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PLATO is offline PLATO

King
Of the occupied South
Dec 2002
time: 23:33
  Old Post 09-01-2004 09:44
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quote:
Originally posted by Spiffor

1. These figures come from a seemingly serious source quoted by Lord Of The Mark. They figure the estimated amount of dead Iraqi soldiers, among other victims. For these guys are people too. And when hundreds of tanks get wasted, and when barracks get levelled by cruise missiles, it's not hard to figure there have been quite a few dead anyways.

2. It's most probably true that the death toll would have been worse if Saddam's family had been remaining in power. This is actually the only valid reason to support the war IMHO (and IIRC, only Laz was consistent he solely supported the war based on these grounds).
Yet, starting a war is great responsibility. When I read that it's "not that bad" that doubtful intelligence started a whole war, I think that some people have completely forgotten what responsibility a declaration of war is. I find it particularily frightening coming from someone in the military. I mean, these people are supposed to know better than others that war is hell.

If I kill your daughter, and then I say later it's "not that bad, because I trusted my hunch she was dangerous", how would you react? Badly I assume (I hope). Well, here is exactly the same.

The "oops" argument can not, may not be tolerated.


1.) I am not disputing those figures.

2.)It certainly should have been one of our concerns in starting the war.
You are quoting me and then debating Patroklos ????

The "daughter" analogy is faulty. If your daughter was a mass murderer and was shot for alledgedly kidnapping(which may not have happened) is that "so bad"?

TCO is offline TCO
Emperor
Richmond, VA
Jan 1970
time: 00:33
  Old Post 09-01-2004 09:45
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If Powell said there was definitive proof, then he was wrong. But bottom line, Saddam brought it on himself when he threw out the inspectors in 1998 after losing the war in 1991 and signing a cease-fired which bound him to abide by the inspection of removal of his WOMD.

He had a record of cheating before GW1. Why should the burden of proof be on us to monitor a closed society. that is too much. That is a recipie for failure...for allowing people like Saddam to evade.

the way he played ally against ally shows enough.

PLATO is offline PLATO

King
Of the occupied South
Dec 2002
time: 23:33
  Old Post 09-01-2004 09:46
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quote:
Originally posted by Spiffor

Of course, this assumption is wholly unreasonable when talking about realpolitik .

I still fail to see how come the intelligence could have been adamant there was a proof (as Powell told the UN) of the ties between Iraq and Al Qaeda, now that we know there is no proof? What could we possibly learn this year that invalidates previous proof? How could we learn that the accusatory taped conversations were just pranks? How could we learn that the blatant missile platforms have never been there? Surely, the satellites must have had a glitch and just happened to make sand look like convincing missile platforms.

Really, I would have thought that the capture of Saddam's palace would have brought many revelations. But how could they bring "unrevelations"?


The only possible explaination would be that the intelligence was based on HUMINT and that once we got on the ground there was a different picture.

Patroklos is offline Patroklos
Warlord
Back home in good ole Norfolk VA
Dec 2001
time: 05:33
  Old Post 09-01-2004 09:47
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If you can not see how "proof" van be invalidated by further findings then I suggest you go back to the labratory, or at least study scientific history.

Realpolitik does not exclude mistakes, false information, incompotance or misanalysis if it is applied in its true sense. It does not mean assume the worst.

Spiffor is offline Spiffor
Emperor
CPA - Evil Clone brigade
Nov 2001
time: 06:33
  Old Post 09-01-2004 09:49
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quote:
Originally posted by PLATO
You are quoting me and then debating Patroklos ????

Sorry, but Pat's "not so bad" argument made me extremely angry, I only focused about it.

PLATO is offline PLATO

King
Of the occupied South
Dec 2002
time: 23:33
  Old Post 09-01-2004 09:53
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quote:
Originally posted by Spiffor

Sorry, but Pat's "not so bad" argument made me extremely angry, I only focused about it.


Understandable. I am sure that he was speaking in relative terms and was not trying to disrespect those who died nor diminish the importance of individual life.

