20-02-2003 01:34									#1
	Will bush get relected Support Apolyton or Terrorists Win

will bush get relected. I doubt it the econmy is bad, he has failed as cheif diplomat of the usa. And i think the Democrats will have a feild day with patriot act 2

	20-02-2003 01:43									#2
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Bush will serve a 2nd term.
He definitely will have to address domestic issues at some point.

	20-02-2003 01:45									#3
	Suffering from ads?

Bush's success in the 2004 election hinges entirely on the outcome of the Iraq war (more importantly, the aftermath) and the state of the economy. All in all, too early to tell.

	20-02-2003 01:45									#4
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First the Dems need to find a viable candidate.

Joe Lieberman?
Howard Dean? Doubtful - but so was Clinton in '92.
John Edwards? Who? Anyway, Senators never win.
Richard Gephardt?
John Kerry?
Al Sharpton?
Dennis Kucinich? Who?
Carol Moseley-Braun? Too much baggage.

	20-02-2003 01:47									#5
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John edwards is a good candiate. He between coserative and libearl he's young and entergic. He is the senator for Nc

	20-02-2003 02:15									#6
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quote: Originally posted by Kontiki Bush's success in the 2004 election hinges entirely on the outcome of the Iraq war (more importantly, the aftermath) and the state of the economy. All in all, too early to tell.

This is the correct analysis. So far so good, Bush's approval ratings are back in the 60's.

	20-02-2003 02:23									#7
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Not if I can help it.

	20-02-2003 02:25									#8
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quote: Originally posted by Adam Smith Not if I can help it.

Well you are in Maryland so I doubt your vote will mean that much since MD will certainly go to the Democrats unless there is a total Bush landslide...

	20-02-2003 02:35									#9
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Bush re-elected? Can people really make the same (big) mistake twice? I don't hope so...

	20-02-2003 02:43									#10
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So say the doofusses from outside the boundaries that matter.

John Kerry is the best the Democrats have to offer.
All-in-all, a very viable candidate.

	20-02-2003 02:44									#11
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Definitely.

	20-02-2003 02:50									#12
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quote: Al Sharpton?

you just say it because he's black, don't you?

	20-02-2003 02:56									#13
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quote: Originally posted by Azazel you just say it because he's black, don't you?

Al Sharpton = Nutcase

	20-02-2003 02:56									#14
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Al Sharpton is an ass. That's why he said it.

	20-02-2003 03:00									#15
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I hope Sharpton is the nominee. That race would be amusing.

	20-02-2003 03:06									#16
	Suffering from ads?

Like Dumb and Dumber...

	20-02-2003 03:13									#17
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I know that. I guess noone saw the sarcasm.

	20-02-2003 03:15									#18
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I did.

	20-02-2003 03:37									#19
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Too early to tell.

Unless the Dems cinch it for him by nominating another DUMBA**

Most of the likelies will get trounced, unless things really head south.

If they can find a good candidate, they could win a landslide, unless things get really great.

Hmmm, babble babble, too early to tell

RAH

	20-02-2003 04:03									#20
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We will win the war. There is a high chance that the economy is rebounding. There is an extremely high chance that Bush will be reelected. The Dems will have nothing. The debates will be the worst ever. Bush will be so damn confident.

	20-02-2003 04:04									#21
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Bush has committed himself to an extremely high stakes set of policy choices, so whatever happens, it'll likely be a landslide.

If he's perceived as successful in Iraq, there's no other major crises, and the economy rebounds, he's untouchable.

If anything goes wrong, it would take a supreme act of self-immolation by the Democrats to keep Dubya in office.

I think 2004 will be a lot more about results than about ideology, so within limits, that helps the Democrats, who have trouble creating the illusion that we have a coherent national policy.

I think Lieberman-Edwards is the ticket for the Dems (in either order), and it should be interesting to see what Dubya does for a running mate in 2004 - if he sticks with Cheney, that does nothing for positioning a successor for 2008.

	20-02-2003 04:07									#22
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quote: Originally posted by DuncanK We will win the war.

The war's a non-event. It's the post-war occupation and the handling of a virtual colony in the Arabian gulf that gets interesting.

quote: There is a high chance that the economy is rebounding.

As evidenced by what, exactly?

quote: The Dems will have nothing.

If Bush doesn't pull things off very well, the Dems won't need much of anything.

	20-02-2003 05:41									#23
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quote: Originally posted by MichaeltheGreat ...it would take a supreme act of self-immolation by the Democrats to keep Dubya in office.

Gee, whaddaya think the odds are on that?

	20-02-2003 05:46									#24
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That's why I wouldn't actually make a prediction.

	20-02-2003 05:46									#25
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The war will have no impact on the elections next year (though a messy occupation may well hurt him). It didn't help his old man. People vote with their wallets and their stomachs. Unless the economy rebounds spectacularly or the Dem's choose a loser, Bush is just another one-term-wonder like his old man.

	20-02-2003 05:53									#26
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I agree. Bush is a riverboat gambler. He seems like a good one, but even the best hit a bad string now and then... We'll either love him or hate him come election time.

	20-02-2003 06:03									#27
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quote: Originally posted by MichaeltheGreat The war's a non-event. It's the post-war occupation and the handling of a virtual colony in the Arabian gulf that gets interesting.

Americans are mostly concerned with winning the war on terrorism with the least amount of American deaths as possible. I don't think many Americans will die. True, Iraq will not get straightened out, but it will be a victory for Americans, because a particularly bad dictator will be out of the picture, and the WoD will be found.

quote: Originally posted by MichaeltheGreat As evidenced by what, exactly?

hmmm... Housing starts are looking good. I don't analyse these things. Most of the forcasters are predicting a rebound, so I go with them.

quote: Originally posted by MichaeltheGreat If Bush doesn't pull things off very well, the Dems won't need much of anything.

True, but unless there is another major terrorist attack or the economy crashes Bush will have a landslide.

	20-02-2003 06:07									#28
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quote: Originally posted by ADG Bush re-elected? Can people really make the same (big) mistake twice? I don't hope so...

In the case of the electorate, and assuming judges aren't involved, it will be the same mistake once.

	20-02-2003 06:26									#29
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There is a famous saying:

No one ever went broke underestimating the intelligence of the American public.

There is an intuitive extension to that saying, which to my knowledge has never actually been stated. Let's call it the George W. Bush clause:

No one ever lost an election that way, either.

	20-02-2003 07:59									#30
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and the WoD will be found.

Make sure you file off the "Made in USA" and "Copyright (c) 2003" inscriptions before presenting them to the UN.

Nader in 2004.