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Master Zen is offline Master Zen
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  Old Post 09-06-2004 09:46 Visit Master Zen's homepage!
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Discussion: Debate over Parthemunde strike Support Apolyton buy from Amazon

After looking at the last save, I've been having second thoughts on the Parthemunde strike.

The reason? CGN's rather quick collapse.

CGN is down to 2 cities now, and if GWT's Ansars heal, they might be able to take them down pretty quickly. This would result in the possibility of GWT moving part of their Ansar forces back once CGN is out of the continent. Our biggest threat is having Ansars within striking distance of our two stacks, even if that happens, we might get lucky and not have to face the bulk of them, however, in this situation, facing the possibility of a counterattack, we would be wiser to concentrate all our resources in at least achieving one objective: Ruhrpott.

In short, I think we must talk to CGN, try and assess when they will be wiped out over there, and estimate whether this will give GWT enough time to heal and move back. If this happens, I fear we might face more opposition than expected and those 6 knights from the Parthemunde strike might well mean the difference in us taking Ruhrpott or not.

So, please post your opinions, we still have a few turns before we are to late to repent. Again, I have rather mixed feelings, on one hand if GWT is still busy with CGN I think that striking Parthemunde might have a good chance of success or at the very least not compromise the Ruhrpott strike. If not, we might be in for a nasty surprise.

-MZ

BigFree is offline BigFree

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Oct 1999
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  Old Post 09-06-2004 11:32
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I think GTW is getting ready to attempt to take out CGN completely. The timing of when that happens should determine what we do with those 6 knights. All else is just specualtion. Let's wait to see what happens. We don't know if GWT is building more units for it or if they are just regrouping and healing units right now. The best we can do is wait and see and not make any rash decisions before we have all the facts.

Arnelos is offline Arnelos
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Sep 2002
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  Old Post 09-06-2004 11:44
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Even if they take out CGN completely, how many Ansars will they have available and how many will be within 1 turn of Ruhrpott and thus able to actually STOP our FP strike?

Even if the bulk of their military is in the north, does that necessary cancel the FP strike as long as it were to remain a strict hit-and-run?

Master Zen is offline Master Zen
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Off memory, we have 3 turns to decide on whether to launch the Parthemunde strike or not... by that time we should be able to garner sufficient intelligence from CGN to make the best decision

BigFree is offline BigFree

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  Old Post 09-06-2004 11:53
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OMG! Arnelos the non-FAM PBEN playing member has made a post!

Don't make me put note in my signature reminding all that you don't play your turns.

Master Zen is offline Master Zen
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  Old Post 09-06-2004 11:54 Visit Master Zen's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by BigFree
Don't make me put note in my signature reminding all that you don't play your turns.


About time you did that to someone who isn't me

Hot_Enamel is offline Hot_Enamel
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Aug 2002
time: 14:36
  Old Post 09-06-2004 11:57
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I never liked the idea of two strikes anyway.

E_T is offline E_T
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Mar 2001
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  Old Post 09-06-2004 13:14
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MZ, while you were spamming the chatroom, did you get that Mil Strenght of GWT calculated? That and the Intel from CGN will give you a good idea what might be around. You did say you were going to do that....

E_T

Aidun is offline Aidun
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Nov 2002
time: 06:36
  Old Post 09-06-2004 23:59
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I think BigFree has a good point, let's wait and see and then decide. Still I stick also to my own point that we should focus ourselves on one main objective and not try to get the jackpot. It doesn't work in gambling games, neither does it work here.

Aidun

E_T is offline E_T
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Mar 2001
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  Old Post 10-06-2004 00:50
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One thing that has been spoken about, in several threads, is the possibility of GWT getting another GL and using it to rebuild their FP. Even though those cities (the ones that we destroy in our strike) will have to start out from scratch, that is nothing, with their Infrastructure already in place and them having the Pyramids.

Taking our the Pyraminds, the Colossus and any other small wonder in that city, will be very benificial to us, in the long run. That city is a massive Trade center, with the coastal tiles and that River. At size 12, it's huge when it comes to their overall trade balance.

And anyone want to bet, that they just might have Herois Epic there, too?? That would be fantastic if it is....

I'm for the strike, even though we are not able to get their in the timeframe that we had first thought (no sea channel... that we can currently see).

