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BeBro is offline BeBro
King
of the Krauts
Mar 2000
time: 06:34
  Old Post 16-03-2004 18:48 Visit BeBro's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Drake Tungsten
That isn't the issue Kagan brings up. He's more concerned with Europe cutting ties with America in the hope that Al Qaeda will spare them to concentrate on the Great Satan. That's what I'm afraid of, as well, and many people in Europe seem to be advocating just such a strategy.


And he makes the valid point that both sides must be interested in ending the terror - I'm quite confident that common interests lead to reasonable approaches on both sides....I don't think AQ will finally make distinctions between Euro or US infidels....

Drake Tungsten is offline Drake Tungsten
Prince
Knee deep in alien womyn...
Oct 2001
time: 14:34
  Old Post 16-03-2004 18:52
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quote:
I'm quite confident that common interests lead to reasonable approaches on both sides


I hope you're right. Things aren't looking promising, though.

Bosh is offline Bosh
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Taehan Mingook
Jan 1970
time: 00:34
  Old Post 16-03-2004 18:52
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Well considering that Bin Ladin et. al's ultimate goal is the replacement of the House of Saud with a fundamentalist regime, then people voting socialist is a bad thing for them. If I were Bin Ladin I would want people in the West to vote as right wing as possible, since its right wing people that stir up the Mid-East and to expand his power base Bin Ladin needs the Mid-East stirred up.

Kidicious is offline Kidicious
Settler
Diety of Kidiverse
Mar 2003
time: 21:34
  Old Post 16-03-2004 18:57 Visit Kidicious's homepage!
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Even though it doesn't seem reasonable that Al-qaeda would want socialist govts in the West, the proximity of the attacks to the elections in Spain is suspect.

Drake Tungsten is offline Drake Tungsten
Prince
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Oct 2001
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  Old Post 16-03-2004 19:05
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A socialist government in Madrid weakens the US-led coalition and thereby increases the chances of things going wrong in Iraq. Al Qaeda does want the Middle East stirred up and they definitely don't want a successful democratic state in the region providing an alternate model of reform that would rival their Islamist views for the hearts and minds of Arabs sick and tired of the failed authoritarian states they live under. Ensuring Iraq descends into chaos kills both birds with one stone, so it makes perfect sense for Al Qaeda to want a socialist government in Spain.

dannubis is offline dannubis
Chieftain
Ghent
Apr 2002
time: 06:34
  Old Post 16-03-2004 19:08
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quote:
Originally posted by Drake Tungsten

If you swear off violent means, as Prodi has done, what is left but negotiation and appeasement?


the fact that you ask this question is the very reason you cannot comprehend that negotiation is actually the only way to root out terrorism. Because, like has been demonstrated, brute force doesn't help a thing. It only appeases the minds of the hatefull....

are you hatefull drake ?

because if the answer to that question is yes, you reason on the same gound as the terrorists you claim to despise...

Drake Tungsten is offline Drake Tungsten
Prince
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Oct 2001
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  Old Post 16-03-2004 19:12
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quote:
because if the answer to that question is yes, you reason on the same gound as the terrorists you claim to despise...


I guess that's why I understand how to fight them while you're off gallivanting in some naive wonderland where negotiation will actually achieve something with Al Qaeda and its ilk...

dannubis is offline dannubis
Chieftain
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Apr 2002
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  Old Post 16-03-2004 19:15
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yes...
and on planet tungsten the bombing has helped a lot too i guess ...

and i didn't say you'd have to negotiate with the terrorists directly.

just try to dry out their supply of people to implement their ideas.
and sorry, but showing who's boss doesn't do that

even not on your planet

GePap is offline GePap
King
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Nov 2001
time: 23:34
  Old Post 16-03-2004 19:15
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Ah, the good old appeasement stupidity-always a goody when it is brought out.

Appeasement is as likely to work as confrontation-did the US appease Japan in 1940-41? Nope, the US took a strong line, and after Japan took Indochina, instituted a possibly crippling embargo on oil and scrap metal. Did stading strong vs Japan teach them a leason? No. They attacked the US and sought to secure their resources by war. Appeasement, like confrontation, is a strategy-whether it works or not is based on the eventual aims of the opponent.

