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Ming is offline Ming
Chief Minion

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Mingapulco - CST
Jan 1970
time: 23:27
  Old Post 01-04-2003 04:35 Visit Ming<br><img src=/forums/images/staff-icon.gif>'s homepage!
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Re: Re: Re: What if: Syria and Iran launch a pre-emptive strike against the US Support Apolyton, pre-order Civilization IV

quote:
Originally posted by Calc II
then why even invest them in the first place? That sounds like an extreme inefficiency.


They bought them to use on other nations... not against a suprerior force


quote:

Because the Iraqis are hopelessly outnumbered as well as being outclassed - add the Syrians and Iranians into the Jihad mix and things even up a bit


The Syrians and Iranians would be equally outclassed as well. The Arab world learned that lesson the last time they thought they had somebody outnumbered.

If I remember correctly, Isreal didn't lose a single plane

MOBIUS is offline MOBIUS
King
Prifysgol Caerdydd
Dec 1999
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  Old Post 01-04-2003 04:40 Visit MOBIUS's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by MichaeltheGreat
We airlifted in a mechanized brigade a few days ago - the first time anyone in the world has ever done so. We kept Berlin supplied by air over half a century ago.


You'd have to keep that up around the clock through potentially hostile airspace - I'd say those transports would be relatively easy to knock out...

quote:
IF the Iranians got squirrely, the first thing we'd do is take out their silkworms.


Well if I was in charge, I'dve fired them off in a huge surprise attack before then...

quote:
If they persisted, we might teach them a lesson by removing all that oil infrastructure from places like Bandar Abbas, Bandar e Lengeh, Kharg Island, Bushehr, etc. Hard to sustain a war effort when you're a semi-pariah nation without an economy.


Where there's a will there's a way...

quote:
We'd also make an accomodation with the House of Saud, or it's successor and open up more transport corridors.


What if the Wahhabi population of Saudi overthrew the Royal Family in an Al-Qaeda led popular revolution caught up by the religious fervour of the Jihad against the Great Satan - now you've got those pesky Saudis to deal with as well...

quote:
Unlike Die Grosse Hermann, we can supply our armies by air.


Yes when it's not being tested to breaking point...

quote:
If it even looked close to that, which it never would, we have other options and methods that could be brought to the table. And do you think anyone, anywhere would have the balls to stop us?


And so it would come full circle - the US using WoMD on nations it is trying to disarm of WoMD lest they use them...

MichaeltheGreat is offline MichaeltheGreat
Apolyton Grand Executioner
mooning the house that Ruth built.
Oct 1999
time: 21:27
  Old Post 01-04-2003 04:51
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quote:
Originally posted by MOBIUS


You'd have to keep that up around the clock through potentially hostile airspace - I'd say those transports would be relatively easy to knock out...


Hostile airspace presumes there are enemy aircraft and competent pilots to operate them. We'd dispose of that issue inside a week, moving transports all the while.

quote:

Well if I was in charge, I'dve fired them off in a huge surprise attack before then...


You'd have to have targets to fire them at. What I'm saying is that if we expected sustained seaborne supply to be necessary (we have months of supply already in Kuwait, and it's not like there's going to be a shortage of oil there ), we'd clear a corridor for those ships to move through, before they arrived.

quote:

What if the Wahhabi population of Saudi overthrew the Royal Family in an Al-Qaeda led popular revolution caught up by the religious fervour of the Jihad against the Great Satan - now you've got those pesky Saudis to deal with as well...


There's not enough of them to get worked about, but hey, if they wanted to join the party, we'd get them closer to Allah too.


quote:
And so it would come full circle - the US using WoMD on nations it is trying to disarm of WoMD lest they use them...


That's only if the other people got uppity and lucky.

MOBIUS is offline MOBIUS
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Prifysgol Caerdydd
Dec 1999
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quote:
Originally posted by MichaeltheGreat
Hostile airspace presumes there are enemy aircraft and competent pilots to operate them. We'd dispose of that issue inside a week, moving transports all the while.


All of them? That didn't happen to the Iraqis in GWI, why should it happen now? What about SAMs?

quote:
You'd have to have targets to fire them at. What I'm saying is that if we expected sustained seaborne supply to be necessary (we have months of supply already in Kuwait, and it's not like there's going to be a shortage of oil there ), we'd clear a corridor for those ships to move through, before they arrived.


Well, there's plenty of ships in the gulf, why not fire them all off in one go at those? You're saying there are no miscellaneous ships travelling through Hormuz...

quote:
There's not enough of them to get worked about, but hey, if they wanted to join the party, we'd get them closer to Allah too.


