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GePap is offline GePap
King
of the Big Apple
Nov 2001
time: 23:35
  Old Post 26-08-2004 21:18
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FOUR MORE YEARS! Of this? Support Apolyton buy from Amazon

http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/nat...Poverty.html?hp

quote:
Ranks of Poverty and Uninsured Rose in 2003, Census Reports
By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS

Filed at 10:36 a.m. ET

Published: August 26, 2004

WASHINGTON (AP) -- The number of Americans living in poverty increased by 1.3 million last year, while the ranks of the uninsured swelled by 1.4 million, the Census Bureau reported Thursday.

It was the third straight annual increase for both categories. While not unexpected, it was a double dose of bad economic news during a tight re-election campaign for President Bush.

Approximately 35.8 million people lived below the poverty line in 2003, or about 12.5 percent of the population, according to the bureau. That was up from 34.5 million, or 12.1 percent in 2002.

The rise was more dramatic for children. There were 12.9 million living in poverty last year, or 17.6 percent of the under-18 population. That was an increase of about 800,000 from 2002, when 16.7 percent of all children were in poverty.

The Census Bureau's definition of poverty varies by the size of the household. For instance, the threshold for a family of four was $18,810, while for two people it was $12,015.

Nearly 45 million people lacked health insurance, or 15.6 percent of the population. That was up from 43.5 million in 2002, or 15.2 percent, but was a smaller increase than in the two previous years.

Meanwhile, the median household income, when adjusted for inflation, remained basically flat last year at $43,318. Whites, blacks and Asians saw no noticeable change, but income fell 2.6 percent for Hispanics to $32,997. Whites had the highest income at $47,777.

Even before release of the data, some Democrats claimed the Bush administration was trying to play down bad news by releasing the reports about a month earlier than usual. They normally are released separately in late September -- one report on poverty and income, the other on insurance.

Putting out the numbers at the same time and not so close to Election Day ``invite charges of spinning the data for political purposes,'' said Rep. Carolyn Maloney, D-N.Y.

Census Director Louis Kincannon -- a Bush appointee -- denied politics played any role in moving up the release date. The move, announced earlier this year, was done to coordinate the numbers with the release of other data.

``There has been no influence or pressure from the (Bush) campaign,'' Kincannon said Wednesday.

Official national poverty estimates, as well as most government data on income and health insurance, come from the bureau's Current Population Survey.

This year the bureau is simultaneously releasing data from the broader American Community Survey, which also includes income and poverty numbers but cannot be statistically compared with the other survey.

The figures were sure to generate attention regardless of when they were released since they typically serve as a report card of sorts for an administration's socio-economic policies.

Partisan debate figures to be more heated now, when the economy and health care are big issues in the tight presidential election race between Bush and Democratic challenger John Kerry.

Since job growth was slow until the second half of 2003 and wages were relatively stagnant, it was likely the report would show an increase in the number of people in poverty, said Sheldon Danzinger, co-director of the National Poverty Center at the University of Michigan.

William O'Hare, a researcher with the Annie E. Casey Foundation, a private children's advocacy group, expected increases in the number of kids in poverty and without health insurance. He called the changes in the way data is being released ``bothersome.''

``It makes me wonder whether this statistical agency is being politicized in some way,'' said O'Hare, who has studied the poverty and health insurance data for over two decades.


so, two years after the recession ended, Bush continues to spread his form of "wealth" around.

Japher is offline Japher
Prince
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Jun 2002
time: 05:35
  Old Post 26-08-2004 21:33
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Got spare money?

What could Bush of done to keep the economy from slipping? Could policy of stopped terrorism that was a spill over from the previous presidents? Could policy of stopped the dot coms from busting, which occured just after he took office?

Complain all you want GePap, and blame who you want. However, I don't know what could of been done.

Arrian is offline Arrian
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Jul 2001
time: 00:35
  Old Post 26-08-2004 21:38
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I'm of the school of thought that says the President has very little direct effect on the economy, and I thank my lucky stars for that. I really, really, really want Bush to lose this election, but I also recognize that the economy was due for a recession. What he's been doing hasn't helped, but I'm not gonna pin all of this stuff on him.

-Arrian

rah is offline rah
Apolyton Prince of Moderators, Master of Reason
Lord of the Ferrets
Jan 1970
time: 23:35
  Old Post 26-08-2004 21:39
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I guess we really have Hillary's failure to blame for the health care problem.


Hmmm, yes, that sounds just as silly.

GePap is offline GePap
King
of the Big Apple
Nov 2001
time: 23:35
  Old Post 26-08-2004 21:41
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The issue is one of poverty: Ways Bush could have helped stem these number:

One: reduce the size of the tax cut to the top 1%
Two: use that money to help states shore up their budgets to stop cuts to basic services
Three: use some more for anti-poverty programs from the fed level
Four: Include in this funding to state programs that provide free healthcare to certain target populations, like Children.

