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Wraith is offline Wraith
King
Austin, Texas, USA
Aug 1999
time: 23:34
  Old Post 26-02-2004 18:09
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--"I know that's a staple of libertarian philosphy, but it's also incorrect,"

How is it incorrect? A Ponzi scheme pays out to early participants by taking money from a larger number of later participants. That's exactly what Social Security is trying to do. There is no "trust fund" or saving or anything of the sort, all the money gets spent now. Which means the people paying in now are supporting the people who are getting paid now. Which is a Ponzi scheme, and is only supportable as long as the number of new participants continues to grow.

If you want to make it not be a Ponzi scheme you'll have to scrap the whole system and start over. Which I wouldn't quite call "saving", unless knocking out a window and putting in a door somehow saves the window...

Wraith
"Politics and crime - they're the same thing."
-- ("The Godfather")

pchang is offline pchang
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Aug 1999
time: 05:34
  Old Post 26-02-2004 20:37
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Doesn't anyone read my sig? SS is a Ponzi scheme, but Ponzi schemes can work if the number of new payers balances out the number of old payees. Thus, we either need to have more babies or kill of more old people. However, by expanding the scope of the program, the numbers are made worse.

MichaeltheGreat is offline MichaeltheGreat
Apolyton Grand Executioner
mooning the house that Ruth built.
Oct 1999
time: 21:34
  Old Post 26-02-2004 21:01
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quote:
Originally posted by Sava
remove income cap on the amount taxed... currently, the highest amount people are taxed on SS is $87,000 or so... that means... someone making $10,000,000 gets taxed as if they made $87,000.

That is terribly regressive and not fair.


And you're a moron. Not only is the benefit capped in addition to the tax being capped, but if you continue to earn income at any decent amount, your SS benefit is reduced accordingly, regardless of what you contribute.


quote:

Oh wait, but it's more important that rich people making hundreds of millions have an extra million dollars rather than millions of people having a decent government retirement.


Actually, it is, since those "millions of people" generally don't have a decent government retirement even at current taxing and spending levels. So **** it, the system doesn't work, let's do something else.

MichaeltheGreat is offline MichaeltheGreat
Apolyton Grand Executioner
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Oct 1999
time: 21:34
  Old Post 26-02-2004 21:09
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quote:
Originally posted by Ben Kenobi


Adam Smith:

What would happen if you lowered the payouts, to what would be needed for a person to live comfortably on their income in their retirement, but no more?


Payouts are already such that most retirees relying solely on SS benefits can't live even minimally comfortably in most areas of the US. Northwestern Mexico is has a lot of US retirees who move down there for lower housing, medical and drug costs, because they can't afford to live in the US.

chegitz guevara is offline chegitz guevara
King
Ft. Lauderdale, FL Communist Party of Apolyton
Jun 2000
time: 00:34
  Old Post 26-02-2004 21:12 Visit chegitz guevara's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Wraith
--"I know that's a staple of libertarian philosphy, but it's also incorrect,"

How is it incorrect? A Ponzi scheme pays out to early participants by taking money from a larger number of later participants.


And that's not what social security is. SS is a tax on current workers to keep the elderly from living in poverty. Ponzi schemes also are fraudulent. The nature of the crime must be kept from those who by in or they'll lose faith in the system. With social security, there has been a concerted effort on the part of some to lie about the system in order to make it fail.

MichaeltheGreat is offline MichaeltheGreat
Apolyton Grand Executioner
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Oct 1999
time: 21:34
  Old Post 26-02-2004 21:18
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quote:
Originally posted by chegitz guevara


And that's not what social security is. SS is a tax on current workers to keep the elderly from living in poverty. Ponzi schemes also are fraudulent. The nature of the crime must be kept from those who by in or they'll lose faith in the system. With social security, there has been a concerted effort on the part of some to lie about the system in order to make it fail.


