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C0ckney
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Big Up The Macedonian Massive
Apr 2000
time: 05:37
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well the 'oil' part of the 'plan' is certainly going well, what with petrol fast approaching £1/litre over here 
Last edited by C0ckney on 22-08-2005 at 21:13
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lord of the mark
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FUKCOV - Former United Kingdom Colony of Virginia
Dec 2000
time: 00:37
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questions now
1. How real is the evidence of a civil war among the Iraqi sunnis? IE sunnis fighting against the Zarqawi terrorists? WaPo had an article this Saturday, indicating the Zarqies are killing Sunni Arab leaders who are calling for Sunni participation in future elections, in both Mosul and Ramadi, and at least in Ramadi the Sunnis are fighting back.
2. What will the proposed constitution look like? It appears theyve compromised the Islam issue, and real question is federalism. The Shiites and Kurds seem to have agreed on a federalism-lite constitution, but have not received signoff from Sunni arab parties. They appear likely to pass it in anyway, apparently in the hope that its relatively moderate terms will attract Sunni support.
3. What will the constitutional referendum look like - the Sunni arab parties are strongly pushing for Sunni arabs to participate, which is good thing (though AQ will still try to keep turnout down) OTOH that doesnt mean theyll support the draft constitution, and if majorities in 3 provinces oppose it, that means new elections and back to the drawing board.
3A. Note well - given poor Sunni turnout in the January elections, the Sunnis have plenty of incentives to want NEW elections, in which they are likely to do MUCH better. There relatively hardline stance on federalism probably owes much to this tactical consideration
3b - theres a lot to be said for new elections, which would likely weaken the Shiite Islamist parties (SCIRI and Dawa) both because of increased Sunni turnout, and disillusionment with their performance in office.
4. How long can the US military stay there, in what numbers? The Army says they can keep 100,000 troops there for 4 years, and this would seem consistent with the expansion of the army to 43 brigades. Others point to problems especially with NG recruitment.
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Agathon
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Leafs 4TW!! - CPA
Dec 2002
time: 00:37
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quote:
Originally posted by chegitz guevara
Do you think Shrub didn't feel joy over his invasion of Iraq, regardless of all the little people who were going to be killed? Not that I think we should set our standards of what is acceptable by that man.
It's only natural that the rest of the peoples of the world feel joy at an American defeat. Not merely because we are the top dog, which means everyone wants to see us taken down a peg or two, but also because it is in their best interests that the hegemon be defeated. All other countries will be freer to act when Rome is afraid to use its power. |
Not really. Most of the rest of the world is committed to the ideal of the UN: a world of international law. Of course, this is still largely an ideal, and the UN is a "profoundly cynical organization", but it's the only real alternative we have to the system alliance blocs that caused so much trouble before. If there's any joy, it's joy at the fact that an American defeat will put an end to this stupid pre-emptive, coalitions of the "willing" crap.
If you want a third world war, vote for Bush, because that is where his idiotic policies are leading us. The sad thing is that his father was one of the finest examples of people who understood what the UN was for and what its limits were.
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22-08-2005 14:47
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