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Victor Galis is offline Victor Galis
Emperor
in exile
Jul 1999
time: 00:30
  Old Post 08-08-2003 05:43 Visit Victor Galis's homepage!
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#31 Report this post to a moderator
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I don't know... if the Dems can make sure that no other high profile Dem will run, I don't think Arnold's chances are that good.

MichaeltheGreat is offline MichaeltheGreat
Apolyton Grand Executioner
mooning the house that Ruth built.
Oct 1999
time: 21:30
  Old Post 08-08-2003 05:46
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quote:
Originally posted by Berzerker
MtG -

But that's a big problem for the Dems, their pandering to special interests is one reason why California is in financial trouble. Facing a guy who has no obvious ties to special interests with the most politically connected guy in the state is going to hurt them big.


Not likely, Berz. First, California is a virtual People's Republic, that's why people like Boxer, Davis and Bustamante get elected. And the Reps are dirty with special interest ties too, they just have different ones.

Second, the Dem party machine is rich right now, the Reps aren't, so it's a question of how much money will Arnie throw in on his own.

Davis is just inept, and has the charisma of a blown out piece of retread lying on the shoulder of the road. Nobody likes Davis, but even so, if Issa hadn't been willing to pump a lot of money into the recall petition, it would have died.

Arnie may have a lot of charisma and recognition (I certainly don't dislike the guy), but this is a sort of lame duck election, and if Arnie wants to do anything as governor (and not get hamstrung by a lieutenant governor who isn't in the least accountable to him) he's going to have to play ball with the powers that be. If he runs against the special interests and both party's establishments (which isn't unlikely, since this is more of a peasant rebellion, with us peasants getting uppity), then he's going to have to be one hell of a campaigner with no learning curve, and completely cool under fire.




quote:

From the article:

Hmm...so Ahnold smoked pot. Will he support punishing others for doing what he did?


He can duck that issue, with the state having no legal ability to block the overzealous Feds, and with the Feds saying **** you to states with medical marijuana statutes

MichaeltheGreat is offline MichaeltheGreat
Apolyton Grand Executioner
mooning the house that Ruth built.
Oct 1999
time: 21:30
  Old Post 08-08-2003 05:48
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Got spare money?

quote:
Originally posted by Agathon


I've lived in various democracies, what more is there to know?


Oh, state politics tends to be a bit specific to each state down here. And California operates by a whole different set of rules.

Agathon is offline Agathon
Prince
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Dec 2002
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  Old Post 08-08-2003 05:50
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quote:
Originally posted by MichaeltheGreat


Oh, state politics tends to be a bit specific to each state down here. And California operates by a whole different set of rules.


Pretty crazy isn't it? It looks like it will be worth voting just for the sheer choice of nutty candidates.

MichaeltheGreat is offline MichaeltheGreat
Apolyton Grand Executioner
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Oct 1999
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  Old Post 08-08-2003 05:53
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I also think there's a deal between Bustamante and Issa and the party establishments, but we'll have to see what shakes out the next few days for confirmation if the fix is in.

Timexwatch is offline Timexwatch
King
Columbia Heights, Washington D.C.
Jul 1999
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  Old Post 08-08-2003 05:53
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Last round, I swear :

"I need your clothes, your boots and your governorship."

"When the Governor gets here, CALL ME."

"Hey Gray! You bankrupted my state... BIG Mistake!"

"This is the problem with politicians... they're REALLY inconsiderate when it comes to people's money."

"NOT. Surprise, I'm your new Governor. And I've come to make your lives a living HELL. Prepare for a bitter harvest. WINTER... has come at last. "

"Who is your Governor, and what does he do?"

"You lack fiscal discipline!"

Agathon is offline Agathon
Prince
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  Old Post 08-08-2003 05:55
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quote:
Originally posted by MichaeltheGreat
I also think there's a deal between Bustamante and Issa and the party establishments, but we'll have to see what shakes out the next few days for confirmation if the fix is in.


Presumably, from what I can gather, the animus of the voters is aimed squarely at Davis and not at the rest of the administration. That's why this Bukkawhite fellow has a chance.

It'll be fun to see Arn lose though, I'm guessing he won't take it well.

Albert Speer is offline Albert Speer
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Puerile Polemic
Mar 1999
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  Old Post 08-08-2003 05:56
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quote:
"Who is your Governor, and what does he do?"


lol you know about those arnold prank calls too?

MichaeltheGreat is offline MichaeltheGreat
Apolyton Grand Executioner
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Oct 1999
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  Old Post 08-08-2003 05:57
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quote:
Originally posted by Agathon

It'll be fun to see Arn lose though, I'm guessing he won't take it well.