A tax i.e. a compulsory payment under authority of law, rather than the effort involved in convincing people to give up their money voluntarily. Oh, and Ponzi scheme investors can stop investing and at least cut future losses, whereas with a tax, you are mandated to pay.

The manner in which SS has been sold to the taxpayer is fraudulent - my grandparents were all relatively late in their earning years when it was introduced, and you'll still find a huge number of people who have no concept how the system works, but buy into the sacred cow concept of goverment taking care of them in their old age, because you sure can't trust anyone else.

People may lie, but numbers don't. The amount of tax, the benefits, population demographics are all hard numbers, and they all demonstrate one thing: the current system is bound to fail.

Shogun Gunner is offline Shogun Gunner

Emperor
Potomac Falls, Virginia
Oct 2000
time: 00:34
  Old Post 26-02-2004 21:32 Visit Shogun Gunner<br><a href=/members><img src=/forums/images/supporter-icon.gif border=0></a><BR>'s homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by pchang
I used to enjoy it when during the year it looked like I got a 7% raise when I hit the SS income cap. Medicare has no such cap.


I deeply wished for Medicare to have the same cap. Good point.

That "4Q bonus" helps cover the holiday season expenses.

Kidicious is offline Kidicious
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Mar 2003
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  Old Post 26-02-2004 22:52 Visit Kidicious's homepage!
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Greenspan is just hurting the Republicans with these warnings. Bad timing for the conservatives - so close to the election. The way it looks is the Republicans want to cut taxes for the rich and pay for it by taking away the elderlies social security. I bet Alan is getting some pressure on this one to keep it quiet about this for now.

Ned is offline Ned
Prince
of Aptos, CA
Oct 1999
time: 21:34
  Old Post 26-02-2004 23:08
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I don't know whether anyone has pointed out that Greenspan said only that action had to be taken, which is a no-brainer.

Kidicious is offline Kidicious
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quote:
Originally posted by Ned
I don't know whether anyone has pointed out that Greenspan said only that action had to be taken, which is a no-brainer.


He said that taxes shouldn't be raised.

chegitz guevara is offline chegitz guevara
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Ft. Lauderdale, FL Communist Party of Apolyton
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  Old Post 26-02-2004 23:25 Visit chegitz guevara's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Ned
I don't know whether anyone has pointed out that Greenspan said only that action had to be taken, which is a no-brainer.


He said specifically that benefits to future retirees shuold be cut. I really don't want to have to retire to a foreign country to enjoymy retireement.

Ned is offline Ned
Prince
of Aptos, CA
Oct 1999
time: 21:34
  Old Post 26-02-2004 23:52
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Here is exact testimony. He was talking about a number of government programs, including Medicaid.

"In view of this upward ratchet in government programs and the enormous uncertainty about the upper bounds of future demands for medical care, I believe that a thorough review of our spending commitments--and at least some adjustment in those commitments--is necessary for prudent policy. I also believe that we have an obligation to those in and near retirement to honor what has been promised to them. If changes need to be made, they should be made soon enough so that future retirees have time to adjust their plans for retirement spending and to make sure that their personal resources, along with what they expect to receive from the government, will be sufficient to meet their retirement needs.

I certainly agree that the same scrutiny needs to be applied to taxes. However, tax rate increases of sufficient dimension to deal with our looming fiscal problems arguably pose significant risks to economic growth and the revenue base. The exact magnitude of such risks is very difficult to estimate, but they are of enough concern, in my judgment, to warrant aiming to close the fiscal gap primarily, if not wholly, from the outlay side."

http://www.federalreserve.gov/board...225/default.htm

Clearly he did not advocate anything that would pull the rug out from the soon-to-be-retired.

Whoha is offline Whoha
King
The TOC is supposed to be classified guys...
Dec 2001
time: 23:34
  Old Post 27-02-2004 00:08
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quote:
Originally posted by Oncle Boris
What about they cut military spendings first, and then cease any military help program to non-democratic governments?