Are the Japanese appeasing AQ? The only people who believe it are those that support Iraq. In short ladies and gentleman, this is a by proxy discussion, yet again, of Iraq. IN general, those that supported the Iraq war most stridently are the ones speaking about Spain appeasing AQ- people like Kagan and the WP. But they work on the assumption that Iraq is and always was central to the battle against AQ. Well, maybe BY invading Iraq this has a rign of truth now-but then, of course, 80% of Spanirds opposed going to Iraq in the first place, and supposedly this war is about freedom and democracy. Everyone remember what Rummy said about the looting? Freedoms can be messy. Rely on a "ccolition of the willing", and you pay the consequences, specially if many of the willing joined you not becuase they craed about Iraq at all, but becuase they cared about their relations with the US.

Lets look at that WaPo story-and see the truth underneath: Aznar did not go into Iraq becuase he gived a damn about the people of Iraq, and given there was no AQ there to begin with, certainly not to fight them. He went becuase Bush said with us or against us, and Aznar believed Spain should be with the US, and if that means joining with a token in Iraq, well, why not? But the people of Spain never agreed with that (if the PP was going to win, it was going to win on voter support for its internal policies, not any agreement with the actions in Iraq). Well, after all that happened in Iraq, staying with the US -or better said, with the Bush administration, no longer seemes something worthwhile to Spain's voters. So they booted out the PP government.

Did AQ want such an outcome? probably. BUt then again, I have asked before, and I will ask again, why should the people of Spain vote on THIER future based on what AQ, or Bush, or anyone outside of Spain, want?

In another thread, Fez said there was nothing the PP could have done to stop this attack from happening. If so, then what service did the war in Iraq serve Spain's security? If being with Bush does not make Spain safer-why should the Spanish electorate stay with that boat? People make the claim AQ's aims are univesalist-world domination and all that blather-well, if after 1 year in Iraq and 2 in Afghanistan Fezzie is right and there was nothing a government like Spain's do to stop a massive terrorist attack like the one in madrid, then what has been the point? And if Fezzie is wrong and the PP government, with different priorities, could have stopped the attack-why re-elect a government that failed in securing Spain?

And then there is the real question- the Spanish government has called for the US to return to the UN-WaPo and likeminded folks call the UN ineffectual and worse-but the fact is, democracy means other people disagreeing with you, and if there is no international mandate for a mission, no international mission, no imprint of legitimacy to the act-then free people's are free to leave at any point-a coolition of thw willing is based only on the desires of people to stick with something, and only if they believe the policy embarked upon has actually given them any benefit. Could Aznar point to a single benefit for the Spanish voter that his unpopular approach in Iraq had brought? He could argue about the future, but of course, he had done that before, and been proven wrong.

Drake Tungsten is offline Drake Tungsten
Prince
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Oct 2001
time: 14:34
  Old Post 16-03-2004 19:18
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quote:
Are the Japanese appeasing AQ?




Japan has troops on the ground in Iraq. How exactly could they be seen as appeasing Al Qaeda?

quote:
If being with Bush does not make Spain safer-why should the Spanish electorate stay with that boat?


To do the right thing for the world and an important ally?

Arrian is offline Arrian
Emperor
Kneel before Grog!
Jul 2001
time: 00:34
  Old Post 16-03-2004 19:19
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Re: negotiation/appeasement...

To me, there is a big difference between negotiating with countries in the ME and elsewhere for assistance in the WoT and trying to negotiate with AQ. The former, I'm all for. The latter, I reject. I do not see how negotiations with a group like AQ (considering their stated aims) can possibly bear fruit.

-Arrian

GePap is offline GePap
King
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Nov 2001
time: 23:34
  Old Post 16-03-2004 19:20
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quote:
Originally posted by Drake Tungsten
quote:
Are the Japanese appeasing AQ?




Japan has troops on the ground in Iraq. How exactly could they be seen as appeasing Al Qaeda?


I meant Spain-had japan in the mind.

