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Kontiki
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Canada
Aug 2001 time: 00:24
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I'm curious as to how people think Germany could have been victorious in WWII.
For this discussion, I'd like to have answers that are both plausible and somewhat specific. Also, assume the allies still act in the manner they did. Responses like "keep the Americans out" are too vague - how could Germany have done this? "Win battle X" also falls into this category - how could they have won it? Or, is it impossible for Germany to have won?
Discuss.....
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MRT144
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Seattle Washington
Oct 2002 time: 21:24
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killed hitler in a martyrful way, and then put someone with military acumen in the head office
BTW you dont have a time machine do you?
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Capt Dizle
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One thing that Hitler might have done is not to invade the Soviet Union and separate himself from Japan.
I don't think the English could ever have invaded and liberated France. The US would not have come into the war if Germany had not been allied with Japan.
Hitler could have just sat on France and the part of Europe he conquered and built and grown stronger.
The wild card was the Soviets. They were arming themselves and might have attacked. But I doubt it.
Then Hitler would have been in the race for the atomic bomb.
So my position is that Hitler should not have invaded the Soviets nor pressed the war with England.
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gsmoove23
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Pretty easily I think. Even if he had entered into conflict with the soviets if Hitler had simply allowed his generals to handle it and not overplayed his hand so much...
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Kontiki
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Canada
Aug 2001 time: 00:24
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I read an interesting article by John Keegan in the book What if? He speculates that if Hitler pressed south through Turkey into the Levant and onto the ME oil supplies in 1941 rather than launching Barbarossa, he may have won the war. Germany would then have had all the oil it needed, been able to defeat British forces in North Africa with a pincer movement, and been well positioned to attack the Soviet Union from the south as well as the west. This movement into SU would have taken their oil supplies, greatly hurting their ablilty to defend/counterattack. Further, Turkey (which was neutral) and French Syria were very lightly defended and shouldn't have presented much of a problem for German forces.
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gsmoove23
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Was the Mid East a major producer of oil at that point? I thought that came later.
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Capt Dizle
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Edan makes a good point. Hitler's stopping before the war mushrooms wouldn't necessarilly be a victory in a world war.
But really the war with the West was thrust upon Hitler. He did not want it. Hitler's goal was always conquering the Soviet Union.
Maybe Hitler could have won if he had circled and isolated Stalingrad and Moscow rather than attack them directly?
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Andrew1999
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I'm not sure you can say "don't attack the USSR." Pounding Russia was one of Hitler's main goals--it would be like saying they shouldn't have invaded Poland.
The US Navy was at war with the German Navy from the middle of 1941 (via anti-submarine warfare). Throw in Lend-Lease and the US was pretty close to being a belligerent anyway. Active alliance with the UK against Japan would have turned into active support in Europe pretty quickly.
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Kontiki
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Canada
Aug 2001 time: 00:24
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quote: Originally posted by The Pioneer
This is not a very popular thing to discuss. I think that if he didn't open the eastern front he could've gotten away with it. Either that or if he didn't declare war on the US, he could've let the Americans fight their war in the Pacific, instead he gave Roosevelt a reason to assist Churchill. |
Something tells me that even if Hitler didn't open the eastern front, sooner or later Germany and the SU were going to come to blows. As for declaring war on the US, I think jimmytrick dealt with that. By allying himself with Japan, Hitler pretty much sealed his fate vis-a-vis the US. In fact, I have a feeling that the US would have gotten involved in Europe eventually anyway.
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Kontiki
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Canada
Aug 2001 time: 00:24
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quote: Originally posted by gsmoove23
Was the Mid East a major producer of oil at that point? I thought that came later. |
It wasn't nearly as dominant as it is today, but Iran already had fairly sizeable production, and I think things were starting to get fired up in Saudi Arabia too.
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Andrew1999
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quote: Originally posted by jimmytrick
Edan makes a good point. Hitler's stopping before the war mushrooms wouldn't necessarilly be a victory in a world war.