Wow, that was really difficult to think of.....

May I add that according to the Administration, the recession ended in 2001 and according to Bush we "turned a corner" thanks to his tax cuts. These numbers show the hollowness of Bush's economic claims.

GePap is offline GePap
King
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Nov 2001
time: 23:35
  Old Post 26-08-2004 21:43
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quote:
Originally posted by Arrian
I'm of the school of thought that says the President has very little direct effect on the economy, and I thank my lucky stars for that. I really, really, really want Bush to lose this election, but I also recognize that the economy was due for a recession. What he's been doing hasn't helped, but I'm not gonna pin all of this stuff on him.

-Arrian


THIS IS NOT ABOUT THE OVERALL ECONOMY- THIS IS ABOUT A RISE IN POVERTY. ADD TO THAT THAT ACCORDING TO THE AMDINISTRATION THE RECESSION ENDED IN 2001 AND SINCE 2002 THE ECONOMY "HAS TURNED A CORNER" THANKS TO HIS TAX CUTS.

SO THIS IS NOT JUST ABOUT BUSH'S HANDLING OF THE ECONOMY!!!!

Is that clear now!?

Velociryx is offline Velociryx
Moderator
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Apr 1999
time: 05:35
  Old Post 26-08-2004 21:44 Visit Velociryx's homepage!
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His economic policy came straight from the pages of "My Pet Goat!"

O'course it's gonna be okay...

-=Vel=-

Politicians

Imran Siddiqui is offline Imran Siddiqui

Deity
The Potterverse
Jan 1970
time: 00:35
  Old Post 26-08-2004 21:45
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quote:
THIS IS ABOUT A RISE IN POVERTY. ADD TO THAT THAT ACCORDING TO THE AMDINISTRATION THE RECESSION ENDED IN 2001 AND SINCE 2002 THE ECONOMY "HAS TURNED A CORNER" THANKS TO HIS TAX CUTS.


The economy has 'turned a corner'. Look at GDP growth rates. Poverty numbers are irrelevant.

GePap is offline GePap
King
of the Big Apple
Nov 2001
time: 23:35
  Old Post 26-08-2004 21:52
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Now there is another line of thought..good, real debate.

I don't think the poverty numbers are irrelevant- I think they are even more relevant than GDP in terms of the effects on actual human beings, citzens.

Imran Siddiqui is offline Imran Siddiqui

Deity
The Potterverse
Jan 1970
time: 00:35
  Old Post 26-08-2004 21:55
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Yes, that's nice, but GDP is the gross domestic product. That determines if the economy is doing better. You could have less poverty numbers, but the economy could still be in the shitter. However, with a rise in GDP, the economy, by definition, gets better. So nominal poverty numbers are irrelevant to determine if the economy is better. GDP is the number to look at.

Japher is offline Japher
Prince
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Jun 2002
time: 05:35
  Old Post 26-08-2004 21:55
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I would expect poverty levels to rise due to a recession.

When did the recession begin?

From a Liberal Lib,

Poverty Levels of 1998, Good Job Clinton

quote:
The poverty rate feel from 15.1 percent in 1993 to 12.7 percent in 1998


12.5% in 2003?

quote:
Under President Clinton and Vice President Gore, child poverty declined from 22.7 percent in 1993 to 18.9 percent in 1998 -- the biggest five-year drop in nearly 30 years.


17.6% in 2003?

I'd say he did a good job to keep it steady, if not lower, through a recession.

Arrian is offline Arrian
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Jul 2001
time: 00:35
  Old Post 26-08-2004 21:57
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quote:
THIS IS NOT ABOUT THE OVERALL ECONOMY- THIS IS ABOUT A RISE IN POVERTY. ADD TO THAT THAT ACCORDING TO THE AMDINISTRATION THE RECESSION ENDED IN 2001 AND SINCE 2002 THE ECONOMY "HAS TURNED A CORNER" THANKS TO HIS TAX CUTS.

SO THIS IS NOT JUST ABOUT BUSH'S HANDLING OF THE ECONOMY!!!!

Is that clear now!?


Um, ok.

I'm with you on the tax cut thing. All that did was force the States to raise taxes and make cuts (which made towns raise taxes and make cuts). It, um, trickled down. I was against the tax cut from the beginning.

That's what I meant when I said "what he's been doing hasn't helped."

Your article also discussed median household income and other things that I do not feel are the President's fault. Hence my response.

So chill.

-Arrian

Imran Siddiqui is offline Imran Siddiqui

Deity
The Potterverse
Jan 1970
time: 00:35
  Old Post 26-08-2004 21:59
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Japher, interesting numbers. It seems then, according to the stats, that the poverty level in '03 was lower than in 1998 (when it was considered a 'boom') and rising povery levels are still much much less than they were in 1993.

