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JimmyCracksCorn
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Macedonia - Sovereign country north of Greece.
Dec 2002 time: 05:18
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quote: Originally posted by Joseph
Ditto. |
Thats just a reiteration of the "we lost because of the hippies" argument. A weak and flawed case.
We lost because we failed to take into account the cultural and ecological knowledge that the NV had of their own territory and people. The US went in there like they were fighting the Germans in Europe. In the end it was no contest.
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Ned
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of Aptos, CA
Oct 1999 time: 21:18
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quote: Originally posted by Joseph
Actually it is reported that the speech he did not give because he was killed the day before was going to pull us out. He was going to trained the SVA but not fight the war. |
Joseph, I don't doubt this for a second. McNamara clearly understood that there is no possibility of victory without invading the North and it is no possibility of invading the North without risking a war with China. McNamara advised Kennedy to withdraw the troops by the middle of 1964 and apparently that was what Kennedy was going to do. When Johnson became president he called McNamara and told McNamara that he was going to reverse the decision to withdraw and instead go the other way. McNamara tried to talk to Johnson to explain to him the problem in getting involved on the ground in Vietnam without dealing with the ultimate problem of China. Johnson simply would not listen.
Now we come to the Nixon presidency. Nixon clearly understood that the solution to Vietnam problem was to remove North Vietnam's China card. This he did in the summer of 1972. This quickly lead to peace accords just prior to the election of 1972, but when the Commies balked, Nixon threatened to invade and that is when they capitulated.
It is interesting how liberals try to distort and revise history. Just now there was a movie on TV talking about how Johnson's advisers tried to get him to send troops to Vietnam. In fact it was the other way around as the advisers, most particularly Robert S. McNamara, wanted to withdraw troops.
Last edited by Ned on 02-05-2005 at 03:30
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Kidicious
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Diety of Kidiverse
Mar 2003 time: 21:18
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quote: Originally posted by Lawrence of Arabia
when youre in country for what, 10 years, you cant say we never tried to win. |
Depends on what your objectives are. Some people made a lot of money off of that war - a whole hell of a lot of money.
Last edited by Kidicious on 02-05-2005 at 03:26
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Lancer
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Oregon Coast, USA! or Bohol, Philippines!
Apr 1999 time: 05:18
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"Two when W. Conkrite of CBS News came home and said we cannot win the war because of Tet, the antiwar moment was given the green light it needed to start masses demonstration against the war."
I was surprised at Walter for doing this. The reaction was so powerful that it meant that one person, not elected by anyone, could change the course of a national effort. I read once that Johnson said, 'If I've lost Walter I've lost the people"...or the war or something.
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Lancer
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Oregon Coast, USA! or Bohol, Philippines!
Apr 1999 time: 05:18
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Korea was ours to win but Vietnam was not?
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lord of the mark
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FUKCOV - Former United Kingdom Colony of Virginia
Dec 2000 time: 00:18
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1. AFAIK, no one in the US, including the military,wanted a war with China. Aside from the Korea precedent, at this time such a war would have been a grand strategic gift to the USSR. I dont think a land invasion of the North is a realistic approach.
2. Given that, a workable strategy would have required cutting off the VC, and NVA units in the South, from their supply line from NVA, the Ho Chi Minh trail. Cutting the line at the border didnt work, as the western border of South Vietnam was too mountainous for armor, too canopied by jungle to be patrolled by air, and too long to be protected by infantry/border guards without a far larger force than it was worth it to the US to put in.
3. The only alternate strategy ive ever seen, that halfway makes sense, would have been to go into southern Laos and stay there, establishing a line from the DMZ across to the Thai border, perpindicular to the Ho Chi Minh trail. However, apart from the political difficulties, this is still rough terrain, if shorter than the entire South Viet Namese border, and Im not sure it would have been militarily feasible.
4. Did we in fact lose? The announced grand strategic purpose of the war was to prevent dominoes from falling down through southeast asia. By the time we got out, countries like Thailand, Malaysia, and Indonesia were arguably more stable than they were in 1965. Ergo the grand strategic goal was achieved.