TCO is offline TCO
Emperor
Richmond, VA
Jan 1970
time: 00:33
  Old Post 09-01-2004 09:55
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haven't we covered this before?

Patroklos is offline Patroklos
Warlord
Back home in good ole Norfolk VA
Dec 2001
time: 05:33
  Old Post 09-01-2004 09:57
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Spiffor,

For someone who normally has such a good grasp on things I don't know why you are stuck on that comment. I said the information available to the intellignece assets at the time was more than adequate to lead some to believe things about Iraq, and that I can understand it to be an honest mistake. It was "not so bad" of a mistake for an analyst behind a desk in the basement of Langely to make. Obviously the cosequences are horrible.

I swear people try to misunderstand things here.

PLATO is offline PLATO

King
Of the occupied South
Dec 2002
time: 23:33
  Old Post 09-01-2004 09:58
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quote:
Originally posted by TCO
haven't we covered this before?


Check.

Spiffor is offline Spiffor
Emperor
CPA - Evil Clone brigade
Nov 2001
time: 06:33
  Old Post 09-01-2004 09:58
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quote:
Originally posted by Patroklos
Realpolitik does not exclude mistakes, false information, incompotance or misanalysis if it is applied in its true sense. It does not mean assume the worst.

If the Bushies hadn't been so gung-ho about this war from the beginning, they would have judged the "evidence" provided by USUK intelligence with more than a pinch of salt, especially after the UK report debacle.
I mean, when an intelligence agency uses a so false report as its main support for accusation, any person with common sense would think something is fishy (and we knew the report was completely bollocks way before the war).

For the sake of argument, I'll admit the Bushies haven't willingly manipulated intelligence. Then, they have shown their gung-honess by taking for granted everything that was accusatory to Saddam, and by forgetting about everything that was fishy. This is especially irresponsible, considered that so many other countries publically rejected the evidence as being shaky at best.

TCO is offline TCO
Emperor
Richmond, VA
Jan 1970
time: 00:33
  Old Post 09-01-2004 10:02
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how do you feel about the death penalty. How about if we turn Saddam over to the EuroUN Worldcourt of himan rights or whatever it is. Will you promise to kill him then? Win-win?

PLATO is offline PLATO

King
Of the occupied South
Dec 2002
time: 23:33
  Old Post 09-01-2004 10:02
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quote:
Originally posted by Spiffor

If the Bushies hadn't been so gung-ho about this war from the beginning, they would have judged the "evidence" provided by USUK intelligence with more than a pinch of salt, especially after the UK report debacle.


But they were gung ho to go to war. The reason why, while necessary, wasn't internationally sanctioned. WMD was.

Patroklos is offline Patroklos
Warlord
Back home in good ole Norfolk VA
Dec 2001
time: 05:33
  Old Post 09-01-2004 10:04
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I agree that emotions were running high at the time, on both sides. As gung-ho for going to war as Bush was much of his opposition was equally gung-ho about not no matter what the evidence said, both irresponsible positions.

But as I said this still only knocks out a few reasons. If you are like me who agrees with the war for both the realpolitik AND idealist reasons, than having one of the two legs to stand on, in my opinion the more important one, is more than enough. And since I actually have to go there and it is good enough for me, alot of the extremies here are just arguing for the sake of it.

Ted Striker is offline Ted Striker
Emperor
United States of America
Jan 1970
time: 21:33
  Old Post 09-01-2004 10:35 Visit Ted Striker's homepage!
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TCO's jokes are the mf'in shiznit

Drake Tungsten is offline Drake Tungsten
Prince
Knee deep in alien womyn...
Oct 2001
time: 14:33
  Old Post 09-01-2004 10:36
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Word.

Shi Huangdi is offline Shi Huangdi
Emperor
Pittsburgh, PA
Apr 1999
time: 00:33
  Old Post 09-01-2004 10:41
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All we have is there is no proof of Al-Qaeda ties or WMDs. That doesn't mean there weren't Al-Qaeda ties, and the hunt of WMDs(Which may have been carefully hidden in places they wouldn't notice such aas RPG rounds) has lost resources due to the insurgency. We have, however, had members of the Iraqi military admit that Iraq did have WMDs.

