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E_T is offline E_T
Emperor
Orlando, Florida
Mar 2001
time: 00:28
  Old Post 18-06-2003 07:54
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BFM, does your formula take into account if a unit is wounded or not??

E_T

BigFurryMonster is offline BigFurryMonster
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Feb 2002
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  Old Post 18-06-2003 12:41 Visit BigFurryMonster's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by E_T
BFM, does your formula take into account if a unit is wounded or not??


Not yet. I do not know if Wounded status has any effect on Army Strength. If it does, it could very well be that CFC is in some trouble right now.

It's a difficult thing to test, but I think I'm going to try anyway.

NYE - in theory, CFC could have abandoned or traded away a city. This could increase their army support cost, which may affect their military status in the F3 screen. A long shot, though.

notyoueither is offline notyoueither
Deity
of naught
Aug 2001
time: 22:28
  Old Post 21-06-2003 12:45
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1200BC highlights.

Someone has HBR. The time to research has just dropped.

We are now average in military vs CDG.

BigFree is offline BigFree

Emperor
Acampo, CA
Oct 1999
time: 21:28
  Old Post 21-06-2003 14:44
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That would likely be CFC.

MrWhereItsAt is offline MrWhereItsAt
Emperor
New Year's Resolution: 2005 is the year of Where It's At - come get some.
Nov 2001
time: 17:28
  Old Post 22-06-2003 18:15
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According to MZ's posted chat with Goonie (of CFC) they have HBR and are wanting to trade that with Maths and their map for MM and our map.

Look at the reported foreign affairs communiques thread for the exact details of how MZ proposes to go about this.

Theseus is offline Theseus

Emperor
The warmonger formerly known as rpodos. Gathering Storm! Apolyton Spirit!!
Apr 2002
time: 00:28
  Old Post 23-06-2003 04:48
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I *think* this is the right place...

For those of you that remember him, Txurce was an active poster in Strat until about a year ago. He specialized in peaceful deity games, and was a participant in the original Mini-Tourneys that evolved into AU.

He posted on a deity thread yesterday, I said HI!!, and he sent me the following. I don;t mind posting it, nor do I know if he is participating in the ISDG. I just find it very interesting in terms of CFC's attitude towards 'poly:
______________________________

Theseus,

When I periodically leaf through the Apolyton Strategy forum, I get a huge kick out of the deified status that you and Arrian, for example, have acquired. More seriously, you have done a great job of both collating information and providing an amazing continuing-education course with the AU concept. At this point, serious Apolyton Strategy equals AU.

As you know, I wound up at Civfanatics, where there is a solid Mac community. They weren't very good, so I started playing 1.21 deity by myself at the same time. Then that force of nature aka Cracker came on stage, offering to mod the GOTMs so that the Mac players could join in. This meant that we were playing with 1.29 rules, with PTW civs and additions like the stock exchange, the Internet, and so on. Cracker's jerry-rigged efforts led the guy who ported the Mac to complete the 1.29 patch, so now Mac gamers are playing the identical game as PC 1.29 Civvers. (A side note: 1.29 made deity harder, but not much harder.)

I just completed my fourth GOTM (deity, my best score so far!), and have learned a lot since my educational isolation began upon leaving Apolyton. It's been about a year, I think, but do you remember how none of us built granaries at the start? Like most of you, I think, I came around after finding myself with half the cities of other players at the 1000BC mark. In general, I was blown away by the gameplay of the CivFanatic elite. Now that Aeson devised a new scoring system that doesn't favor milking (it roughly balances fastest finish with expansion), there were almost 250 entries for GOTM19 (emperor). The top players are definitely a cloud bank above me, and I'm not quite sure what's going on up there.

Alexman usually plays in the GOTM, and I've seen Nathan's name in there once or twice. Have you ever done it? Or do you feel like who needs to open a second Pandora's box? I've thought about playing in the AU, since it's a different, and very interesting approach, but I think you've phased out 1.29ers, right?

Well, that's enough of an update for now. I hope you're doing well.