When that's done, they cut on SS if they still need to.


Military spending is less then SS spending, plus the Military spending won't massively spike up in the coming years. Thats why.

My plan of course is a 35% across the board cut.

Sava is offline Sava
King
GO GO GO!
Mar 2001
time: 23:34
  Old Post 27-02-2004 00:58
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quote:
Originally posted by David Floyd
Stuie, che isn't interested in a fair plan, he's interested in a wealth transfer plan - transfering wealth from those who earned it to those who didn't.
inherited wealth is UNEARNED!!!

plus, capitalism is wealth transfer... buying something is wealth transfer... so your silly little argument is, well, silly.

progressive taxation is the fairest form of taxation... those who CAN afford to be taxed are... and those who can't afford to be taxed are provided social services.

Sorry, we're not going to return to the 19th century policies you love so much.

quote:
And you're a moron.
right back at you... but at least I don't pretend to be some kind of internet know-it-all I'm open about my moronity

quote:
Actually, it is, since those "millions of people" generally don't have a decent government retirement even at current taxing and spending levels. So **** it, the system doesn't work, let's do something else.
SS used to be a decent program until the tax cut happy corporatists started destroying it... we should strengthen and improve the program. Plus you live in Mexico, so don't worry about what goes on here.

Kidicious is offline Kidicious
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Diety of Kidiverse
Mar 2003
time: 21:34
  Old Post 27-02-2004 00:59 Visit Kidicious's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Ned
"The exact magnitude of such risks is very difficult to estimate, but they are of enough concern, in my judgment, to warrant aiming to close the fiscal gap primarily, if not wholly, from the outlay side."

Clearly he did not advocate anything that would pull the rug out from the soon-to-be-retired.


He advocated making the tax cuts permanent and cutting benefits. It's clear and explicit.

Oerdin is offline Oerdin
King
of Internet Music.
Sep 2001
time: 21:34
  Old Post 27-02-2004 01:13
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Suffering from ads?

Since people live so much longer then they did in the 1930's it only makes sense to push back the retirement age.

Sava is offline Sava
King
GO GO GO!
Mar 2001
time: 23:34
  Old Post 27-02-2004 01:15
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quote:
Originally posted by Oerdin
Since people live so much longer then they did in the 1930's it only makes sense to push back the retirement age.
yes, let's make people work longer

Wraith is offline Wraith
King
Austin, Texas, USA
Aug 1999
time: 23:34
  Old Post 27-02-2004 02:43
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--"SS is a tax on current workers to keep the elderly from living in poverty."

So, if I'm interpreting you correctly, the only reason you object to SS being called a Ponzi scheme is because it's being run by the government.
Sorry, if it looks like a duck, quacks like a duck, and walks like a duck, it's a duck even if the government puts a "platypus" sticker on it.

--"Ponzi schemes also are fraudulent. "

Have you been listening to campaign speeches and State of the Union addresses lately (like, in the last decade)? All this talk of "Social Security Trust Fund" or "Lock box"... sounds fraudulent to me.

Of course, MTG beat me to it, but I had to say it again anyway.

--"I really don't want to have to retire to a foreign country to enjoymy retireement."

I maintain my at anyone who hasn't retired yet who is actually counting on SS funds.

But only because there isn't a good "Ha ha!" (A la Nelson) smiley.

Wraith
"Under democracy one party always devotes its chief energies to trying to prove that the other party is unfit to rule -- and both commonly succeed, and are right."
-- H. L. Mencken

Kidicious is offline Kidicious
Settler
Diety of Kidiverse
Mar 2003
time: 21:34
  Old Post 27-02-2004 02:51 Visit Kidicious's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Wraith
"Under democracy one party always devotes its chief energies to trying to prove that the other party is unfit to rule -- and both commonly succeed, and are right."
-- H. L. Mencken


Ogie Oglethorpe is offline Ogie Oglethorpe
King
Marietta, GA
Dec 1999
time: 05:34
  Old Post 27-02-2004 03:03
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quote:
Originally posted by Sava
yes, let's make people work longer


From the plethora of posts here (mine included), some might say "Make people work" would be a good start.