The Parth Strike truely gives us a chance to totally cripple their economy well and good. If say, 2 turns after we finish our FP strike and leave, they Rebuild Ruhrpott and rush an FP with a GL, then we have only set them back a few turns. That is not Optimal, IMHO. But even IF they do that and they DON'T have Parth to help them rebuild and to fasttrack to Navigation, then we have done what is needed, to insure our emerging Greatness and it will give us time to get ready for the main event.



AND IF we do decide to not do this, I think that we should have this Group of Knights go as part of the Group B units (all fresh off the boat).

E_T

Togas is offline Togas
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Jun 2002
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  Old Post 10-06-2004 04:06
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The Parth Strike is critical, not some bonus military action. Damaging their FP isn't forever, it's a temporary setback, but destroying Parth IS forever and the damage done cannot be recovered.

--Togas

Lord Nuclear is offline Lord Nuclear
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Jun 2002
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  Old Post 10-06-2004 08:42
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You think CGN has around four turns left?

Arnelos is offline Arnelos
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  Old Post 10-06-2004 11:05
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quote:
Originally posted by BigFree
OMG! Arnelos the non-FAM PBEN playing member has made a post!

Don't make me put note in my signature reminding all that you don't play your turns.


I hold a save for two days once this past week when I normally pass the save in mere hours and suddenly I "don't play my saves".

Life happens, man.

GodKing is offline GodKing
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Feb 2002
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  Old Post 11-06-2004 08:02
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quote:
Originally posted by Togas
The Parth Strike is critical, not some bonus military action. Damaging their FP isn't forever, it's a temporary setback, but destroying Parth IS forever and the damage done cannot be recovered.

--Togas


Agreed and seconded.

Lord Nuclear is offline Lord Nuclear
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  Old Post 11-06-2004 08:38
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Will we disband Parth if we take it?

Master Zen is offline Master Zen
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quote:
Originally posted by Nuclear Master
Will we disband Parth if we take it?


of course! no way in hell we could keep it...

Trip is offline Trip
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  Old Post 11-06-2004 11:19 Visit Trip's homepage!
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Um, I'm curious as to how we're going to get those Knights anywhere near the city within the next, say, 20 turns without there being a sea lane?

Arnelos is offline Arnelos
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  Old Post 11-06-2004 11:31
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quote:
Originally posted by Trip
Um, I'm curious as to how we're going to get those Knights anywhere near the city within the next, say, 20 turns without there being a sea lane?


This is an excellent point. The plans we had been making called for the cancelling of the Parth gambit if no sealane was found. The alternative is for the Parht gambit to either travel in the OCEAN for a few turns before Navigation or for us to delay ths gambit for several critical turns.

In either case, the chances for success likely fall quite dramatically.

That said, we may have little to lose by delaying a few turns and just praying. It's worth LOOKING AT, at least.

Trip is offline Trip
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  Old Post 11-06-2004 12:18 Visit Trip's homepage!
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When the Ruhrpott landing hits GWT will know what's up, and they will be preparing for something like that elsewhere.

If we land at Parthemunde 10+ turns after Ruhrpott then there's no way that they won't have something significant guarding their main core. If they could land simultaneously then I would consider it. With them landing even a few turns apart the surprise factor is lost which is what the entire plan hinges upon. It's foolhardy to assume they won't be waiting for a 2nd round.

Lord Nuclear is offline Lord Nuclear
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  Old Post 11-06-2004 19:56
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quote:
Originally posted by Master Zen


of course! no way in hell we could keep it...



That's what I thought. But I was confused because of the talk of the benefits of the wonders in the city.

BigFree is offline BigFree

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  Old Post 12-06-2004 00:32
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The benefits were mentioned because of theri value to the GERMANS; and thus the effective value to us if they don't have them.

Master Zen is offline Master Zen
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  Old Post 12-06-2004 00:56 Visit Master Zen's homepage!
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if our Parth strike ends up falling WAAAY too long after our main one (i.e. more than 2 turns) I honestly say we scrap it.

Togas is offline Togas
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  Old Post 12-06-2004 02:05
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Instead of scrapping it, we should just push back the Ruhr attack a few turns.

Listen. THIS IS IT for us. This is our one and only chance to catch GWT offguard with an attack. After this attack if over, whatever we do is going to be a long, hard slog at best ... or a failed invasion at worst.

We need to do as much damage as possible in this attack. Destroying their FP is nice, until they rebuild it. Destroying a wonder is forever, as is destroying a major production center (or two or three, etc).

When we leave, we need to leave them in a state from which they cannot recover. Leave them in a state that allows us to surge ahead of them, for good.