Txurce

BigFurryMonster is offline BigFurryMonster
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Feb 2002
time: 06:28
  Old Post 23-06-2003 12:01 Visit BigFurryMonster's homepage!
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Science updated: CFC has HBR now. Has the cost of Philosophy dropped, as well?

BigFurryMonster is offline BigFurryMonster
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  Old Post 29-06-2003 17:46 Visit BigFurryMonster's homepage!
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Added an analysis of CFC and their land and cities.

It would be nice if someone runs a simulation to check how high their production and commerce levels are.

Also, I found out that if they have a Granary in their capital, they're the #1 in Life Expectancy.

Vlad Antlerkov is offline Vlad Antlerkov
King
Do you have Matt Stairs in your house?
Mar 1999
time: 23:28
  Old Post 29-06-2003 20:43 Visit Vlad Antlerkov's homepage!
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On the Demographics, we're no longer first in Literacy, so someone has built a library somewhere. This means someone out there has Literature.

BigFurryMonster is offline BigFurryMonster
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  Old Post 29-06-2003 23:32 Visit BigFurryMonster's homepage!
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Actually, no. Check the formulas. The mere discovery of Literature adds 3% to the Literacy score. It just means someone discovered Literacy. Since the beaker costs for it did not change, it's one of the overseas countries.

BigFurryMonster is offline BigFurryMonster
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Feb 2002
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  Old Post 30-06-2003 12:07 Visit BigFurryMonster's homepage!
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Updated CFC analysis with Trip's sim results.

MrWhereItsAt is offline MrWhereItsAt
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New Year's Resolution: 2005 is the year of Where It's At - come get some.
Nov 2001
time: 17:28
  Old Post 01-07-2003 19:38
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BFM - check out the map analysis thread for some convoluted estimates of mine - skip to the end if you think it best.

Moreover, for turn 76, here are the values for other civs for

GNP:?, ?, 28, 27 (us), 26, 22, 21, 19 (? is 28 or above)

Mfg Goods: ?, ?, 26 (us), 22, 19, 18, 14, 11 (? is 27 or above)

as far as I can tell. This is from noticing that we were eg. 4th at Mfg of 19, yet 5th at 18.

Trip is offline Trip
Firaxis Games
Hunt Valley
Apr 2002
time: 00:28
  Old Post 03-07-2003 23:43 Visit Trip's homepage!
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CDG:

Note: GNP is commerce before corruption. MFG is shields after waste.

Likely

27 GNP (-6 Corruption)
14 MFG (-2 Waste)
40 Prod

Max Possible (for each, not together)

30 GNP (-7 Corruption)
16 MFG (-4 Waste)

Probable SPT/Max SPT (production)
Probable GPT/Max GPT (commerce)
Probable FPT/Max FPT (food surplus)

If there is only one number listed, then there is a 90+% chance of that being the correct statistic.

Elucidium

Size 4
7/9 SPT
8/9 GPT
+0/+4 FPT

OurGoatsAreTrained2Kill

Size 2
2 SPT
1/2 GPT
+1 FPT

Zarigueya

Size 2
2 SPT
3 GPT
+1 FPT

Cuido de Alcohol

Size 1
1 SPT (-1)
5 GPT (-1)
+1 FPT

Possumopolis

Size 1
1 SPT (-1)
3 GPT (-1)
+1 FPT

Shaharazade

Size 1
1 SPT
1 GPT (-1)
+1 FPT

Golden Age:

34 GNP (-6 Corruption)
27 MFG (-5 Waste)
55 Prod

Elucidium

10 SPT
12 GPT

OurGoatsAreTrained2Kill

5 SPT (-1)
2/5 GPT

Zarigueya

5 SPT (-1)
3/5 GPT (-1)

Cuido de Alcohol

3 SPT (-1)
6 GPT (-2)

Possumopolis

3 SPT (-1)
3 GPT (-1)

Shaharazade

1 SPT (-1)
2 GPT (-2)

Edit: Forgot Shaharazade. Also added some other information.

Last edited by Trip on 04-07-2003 at 00:46

Trip is offline Trip
Firaxis Games
Hunt Valley
Apr 2002
time: 00:28
  Old Post 04-07-2003 01:04 Visit Trip's homepage!
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More research:

Colors match in-game colors (estimates).