Oh? I thought that most of the population were Wahhabis (80%+) - sounds like an awful lot of people with unhealthy attitudes to westerners in their country to my mind...

quote:
That's only if the other people got uppity and lucky.


That was the general idea...

Zero is offline Zero
King
Bouncing back and forth
Sep 2002
time: 00:27
  Old Post 01-04-2003 05:05
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quote:
Originally posted by Ming


They bought them to use on other nations... not against a suprerior force



Oh I know. But I cnat imagine a scenario in which Iraq wouldnt fight with US being involved in some way.

I think there's too much "" in this thread. Its starting to annoy me.

Everyone is winking at each other!

Lancer is offline Lancer
Emperor
Oregon Coast, USA! or Bohol, Philippines!
Apr 1999
time: 05:27
  Old Post 01-04-2003 05:14
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Calc, don't ask, don't tell.

MOBIUS is offline MOBIUS
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Prifysgol Caerdydd
Dec 1999
time: 15:27
  Old Post 01-04-2003 05:17 Visit MOBIUS's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Calc II


Oh I know. But I cnat imagine a scenario in which Iraq wouldnt fight with US being involved in some way.

I think there's too much "" in this thread. Its starting to annoy me.

Everyone is winking at each other!


I tell you what's starting to annoy me - that goddamned 'pockets of resistance' comment I keep hearing all the time!

They should do a video of every time it has been said and by every person - I swear they'd have a 5 min tape...

ThePantaloonDog is offline ThePantaloonDog
Chieftain
Baltimore, Maryland but currently in dirty, dirty New London CT
Feb 2001
time: 00:27
  Old Post 01-04-2003 05:29
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quote:
I also think once the dust settles, Iraq will become fundy too - it's only secular mainly because of Saddam and the Ba'ath party. Most Iraqis are Shia, which would be a huge power shift from the Sunnis, which would bring it into line with Iran...


One thing to remeber about the Shi'ites in Iraq was that they supported Saddam in his war with Iran. A lot can change in 10 years (like bombing your people) but the Shi'ites probably don't feel any kinship with the Iranians.

Honestly I see Iraq going into Afghanistan mode with a "government" in Baghdad and the rest owned by local warlords. If Syria and Iran are smart they'll make see if they can make the American's life a living hell in Iraq and then step in to take control.

Ben Kenobi is offline Ben Kenobi
Emperor
McGregornobi!
Oct 2002
time: 21:27
  Old Post 01-04-2003 05:57
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Calc:
quote:
Thats what we need in this war. Lots of surprises. This war is going too "according to plan" IMO.


Be careful what you wish for..

Zero is offline Zero
King
Bouncing back and forth
Sep 2002
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  Old Post 01-04-2003 06:11
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quote:
Originally posted by obiwan18
Calc:


Be careful what you wish for..


Actually expecting surprises and anticipating for it is the best. At least you wont be caught with ur pants down. Besides me saying this is in no way similar to our military failing. We can be surprised and successful w/o casualty at the same time. (Ever dodged a flying object that you didnt anticipate coming at you?)

I just want the excitement.

quote:

I tell you what's starting to annoy me - that goddamned 'pockets of resistance' comment I keep hearing all the time!

They should do a video of every time it has been said and by every person - I swear they'd have a 5 min tape...


Play the everytime X happens, drink game. Its fun and Im guesing with this one it will be a great party. (who says you cant party with CNN being the focus of the party? )

Ben Kenobi is offline Ben Kenobi
Emperor
McGregornobi!
Oct 2002
time: 21:27
  Old Post 01-04-2003 09:22
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You would be willing to live with massively unpleasant surprises?

Suppose Hussein has a small nuke, and ends up nuking US forces invading Baghdad?

Better everything go to plan, than have unexpected problems.

MOBIUS is offline MOBIUS
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Prifysgol Caerdydd
Dec 1999
time: 15:27
  Old Post 01-04-2003 17:24 Visit MOBIUS's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by obiwan18
You would be willing to live with massively unpleasant surprises?

Suppose Hussein has a small nuke, and ends up nuking US forces invading Baghdad?

Better everything go to plan, than have unexpected problems.


He's just saying that cos he's safe at home playing armchair general...

I'd like to see him say that if he were a grunt just ordered to suit up because his unit was under attack from nerve gas...

spiritof1202 is offline spiritof1202
Settler

Mar 2003
time: 05:27
  Old Post 01-04-2003 18:40 Visit spiritof1202's homepage!
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"Give us new missiles"


The 1982 Israeli invasion of Lebanon resulted in many dogfights between Syrian and Israeli jet fighters.

