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Tingkai
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To find the Northwest Passage
Aug 2001 time: 13:36
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The media is declaring victories way too early.
They're saying Layton has won, but he's only 500 votes ahead and only 105 of 195 polling stations have reported.
Olivia Chow is being declared a loser, but that's based on reports from 70 out of 234 polling stations.
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cinch
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Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
Jul 2002 time: 22:36
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quote: Originally posted by Ben Kenobi
The Conservatives already have more seats in the bag, than they ever had under Clark's regime. |
Not his first one...
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cinch
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Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
Jul 2002 time: 22:36
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Also, interesting to see on the CBC side-scroller: watch for the actual numbers in the rural Alberta ridings... They're not even close. Usually the Conservative candidate has won with about 10,000 votes to the Lib & NDP's thousand each. Just ridiculously one-sided. I knew the Conservative grip on seats in rural Alberta was strong, but these numbers are RIDONKULOUS.
In the Edmonton ridings, things are noticeably... tighter.
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cinch
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Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
Jul 2002 time: 22:36
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Another interesting phenomenon: in most Calgary ridings, the third-place party (behind victorious Cons and second-place Grits) is not the NDP, but the Greens.
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cinch
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Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
Jul 2002 time: 22:36
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Annie's current lead over Hawn: 11 votes.
Wow.
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cinch
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Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
Jul 2002 time: 22:36
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quote: Originally posted by Agathon
Who cares about rural Alberta? |
We, its progeny, have no choice!
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Tingkai
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To find the Northwest Passage
Aug 2001 time: 13:36
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leading or elected
Libs 134
Cons 93
BQ 55
NDP 25
Ind 1
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cinch
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Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
Jul 2002 time: 22:36
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quote: Originally posted by Asher
They did? I thought some "independent" conservative won the other seat. |
Yep. Cadman.
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notyoueither
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of naught
Aug 2001 time: 22:36
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quote: Originally posted by Agathon
He's dead, Ben. He's had every conceivable advantage in this campaign:
1) The voters are tired of the Liberals as it's been ten years - that's natural.
2) The Liberals have been mired in scandal.
3) They ran a terrible campaign.
But the Liberals will still be the government because they are most in line with voters in Ontario. Most right wing Canadians are like Asher: they are economically conservative, but aren't bigots. There is no way they will vote for a socially conservative party. Kudos to Canada for that.
If the Tories can't win with this advantage, they will never win. Unless, of course, they completely drop the religious right and abandon US style politics. That means revitalising the PC party which Canadians trusted on social issues – "Progressive Conservative" sounded like an oxymoron, but it is the only viable form of conservatism in Canada. |
Actually, what happened is that:
A: Polls are worth about jack now. I was listening to Angus Reid on the radio a couple weeks ago. He pointed out that the pollsters are hitting an 80%+ refusal rate, and that therefore the accuracy of them is reduced to near zero (my words on the last phrase, not his; he was more restrained). I answer brief polls, but refuse to answer personal questions (how much money earned in the household). i got polled at least 5 times, so I am on someone's list.
B: Slander is still good for a stampede in Ontario, but not such a big one.
Harper did fine. He stayed the course, stayed cool, and kept to the high road for the most part. The decision to stay on to take advantage of another year or three of Liberal misrule should be his. Now he gets the added advantage of the NDP being tainted by it. I hope they enjoy the legacy, heh.
Of course, he is likely to head back to the private sector anyways, since he really dislikes politics apparently. He is not the usual duck, and he is not great at it. However, he will win if he sticks around, and he is moderate enough to stick around.
In the end, the only alternative to the Liberals to form a government will regroup, and actually get a chance to define itself with a policy convention, rather than being defined by opponents. I'd like to see your smiling face and 'natural governing party' schtick when the tide turns, which it most assuredly will.
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All times are GMT. The time now is 05:36. Apolyton Time is 00:36. |
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