Sava is offline Sava
King
GO GO GO!
Mar 2001
time: 23:34
  Old Post 27-02-2004 03:28
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quote:
Originally posted by Ogie Oglethorpe


From the plethora of posts here (mine included), some might say "Make people work" would be a good start.
if SS is even still around by the time I'm old enough to retire, the retirement age might be 80...

we should roll back child labor laws too... more revenue

Ogie Oglethorpe is offline Ogie Oglethorpe
King
Marietta, GA
Dec 1999
time: 05:34
  Old Post 27-02-2004 03:31
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Get to work Sava.

Unless of course your implying that your a child.

Sava is offline Sava
King
GO GO GO!
Mar 2001
time: 23:34
  Old Post 02-03-2004 21:05
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quote:
Maestro of Chutzpah
By PAUL KRUGMAN

Published: March 2, 2004

The traditional definition of chutzpah says it's when you murder your parents, then plead for clemency because you're an orphan. Alan Greenspan has chutzpah.

Last week Mr. Greenspan warned of the dangers posed by budget deficits. But even though the main cause of deficits is plunging revenue — the federal government's tax take is now at its lowest level as a share of the economy since 1950 — he opposes any effort to restore recent revenue losses. Instead, he supports the Bush administration's plan to make its tax cuts permanent, and calls for cuts in Social Security benefits.

Yet three years ago Mr. Greenspan urged Congress to cut taxes, warning that otherwise the federal government would run excessive surpluses. He assured Congress that those tax cuts would not endanger future Social Security benefits. And last year he declined to stand in the way of another round of deficit-creating tax cuts.

But wait — it gets worse.

You see, although the rest of the government is running huge deficits — and never did run much of a surplus — the Social Security system is currently taking in much more money than it spends. Thanks to those surpluses, the program is fully financed at least through 2042. The cost of securing the program's future for many decades after that would be modest — a small fraction of the revenue that will be lost if the Bush tax cuts are made permanent.

And the reason Social Security is in fairly good shape is that during the 1980's the Greenspan commission persuaded Congress to increase the payroll tax, which supports the program.

The payroll tax is regressive: it falls much more heavily on middle- and lower-income families than it does on the rich. In fact, according to Congressional Budget Office estimates, families near the middle of the income distribution pay almost twice as much in payroll taxes as in income taxes. Yet people were willing to accept a regressive tax increase to sustain Social Security.

Now the joke's on them. Mr. Greenspan pushed through an increase in taxes on working Americans, generating a Social Security surplus. Then he used that surplus to argue for tax cuts that deliver very little relief to most people, but are worth a lot to those making more than $300,000 a year. And now that those tax cuts have contributed to a soaring deficit, he wants to cut Social Security benefits.

The point, of course, is that if anyone had tried to sell this package honestly — "Let's raise taxes and cut benefits for working families so we can give big tax cuts to the rich!" — voters would have been outraged. So the class warriors of the right engaged in bait-and-switch.

There are three lessons in this tale.

First, "starving the beast" is no longer a hypothetical scenario — it's happening as we speak. For decades, conservatives have sought tax cuts, not because they're affordable, but because they aren't. Tax cuts lead to budget deficits, and deficits offer an excuse to squeeze government spending.

Second, squeezing spending doesn't mean cutting back on wasteful programs nobody wants. Social Security and Medicare are the targets because that's where the money is. We might add that ideologues on the right have never given up on their hope of doing away with Social Security altogether. If Mr. Bush wins in November, we can be sure that they will move forward on privatization — the creation of personal retirement accounts. These will be sold as a way to "save" Social Security (from a nonexistent crisis), but will, in fact, undermine its finances. And that, of course, is the point.

