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spartak
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Of course if the Arabs cut off the oil they would bring the whole world to its knees...
You don't need to win a battle to win a war (although that helps).
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Lord Merciless
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quote: Originally posted by Spartak
Of course if the Arabs cut off the oil they would bring the whole world to its knees...
You don't need to win a battle to win a war (although that helps). |
First, the world doesn't depend on Arab oils, they are only the cheapest.
Second, most Arab countries are not self-sufficient in food production. Stopping oil export would mean starvation. Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and all Gulf states rely on desalination of sea water to get water supply. We can just blow up these desalination plants and see what happens.
Third, we can conquer those oil fields. Desert is ideal for modern weapons and horrible guerillas.
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spartak
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Not that much - there isn't enough oil in the world if we took the ME oil out of the equation....
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Traianvs
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Belgium, land of plenty (corruption)
Jan 2000 time: 06:21
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quote: First, the world doesn't depend on Arab oils, they are only the cheapest. |
50% of the remaining oil is in arab hands (iraq, iran etc)
you said somewhere that we are working on alternative means, sure, the hydrogen powered car for example? yup it exists already but it is far from finished, it'll take them about 10 more years to fine tune it so it's absolutely ready for mass use, and on top of that, every gasstation in the world would have to change from oil to a very expensive hydrogen station...
you see, if you want to refill your tank, you can't do it yourself, it's icy cold and you'll freeze your hands, so expensive equipment is needed to fuel automatically...
secondly, large oilfields are getting depleted as we speak, the smaller oilfields too, in a few years they will be depleted, sure there are a whole lot of small oilfields we could use, but the cost compared to the benefit is too high for it to be profitable, so we're having a problem
right now Australia has lost a lot of oil production, simply because their fields are being depleted, and the rest will follow, that's why the middle east is so important, they have the largest oil fields left
btw don't count on russia, their pipes leaked as much oil as they received oil, a true environmental disaster... ah well
i was told that the next 5 years were crucial and that the US really should start looking a bit further in the future instead of concentrzating on the current state of their wicked 'economy' as if everybody on this planet cared about their economy...
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Lemmy
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Bubblewrap
Dec 2000 time: 06:21
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The US can't win, and here's why.
First, they're fighting terrorists now, based in other countries, this makes it almost impossible to take 'm all out, unless invading each of those countries.
But if they start doing that, they would have to invade a few allies too, and also countries a lot stronger then Afghanistan, countries that might actually put up a fight.
Once these countries are conquered, the US still has make sure that the terrorists don't come back there, which would also cost considerable resources.
Then with every new country they invade, there is the chance of the rest of the world turning against the US, not military, but economically, and this could be just as devastating as any terrorist attack.
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