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Chemical Ollie is offline Chemical Ollie
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  Old Post 30-03-2003 04:03
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quote:
Originally posted by Ted Striker

I can't wait for all this cheap oil so I can get 25 cents a gallon gas! Yeehaw! Kill all the towel heads for oil!!!


Hrrrm, I don't think the intention is to decrease the oil price, but to increase it. They don't want the Iraqi oil as such, just to keep it away from the market so that the oil companies in Texas can gain more profit. After all, Bush and his friends would get richer if the oil price was kept at a permanent high level, right?

(BTW, my cousin's husband is an oil millionarie in Dallas. I haven't yet asked him what he thinks of all this. He might have some inside info )

Ted Striker is offline Ted Striker
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  Old Post 30-03-2003 04:11 Visit Ted Striker's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Olaf Hårfagre


Hrrrm, I don't think the intention is to decrease the oil price, but to increase it. They don't want the Iraqi oil as such, just to keep it away from the market so that the oil companies in Texas can gain more profit. After all, Bush and his friends would get richer if the oil price was kept at a permanent high level, right?

(BTW, my cousin's husband is an oil millionarie in Dallas. I haven't yet asked him what he thinks of all this. He might have some inside info )


And the plot thickens.

You actually believe that crap? Good lawd.

Boris Godunov is offline Boris Godunov
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  Old Post 30-03-2003 04:20
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According to this week's New Yorker magazine, military officials are accusing Rumsfeld of incompetence in planning the campaign:

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tm...usa_report_dc_2

quote:

Report: Rumseld Ignored Pentagon Advice on Iraq

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld repeatedly rejected advice from Pentagon (news - web sites) planners that substantially more troops and armor would be needed to fight a war in Iraq (news - web sites), New Yorker Magazine reported.

In an article for its April 7 edition, which goes on sale on Monday, the weekly said Rumsfeld insisted at least six times in the run-up to the conflict that the proposed number of ground troops be sharply reduced and got his way.

"He thought he knew better. He was the decision-maker at every turn," the article quoted an unidentified senior Pentagon planner as saying. "This is the mess Rummy put himself in because he didn't want a heavy footprint on the ground."

It also said Rumsfeld had overruled advice from war commander Gen. Tommy Franks to delay the invasion until troops denied access through Turkey could be brought in by another route and miscalculated the level of Iraqi resistance.

"They've got no resources. He was so focused on proving his point -- that the Iraqis were going to fall apart," the article, by veteran journalist Seymour Hersh, cited an unnamed former high-level intelligence official as saying.

A spokesman at the Pentagon declined to comment on the article.

Rumsfeld is known to have a difficult relationship with the Army's upper echelons while he commands strong loyalty from U.S. special operations forces, a key component in the war.

He has insisted the invasion has made good progress since it was launched 10 days ago, with some ground troops 50 miles from the capital, despite unexpected guerrilla-style attacks on long supply lines from Kuwait.

Hersh, however, quoted the former intelligence official as saying the war was now a stalemate.

Much of the supply of Tomahawk cruise missiles has been expended, aircraft carriers were going to run out of precision guided bombs and there were serious maintenance problems with tanks, armored vehicles and other equipment, the article said.

"The only hope is that they can hold out until reinforcements arrive," the former official said.


The article quoted the senior planner as saying Rumsfeld had wanted to "do the war on the cheap" and believed that precision bombing would bring victory.

Some 125,000 U.S. and British troops are now in Iraq. U.S. officials on Thursday said they planned to bring in another 100,000 U.S. soldiers by the end of April.


I predicted a while ago that, should the war not go off as an instant and spectacular success, Rumsfeld would be the fall guy. This would seem to be the beginning of that, perhaps, if the story is correct.

The bolded sections have made me begin to very seriously fear for the lives of our troops now.

Dauphin is offline Dauphin
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  Old Post 30-03-2003 04:30
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Say it ain't so! How will we cope without Rummy's way with words?

Ted Striker is offline Ted Striker
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  Old Post 30-03-2003 04:34 Visit Ted Striker's homepage!
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The whole stalemate, running out of supplies thing is far fetched.

There is no question that the planners underestimated troop strength. That just makes it take longer is all.

Zylka is offline Zylka
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  Old Post 30-03-2003 04:40
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Someone told me to do a Google {snip by MtG} to gain insight into the current situation in Iraq

...boy was that a mistake

by MtG: Yes it was.

Last edited by MichaeltheGreat on 31-03-2003 at 03:49

Willem is offline Willem
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  Old Post 30-03-2003 05:15
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quote:
Originally posted by Ted Striker
Not really. The Kurds are actively fighting side by side with the US in the north.


