20-12-2002 07:10									#1
	Country Least Likely To Remain Intact Support Apolyton, buy Alpha Centauri

We all know the various countries that have problems staying intact and we all know the countries that seem mostly the same from one end to the other.

Give us your prediction about the next country that will split up. And tell us if it will go the peaceful route( Like Chezhoslavika) or the not so peaceful way (like Yougoslavia.)

	20-12-2002 07:11									#2
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Indonesia, the violent way.

	20-12-2002 07:12									#3
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The next country that could split will either be Iraq or Indonesia. Indonesia, if nothing is done to ease problems, will crumble. The Armed Forces will become very brutal in keeping the country intact, and slowly but surely it will fall apart and very violently. Hopefully a new leader will rise to power that will prevent that from happening.

	20-12-2002 07:12									#4
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I vote Indonesia, and the not-too-peaceful way.

	20-12-2002 07:14									#5
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Damn that was fast! If the Turks did not clamp down so hard on the Kurds, I would agree about Irak.
Indonesia, at least as far as Sumatra, Bali and Java go, is unlikely to collapse. Every other large island...

	20-12-2002 07:14									#6
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Britain - peaceful
Italy - peaceful
Pakistan - violent

	20-12-2002 07:19									#7
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Interesting that for all their problems, India and China seem nowhere near splitting up into their various component nationalities.

Closer to home, if the SNP get a majority in the Scots parliament, propose an independence referendum and win it, I don't really see what anyone could do about it...

	20-12-2002 07:20									#8
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Canada - peaceful

	20-12-2002 07:21									#9
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India (well Kashmir at least)-violent

Afghanistan-violent

Indonesia-violent

U.S.- peaceful

	20-12-2002 07:22									#10
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At present
Germany - peaceful
Italy - peaceful
Russia - peaceful
USA - violent

If this was one hundred years ago
Ottoman Empire
Austria-Hungry

	20-12-2002 07:23									#11
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quote: Originally posted by red_jon Britain - peaceful Italy - peaceful Pakistan - violent

When I was in Italy, some people talked about a north south rift but not to the extent that Italy would split up. but maybe.

Isn't there an Italian here on the forums?

	20-12-2002 07:24									#12
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Why is Austria so hungry?

	20-12-2002 07:24									#13
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quote: Originally posted by monkspider At present Germany - peaceful Italy - peaceful Russia - peaceful USA - violent If this was one hundred years ago Ottoman Empire Austria-Hungry

Is this a joke?

Otherwise explain yourself please.

	20-12-2002 07:24									#14
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quote: Originally posted by Boris Godunov Why is Austria so hungry?

Must you always make fun of other people's spelling errors?

	20-12-2002 07:26									#15
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You think Germany's going to fall apart?

I can see Italy, because there is, or has been, a northern breakaway movement, but what independent states would form from Germany?

	20-12-2002 07:27									#16
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quote: Originally posted by Plan Austral Is this a joke? Otherwise explain yourself please.

Well for the first two I see Germany breaking up into a bunch of tiny, feuding principalities. They will be called things such as "Brandenburg" and "Hannover". While Italy will break into a number of smaller states, such as "Venice", "The Papal States", and "Parma".
At least that's my take on the geo-political side of things.

	20-12-2002 07:27									#17
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quote: Originally posted by monkspider Must you always make fun of other people's spelling errors?

Only if I can make a slightly-amusing pun out of them.

	20-12-2002 07:27									#18
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Those Bavarians and their Oktoberfest!

	20-12-2002 07:28									#19
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quote: Originally posted by monkspider Well for the first two I see Germany breaking up into a bunch of tiny, feuding principalities. They will be called things such as "Brandenburg" and "Hannover". While Italy will break into a number of smaller states, such as "Venice", "The Papal States", and "Parma". At least that's my take on the geo-political side of things.

Have you been seeing strange colours on the walls too, since they gave you that pill?

	20-12-2002 07:28									#20
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monkspider, stop playing EU so much.

Trip, get out, you Ontopicer!

I foresee Apolyton shattering violently due to the Ontopicer/Offtopicer split...

	20-12-2002 07:30									#21
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Oops. I forgot the

	20-12-2002 07:30									#22
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OT till I die!!

Or until I get a bit bored.

	20-12-2002 07:31									#23
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quote: Originally posted by Boris Godunov monkspider, stop playing EU so much. Trip, get out, you Ontopicer! I foresee Apolyton shattering violently due to the Ontopicer/Offtopicer split...

There are those of us that use both.

	20-12-2002 07:32									#24
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quote: Originally posted by Sprayber There are those of us that use both.

Fence-sitters are always the first against the wall when the civil war comes.

	20-12-2002 07:35									#26
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****, this thread flies, a response or even more per minute.

	20-12-2002 07:35									#27
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another

	20-12-2002 07:35									#28
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All countries will eventually fall to the international communist conspiracy.

	20-12-2002 07:36									#29
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quote: Originally posted by Plan Austral ****, this thread flies, a response or even more per minute.

That happens when it gets infested by spam

	20-12-2002 07:37									#30
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OK to sum up the least fantastic options to me:

1. Indonesia. East Timor set the example and Irian Jaya may be close. Violent.
2. Russia. The chechens already had a taste of independence and Putin policy is exacerbating everyone. Violent.
3. Quebec and Scotland (from what I read in that post) seem like the peaceful possibilities.

Everyone else seems like a far shot.