GNP (commerce before corruption):
?, ?, 28, 27, 26, 23, 22, 20

MFG (shields after waste):
?, ?, 27, 22, 19, 19, 14, 11

My previous research shows that CDG is most likely at 27 GNP and 14 MFG. These numbers show this to be true or very near to it.

Last edited by Trip on 04-07-2003 at 01:14

MrWhereItsAt is offline MrWhereItsAt
Emperor
New Year's Resolution: 2005 is the year of Where It's At - come get some.
Nov 2001
time: 17:28
  Old Post 04-07-2003 12:56
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CDG is in their GA

Evidence: The valued for Mfg Goods turn 78 are as follows -

?, ?, 28(Us), 24, 23, 20, 19, 11

Note last turn (77) as in Trip's post, these were

?, ?, 27(Us), 22, 19, 19, 14, 11

The one with 14 on turn 77 is believed from sims to be CDG, and they have just jumped to 24 this turn. Thus it seems a reasonable conclusion they have started their GA as of this turn.

For GNP:

Turn 78
?, ?, ?, 32(Us), 28, 23, 21, 16

At turn 77 as per Trip's post in Area X

?, ?, 28, 27, 26, 23, 22, 20

We grew a pop point or two, so we went from 28 to 32. Increases of one or two can be explained by a new pop point or a new road elsewhere, otherwise the bottom two lost a pop point to barbs/disease, rearranged workers away from trade or, as is likely in the bottom case (Firaxis) built a settler.

The change is that someone has gone from 26 or 27 to above 32 (above us). That someone is again likely CDG, and Trip's estimate of their GA GNP was at 34.

Both pieces of evidence point to the conclusion that CDG is in their GA.

E_T is offline E_T
Emperor
Orlando, Florida
Mar 2001
time: 00:28
  Old Post 04-07-2003 19:13
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BFM, to get a better Idea of the Military streigth of our opponants, start to disband our units until you see a change in their streigth relative to ours.

E_T

BigFurryMonster is offline BigFurryMonster
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Feb 2002
time: 06:28
  Old Post 04-07-2003 21:00 Visit BigFurryMonster's homepage!
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Can't do that since that would be an irreversible process.

E_T is offline E_T
Emperor
Orlando, Florida
Mar 2001
time: 00:28
  Old Post 04-07-2003 21:18
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BFM asked this in Chat today:
quote:

* BigFurryMonster has joined #apolytonisdg
[BigFurryMonster] someone got the save open?
[BigFurryMonster] if so, please notice that a 2nd civ has Literature
[BigFurryMonster] since last turn
[BigFurryMonster] please check whether it's a civ we know or not
[BigFurryMonster] gotta go (party!) - bye!!
* BigFurryMonster has quit IRC (Quit: BigFurryMonster goes back to RL.)
[E_T] checked, still 240 beakers

BigFurryMonster is offline BigFurryMonster
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Feb 2002
time: 06:28
  Old Post 06-07-2003 13:10 Visit BigFurryMonster's homepage!
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Thanks. This means it's a "lost civ" then, who must be a trade partner of the tech leader, OR have finished their research exactly one turn after the leader.

BigFurryMonster is offline BigFurryMonster
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Feb 2002
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  Old Post 06-07-2003 13:48 Visit BigFurryMonster's homepage!
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Updated:


  • Contact Analysis
  • Science

BigFurryMonster is offline BigFurryMonster
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Feb 2002
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  Old Post 14-07-2003 12:28 Visit BigFurryMonster's homepage!
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Updated:


  • Power Analysis (thanks, Trip!)

BigFurryMonster is offline BigFurryMonster
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Feb 2002
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  Old Post 28-07-2003 19:16 Visit BigFurryMonster's homepage!
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The below is old info about Power. New info is available on Page 1.

quote:
Originally posted by Trip
I did a power analysis for this turn, comparing the power of each known team.

Power is cities, gold, culture, advances, resources, military strength, nuclear weapons and wonders.

By default, cities and units are emphasized.