VJ is offline VJ
Prince
Helsinki
Dec 2001
time: 07:33
  Old Post 09-01-2004 19:22
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quote:
All we have is there is no proof of Al-Qaeda ties or WMDs. That doesn't mean there weren't Al-Qaeda ties, and the hunt of WMDs(Which may have been carefully hidden in places they wouldn't notice such aas RPG rounds) has lost resources due to the insurgency. We have, however, had members of the Iraqi military admit that Iraq did have WMDs.

In other words: Guilty until proven innocent.

quote:
I really didn't expect anyone to get that reference!

Point: Anyone in US who blames Iraq for supporting Al-Qaeda is a bloody hypocritical idiot.

Patroklos is offline Patroklos
Warlord
Back home in good ole Norfolk VA
Dec 2001
time: 05:33
  Old Post 09-01-2004 19:39
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If in your lifetime you have not had to follow a course you didn't particularly like to achieve a greater goal, or in other words pick a lesser of two evils, turn off your computer and go outside for the first time in your life.

There is no problem with USING Saddam (note the negative connotation for Saddam) against Iran and the Soviets considering what the greater stakes in that contest were. What would have been dispicable is if we continued to offer support after we won the Cold War. As it is once that war ended, actually before, not only did we cut him lose but they we beat the hell out of him.

VJ is offline VJ
Prince
Helsinki
Dec 2001
time: 07:33
  Old Post 09-01-2004 19:45
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quote:
There is no problem with USING Saddam (note the negative connotation for Saddam) against Iran and the Soviets considering what the greater stakes in that contest were. What would have been dispicable is if we continued to offer support after we won the Cold War. As it is once that war ended, actually before, not only did we cut him lose but they we beat the hell out of him.

Missed the point.

Patroklos is offline Patroklos
Warlord
Back home in good ole Norfolk VA
Dec 2001
time: 05:33
  Old Post 09-01-2004 20:03
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Not suprising

Jac de Molay is offline Jac de Molay
Prince
Detroit
Sep 2001
time: 05:33
  Old Post 09-01-2004 20:21
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quote:
In other words: Guilty until proven innocent.


Exactly. The old "absence of proof is not proof of absence" argument doesn't justify any war, at least not in a democratic society. As if we lived in anyway.

They were going to have their war no matter what. The rest was just window dressing.

TheStinger is offline TheStinger
Warlord
International crime fighting playboy
Apr 2002
time: 05:33
  Old Post 09-01-2004 20:53
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If the reason was just to get rid of an evil git who killed over 300,00 people and invaded 2 other countries would people have supported it.

Thats why I think they should have gone to war.

Sirotnikov is offline Sirotnikov
King
<--- Yes, It's a "kitty" in a boot.
Feb 2000
time: 07:33
  Old Post 09-01-2004 21:06
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quote:
In other words: Guilty until proven innocent.

Inexact.

Saddam was not exactly an innocent guy.

Consider this.

A person named Saddam is convicted of aggravated assault in 1991. His arrest reveals he also has been possessing illegal arms. He is forced to visit his parole officer and continuosly report on his stash of arms.

In 1998, he suddenly quits visiting his parole officer, and refuses to give any information on arms he may or may not have. Police intelligence suggests he does have arms, but at the time, no serious action is taken against him.

In 2001 new legistlation called "hard on crime" is passed. The police then decides to pursue Saddam for avoiding meetings with the parole officer, and, according to intelligence evidence, developing and possessing illegal arms.

Saddam is asked to report with his parole officer, and bring papers documenting his arms developing and smuggling bussiness. He tries to avoid meetings, or comes and doesn't speak. The evidence he gives on the arms issue is clearly missing any part about arms. When confronted, he promises he stopped dealing with them years ago, but the police knows it contradicts evidence they had in 1998.

When asked, Saddam does not provide any evidence of having disposed of any arms. He continues to claim he never had anything, which contradicts police intelligence.

