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Sandman
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Sinister Penguin
Aug 2001 time: 05:30
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quote: then why is blixie even proposing the "beware of dog theory"? |
He is not 'proposing' it.
'Blix, who spent three years searching for Iraqi chemical, biological and ballistic missiles as head of the U.N. Monitoring, Verification and Inspection Commission, said Iraq might have tried to fool the United States into believing it had weapons of mass destruction over the years in order to deter attack.
'Over the years' suggests that it was a ploy used by the Iraqis during the nineties. I doubt Blix is correct, however, since there is a total lack of a convincing 'beware of the dog sign' on the part of Iraq; their behaviour can be explained in other, more likely ways. Even if Blix is correct, the Iraqis certainly abandoned this ploy during the run-up to war (they could hardly have missed the troop build-up), only to meet a classic series of ever-escalating demands, at least one of which was virtually impossible to fulfil.
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lord of the mark
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FUKCOV - Former United Kingdom Colony of Virginia
Dec 2000 time: 00:30
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quote: Originally posted by Sandman
He is not 'proposing' it.
'Blix, who spent three years searching for Iraqi chemical, biological and ballistic missiles as head of the U.N. Monitoring, Verification and Inspection Commission, said Iraq might have tried to fool the United States into believing it had weapons of mass destruction over the years in order to deter attack.
'Over the years' suggests that it was a ploy used by the Iraqis during the nineties. I doubt Blix is correct, however, since there is a total lack of a convincing 'beware of the dog sign' on the part of Iraq; their behaviour can be explained in other, more likely ways. Even if Blix is correct, the Iraqis certainly abandoned this ploy during the run-up to war (they could hardly have missed the troop build-up), only to meet a classic series of ever-escalating demands, at least one of which was virtually impossible to fulfil. |
tehy did not give it up, as they did not use their opportunity under 1441 to give a detailed documentation of their destruction of WMD. As for the troops, they obviously thought any second resolution would be vetoed (they were right about that) and that in the absence of a resolution, that the US would not act (they were wrong, but so were alot of other people)
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Sandman
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Sinister Penguin
Aug 2001 time: 05:30
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quote: tehy did not give it up, as they did not use their opportunity under 1441 to give a detailed documentation of their destruction of WMD. As for the troops, they obviously thought any second resolution would be vetoed (they were right about that) and that in the absence of a resolution, that the US would not act (they were wrong, but so were alot of other people) |
The Iraqis submitted a 12,000 page declaration. It was ntipicked to death, and was criticised on the grounds that it contained nothing new, as if it would help Iraq to have included details on new weapons!
To think that Saddam would risk his regime on the USA respecting the United Nations is laughable. Anybody with a gram of intelligence could see that they were going to invade regardless of the UN.
quote: 1. I suggest we allow Blix to clarify the timing he meant, rather than speculate. |
'Over the years' certainly indicates a larger time period than the immediate run-up to war.
quote: 2. As for convincing "beware of dog sign" i presume he is referencing something he really does know about, or why mention it at all? Presumably actual interference in inspections, etc. |
The 'interference' can be explained be a plethora of more likely reasons, for example, official petty-mindedness by Iraqi officials, genuine fears that the inspectors were gathering intelligence, communications failures and fears for the safety of Saddam.
This fanciful suggestion that Iraq was pretending to have WMDs to stop America invading, whilst all the time America was desperately searching for evidence, and found nothing requires that:
1. The Iraqis had a death wish, since it was blindingly obvious that America was just itching to invade.
2. That the Iraqis played an absurdly subtle game with the inspectors.
3. That despite wanting to appear to have WMDs, the Iraqis somehow managed to fail to fabricate enough evidence to convince the UN, but enough to convince the US and its client states.
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Comrade Tassadar
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Such as that big, honkin nuclear weapon he had.
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Dr Strangelove
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Judging by the caliber of his leadership it just might.
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