aeson is offline Aeson
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orangesoda
Nov 2001
time: 22:13
  Old Post 06-05-2002 04:10
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quote:
I think the resolution of the Many Worlds Theory will have deep implications on an intelligent designer. If this is the only reality, then intelligent desing is far more likely than if every possibility was manifest sometime, somewhere.


I think it can actually work in the opposite way. If the 'Universe' in our 3D (and time) sense is considered to be part of a much larger structure, then it is easier to comprehend how it the Universe could have been created by an intelligent designer. The designer would just have to reside on a larger scale than it's creation.

Now an omnibenevolent, omniscient, omnipotent designer isn't any more likely regardless of the scope attributed to existance...

Dauphin is offline Dauphin
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  Old Post 06-05-2002 04:12
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quote:
"why is there something instead of nothing"


That is easily explained by the WAP. If there were nothing, no-one could ask the question. The fact that we exist procludes the non-existing "existance". It could have just as equally turned out that nothing ever existed.

Dr.Oogkloot is offline Dr.Oogkloot
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Jul 2000
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  Old Post 06-05-2002 04:19
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BTW, Re: many worlds/religion, I do hope that if many worlds turns out to be true it will shut up most of the quantum mystics and postmodernists.

quote:
Originally posted by Sagacious Dolphin
quote:
"why is there something instead of nothing"


That is easily explained by the WAP. If there were nothing, no-one could ask the question. The fact that we exist procludes the non-existing "existance".


The WAP tells us *that* something exists (which is trivial), but not why.
It's true that if nothing existed then you wouldn't be here to ask the question, but then you're just shifting the question to: how come am I here to ask the question?

quote:
It could have just as equally turned out that nothing ever existed.


Do you think of whether something exists or not as some sort of arbitrary or random process?
If you think of it as a random process done once, then the WAP doesn't explain it - if you threw ten dice and shot yourself unless all ten turned up on six, and all ten turned up on six, you would have a reason to suspect there's something funny with the dice, instead of just saying "if that didn't happen I wouldn't be here".

Dauphin is offline Dauphin
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  Old Post 06-05-2002 04:26
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quote:
you think of it as a random process done once, then the WAP doesn't explain it - if you threw ten dice and shot yourself unless all ten turned up on six, and all ten turned up on six, you would have a reason to suspect there's something funny with the dice, instead of just saying "if that didn't happen I wouldn't be here".


That argument is flawed, in the same manner as the theory that the world will end soon because I am alive now and not in the future. (Which IIRC we have discussed before).

Dauphin is offline Dauphin
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  Old Post 06-05-2002 04:29
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quote:
you're just shifting the question to: how come am I here to ask the question?


We are here because nature is the way it is. But it could equally have turned out differently. Why did person X win the lottery kind of arguments. Person X won because they chose the right numbers! (or to avoid design, his random choice of numbers was the same as the draws random choice of numbers. )

Dr.Oogkloot is offline Dr.Oogkloot
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  Old Post 06-05-2002 05:04
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quote:
Originally posted by Sagacious Dolphin
That argument is flawed, in the same manner as the theory that the world will end soon because I am alive now and not in the future. (Which IIRC we have discussed before).


The Doomsday argument
IIRC I used to believe in that, but I think I know for certain why it's wrong now ("self-indication assumption" holds, ie posterior probability is higher than prior probability for theories that predict more observers).

...I was going to put a refutation here but am beginning to doubt whether your argument isn't correct after all
I should think about it and reply later.
I can say though that the lottery example is different because there are millions of lottery tickets being sold and we're assuming only one probabilistic "attempt" at a universe (right?). What I'm going to think about is whether this is important or not

Logical Realist is offline Logical Realist
Settler
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  Old Post 06-05-2002 11:12
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I think some of you miss one point about how this article refutes the anthropic principll claiming that the article attacks the "design" argument not the anthropic principle, this of course ignores the fact that the anthropic principle is merely a new fomr of the design argument.

One that makes many presumptiouns. Like the universe was created and could have been a diifferent way. (It could have been everlasting and been the way it is out of necessity).

Like the goal of an intelligent designer was to create life. In fact the whole idea that the creators so called goal was to create life is a totally unwarranted assumption. Not that their theory is testable anyways, and this is what makes the arguments of those who adhere to the anthropic principle; untestable and unscientific. This is because no matter how the universe turned out those adhering to the principle can find any imporbable object and go, "Look proof of fine tunning". A universe full of rocks can be said to be created by a rock god for example.

And that there is no possible universe out there which is more conductive to life. (think of one where life can survive on hydrogen or better yet on nothing at all). Which makes you wonder, why if the God's goal was to create life He didn't do a better job.

In light of better explanations though, like that of eternity,necessity and many world's theories that require fewer assumptions then that of the infinitely complex god theory, which creates more questions then it solves. All these make the God theory superfluous to say the least.

If anything can be said of any supposed God that created our universe at all, one would say It had a radical fondness for hydrogen and the lighter elements.

Adalbertus is offline Adalbertus
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Feb 2001
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  Old Post 06-05-2002 12:21 Visit Adalbertus's homepage!
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From things I read earlier (Scientific American), the Anthropic Principle, or one version of it, simply states that the universe we live in has to have a minimum degree of complexity, such as that makes our existence possible. Pretty obvious, of course, but it explains why we don't live in a one-dimensional universe, no matter how many of them might exist.

Lazarus and the Gimp is offline Lazarus and the Gimp
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Aug 2000
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  Old Post 06-05-2002 13:03
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quote:
Originally posted by Logical Realist


If anything can be said of any supposed God that created our universe at all, one would say It had a radical fondness for hydrogen and the lighter elements.



Or a fondness for the subtle touch. I've never believed in over-egging the pudding.

Ethelred is offline Ethelred
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Mar 2002
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  Old Post 06-05-2002 13:08
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quote:
Originally posted by Ecthelion
Yes, you're very funny. Now stop spamming threads of sophisticated posters.


What an obvious mispelling. Its spelled POSER.

 
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