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Knight2003
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Iraqi use of biological or nuclear weapons (dirty bombs, etc. not full scale nukes) on US ground troops. Full US retribution as dictated by established Bush Sr. doctrine from the first Gulf War. Destabilization of Middle East and loss of all Arab allies after unavoidable collateral damage that comes with weapons of mass destruction. Following 'you got what you deserve' reactions from protesters in Europe will result in a rift driven between the US and Europe that would not be crossed for several generations producing an economic cold war akin to that following the American Revolution between the US and Great Britain.
This is 99.9999999999999999% UNlikely to happen.
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Lincoln
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Oh I almost forgot my best case scenario:
The war ends in a few days with a massive defection from Irag's army. Bush is hailed as a hero and the UN transforms itself into a high school debating team. Tony Blair gets his own statue next to Winston Churchill and United Airlines begins tourist flights to Iraq, Iran and N. Korea because of the universal peace on earth and good will toward men.
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Lincoln
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Iraq and the United States -- oh wait, that's two...
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Andrew1999
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The one halfway realistic disaster scenario I've heard of is A Bridge Too Far...the 82nd and 101st are inserted all over the place in too small groups, and they get overwhelmed.
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mrmitchell
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Worst case scenario:
Iraq uses a biological weapon, so the U.S. responds with a nuclear weapon, but immediately after that an advanced alien species several million lightyears away teleports thier mothership to our planet. They then commit suicide and take the entire universe with them, exploding all black holes before suicide to ensure that no new universes can continue the pattern. Simultaneous with their self-and-all-destruction, their transuniverse portal destroys all other universes too. There is only blank, and not even that. There is, for the first time, truly Nothing. And this Nothing manages to last for all eterni--wait, there isn't that either, so there isn't Nothing. There just isn't anything. Nor any nothing. To put it simply, the worst case scenario is:
There isn't.
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mrmitchell
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Actually, I agree with Skanky--I only consider nukes to be WoMD. They're the only things that actually destroy EVERYTHING, or at least 99.999999% of everything. Also they give everyone a healthy dose of radiation, similar to the health damage caused by biological/chemical warfare.
---
Oh yeah, best case scenario:
Bush comes out and admits he's wrong. Saddam peacefully resigns and the People of Iraq peacefully set up thier own government where true freedom exists. Those "Worst Case Scenario" guys keep writing those books.
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lethe
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In case the US is right and Saddam acutally has WMDs the worst case scenario is him using them.
Tactical nukes on a carrier group.
Nukes on Kuwait or Israel.
Biological weapons on either of the above three groups.
(I think tactical nukes against carrier groups or large military bases is more likely than a WMD attack against Israel.)
A pretty low strength bomb, maybe 45kton or so would have devastating tactical implications, and is in my opionion the most likely weapon to be used. (I rate it as unlikely though.)
Upside
Take out Saddam. Chop of the heads of the hydra Baath. Start Marshall Plan #2. And brain wash them enough that itäs safe to give them democracy without it meaning a fundamentalist regime in Bagdad.
Did I mention: Start a Marshall Plan for the region? Iraq needs it more than Europe did.
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12-03-2003 06:44
) nukes Israel.
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