 |
|
Demerzel
|
|
quote: Originally posted by Boris Godunov
It baffles me why a Christian would assert God created such a vast universe and only made Earth have intelligent life. Why would God be so wasteful? What would be the point? This is just senseless terra-centrism. It even makes a reference in the Bible to God's "other flocks," which can reasonably be interpreted as beings from other worlds. |
a lot of what Christians say have no relevance to the real world, why would you expect different here?
|
|
|  |
 |
|
Rex Little
|
|
My guess is that intelligent aliens do exist, but the odds against them on any given planet are so huge that there's maybe one or two races per galaxy, tops. No way we'll ever run into them.
|
|
|  |
 |
|  |
 |
|
Az
|
 |
MACEDONIA - It's the name of the sovereign country to the north of Greece
Apr 2000 time: 07:25
|
|
IMO, The odds are very good. I think there is life in at least a dosen other places in our Galaxy alone, and maybe highly evolved life in 2 or three places. However, I am being conservative, and it actually can be much more.
Lets see. there are a hundred billion stars in the solar system=10^11.
Let's say that half of them are too close to the center of the galaxy, in high concentrations of stars too bright for life to exist. that leaves us with 5*10^10.
Lets say that one in a hundred stars has planets: 5*10^9.
a Small planet relatively close to the sun: 5*10^6 ( one in a thousand, a very unforgiving fraction., considering the fact that our sun alone has 4 rocky planets close to the sun)
a small planet that has a relatively large moon: we have two examples of this in our solar system, Earth and pluto. This gives us an approximate 1 in 5. yet, what are the chances of having a large moon circling a small planet close to the solar system.
I think that one in 100 is a fair estimate. we have 5*10^4.
lots of water: say... one in 20: 2.5*10^3.
A suitable atmosphere: one in 10? it gives us 250.
Where am I wrong with my guessing math?
considering the fact that we have hundreds of billions of galaxies, I would say that the chance that we are alone are well, almost nonexistant.
|
|
|  |
 |
|
Starchild
|
 |
a raving alcoholic drama queen with a penchant for the biosciences
Jan 1970 time: 00:25
|
|
Azazel actually posted a simplified version of what is known as the Drake Equation. You take the number of stars in the galaxy and then multiple by the percentages that would have planets, suitable conditions, life, intelligent life, radio broadcasting life, and how long those broadcasting civlisations would survive for.
An interactive Drake Equation can be found here: http://www.activemind.com/Mysteriou...e_equation.html
You have to set the numbers extremely low to get just one civilisation in the galaxy.
Of course, we may be totally wrong about what shape an advanced alien society would take. Something of particular interest for me is the phenomenom known as the Singularity (the Spike, the Techno-Rapture, etc). If current trends can be sustained at their current rates of increase, then stuff like computing power, nanotechnology, life span, etc all accelerate upwards dramatically over the next 50 years to form a spike which prevents us from predicting what lies on the other side. Of course, this may all be number plotting with no basis in reality. However, if it holds out, it stands to reason that other races have had their own techno-raptures in the past. A society on the other side of the singularity would be so technologically advanced we would be unable to know it in any meaningful way. They could be so minaturised from nanotech, so energy hungry they drain their sun, and so efficient that they scramble their broadcasts across multiple frequencies that, to us, they would appear as nothing but white noise and low level background radiation.
We could be staring at a million year old society at never realise it until they bother to take the time and energy to broadcast to us in a way we can understand (ie, on one frequency that we listen to, like the hydrogen band).
|
|
|  |
 |
|
Odin
|
 |
Biology Nerd at Minnesota State University Moorhead
Sep 2000 time: 23:25
|
|
Yes, but none have visited Earth. This is based on the "Drake Equation":
there are 200,000,000,000 stars in the Milky Way Galaxy
10% of stars (20,000,000,000) are of the right type. (yellow or orange main sequence stars)
10% of the yellow and orange stars (2,000,000,000) have planets.
10% of solar systems (200,000,000) have terrestrial planets. (most of the rest are messed up with gas giant planets incrediblly close to its star, or have highly eliptical orbits)
10% of terrestrial planets (20,000,000) are at the right distance from it's star.
10% of planets in the right orbit (2,000,0000) have liquid water.
10% of oceanic planets (200,000) have life.
10% of living planets (20,000) will have large, multicellular organisms.
10% of planets with higher life forms (2,000) have intellegent life.
So, there are about 2,000 sentient species in the Galaxy.
|
|
|  |
 |
|  |
 |
|  |
 |
|
Boris Godunov
|
 |
Portland, OR
Aug 2001 time: 00:25
|
|
quote: Originally posted by obiwan18
Boris, some Christians think that there are other lifeforms, some don't. |
I'm well aware of that, what I was wondering was why some Christians don't. AFAIK, there is no Biblical injunction against alien species, and as I mentioned, one part even refers to God's "other flocks." Considering the vastness of the universe is not in dispute, I wonder why some Christians would choose to believe this, except out of some sort of earth-centrism.
quote: I used to weigh on the pro-alien side until I looked at the evolutionary arguments, the possibility of life forming from scratch, given the amount of time we estimate for the universe.
The odds are not good, and we still don't know what it takes to make life from scratch, so it seems reasonable to presume that there will be additional conditions for life to form. |
Not sure where you're getting this from (my hunch is Creationist sources ), but we really don't know if the odds are "not good" or not. In fact, it has been theorized that the odds of ambiogenesis on an earth-like world are close to 1. And then we don't know if sentient life needs an earth-like world or not--it may very well be possible under completely different conditions.
At any rate, I don't see what any of that has to do with a Christian not believing in alien life forms. After all, an omnipotent God can presumably create life when and where it wishes. It it wanted, every planet in the entire universe could be populated entirely with magical unicorns.
Throw God into the mix, and "odds" don't matter.
quote: Wasteful?
Maybe God likes the universe neat and tidy. |
What's so neat and tidy about 125 billion galaxies full of all kinds of stars, planets, gas clouds, etc., all rotating around, and yet no lifeforms to enjoy the bulk of it?
|
|
|  |
 |
|  |
All times are GMT. The time now is 05:25. Apolyton Time is 00:25. |
top of page
|
| archivepost |
|
Forum Rules:
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
|
HTML code is ON
vB code is ON
Smilies are ON
[IMG] code is ON
|
|
|
|
|
|