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OmniDude
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Denmark
May 2002 time: 06:26
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quote: Originally posted by GePap
I think the Al Samud 2 missile will be huge test: the inspectors will (or already have) called for Iraq destroy them since they can go like 110 miles instead of the limit of 93 (nto that they can hit anyting extra, but hey). IF (an incredibly unlikely) Saddam does begin to destroy them, this would be the biggest slap to Bush in saying that Inpections lead nowhere. If, as is mroe liekly, Iraq does not do it, then perhaps this war will get ON ALREADY! |
Hmm, have to disagree on your assessment here. Since he's called to destroy the missiles, ramps and fuel installations, but not the factories producing them, I think that Saddam and his advisors will come to the conclusion that the smart move will be to abide. Saddam knows that Blix is about the only thing keeping Bush out of his hair and as you noted, it will be an embarrassment to the Bush hawks if he plays nice on this one. Remember time is on his side, and Blix appears to be pretty resistent to US pressure to "get the show on the road". The longer he can postpone the invasion - cause that's evidently all he can hope for given the determination of the Bush administration - the harder it will be for the US forces because he'll have more prep time and they'll suffer in the desert heat.
On a different note, I hope that Franks will have the wisdom not to march directly into Baghdad. Occupy the rest of the country, take the time needed to avoid rushing into mine traps, bring a shitload of emergency supplies for the population and then besiege Baghdad. Urban fighting will be a PR disaster, no matter the media control, because we can trust on Saddam to pull every dirty trick in the book involving civilians(and probably a few new ones).
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