But really the war with the West was thrust upon Hitler. He did not want it. Hitler's goal was always conquering the Soviet Union.
Maybe Hitler could have won if he had circled and isolated Stalingrad and Moscow rather than attack them directly? |
Hitler didn't want war with Britain. France was another matter. Every Nazi in Europe had Versailles burned into his brain. Remember the scene with the railcar outside Paris? Hitler would have gone after France (with Benelux thrown in) at some point in his career. I don't know if Britain would stand by and let that happen.
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Kontiki
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Canada
Aug 2001 time: 00:24
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quote: Originally posted by Edan
Germany succeeds in preventing troops from retreating at Dunkirk, thereby demoralizing the Allies? |
I think if Germany had managed a greater victory at Dunkirk, the Allies wouldn't have sat there and taken it.
quote: Germany doesn't attack Russia, and concentrates on the Western Front instead? |
There was nothing left to concentrate on, and, as mentioned, the SU was always one of the goals.
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Garth Vader
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Saskatoon, SK, CA
Oct 1999 time: 22:24
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There was nothing left to concentrate on, and, as mentioned, the SU was always one of the goals
Basically in 39 they should have decided how they wanted to deal with the UK.
With almost a year to prepart transports and landing doctrine I think Sealion could have been successful in July/Aug 40. But this isn't a decision they should have put off until June 40.
If they didn't want to invade UK, a complete Med campaign should have been waged. Including better support of the Italian navy, taking Malta, etc. Once again this is something that should have been prepared, and been ready to launch right after the fall of France.
If you believe war with the SU was inevitable, they could have possibly won if they had focused on Moscow, and actually treated the locals better than Stalin did, which wouldn't have been that hard.
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Lord Merciless
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Hitler had to attack USSR. That was his whole "Lebensraum" philosophy.
Prior to 1942, he had several chances to turn things even more to his favor:
- Prevent the retreat of Allies from Dunkirk.
- Destroy RAF before start bombing British cities. Controlling the sky would make Operation Sealion a viable option.
- Setting a less ambitious goal when invading USSR. It should be obvious that if Moscow and Kiev fell, Leningrad could not hold out by itself.
- Then after invading USSR, have at least some patience about exterminating the "Untermenschen". People of the USSR, especially Ukrainians, initially welcomed Germans. He should at least wait until Moscow, Leningrad, and Kiev had fallen, and having Stalin's head on a pike. By pushing off the genocide, he would not only have gained potential allies, but would also have spared the logistical nightmare of transporting millions to concentration camps and pesky guerilla attacks.
If Hitler had done any of the above 4 things right, the outcome of the war could be totally different.
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Kontiki
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Canada
Aug 2001 time: 00:24
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I wonder how big a difference preventing the evacuation of Dunkirk would have made. Yeah, it would have been demoralizing, but it's not like the allies took any equipment with them and it's not like they used those troops right away in offensive operations.
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GePap
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of the Big Apple
Nov 2001 time: 23:24
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THe Fall of Dunkirk, with the Allied armies in it would have been a great disaster for Britian. After all, such a blow would have meant the core of its army lost, and presure to rush a new army unto the field to portect England itself.
I agree that War between HItler and the USSR was inevitable, as that was the whole point of the war in the first place. Crucial to this would have been getting England to sign out of the war, as Hitler wished. So I would agree with the previous comments about How Htiler could have pushed Britain out of the war. Without bases in Britain the eventual American war against HItler would have been more difficult. I think that England would not have stayed out indefinitelly anyway, but had it signed some sort of peace with Hitler, and had Hitler and his general been able to have Birtian of their backs form 1940-1942 or 43, and have the ability to buy oil on the world market for that time, their offensives against the USSR would have gone better off. I also agree the Germans were far too ambitious in their initial push into the USSR and the wasted good feelings towards them on the western borderlands of the USSR. BUt eventually they would have faced torubles, as they always planned to starve 40-50 million people anyway.
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