But most importantly, we need to have the strength and confidence to TRY to make this attack a success. Right now, what I'm reading from Trip is that he's too afraid of failure to do anything other than an attack that is guaranteed to succeed. That's the sort of attitude that is going to make this attack one that we win the battle, but lose the war.

Calculated risks must be taken. Cowardice and hesitation have never been characteristics of a good general. The greatest battles in history all have elements of wise gambles with clever fakes, flanks, and surprises.

I'm not advocating doing a suicidal attack at a fortified position. What I'm saying is that we have the resources to carry off two attacks, we just need to arrange the timing of those attacks so that they're simultaneous or very near to it.

--Togas

E_T is offline E_T
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  Old Post 12-06-2004 02:46
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The whole problem is timing.

CGN and GWT/GCA must still be at war, or Just as soon afterwards as is possible for this to really work, IMHO. It's going to take CFC 1 additional turn, IIRC, to land at that one spot, close to GWT's Leo City. The thing is, we can adapt to the sitiation.

We might just have to stay in their Area and threaten Meiertopia to be effective. The thing is, that we will see.

One thing that I have learned a long time ago, is that NO PLAN survives first contact with the Enemy, even in Civ.

E_T

Lord Nuclear is offline Lord Nuclear
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  Old Post 12-06-2004 04:19
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quote:
Originally posted by BigFree
The benefits were mentioned because of theri value to the GERMANS; and thus the effective value to us if they don't have them.


Thanks for the clarification

Aidun is offline Aidun
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Nov 2002
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  Old Post 12-06-2004 04:25
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Well, I may sound again as the guy with empty comments, but I think Trip is right. Just after the idea was introduced by E_T, everyone suddenly fell for it, because oooh, we can destroy their capital and oooh, we can destroy their pyramids. It's not going to happen and this is the I-don't-know-how-many time that you are warned. GWT is not as dumb as the ass you are taking them for. It's opportunistic, and in contrast to Togas's knowledge of military history, oppotunism has helped noone one step further in military history. General Eisenhower and Marshal Montgomery made no gambling in June 1944 and attacked at one place. They attacked relatively poorly defended beaches and not Berlin, and how well known is the opportunism of the Battle of Arnhem when they went "a bridge too far".

Concentrate on one goal. If you want to have Parthemunde so dearly, attack it with all the knights you have and destroy in that heartland as much as you can, and nothing else. But attacking Parthemunde in the middle of a war with only six knight is the most foolish thing you can do.

You know with how many troops the Allies attacked Berlin? Think about this while you look up the exact number.

Aidun

Master Zen is offline Master Zen
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  Old Post 12-06-2004 05:35 Visit Master Zen's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Togas
Instead of scrapping it, we should just push back the Ruhr attack a few turns.


I think this would not be too wise. Each turn, GWT's army can close in by 9 tiles. Depending on how fast they finish off CGN this means there's a much higher probability of them being able to move a significant amount of their army back. I don't think we can get away with delaying the Ruhr strike.

The Parthemunde strike has a chance of success if CFC manages to successfuly tie GWT units down and if there are any Ansar in the homeland, they move towards Ruhr the moment we land. That will leave Parth relatively unprotected. The problem, however, is its culture, which means we WILL be within visual range the turn before we strike. That means, GWT can re-accomodate troops to meet it.

BigFree is offline BigFree

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  Old Post 12-06-2004 12:00
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We should not delay the attack on their FP. As MZ says, we are more or less counting on them having the vast majority of their forces in the South to finnish off CGN. If we wait they may just have those forces back in time to interupt our little party.

vondrack is offline vondrack

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  Old Post 12-06-2004 15:04
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I have to agree with those that advocate carrying out the Ruhrpott strike as planned. I do not think trying to attack Parthemünde under this circumstances is a good idea.

AFAIK, the Ruhrpott strike was not meant as a cripple-them-forever blow, but rather as a push-them-back-a-bit sting allowing us to further develop our power before engaging in the decisive conflict?

notyoueither is offline notyoueither
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  Old Post 12-06-2004 15:22
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quote:
Originally posted by Togas
Instead of scrapping it, we should just push back the Ruhr attack a few turns.

Listen. THIS IS IT for us. This is our one and only chance to catch GWT offguard with an attack. After this attack if over, whatever we do is going to be a long, hard slog at best ... or a failed invasion at worst.


Sorry, but no. Not with marines.

Give me marines while they are behind, I will give you GWT.

Give them marines while we are behind, give them the game.

It is that big a deal in this situation.

 
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