In the end, the Syrians lost over 80 planes and had a number of SAM batteries knocked out, while the Israelis lost no planes.

Sometime later, the Syrian Defense Minister was shopping for weapons in Moscow.

His host, the Soviet Defense Minister, was embarrassed about the scorecard from Lebanon.

He told his Syrian guest, "Take anything you want - our best tanks, rifles, or surface-to-air missiles."

"No, no - you don't understand!" the Syrian replied. "Last time you gave us surface-to-air missiles. This time we need surface-to-*jet* missiles!"

Az is offline Az
King
MACEDONIA - It's the name of the sovereign country to the north of Greece
Apr 2000
time: 07:27
  Old Post 01-04-2003 19:03
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actually, the problem hardly was the machinery. It was the human material operating them. When the soviets operated their own jets, and SAMs, Israel actually had to fight for air superiority.

MOBIUS is offline MOBIUS
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Prifysgol Caerdydd
Dec 1999
time: 15:27
  Old Post 16-04-2003 17:02 Visit MOBIUS's homepage!
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Maybe the Syrians should have launched that pre-emptive strike after all?

My Wife Hates CIV is offline My Wife Hates CIV
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Michigan
Jan 1970
time: 05:27
  Old Post 16-04-2003 19:54 Visit My Wife Hates CIV's homepage!
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The US could take on the entire middle east. and win. and that's still fighting 'nice'.

My Wife Hates CIV is offline My Wife Hates CIV
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Jan 1970
time: 05:27
  Old Post 16-04-2003 20:09 Visit My Wife Hates CIV's homepage!
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since this sorta goes along with this thread thought i would post it here instead of start another thread...

While troops won't be replacing their assault rifles for ray guns just yet, high-tech lasers are nearly ready for other combat uses.
Last year the U.S. and Israeli armies field-tested a chemical laser made by TRW that successfully knocked out 100 mm rockets and artillery shells.

But making powerful lasers fit for use against enemy artillery means that they'll have to be mobile enough to keep up with fast-moving tanks and other units that make up a modern fighting force.

And the key to developing a more agile laser system may lie in research being done at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratories.


Making Laser Systems Mobile

"This is actually a very pivotal time in terms of high-powered laser systems," says Brent Dane, project manager for high-energy lasers at Lawrence Livermore Labs.

For about six years he and his team have been hard at work on a high-powered, portable, electric laser for the U.S. Department of Defense.

"If there's one sort of key aspect of a solid-state laser, it's mobility," Dane says. "And the mobility comes from a very high electrical efficiency and architectures which support compact, very lightweight designs."


Humvee-Mounted Defense

Using special "beam director" software, a laser can lock onto an in-flight missile and heat the explosives inside their metal shell, causing them to detonate before they reach their target.

Lawrence Livermore Laboratories has just developed a 25-kilowatt laser and is working on a 100-kilowatt version, which Dane says will supply enough power to knock out a missile in two to three seconds.

The 100-kilowatt laser should be ready for combat by 2010, Dane says. However, the battlefield technology doesn't end with the lasers. The lasers will likely ride into battle atop hybrid electric Humvees.

"If you look at the typical traction battery that's being proposed for these hybrid electric vehicles," Dane says, "that battery will be adequate for actually powering a hundred-kilowatt laser system."


my point being here that the gap just continues to grow. and it's a pretty big gap already.

so... > What if: Syria and Iran launch a pre-emptive strike against the US ???

i really dont think they could. it sure wouldnt be a surprise attack. as i heard someone say on the news the other night. the US is the biggest cat in the world... and syria is a three legged blind mouse. Iran is not much better. I would say Iran better use those nukes now (or anyone else who might have them) - before they also are completly worthless. can you say middle east(ern united states)??

Sava is offline Sava
King
GO GO GO!
Mar 2001
time: 23:27
  Old Post 16-04-2003 22:05
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Syria and Iran would get spanked... royally.

Shi: Did your parents tell you there were "leftists" under your bed when you were little?

Imran Siddiqui is offline Imran Siddiqui

Deity
The Potterverse
Jan 1970
time: 00:27
  Old Post 17-04-2003 00:46
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There were leftists under my bed .

(now they is a leftist IN my bed )

Eli is offline Eli
Emperor
Israel
Jul 2000
time: 07:27
  Old Post 17-04-2003 00:58
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Egypt wont get involved. They need the money.

If Israel enters the picture, Syria will go kaput very quickly.