BeBro is offline BeBro
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Mar 2000
time: 06:34
  Old Post 16-03-2004 19:21 Visit BeBro's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by dannubis


the fact that you ask this question is the very reason you cannot comprehend that negotiation is actually the only way to root out terrorism. Because, like has been demonstrated, brute force doesn't help a thing. It only appeases the minds of the hatefull....



An ideological conflict is usually not negotiable. It may be under certain circumstances (east - west under the MAD threat) but that does not lead to a compromize in ideological beliefs either.

Last edited by BeBro on 16-03-2004 at 19:28

Dauphin is offline Dauphin
Emperor
Caught in a tuna net
Jan 1970
time: 05:34
  Old Post 16-03-2004 19:25
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Terrorist claiming victory is a silly notion given that if people were going to vote only on the issue of Iraq and the War on Terrorism then the socialists would have won by a landside.

dannubis is offline dannubis
Chieftain
Ghent
Apr 2002
time: 06:34
  Old Post 16-03-2004 19:34
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quote:
Originally posted by BeBro


An ideological conflict is usually not negotiatable. It may be under certain circumstances (east - west under the MAD threat) but that does not lead to a compromize in ideological beliefs either.


yes, but in this case negotiation led to the fact that no bombs fell ...

and with negotiation i ment negotiating in a broad way...
supplying means for education
giving people a chance to a better life
rooting out situations which are actually degrading

because right now, in both iraq and afghanistan, everybody knows who's boss ...
but events in the past three years have shown that violence only brings about more violence.

i am ideological different from an arab. i always will be. but that does not mean i am going to blow myself up in a bus. why not ? because :
1) i am educated enough to know that blowing myself up doesn't solve a god damn thing
2) my living conditions are way to good to end my life.

bring the same circumstances to the third world, adapted to their whishes and you solve the problem of terrorism. put your boot on the back of their neck it will keep coming back at you ...

GePap is offline GePap
King
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Nov 2001
time: 23:34
  Old Post 16-03-2004 19:36
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quote:
In another thread, Fez said there was nothing the PP could have done to stop this attack from happening. If so, then what service did the war in Iraq serve Spain's security? If being with Bush does not make Spain safer-why should the Spanish electorate stay with that boat? People make the claim AQ's aims are univesalist-world domination and all that blather-well, if after 1 year in Iraq and 2 in Afghanistan Fezzie is right and there was nothing a government like Spain's do to stop a massive terrorist attack like the one in madrid, then what has been the point? And if Fezzie is wrong and the PP government, with different priorities, could have stopped the attack-why re-elect a government that failed in securing Spain?

DinoDoc is offline DinoDoc
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Sep 1999
time: 23:34
  Old Post 16-03-2004 19:39
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quote:
Originally posted by GePap
Appeasement, like confrontation, is a strategy-whether it works or not is based on the eventual aims of the opponent.
Can you point out a situation where where such a strategy actually worked?

Dr. Nick is offline Dr. Nick
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Mola mazo!
Oct 2000
time: 01:34
  Old Post 16-03-2004 19:41 Visit Dr. Nick's homepage!
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quote:
A socialist government in Madrid weakens the US-led coalition and thereby increases the chances of things going wrong in Iraq.


Like the situation in Iraq could go wronger?

Drake Tungsten is offline Drake Tungsten
Prince
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Oct 2001
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  Old Post 16-03-2004 19:42
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quote:
Like the situation in Iraq could go wronger?




At least try to put some effort into your trolls...

GePap is offline GePap
King
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Nov 2001
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  Old Post 16-03-2004 19:43
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quote:
Originally posted by DinoDoc
Can you point out a situation where where such a strategy actually worked?


I will look for good examples. In the meantime, I can give you an example were appeasement would have worked-Iraq. Had Saddam appeased Bush in 1990, he would still be in power. Depending on what one thinks Bush II's mind was about the war, appeasement of Bush II by Iraq might still mean Saddam in power.

Dauphin is offline Dauphin
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  Old Post 16-03-2004 19:44
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quote:
Originally posted by DinoDoc
Can you point out a situation where where such a strategy actually worked?


Appeasement?

Look at Muscovy, they paid tribute to the Golden Horde until they were no longer a threat.