Finally, the right-wing corruption of our government system — the partisan takeover of institutions that are supposed to be nonpolitical — continues, and even extends to the Federal Reserve.

The Bush White House has made it clear that it will destroy the careers of scientists, budget experts, intelligence operatives and even military officers who don't toe the line. But Mr. Greenspan should have been immune to such pressures, and he should have understood that the peculiarity of his position — as an unelected official who wields immense power — carries with it an obligation to stand above the fray. By using his office to promote a partisan agenda, he has betrayed his institution, and the nation.
link: http://www.nytimes.com/2004/03/02/opinion/02KRUG.html

Wow! Krugman didn't have kind words for Greenspan in his book, "The Great Unraveling". I can't say Krugman is wrong. Social Security is being gutted. I agree that personal retirement accounts might be a good idea, but to make sure benefits aren't cut (because they don't need to be) we should remove (or adjust) the cap on taxable income so we can pay for the accounts without disrupting current benefits. Personal accounts are good for the long term, but would do nothing to improve the system for the short term. Because SS is a pay-as-you go system, taking any money out of it (say for retirement accounts) would mean reduced benefit payouts.

But back to the point, I must admit I've suspected Greenspan to be either incompetent or working for the Bushies; because as Krugman points out, SS is NOT in trouble. It is taking in more money than it is paying out and is healthy until 2042... barring any more sabotage from the Bushies.

GePap is offline GePap
King
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Nov 2001
time: 23:34
  Old Post 02-03-2004 21:09
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I was wondering when you were going to post the latest Krugman piece.

Sava is offline Sava
King
GO GO GO!
Mar 2001
time: 23:34
  Old Post 02-03-2004 21:10
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quote:
Originally posted by GePap
I was wondering when you were going to post the latest Krugman piece.


best columnist in the world!

GePap is offline GePap
King
of the Big Apple
Nov 2001
time: 23:34
  Old Post 02-03-2004 21:12
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IF the NYTimes made people pay, at some point they would sue you for giving their stuff away fro free.

Sava is offline Sava
King
GO GO GO!
Mar 2001
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  Old Post 02-03-2004 21:15
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they can sue deez nutz

Kidicious is offline Kidicious
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Mar 2003
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I don't think the Fed should try to influence fiscal policy. Geenspan claims that we need to cut SS benefits to increase national savings when he has the most powerfull tool at HIS disposal to do that - the interest rate.

pchang is offline pchang
King
Cupertino?
Aug 1999
time: 05:34
  Old Post 02-03-2004 22:23
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projections Avatar Enlargement: We've got the solution

All of the numbers are essentially projections out to infinity. SS is taking in more now than it pays. However, the surplus is being spent on general funds and not being saved. SS is essentially holding a big IOU from the general budget. Demographics will eventually cause SS to pay out more than it takes in. When this happens is dependent upon a lot of factors, but the main ones used in their projections are payroll growth, and population aging. No on argues much about the population aging numbers (though some project more immigration, thus lowering the numbers), but there is large disagreement over payroll growth. A difference of only 0.1% per year changes the time line by as much as 10 years. Thus, I wouldn't trust anyone's numbers that much. It is all just a range with probabilities. It is sort of like saying that we know we will all die so we will need a will. The question is, how long can we put off making our will?

Sava is offline Sava
King
GO GO GO!
Mar 2001
time: 23:34
  Old Post 02-03-2004 22:32
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quote:
However, the surplus is being spent on general funds and not being saved.
which is precisely the problem... instead of saving SS revenue and using revenue from taxes on the rich, Bushy is cutting those taxes (in addition to massive subsidies) and using the regressively collected SS revenue for general funds.

I agree with you on projections... only, a sound policy (different from the craptacular policies under Bush) can give SS a greater chance of being secure in the future.

 
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