I doubt it - he has the best of all worlds, either way. What's going to be telling is if/how hard he really campaigns for it.

Boris Godunov is offline Boris Godunov
King
Portland, OR
Aug 2001
time: 00:30
  Old Post 08-08-2003 06:04
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quote:
Originally posted by Soul Survivor
1. He has no political experience. With the way politics is today, thats a good thing.


Ah, yes. Such types have been such effective leaders lately. Jesse Ventura, John Corzine, Michael Bloomberg...oops!

Soul Survivor is offline Soul Survivor
Settler
UChicago
May 2003
time: 05:30
  Old Post 08-08-2003 06:07
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I don't think Bloomberg is bad for the city, he just has to deal with all the post-9/11 problems - so no matter what he does, no matter who does it, things were (are) getting worse in the city no matter what.

Timexwatch is offline Timexwatch
King
Columbia Heights, Washington D.C.
Jul 1999
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  Old Post 08-08-2003 06:09
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quote:
Originally posted by Albert Speer


lol you know about those arnold prank calls too?


Know about them? I've done them

DinoDoc is offline DinoDoc
Emperor
AECCP loves Democracy
Sep 1999
time: 23:30
  Old Post 08-08-2003 06:12
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quote:
Originally posted by Agathon
It'll be fun to see Arn lose though, I'm guessing he won't take it well.
Why? He can just console himself by thinking of the paycut he won't have to take.
quote:
He has no political experience. With the way politics is today, thats a good thing.
Where did you get that idea? The the after-school initiative that passed in '02 was his baby, was it not?

Boris Godunov is offline Boris Godunov
King
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Aug 2001
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  Old Post 08-08-2003 06:12
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Bloomberg has been severely hamstrung by the very political inexperience you're advocating. He has no relationships with other city leaders a politician ordinarily would have, so has no clue how to play the political game (which, sadly, is a must) to get things done. His approval ratings are akin to Davis's, and that's pretty difficult to achieve without some measure of ineptitude.

He's made some pretty bad political moves while in office, including the smoking ban (Gee, let's piss off a good bulk of your constituents when a state law mandating the exact same thing is in the pipeline and likely to pass!), his lacksadasical response to the MTA crisis and his alienating both the Fire Dept. and the Police Dept., two city agencies with incredible clout.

He came in trying to lead the city like he does his business, as a veritable dictator. He's being roundly *****slapped from all sides now, because he didn't know how to play ball.

Berzerker is offline Berzerker
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topeka, kansas,USA
May 1999
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  Old Post 08-08-2003 06:17
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Mtg -
quote:
Not likely, Berz. First, California is a virtual People's Republic, that's why people like Boxer, Davis and Bustamante get elected. And the Reps are dirty with special interest ties too, they just have different ones.


No doubt, the Reps and Dems are corrupt nearly to the bone imo, but Arnold, like Perot before him, can put distance between himself and the parties and their special interests. I believe ~%15-18 of the people in just about any state are die-hard Dems or Reps and most of the rest who call themselves Dems or Reps are flexible when faced with a "cross-over" candidate such as Arnold. I think a previous poster had it about right, Bustamonte with ~%30 and Arnold closer to %50, I think only Feinstein could beat him. But we'll see soon enough.

quote:
Second, the Dem party machine is rich right now, the Reps aren't, so it's a question of how much money will Arnie throw in on his own.


Not as much I'm sure, but he'll get plenty of free coverage. It'll be tough, but I think he's the frontrunner nonetheless. Depends on whether or not the Reps put up a more "conservative" candidate to draw away Republican votes.

quote:
He can duck that issue, with the state having no legal ability to block the overzealous Feds, and with the Feds saying **** you to states with medical marijuana statutes


The key, if Arnold succeeds in getting pot laws reformed (not likely he'll even try), is that if the state of California refuses to enforce federal pot laws, the feds are screwed. They can't afford the resources to police the state like they can selected cities where medical pot distributors are pretty well-known. But I highly doubt he'll even mention pot laws/reforms; hell, I don't even know his views on that matter.

Berzerker is offline Berzerker
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topeka, kansas,USA
May 1999
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  Old Post 08-08-2003 06:19
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On a sidenote, it will be very interesting to see how the Dems go about attacking Arnold's apparent/alleged infidelities given how they didn't care one bit about Clinton.