For now. Things can change very quickly if they and the Turks start getting trigger happy, the US will be on their own in the north if that happens. But at least they won't be taking pot shots at the Americans, provided they don't do something really stupid like side with the Turks.

Chemical Ollie is offline Chemical Ollie
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quote:
Originally posted by Ted Striker


And the plot thickens.

You actually believe that crap? Good lawd.


As much as I believe the BS about "liberate the Iraqi people". Why would an Arab country want to be liberated by Christians who use words like "crusade" in their speaches? The whole idea is probably to unite the American people against a common enemy, make them forget the domestic problems and win a second term. But some profits from a high oil price wouldn't hurt as a spin-off, would it?

Ted Striker is offline Ted Striker
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Now you're just making stuff up.

Ted Striker is offline Ted Striker
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  Old Post 30-03-2003 05:36 Visit Ted Striker's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Zylka
reference removed by MtG



*throws up after doing the search*

Last edited by MichaeltheGreat on 31-03-2003 at 03:52

Chemical Ollie is offline Chemical Ollie
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  Old Post 30-03-2003 05:41
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quote:
Originally posted by Ted Striker


Now you're just making stuff up.


Are you talking to me? Well, what do YOU think was the reason this war started? You seem to have a very clear view.

Ted Striker is offline Ted Striker
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  Old Post 30-03-2003 05:44 Visit Ted Striker's homepage!
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It's all about unfinished business.

cyclotron7 is offline cyclotron7
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  Old Post 30-03-2003 05:45
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It seems very unlikely it is because of oil, and even if it were likely I have seen no evidence to indicate such.

Chemical Ollie is offline Chemical Ollie
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  Old Post 30-03-2003 05:47
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quote:
Originally posted by Ted Striker
It's all about unfinished business.


I think we have a consensus on that.

Chemical Ollie is offline Chemical Ollie
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  Old Post 30-03-2003 05:49
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quote:
Originally posted by cyclotron7
It seems very unlikely it is because of oil, and even if it were likely I have seen no evidence to indicate such.


See my previous post: Then why didn't you invade Cuba instead? Or Zimbabwe?

cyclotron7 is offline cyclotron7
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  Old Post 30-03-2003 05:59
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I wasn't aware of any cuban or zimbabwean (sp?) weapons of mass destruction programs.

Of course, Zimbabwe could use a good invasion.

Ted Striker is offline Ted Striker
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  Old Post 30-03-2003 06:02 Visit Ted Striker's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Olaf Hårfagre


See my previous post: Then why didn't you invade Cuba instead? Or Zimbabwe?


We were going to invade Ivory Coast to get their chocolate but Frenchie already did that so we had to settle for oil.

Chemical Ollie is offline Chemical Ollie
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  Old Post 30-03-2003 06:39
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quote:
Originally posted by Ted Striker


We were going to invade Ivory Coast to get their chocolate but Frenchie already did that so we had to settle for oil.


I bought a pineapple from Ivory Coast yesterday, only to find out it was half rotten. Just nuke'm!

If you are after terrorists and WoMD, how about Pakistan? Isn't that the supposed hideout for Osama? I remember a pre-election interview with GWB where a journalist asked if he knew the name of the military dictator of Pakistan, and he failed to find the correct answer (so would I, but I'm not running for president). I guess ol' dubya has found out the hard way by now, hasn't he?

Time for bed soon ...

Atahualpa is offline Atahualpa
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  Old Post 30-03-2003 19:17 Visit Atahualpa's homepage!
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Pakistan has nukes silly one

*End Is Forever* is offline *End Is Forever*
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  Old Post 30-03-2003 19:23 Visit *End Is Forever*'s homepage!
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Latest polls suggest 84% of the British public is now behind the war effort. Cook's now about as far right as anti-war protestors get; we're down to the rump of leftist extremists and lunatics.

VetLegion is offline VetLegion
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  Old Post 30-03-2003 19:43
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quote:
Originally posted by Ted Striker


*throws up after doing the search*





You could have been more descriptive you know. Now I too did the search, and BOY was it a mistake

Zkribbler is offline Zkribbler
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  Old Post 30-03-2003 20:25
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quote:
Originally posted by Ted Striker
The whole stalemate, running out of supplies thing is far fetched.

There is no question that the planners underestimated troop strength. That just makes it take longer is all.


Right, Ted! Of course the coalition has to pause before the final push on Baghdad.

1) There are five Republican Guard heavy divisions ringing the city. They have to be degraded with air bombardments.

2) We've just completed one of the fastest advances in military history. Coalition ground forces need to resupply, reorganize and just plain rest.