GePap is offline GePap
King
of the Big Apple
Nov 2001
time: 23:35
  Old Post 26-08-2004 21:59
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quote:
Originally posted by Japher
I would expect poverty levels to rise due to a recession.

When did the recession begin?

From a Liberal Lib,

Poverty Levels of 1998, Good Job Clinton



12.5% in 2003?



17.6% in 2003?

I'd say he did a good job to keep it steady, if not lower, through a recession.


Look at the article- Bush has seen 3 straight years of increases: that means that under Clinton, from 98 to 2000 the numbers sank even more starkly to lows, to then see increases in 2001, 2002 and now 2003.

So little by little we are undoing Clinton's good work is being undermined.

Japher is offline Japher
Prince
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Jun 2002
time: 05:35
  Old Post 26-08-2004 22:09
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2000 Census

quote:
The nation's poverty rate dropped from 11.8 percent in 1999 to 11.3
percent in 2000 -- virtually matching the record low set in 1973 -- while
real median household income ($42,148 in 2000) did not change from the
1999 level, which was the highest ever recorded. These findings are
according to two reports released today by the Commerce Department's
Census Bureau.


So, the actual poverty rate right before the recession was 11.3%... Which indicates a great job by Clinton.

quote:
"The drop in the poverty rate belongs to a larger story of economic
recovery since the last recession," said Daniel Weinberg, chief of the
Census Bureau's Housing and Household Economic Statistics Division.
"Poverty rates tend to peak soon after a recession. For instance,
following the most recent recession in 1990-91, the poverty rate peaked in
1993. However, since that time, recovery has been wide-ranging as each
racial, ethnic and age group has experienced declines in their poverty
rates."


Poverty rate increases after a recession?! Even though the recession ended in 1991 the poverty rate didn't peak until 1993, 2 years later? Hmmm, this last recession ended in 2001, and it is now 2003 with poverty rates peaking at levels lower than in 1998? Sounds pretty common, and also pretty good to me... Good job Bush.

quote:
The poverty rate for people under 18 years old (16.2 percent) dropped
for the third consecutive year, reaching the lowest rate since 1979.
Despite the decrease in their poverty rate, people under 18 had a higher
poverty rate than those in any other age group.


Similar as well...

I think Clinton did a good job and I think Bush is doing a good job. 4 more years of Bush may make him look like Clinton who took over the economy in a bad stance, but didn't have such tragedies to deal with.

GePap is offline GePap
King
of the Big Apple
Nov 2001
time: 23:35
  Old Post 26-08-2004 22:09
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Wait, so first the president has nothing to say about the economy, then he does?

I think the 2004 work numbers show the real story-remember that Bsuh remains the only president to preside over 4 years of net job losses- even daddy dealing with his recession created jobs over his four year precidency.

MOre importantly, unlike Daddy or Clinton, Bush 1 came into office and into a recession with a massive surplus- bush had the money to lessen the effects of the recession AND cut taxes for most people. He didn't do that. That is a failure of policy.

Imran Siddiqui is offline Imran Siddiqui

Deity
The Potterverse
Jan 1970
time: 00:35
  Old Post 26-08-2004 22:10
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GePap, is there any reason you are deliberatly pulling a Fez (so to speak)?

Japher is offline Japher
Prince
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Jun 2002
time: 05:35
  Old Post 26-08-2004 22:15
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Yes, yes... The Dems are souly to congratulate for the economic boom of the Ninties... Since Al Gore, DID invent the internet..

Clinton happened to be at a time of an emerging industry, lucky him. However, we shouldn't blame Bush for it's shortcomings.

I look at numbers and trends, and what I see is normal for an economy, and Bush had nothing to do with.

Granted, and I do believe, Bush can pay more attention to the state of the economy and to those who need help. However, status quo is occuring, and I don't see any reason to place "Blame" on someone for things remaining the same... especially when we are in the exact state of an economy that we were in just 5 years ago, and it was GREAT than, but AWFUL now... Please explain.

GePap is offline GePap
King
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Nov 2001
time: 23:35
  Old Post 26-08-2004 22:15
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quote:
Originally posted by Imran Siddiqui
GePap, is there any reason you are deliberatly pulling a Fez (so to speak)?


Have I insulted you, threatened to throw you from a chopper or anything else?

So posting the fact more people live in poverty today than before GWB took office is pulling a Fez?

Ogie Oglethorpe is offline Ogie Oglethorpe
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Dec 1999
time: 05:35
  Old Post 26-08-2004 22:15
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He's a little off his game of late. Just wait till the poll numbers start coming out to see the hysteria.

Imran Siddiqui is offline Imran Siddiqui

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  Old Post 26-08-2004 22:24
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quote:
Have I insulted you, threatened to throw you from a chopper or anything else?