How many active divisions does the US have? 15? How many of them in the ME? Let's say 8...(WAG)
Israel can mount three times that number of fully trained, fully equiped divisions within 48 hours.

(those numbers are from memory and not really exact... Though I think the true numbers are somewhere within 30% range of the ones I stated )

raghar is offline raghar
Chieftain
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Oct 2002
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  Old Post 17-04-2003 03:11
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Well Syria just tried to make another nail to Israel's nuclear weapon program coffin. I think they would try remove NW from Israel and then they would do something.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/mi...ast/2954159.stm

Eli is offline Eli
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Israel
Jul 2000
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  Old Post 17-04-2003 03:42
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Yeah, like Israel would ever disband it's Nuclear weapons.

Inverse Icarus is offline Inverse Icarus
Emperor
flying too low to the ground
May 2001
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  Old Post 17-04-2003 04:19 Visit Inverse Icarus's homepage!
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please. if Iran / Syria started to move, we'd nnotice almost instantly. you dont think our satelites are only looking at Iraq right now, do you?

even if they got the initial "shock" attack, we'd take our initial casualities and the pound the poop out of them as soon as everyone knew what was going on.

Joseph is offline Joseph
Prince
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Feb 2000
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  Old Post 17-04-2003 05:51
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quote:
Originally posted by UberKruX
please. if Iran / Syria started to move, we'd nnotice almost instantly. you dont think our satelites are only looking at Iraq right now, do you?

even if they got the initial "shock" attack, we'd take our initial casualities and the pound the poop out of them as soon as everyone knew what was going on.
I agree and don't forget there is a SSBN in the Indian Ocean, I wonder why its there.

Joseph is offline Joseph
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Feb 2000
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  Old Post 17-04-2003 05:52
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quote:
Originally posted by UberKruX
please. if Iran / Syria started to move, we'd nnotice almost instantly. you dont think our satelites are only looking at Iraq right now, do you?

even if they got the initial "shock" attack, we'd take our initial casualities and the pound the poop out of them as soon as everyone knew what was going on.
I agree.

JCG is offline JCG
Prince
between a rock and a hard place
Feb 2002
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  Old Post 17-04-2003 05:58
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They won't, but they'd be doomed within the month if they ever did...

Wtiberon is offline Wtiberon
Settler
Foxfire, NC
Feb 2003
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  Old Post 17-04-2003 07:58
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First off Iraq has been secular too long to go back to a fundamentalist nation...The U.S. will see to that as well. Second it would be SUICIDE if they invaded the U.S. Iraq only got a taste of what we are capable of mostly because we relied heavily on Iraqi forces surrendering. Rumsfield challenged the Pentagon to come up with a warplan that used the smallest amount of units possible. Thats why there was that initial rush for bagdad because it was theorized that if they could control bagdad the other cities would revolt and the war would have lasted about a week...of course it didn't happen that smooth but close enough I'd say. Imagine if we had used ALL our resources available to us....Great Jesus In the Morning!!!!

Syria and Iran have already made a preemptive diplomatic strike...Syria in particular. They are planning to present a proposal to the U.N. to make the Middle East WMD free....this of course is targeted at Israel. I think this is a very shrewd maneaver on Syria's part. Iran issued a statement that continuing talks with U.S. was in the best interest of Iran and that any Iraqi fugitives escaping into Iran would be arrested.

They may have alot to learn in warfare but we have much to learn in diplomacy. Think about it...they managed to rally much of the world opinion behind a guy who kills and torturs his people, invades his neighbors, and has (allegedly) WMD...incredible.

raghar is offline raghar
Chieftain
I wish somewhere else.
Oct 2002
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  Old Post 18-04-2003 01:52
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quote:
Originally posted by Eli
Yeah, like Israel would ever disband it's Nuclear weapons.


Some people in US didn't dream about Patriot act either.

Az is offline Az
King
MACEDONIA - It's the name of the sovereign country to the north of Greece
Apr 2000
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  Old Post 18-04-2003 02:01
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I don't think they actually can legally do this, but heck, they can always try.

A UN resolution declaring the law of gravity void!
A UN resolution ordering people to wear purple underpants!

axi is offline axi
Prince
Athens Greece
Sep 1999
time: 07:27
  Old Post 18-04-2003 03:34
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It's funny how global threats are created out of thin air, isn't it? A month ago nobody would percieve that Syria could be threatened by the United States. Two years ago, nobody could have guessed either that North Korea would be in a nuclear standoff with the United States. Why do the United States keep surprising us?

Who's next, Guinea-Bissau?

 
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