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lord of the mark
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FUKCOV - Former United Kingdom Colony of Virginia
Dec 2000 time: 00:21
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cmon guys.
first, all candidate had to be approved by the mullahs. Of about a thousand, like 6 were allowed. A RELATIVE moderate was allowed - the more radical opposition, who want a fully secular state, were kept from the ballot, as usual.
second, its not like this is even for a post that holds real power. Laws passed by the govt can be vetoed by the expediency council, and the security forces report to the guardian council, NOT to the govt.
Both of the above reasons are why they Iranian woman who won the Noble peace prize supported the movement to boycott the elections.
Third, despite all that, there were extensive reports of intimidation and fraud in the first round - its widely beleived that was why the relative moderate, Moin, lost, and a little known hardliner made it into the runoff.
I havent yet heard much about todays runoff. It will be interesting to see what accounts for the hardliner winning.
Is Iran totalitarian - no its not. But calling it a democracy is a bit silly.
And IF the hardliner wins, I suspect the vast majority of Iranians will be quite unhappy. The mask is finally off now.
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lord of the mark
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FUKCOV - Former United Kingdom Colony of Virginia
Dec 2000 time: 00:21
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[QUOTE] Originally posted by Imran Siddiqui
"And Mehdi Karoubi is who exactly? Mostafa Moin? They had 6 candidates, 1 being reformist. In the runoff, they have a hardliner and a moderate."
Moin is a relative moderate. From what I can gather, if you take the full Iranian political spectrum, from pro-mullah to anti-mullah, Moin is about at the center.
In the runoff they have a superhardliner, and a former hardline president who at least wants to look like a pragmatist. And there was no way they could have used fraud to keep Rafsanjani out of the runoff, that would have been too blatant. So they kept moin out, and got their guy into the runoff. Now they seem to have given their guy the victory. Interesting to see what Rafsanjani says now.
"And the turnout was higher than the US Presidential election."
Theres actually some dispute over the actual turnout, from what I can gather. Apparently they showed TV footage of people voting in a PRIOR election. I heard one woman saw herself voting on TV, even though she was boycotting this time.
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lord of the mark
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FUKCOV - Former United Kingdom Colony of Virginia
Dec 2000 time: 00:21
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quote: Originally posted by Imran Siddiqui
quote: In the runoff they have a superhardliner, and a former hardline president who at least wants to look like a pragmatist. And there was no way they could have used fraud to keep Rafsanjani out of the runoff, that would have been too blatant. So they kept moin out, and got their guy into the runoff. Now they seem to have given their guy the victory. Interesting to see what Rafsanjani says now. |
You'd think if Iran was going to use fraud in their elections, Khatami would NEVER have been allowed to be elected. An authoritarian regime would never allow someone who criticises the government that much to be President.
The problem is, in the end, that the Ayatollah's are too strong, AND, the people of Iran like the hardliners. These aren't liberal Westerners. The youth may want some change, but not enough of them. |
Well first of all, i dont think Khatami really represented the more antiregime elements in Iran. Second I dont think that they didnt use fraud to stop Khatami means they will never ever use it again. They obviously didnt think it was worth it then - they thought it was a good way to let off steam, and they didnt realize that the students would try to push khatami to go further - and maybe they feel more threatened now, with changes around the region.
So far the people other than the students, and some isolated ethnic minorities, havent rebelled. But theyve made some concessions to avert rebellion. Not clear if this new guy will stick with those.
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