18-03-2005 22:28									#1
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Rank these items - at the top, start with the item least likely to happen and work your way down to what is most likely to happen.

Answer with odds of each item happening to you, will be posted in a few hours:

A. Death by LIghtning
B. Death in the bathtub
C. Death by Fireworks accident
D. Winning the Powerball jackpot
E. Death by Car Crash
F. Death from Dog Bite
G. Death by Plane Crash

	18-03-2005 22:30									#2
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A. Death by Lightning
G. Death by Plane Crash
D. Winning the Powerball jackpot
C. Death by Fireworks accident
F. Death from Dog Bite
B. Death in the bathtub
E. Death by Car Crash

	18-03-2005 22:31									#3
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Kinda grim list...

	18-03-2005 22:32									#4
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E.
B.
D.
F.
C.
G.
A.

EDIT: * read in reverse order, didn't see that bit.

	18-03-2005 22:33									#5
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DCFAGBE

	18-03-2005 22:34									#6
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I'm pretty sure that statistically, dying in the bathtub is the most likely from that list, probably followed by a car crash. My guess is winning the Powerball lottery is least likely.

	18-03-2005 22:36									#7
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Ah, is powerball something special? It's not just winning the lotery, is it?
Though in this case I wouldn't mind being "just".

	18-03-2005 22:37									#8
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D
A
G
C
B
F
E

	18-03-2005 22:38									#9
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My guesses as to the number of people they happen to, every year in NA:

D 20
C 30
F 35
A 90
G 200
B 10000
E 60000

	18-03-2005 22:39									#10
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quote: Originally posted by Kontiki I'm pretty sure that statistically, dying in the bathtub is the most likely from that list, probably followed by a car crash. My guess is winning the Powerball lottery is least likely.

I know the numbers for car crashes in NA are around 60000 deaths a year. Do you really think that the number for bathtubs is higher than that?

	18-03-2005 22:42									#11
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Maybe trailer-park car-bathtup crashes are included in that stat?

	18-03-2005 22:44									#12
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What about those limos with jacuzzis in the back?

	18-03-2005 22:51									#13
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quote: Originally posted by KrazyHorse I know the numbers for car crashes in NA are around 60000 deaths a year. Do you really think that the number for bathtubs is higher than that?

Hmmm...you're probably right. I thought I recalled seeing something about the bath tub thing before. Guess I was wrong. I'd still put it at number two though, just like you.

	18-03-2005 22:53									#14
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G. Death by Plane Crash - least likely. I don't fly.
C. Death by Fireworks accident - extremely unlikely, I'm nowhere near fireworks even when they are used.
A. Death by LIghtning - seems to be very rare statistically, and I'd usually take precautions
F. Death from Dog Bite - hopefully not.
B. Death in the bathtub - yes I do go to bath... but I will NOT fall asleep or drown there. And I'm not expecting a heart attack.
D. Winning the Powerball jackpot - not that I play lotteries often, so not very likely either.
E. Death by Car Crash - tons of car crashes here, and being in a car is not a rare situation for me.

Overall, though, I regard E as not very probable, G as impossible, and all the others as extremely improbable for me .

	19-03-2005 00:47									#15
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Before this thread sinks any further I will post the answer:



DCFABGE

KrazyHorse came very close! He is the winner!

	19-03-2005 00:51									#16
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what moron would die in a bathtub?

I refuse to believe this is that common. maybe with old people. Of course I never take a bath, so I don't have to worry about it.

	19-03-2005 00:53									#17
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I got everything right except for mixing up the bathtub/plane crash...

	19-03-2005 00:55									#18
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quote: Originally posted by Dissident what moron would die in a bathtub? I refuse to believe this is that common. maybe with old people. Of course I never take a bath, so I don't have to worry about it.

Drop the soap, bend over to pick it up, hit your head on the shower head nozzle... lights out. I could see it happening.. Not to me, but to someone else..

	19-03-2005 00:56									#19
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quote: Originally posted by Dissident what moron would die in a bathtub? I refuse to believe this is that common. maybe with old people. Of course I never take a bath, so I don't have to worry about it.

One reason could be bad boilers and thus dying from co2(?) intoxication.
Falling could be another one.

	19-03-2005 00:58									#20
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I once passed out in the shower. I was lying down in the bathtub when taking a hot shower, fell asleep, woke up some minutes later and stood up quickly.

My vision went completely black, I got dizzy and fell over. Cracked my head against the side of the tub, but it didn't do any real damage that I could tell. Over the next 15 seconds or so my vision returned to normal.

	19-03-2005 00:59									#21
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I got everything pretty much right except mixing up dog bite/plane crash.

	19-03-2005 01:03									#22
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quote: Originally posted by bfg9000 KrazyHorse came very close! He is the winner!

Maybe I should get a job as an actuary...

	19-03-2005 01:03									#23
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I passed out in the bathtub of my room at a Jamaican resort after a night of heavy drinking.. Unfortunately I passed out with the faucet running slowly. I woke up in the middle of the night in an overflowing tub hearing muffled shouting from outside my room. There was an inch of water on the floor of the entire room. The people in the room below had complained of water leaking from the ceiling. The management just came and cleaned all of the water out of my room without any questions... I went back to the bar until they were finished..

	19-03-2005 01:24									#24
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Statistics . I certainly don't have even one chance in a million of dying in a plane crash as long as I don't fly.

	19-03-2005 01:27									#25
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quote: Originally posted by Solver Statistics . I certainly don't have even one chance in a million of dying in a plane crash as long as I don't fly.

You could be killed by a crashing plane though..

	19-03-2005 01:27									#26
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you know, I've driven my car over 6200 times and I still haven't died.

does that mean my time is due?

	19-03-2005 01:29									#27
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It's amazing how little we spend on car driving automation, given these statistics.

If 40,000 people die in the US each year and each life is worth about $3 million (or whatever), then we would be justified in spending up to about 1% of our economic activity on rectifying the problem, or $120 billion.

	19-03-2005 01:29									#28
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The statsistics for risk of death are all over the course of a year.

The odds of winning powerball are for a single ticket bought for a single drawing.

	19-03-2005 01:33									#29
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quote: Originally posted by DanS It's amazing how little we spend on car driving automation, given these statistics. If 40,000 people die in the US each year and each life is worth about $3 million (or whatever), then we would be justified in spending up to about 1% of our economic activity on rectifying the problem, or $120 billion.

we are limited by technology in some instances. Steel crashing into steel at 70 mph is going to do a lot of damage no matter what.

The only solution is for us to all drive around in tanks. Why do you think SUV's are so popular?

	19-03-2005 01:38									#30
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The goal would be to have a computer do the driving. It seems like a no-brainer to say that we could set up a good automated driving system with a budget of $120 billion a year.