No, but you've deliberately avoided contrary facts and refuse to debate them because you have your own sacred facts and that's that, such as when you quoted yourself and left that as your post... before you DanS'd, of course.

Such as the fact that the late 90s were an aberration in terms of growth (the bubble was in full swing) and we are easing back into equilibrium. Instead you parrot the numbers and the increase and think they are horrible, when it actuality the numbers are quite good when you look at the historic number of people in poverty.

Japher is offline Japher
Prince
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Jun 2002
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  Old Post 26-08-2004 22:29
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quote:
No, but you've deliberately avoided contrary facts and refuse to debate them because you have your own sacred facts and that's that, such as when you quoted yourself and left that as your post


In GePap's defense I think that was a x-post.

GePap is offline GePap
King
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Nov 2001
time: 23:35
  Old Post 26-08-2004 22:31
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quote:
Originally posted by Imran Siddiqui
quote:
Have I insulted you, threatened to throw you from a chopper or anything else?


No, but you've deliberately avoided contrary facts and refuse to debate them because you have your own sacred facts and that's that, such as when you quoted yourself and left that as your post... before you DanS'd, of course.

Such as the fact that the late 90s were an aberration in terms of growth (the bubble was in full swing) and we are easing back into equilibrium. Instead you parrot the numbers and the increase and think they are horrible, when it actuality the numbers are quite good when you look at the historic number of people in poverty.




Maybe your studies of economics and law have blinded you to a simple fact- politics is about comparisons. Yes, compared to our times under the Reagan precidency, unemployment and poverty numbers are low, but compared to the previous four years things are not well- those four years of the Bush precidency.

As for the tiring "buble" arguement- yes, the stock market was in a bubble (thought would you say the hosuing market is currently in a bubble as well?) and that burst- BUT the government (which is what we are talking about here) came into this crisis with a huge store of funds it had gained during the bubble. Bush and his political allies are to blame for the missed opportunities in keeping poverty and unemployment numbers at historic lows- they didn't- they had other priorities.

Now, you said outright you don;t care about poverty numbers -fine by me, but I do care about poverty numbers, becuase those numbers are about people, unlike GDP numbers, which simply consider things, not human beings.

Japher is offline Japher
Prince
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Jun 2002
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  Old Post 26-08-2004 22:41
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quote:
they had other priorities


Such as?

quote:
I do care about poverty numbers, becuase those numbers are about people


And his other priorities were not? War on Terror is not?

Perhapse we should just let the terrorist start killing off more Americans and hope that they just take out those in poverty.

quote:
Maybe your studies of economics and law have blinded you to a simple fact- politics is about comparisons. Yes, compared to our times under the Reagan precidency, unemployment and poverty numbers are low, but compared to the previous four years things are not well- those four years of the Bush precidency.


So, all you have to say about the economic COMPARISON of a recovering economy that I presented is that "I want to bash Bush so those numbers mean nothing"?

Arrian is offline Arrian
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Jul 2001
time: 00:35
  Old Post 26-08-2004 22:43
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quote:
Such as?


Tax cuts, and added military expenditure (WoT, Iraq II).

-Arrian

chegitz guevara is offline chegitz guevara
King
Ft. Lauderdale, FL Communist Party of Apolyton
Jun 2000
time: 00:35
  Old Post 26-08-2004 22:45 Visit chegitz guevara's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Imran Siddiqui
Poverty numbers are irrelevant.


Not if you're newly poor.

GePap is offline GePap
King
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Nov 2001
time: 23:35
  Old Post 26-08-2004 22:47
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quote:
Originally posted by Japher
Such as?


Anti-Tax orthodoxy

quote:
And his other priorities were not? War on Terror is not?


The war on terror has cost peanuts compared to his other policies: especially the tax cuts and the war in iraq. So keeping poverty low would have cost very little compared to his tax cuts to the rich.

quote:

Perhapse we should just let the terrorist start killing off more Americans and hope that they just take out those in poverty.




quote:

So, all you have to say about the economic COMPARISON of a recovering economy that I presented is that "I want to bash Bush so those numbers mean nothing"?


Do you not accept the fact more people live in poverty today than the day Bush took office? Or that less people work? Talk about ignoring facts.

Japher is offline Japher
Prince
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Jun 2002
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  Old Post 26-08-2004 22:48
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quote:
Tax cuts, and added military expenditure (WoT, Iraq II).


Where they necessary?

GePap is offline GePap
King
of the Big Apple
Nov 2001
time: 23:35
  Old Post 26-08-2004 22:49
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quote:
Originally posted by Japher


Where they necessary?


The tax cuts or the war in Iraq? Not necessities.

DinoDoc is offline DinoDoc
Emperor
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Sep 1999
time: 23:35
  Old Post 26-08-2004 22:51
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Is GePap going to try and shout down another poster?

 
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