1.00 is the average power of our continent

code:
Apo 1.39 CDG 1.07 GCA 0.82 CFC 0.70

BigFurryMonster is offline BigFurryMonster
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  Old Post 28-07-2003 20:42 Visit BigFurryMonster's homepage!
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Updated tech stuff on page 1. The info below is old.

quote:

Who has which tech?
Update: Turn 69, Jun 15th, 2003.

In the Turn 67 thread, the number of turns is given to discover some techs. We have accumulated 0 beakers, so we can now establish how many other civs (out of CDG, CFC, GCA) have those techs.

  • Philosophy (144), Code of Laws (240), Literature (240), HBR (120) all still have their full cost. None of the civs therefore has it.
  • Mathematics is at 163 to 165 beakers now. Two civs have it (we still need 165 beakers).
  • Mysticism is at 73 to 74 beakers now; its full cost is 96. If all three civs would have it, we would still need 75 beakers.
    The formula must be not 100% correct, here.

BigFurryMonster is offline BigFurryMonster
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  Old Post 29-07-2003 15:47 Visit BigFurryMonster's homepage!
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Updating Army Strength. Below is old info.

quote:

CDG's Buildup Turns 44 - 61
Update: Turn 69, Jun, 2003



  • On Turn 44 (1950 BC), we had a Strong army, compared to CDG.

    We had:
    6 RegWar, 1 EliWar, 1 RegNM
    for a total of 10.09 Army Points

    This means they had (at maximum):
    5 RegWar, 1 VetWar, 1 RegSpe
    for a total of 7.73 Army Points

  • On Turn 45 (1990 BC), our army was Average.
  • On Turn 59 (1525 BC), our army was Average.

  • On Turn 60 (1525 BC), our army was Weak.

    We had:
    6 RegWar, 1 VetWar, 1 EliWar, 2 RegNM
    for a total of 13.84 Army Points

    This means they had (at minimum):
    5 RegWar, 1 VetWar, 1 RegSpe, 3 RegImm
    for a total of 17.42 Army Points

So, they built up 3 Regular Immortals in the meantime.
(given the above assumptions)

  • We built 2 RegNM and 1 VetWar on Turn 63 and went to Average, which we still are in Turn 66.


CFC's Army as of Turn 60

In Turn 59, the Foreign Advisor (F3) reports that he knows nothing about their army.
In Turn 60, he reports that the Warrior is the best unit he knows of.
We're average compared to CFC.


GCA's Army as of Turn 60

The Foreign Advisor (F3) tells us that they have the Warrior as strongest type he knows of.

We're average compared to GCA.
Q: which GCA units do we know already?


Very Old Information

Apolyton's Army as of Turn 58
6 RegWar, 1 VetWar, 1 EliWar, 2 RegNuM = 13.84
Apolyton's Army as of Turn 59
6 RegWar, 1 VetWar, 1 EliWar, 2 RegNuM = 13.84
Apolyton's Army as of Turn 60
6 RegWar, 1 VetWar, 1 EliWar, 2 RegNuM = 13.84

BigFurryMonster is offline BigFurryMonster
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  Old Post 29-07-2003 19:24 Visit BigFurryMonster's homepage!
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Updated: Science (GCA got Polytheism; CFC got Construction) and Army Strength Analysis (GCA's Army).

civman2000 is offline civman2000
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of the Martian Empire
Jun 2001
time: 23:28
  Old Post 03-08-2003 03:23
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Demographics section is falling a bit behind...

Trip is offline Trip
Firaxis Games
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Apr 2002
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  Old Post 03-08-2003 03:36 Visit Trip's homepage!
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I usually do a demographics analysis for each turn in the turnthead.

BigFurryMonster is offline BigFurryMonster
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  Old Post 03-08-2003 11:45 Visit BigFurryMonster's homepage!
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...and I rely on Trip.

E_T is offline E_T
Emperor
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Mar 2001
time: 00:28
  Old Post 03-08-2003 12:28
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Hey BFM, I think that you need to start incorporating the Middle Ages Techs in the Sciences section. We are getting close....

E_T

BigFurryMonster is offline BigFurryMonster
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  Old Post 12-08-2003 21:06 Visit BigFurryMonster's homepage!
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Updated: Science section.

 
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