5. Was it a grand strategically stupid war, even granted 4? Arguably the war restrained the Sino-Soviet split, which only began to really assert itself when the US began to withdraw in 1969. Arguably an earlier open Sino-Soviet split would have been worth say, losing Thailand.
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Lancer
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Oregon Coast, USA! or Bohol, Philippines!
Apr 1999 time: 05:18
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Interesting post lotm, I'll be mulling that over all day at work.
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lord of the mark
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FUKCOV - Former United Kingdom Colony of Virginia
Dec 2000 time: 00:18
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quote: Originally posted by chegitz guevara
No, most of the locals haven't turned against us. That's not the same thing. In the areas in which the rebels operate, however, most of the population is against us, and that's why they can't be rooted out. |
Overall, most of the local support the political process with which we are aligned, and either A. Support us (the Kurds and secular Shiites) or B. Take their cues from Grand Ayatollah Sistani and other Shiite leaders, who want us to stay, for now.
As for the Sunni Triangle, somewhere between 15 and 20% of the Sunni Arab population voted on Jan. 30, despite the boycott calls of even groups like the AMS and IIP. One assumes that in addition there were some who wanted to vote, but stayed home out of fear. So its likely at least 25% of the Sunni Arab population supports the political process, and is opposed to the stand of both the insurgents and the AMS. Of the remaining 75% only a minority (25%?) actively support the insurgency. The remainded seem to sympathize with it, but can probably be led away from it by political concessions, improvements to material life, etc. That is why the discussions of Sunni participation in the constitution writing process, future elections, etc is so important. The military campaign is important as well, since continued insecurity slows down economic reconstruction.
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MichaeltheGreat
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Apolyton Grand Executioner
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mooning the house that Ruth built.
Oct 1999 time: 21:18
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quote: Originally posted by Lancer
How did the US lose, and how might we have won?
I think we lost because we wouldn't invade North Vietnam, and we could have won by doing so.
1) Leave the countryside in the hands of the ARVN and consentrate all US forces, except the marines, south of the DMZ.
2) Drive across the DMZ. The NVA will come south to meet the attack. The consentration of NVA will present many targets for tactical and strategic air attack. Perhaps this will also lessen pressure on the ARVN as well.
3) When the NVA come south, the marines do an end around and land behind them supported by naval gunfire, carrier and ground based air.
4) Hit from the north and south, by tactical and strategic airpower and naval gunfire, the NVA would be defeated. Then the US forces drive on Hanoi against whatever remains.
5) The VC would wither on the vine without the support of North Vietnam. |
We wouldn't have won, under any circumstances:
(a) The Phrench held Hanoi and Haiphong and the entire south for 8 years, until they had their souffles handed to them at Dien Bien Phu.
(b) The froggie legionaires at Dien Bien Phu kicked ass if you look at the casualty counts, and they kicked ass regularly the rest of the time too.
(c) The Vietnamese weren't going anywhere, it was their country.
(d) The Phrench, US, etc., were a long way from home.
(e) The Vietnamese were willing to take the casualties without question. We weren't.
(f) Since the Phrench held Hanoi and Haiphong and the entire south, and lost after 8 years because they said "**** it, this hole ain't worth the cost," it's a fallacy to think if we'd only invaded Hanoi, we'd "win."
(g) You totally fail to understand NVA/VC tactics. They tried us at Ia Drang not because they needed to, but because they wanted an opportunity to test our capabilities. They tried us at Khe Sanh because they understood the political aspects of it, and realized worldwide attention on one focal battle involving a siege would lead to all sorts of Deja Vu questions.
They won Tet, hugely, because we thought in terms of, and focused on, casualty counts. They imposed the political lesson that even after years, billions of dollars and tens of thousands of dead, "we can still simultaneously operate all over your country."
The NVA would never have concentrated for a head on fight against a concentrated US invasion force. They would have dispersed all over the place and resorted to the sort of guerilla warfare that they employed against the Japanese and Phrench.
Until we said "**** it, this hole ain't worth it."
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