Lancer is offline Lancer
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Oregon Coast, USA! or Bohol, Philippines!
Apr 1999
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  Old Post 08-08-2003 06:19
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If Arny gets in he can shut down SkyNet! Maybe we should vote for him if we want to live!?!?

DinoDoc is offline DinoDoc
Emperor
AECCP loves Democracy
Sep 1999
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  Old Post 08-08-2003 06:21
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quote:
Originally posted by Berzerker
On a sidenote, it will be very interesting to see how the Dems go about attacking Arnold's apparent/alleged infidelities given how they didn't care one bit about Clinton.
Aren't they old news by now considering the tabloids have already gone to the trouble of digging them up and broadcasting to the public "long ago"?

Berzerker is offline Berzerker
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May 1999
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  Old Post 08-08-2003 06:22
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I recall a comedian saying Arnold didn't stand a chance because just his name insults 2 ethnic minorities,

Berzerker is offline Berzerker
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May 1999
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  Old Post 08-08-2003 06:24
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quote:
Aren't they old news by now considering the tabloids have already gone to the trouble of digging them up and broadcasting to the public "long ago"?


Not with the machine MtG mentioned promoting the stories. I'd be surprised given it is California after all, but I've heard Arnie groped a few women. Adultery is one thing, sexual assault is different.

Sava is offline Sava
King
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Mar 2001
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  Old Post 08-08-2003 06:27
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I don't mind the recall effort. I mind the fact that Schwarzenegger doesn't have a ****ing clue about what he's going to do about the budget crisis.

MichaeltheGreat is offline MichaeltheGreat
Apolyton Grand Executioner
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Oct 1999
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  Old Post 08-08-2003 07:10
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quote:
Originally posted by Berzerker
On a sidenote, it will be very interesting to see how the Dems go about attacking Arnold's apparent/alleged infidelities given how they didn't care one bit about Clinton.


Ever heard the Sam Rayburn story about Lyndon Johnson and his pig****er opponent?

MichaeltheGreat is offline MichaeltheGreat
Apolyton Grand Executioner
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  Old Post 08-08-2003 07:12
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quote:
Originally posted by Berzerker
Mtg -
The key, if Arnold succeeds in getting pot laws reformed (not likely he'll even try), is that if the state of California refuses to enforce federal pot laws, the feds are screwed. They can't afford the resources to police the state like they can selected cities where medical pot distributors are pretty well-known. But I highly doubt he'll even mention pot laws/reforms; hell, I don't even know his views on that matter.


(a) State officials can be criminally charged with contempt and obstruction of justice for refusing to enforce Federal laws.

(b) the Feds have huge purse-string leverage over any state.

(c) The drug laws issue frankly isn't important enough to anywhere near a majority of voters to get into a confrontation with the Feds over, so the states will bend over and take it from the Feds, like they do with virtually every other mandate, unfunded or otherwise.

yavoon is offline yavoon
Warlord

Oct 2001
time: 05:30
  Old Post 08-08-2003 07:38
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hasta lavista poverty

Ted Striker is offline Ted Striker
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  Old Post 08-08-2003 07:44 Visit Ted Striker's homepage!
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Bustamante has no chance.

Arnold is going to win this in a LANDSLIDE

He knows the game, he has the highest face value, he has all the money, he has Republican backing at the national level, and most importantly, he knows how to handle the spin control.

You heard it here first

Sava is offline Sava
King
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  Old Post 08-08-2003 07:47
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If he gets elected, I doubt he's going to be successful in solving California's problems. I think the man is relatively bright, but shouldn't be starting his political career in such an atmosphere. If he screws up, his political career is over faster than you can say "Kindergarten Cop".

Ted Striker is offline Ted Striker
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Who cares dude he whooped the Predators ass

MichaeltheGreat is offline MichaeltheGreat
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  Old Post 08-08-2003 07:58
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quote:
Originally posted by Ted Striker
Bustamante has no chance.

Arnold is going to win this in a LANDSLIDE

He knows the game, he has the highest face value, he has all the money, he has Republican backing at the national level, and most importantly, he knows how to handle the spin control.

You heard it here first


Yeah, I hear a lot of crap and nonsense here first. Why in hell would the RNC care about this race? They don't care about getting rid of twits like Boxer.

Sava is offline Sava
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quote:
Originally posted by Ted Striker
Who cares dude he whooped the Predators ass
Big deal, Linda Hamilton crushed his *****-ass in Terminator.

Ted Striker is offline Ted Striker
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MTG that's crazy! You think the RNC is just going to ignore the largest state in the Union? Especially after they screwed it up the first time?

It's on baby, it's on...

 
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