Would you arrest this person on suspected charges of evading justice, purgery and arms smuggling?

I remind you that you have what appears to be soild intelligence that he is lying.

GePap is offline GePap
King
of the Big Apple
Nov 2001
time: 23:33
  Old Post 09-01-2004 21:34
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PLATO:

You mix up the timeline: the "triumvirate" formed AFTER the US made WMD's and a tie to Al-Qaeda the basic cliam for the war, NOT before. In fact, the US failed to get as many votes as it sought for the second resolution exactly becuase it failed to make the sale of this arguemnt, that this war was a valid war of pre-emptive self-defense. We can see right now why they failed- becuase that arguement was weak from the start.

From day 1 my opposition to invading iraq was based on the notion that the administration was defrauding the world but more specifically the American people for the rationale of the war, and that the war effort itself would be greatly undermined. Sloww's endless arguemnt that the US did thi to enforce UN resolutions is flawed becuase you can ahrdly base your action on the legitimacy of a UN resolution while at the same time undermining the very validity of the UN system.
Laz and a few others were the ones who pushed, as Spiff has said, the war on purely humanitarian reasons. If Bush had come out day one saying this was the reason for the war, I would jhave backed it- but the American people and congress would not have. If the Admin. had form day one said this was the start of a new experiemental porgram of democratization of the ME through the use of military power as opposed to trying to decay systems from within or using non-military presure form without, we could have had a real debate in this country about the core ideas that really drove this war- but I doubt such a serious discussion would have been possible and that at the end of the day the admin. would have been able to seel the idea to non-elites.

So, with a good idea that selling the war on the valid points was impossible before the fact, they distorted beyond reality the threat from Iraq to sell the war on the one basis that mattered.

Interestingly, the US would have been able to sell the war to foreign governments on the real basis of the war more easily than with the made up arguements, but the people who run this WH really do not care if anyone save maybe the UK is along- they do think US power is sufficient to do something like Iraq, which is why they could spurn the UN.

TCO is offline TCO
Emperor
Richmond, VA
Jan 1970
time: 00:33
  Old Post 10-01-2004 04:19
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quote:
Originally posted by Drake Tungsten
Word.


This is more important than the topic. This not a serious thread, right Ming?

KrazyHorse is offline KrazyHorse
King
Macedonia
May 2001
time: 00:33
  Old Post 10-01-2004 04:50 Visit KrazyHorse's homepage!
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So there's no evidence of CBN weapons and no evidence of Al Qaeda links.

So the US admin was lying through its teeth.

Not really news. Therefore the only possible justification for the war was to alleviate suffering of Iraqi people, the issue which got the least play in the US.

Don't Americans ever get tired of their leadership making up reasons to go to war?

Remember the Maine!

TCO is offline TCO
Emperor
Richmond, VA
Jan 1970
time: 00:33
  Old Post 10-01-2004 04:58
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We were not lying when we said that Saddam had not complied with the inspections. He played cat and mouse a little too long...

KrazyHorse is offline KrazyHorse
King
Macedonia
May 2001
time: 00:33
  Old Post 10-01-2004 05:00 Visit KrazyHorse's homepage!
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Hah. Your twit of a Prez was spoiling for an excuse to knock off Saddam.

Too bad he's not a better liar.

KrazyHorse is offline KrazyHorse
King
Macedonia
May 2001
time: 00:33
  Old Post 10-01-2004 05:02 Visit KrazyHorse's homepage!
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BTW, I would really have loved to see Bush sell a war to the US with the line "he doesn't have CNB weapons, but he hasn't rolled over and played dead enough for us"...

TCO is offline TCO
Emperor
Richmond, VA
Jan 1970
time: 00:33
  Old Post 10-01-2004 05:05
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quote:
Originally posted by KrazyHorse
Hah. Your twit of a Prez was spoiling for an excuse to knock off Saddam.

Too bad he's not a better liar.


And for good reason. He invaded Kuwait and then continued to misbehave. If the Democrats had there way, he would still be in Kuwait.

 
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