3) The Turks sandbagged the coalition by not permitting the 4th Mech Inf. to cross its territory. It's now on its way around the Arabian peninsula. Other reinforcements are also coming. It makes sense to wait for them, because of (1) and (2) above.

The only real surprise, so far, is the Iraqi's wide spread use of irregular thugs to (a) ambush convoys; (b) terrrorize the army into not giving up wholesale; and (c) terrorize the population into not revolting against Saddam.

But the irregulars are only clamping the lid down on a boiling cauldron. As soon as the Iraqis suffer a major military defeat, the hatred of the Iraqis for Saddam is going to explode.

Urban Ranger is offline Urban Ranger
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  Old Post 30-03-2003 22:32
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IIRC, the 4 ID wasn't even in the original plan, it was called up when trouble started brewing.

Anyway, this looks reasonable given Rummy's overly optimistic plan:

quote:

Much of the supply of Tomahawk cruise missiles has been expended, aircraft carriers were going to run out of precision guided bombs and there were serious maintenance problems with tanks, armored vehicles and other equipment, the article said.

Gibsie is offline Gibsie
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  Old Post 30-03-2003 22:41
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quote:
Originally posted by *End Is Forever*
Latest polls suggest 84% of the British public is now behind the war effort.


What does that mean exactly? Most people I know who are anti-war do support our troops and hope they get the job done with maximal efficiency and minimal casualities... would that make them considered "behind the war effort"?

Urban Ranger is offline Urban Ranger
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  Old Post 30-03-2003 22:44
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Some of the questions are quite badly phrased in these polls.

Gibsie is offline Gibsie
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  Old Post 30-03-2003 22:46
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I expect that's intentional.

MichaeltheGreat is offline MichaeltheGreat
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  Old Post 31-03-2003 00:29
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quote:
Originally posted by Urban Ranger
IIRC, the 4 ID wasn't even in the original plan, it was called up when trouble started brewing.


Incorrect. We move heavy equipment by ship (normally, 1 ID being an exception ), and personnel by air. 4 ID's heavy equipment had been en route to Turkey since January, but it's personnel were still at Hood. Normal practice is you fly in the troops as their equipment is being offloaded and transfered via equipment transporters to their base camps, so the personnel can inventory the equipment and perform prep and maintenance work on it.

MichaeltheGreat is offline MichaeltheGreat
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  Old Post 31-03-2003 00:37
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quote:
Originally posted by Olaf Hårfagre


Hrrrm, I don't think the intention is to decrease the oil price, but to increase it. They don't want the Iraqi oil as such, just to keep it away from the market so that the oil companies in Texas can gain more profit. After all, Bush and his friends would get richer if the oil price was kept at a permanent high level, right?

(BTW, my cousin's husband is an oil millionarie in Dallas. I haven't yet asked him what he thinks of all this. He might have some inside info )


A few things about oil economics.

(a) Iraqi oil is mostly off the market anyway, due to sanctions. We'd have a lot more control of the market, less opposition on the ground, and a more direct link with the whole terrorism business if we splattered Saudi Arabia, not Iraq.

(b) There's more money in refining oil, and in field development for third parties, etc., than there is in actually pumping the **** out of the ground. Cheney's old firm, Halliburton, is an oilfield services company - they make their money from the hardware, etc. involved in producing crude. The well known traditional oil companies make the bulk of their money from refining it and distributing the products.

(c) High sustained prices tank the rest of the economy, and stimulate both conservation and reduced consuption. People in the oil business want the stuff to be used, not sit in the ground.

(d) Overall profit margins are better with relatively low, stable prices. Too low is neither good nor sustainable, as it drives marginal fields out of production once their incremental price per barrel produced gets to or near market levels. If the benchmark prices of Saudi intermediate crude pegged at around $22-24 a barrel and stayed there, we'd all be doing a tap dance.

sprucemoose3311 is offline sprucemoose3311
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  Old Post 31-03-2003 00:39 Visit sprucemoose3311's homepage!
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I do not thik the war was badly planned:

What we (media) expected: heavy bombing for a week or two then followed by a ground invasion.

What really happened: Light bombing and decapitation attempt. Shortly followed by ground invasion.

The plan should change everyday based on new intelligence and troop movements. If war plans did not continually change every day than I would be worried.


www.brain-terminal.com

Oerdin is offline Oerdin
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  Old Post 31-03-2003 00:41
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quote:
Originally posted by Atahualpa
Pakistan has nukes silly one


Yes, but the Pakis help us out from time to time so we're not inclined to go after them. Iraq on the other hand...

 
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