My knowledge is rusty, and relevance may be slim. But I think it falls under "appeasement worked as a strategy".

Boris Godunov is offline Boris Godunov
King
Portland, OR
Aug 2001
time: 00:34
  Old Post 16-03-2004 19:45
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quote:
Originally posted by Drake Tungsten
It won't be a "brief moment". This was a major victory for Al Qaeda, arguably more impressive than the 9/11 attacks. We'll be hearing about this for years, as Al Qaeda milks their victory over the crusaders for all it's worth. I wonder how many new recruits this is going to garner?


I think you're greatly overstating the ramifications the PSOE victory will have.

Regardless, the PP lied to the people and deserved to lose the election. They bungled badly and paid for their ineptness. Were it revealed a few days before the November election that the Bush Administration had misidentified the 9/11 hijackers as AQ and continued with this deception in order to prosecute the war in Afghanistan, wouldn't you say the electorate had every right to be mad and to turn them out? I'd say yes, anything AQ wants or doesn't want be damned.

SpencerH is offline SpencerH
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Feb 2002
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  Old Post 16-03-2004 19:46
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The Spainish people certainly have the right to vote for whom they want, and to pull out their troops from Iraq. That said, it is a public relations victory for AQ who, at the very least, wanted to punish 'the crusaders' for supporting US policy. Not only did they show that they could strike effectively in Europe, but they also got the added bonus of changing the course of the election. AQ must be very much heartened by the results. Personally, I find it hard to understand the choice made by the voters who switched to the socialists after the bombing.

Drake Tungsten is offline Drake Tungsten
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quote:
I think you're greatly overstating the ramifications the PSOE victory will have.


And I think you're great understating it. Wow, what an interesting exchange of ideas you just provoked...

GePap is offline GePap
King
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Nov 2001
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  Old Post 16-03-2004 19:47
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quote:
Originally posted by SpencerH
Personally, I find it hard to understand the choice made by the voters who switched to the socialists after the bombing.


No kidding-after all, you supported the war in Iraq, unlike the vast mayority of those that ended up voting for the PSOE.

Urban Ranger is offline Urban Ranger
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May 1999
time: 13:34
  Old Post 16-03-2004 19:48
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quote:
Originally posted by The Mad Monk
The statement issued with the attack said it was in retalion for Spain's support of the United States in Iraq (among other things); a few days later, the party that was most against the war (among other things) is elected.

It dosen't take much to conclude that the implied demand was met.


As far as I can tell, the Spanish voted PSOE was because the PP government lied about the attack in Madrid. The PP government pinned the attack on the ETA, who vehemently denied any involvement. An Arab organisation claimed they did it, nobody took them seriously. In fact, there's still no definite proof which terrorist organisation was behind the attack. Thus, linking the vote with said implied demand is unfounded.

Drake Tungsten is offline Drake Tungsten
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Oct 2001
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  Old Post 16-03-2004 19:50
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quote:
As far as I can tell, the Spanish voted PSOE was because the PP government lied about the attack in Madrid.


Why don't you read the Washington Post article I linked to (and then copied and pasted)?

Urban Ranger is offline Urban Ranger
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  Old Post 16-03-2004 19:51
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quote:
Originally posted by BeBro
An ideological conflict is usually not negotiable. It may be under certain circumstances (east - west under the MAD threat) but that does not lead to a compromize in ideological beliefs either.


I don't think it's an ideological conflict -- even the IRA put down their weapons.

GePap is offline GePap
King
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Nov 2001
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  Old Post 16-03-2004 19:51
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I see drake has yet to address any of the points I made: see what happens when you waste your time posting long posts DT?

SpencerH is offline SpencerH
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Feb 2002
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  Old Post 16-03-2004 19:54
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quote:
Originally posted by GePap


No kidding-after all, you supported the war in Iraq, unlike the vast mayority of those that ended up voting for the PSOE.


Yes, I support the war in Iraq. I believe that the western powers should use their might to depose dictatorships. By not acting, they virtually condone the evil and suffering done under such despotic regimes.

Read closely, I refered to the voters who switchedtheir support to the socialists, not to those who were socialists to begin with.

 
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