Apolyton Archive  |  Preserved copy of the Apolyton Civilization Site and its forums as they stood in September 2005. Read-only; nothing here can be posted to or replied to.  |  Forum index |  About this archive |  The 1998–2001 UBB forums
Today on Apolyton WARDELL INTERVIEW PROMO A.C.S. HISTORY CHAPTER 4 GET CIV4 /w FREE PLUS! A.C.S. PHOTO GALLERY GET A.O.M. V1.1
Apolyton Civilization Forums
main| civ2| civ3| civ4| smac| ctp2| ron| moo3| galciv| galciv2| alt| about|
ApolytonPLUS | register | search | faq | new posts | pm (-/-) | upload | members
hall of fame new! | civgroups | civgroups news | interviews | the column | radio | chat | directory | news | store | PLUS
Apolyton Civilization Forums : Powered by vBulletin version 2.0.3 Apolyton Civilization Forums > Miscellaneous > Archive > Off-Topic-Archive > Fate, Random chance, or Synchronicity?
Show a Printable Version | Email This Page to Someone! | Receive updates to this thread | Report this to Apolyton news!

bottom of page
  
Fate, Chance, or Synchronicity? (Time out:0 days after 21-06-2003, 19:16)
Fate
Chance
Synchronicity
Banana
View Results [Edit Poll (moderators only)]
Author
Thread   
Pages (5): [ 1   2   3   4     >> ]
< Last Thread     Next Thread > Post New Thread     Post A Reply
self biased is offline self biased
King
Yggdrasil.
Nov 1999
time: 00:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 19:15 Visit self biased's homepage!
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#1 Report this post to a moderator
Fate, Random chance, or Synchronicity? Support Apolyton, buy Civilization: The Boardgame

so, what is it that makes the world go around, anyway?

Park Avenue is offline Park Avenue
Emperor
Liberal and defender of freedoms for the people
Oct 1999
time: 05:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 19:17
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#2 Report this post to a moderator
Support Apolyton, buy Civilization III: Complete

The sun..

self biased is offline self biased
King
Yggdrasil.
Nov 1999
time: 00:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 19:21 Visit self biased's homepage!
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#3 Report this post to a moderator
Support Apolyton, buy Civilization: The Boardgame

i'm talking in a metaphysical sense, stu.

Dauphin is offline Dauphin
Emperor
Caught in a tuna net
Jan 1970
time: 05:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 20:21
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#4 Report this post to a moderator
Support Apolyton, buy Call to Power 2

A mixture.

A lot of the time the outcome is determined while the path is left to chance. Sometimes it just seems that way.

Park Avenue is offline Park Avenue
Emperor
Liberal and defender of freedoms for the people
Oct 1999
time: 05:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 20:24
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#5 Report this post to a moderator
Help yourself to an AD-FREE life

If the outcome is determined, who determines it?

Az is offline Az
King
MACEDONIA - It's the name of the sovereign country to the north of Greece
Apr 2000
time: 07:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 20:31
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#6 Report this post to a moderator
Support Apolyton, buy Civilization 2

Chance on the small things, Fate on the bigger things.

Dauphin is offline Dauphin
Emperor
Caught in a tuna net
Jan 1970
time: 05:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 20:34
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#7 Report this post to a moderator
Support Apolyton buy from Amazon

quote:
Originally posted by Boddington's
If the outcome is determined, who determines it?


'Laws of nature'.

Park Avenue is offline Park Avenue
Emperor
Liberal and defender of freedoms for the people
Oct 1999
time: 05:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 20:37
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#8 Report this post to a moderator
Help yourself to an AD-FREE life

Are you a determinist then?

Cruddy is offline Cruddy
Warlord

Mar 2003
time: 05:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 20:38 Visit Cruddy's homepage!
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#9 Report this post to a moderator
Help yourself to an AD-FREE life

Kinetic energy?

Does it matter?

Why does it only have to be 1 of the 3? Maybe they take it in turns.

Dauphin is offline Dauphin
Emperor
Caught in a tuna net
Jan 1970
time: 05:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 20:39
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#10 Report this post to a moderator
Support Apolyton buy from Amazon

quote:
Originally posted by Boddington's
Are you a determinist then?


No, because the Laws of Nature are not necessarily deterministic.

Az is offline Az
King
MACEDONIA - It's the name of the sovereign country to the north of Greece
Apr 2000
time: 07:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 20:41
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#11 Report this post to a moderator
Support Apolyton, pre-order Civilization IV

quote:
No, but I don't believe we have free will.

Free will is a bullshit expression anyway. WTF is free will?

Park Avenue is offline Park Avenue
Emperor
Liberal and defender of freedoms for the people
Oct 1999
time: 05:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 20:42
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#12 Report this post to a moderator
Support Apolyton, buy Alpha Centauri

So if there is an element of chance at the micro level, there is no way that there can be the same outcome at macro regardless of the micro, which is what all of you in this thread are implying.

Dauphin is offline Dauphin
Emperor
Caught in a tuna net
Jan 1970
time: 05:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 20:43
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#13 Report this post to a moderator
Support Apolyton, pre-order Civilization IV

quote:
Originally posted by Boddington's
So if there is an element of chance at the micro level, there is no way that there can be the same outcome at macro regardless of the micro, which is what all of you in this thread are implying.



You've obviously never heard of convergence.

Park Avenue is offline Park Avenue
Emperor
Liberal and defender of freedoms for the people
Oct 1999
time: 05:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 20:51
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#14 Report this post to a moderator
Support Apolyton buy from Amazon

Convergence is pretty much irrelevant here.

OK, let's say with relation to the initial question. Imagine a 5x5 grid where you start in the centre. A number lies on the outside of all 20 boxes on the perimeter. You move about the grid by a 1 in 4 chance of moving up, down, left or right.

By saying that "fate" exists, you are implying that the number you land at would have been landed at no matter which path you took.

The small steps you take obviously affect the bigger picture. If you want, make a larger grid, and a larger grid and so on.

Only when decisions (small steps) are infinitely small, and the outcome reached is infinitely huge is convergence a theoretical issue. This isn't the case in practice.

The small steps you take therefore affect the end-game result. It is illogical to claim you will land at one box regardless of the path taken.

To apply the analogy, imagine for example each move around the grid is a choice to go to the pub, cinema, beach or nothing on a particular day. Each 20 boxes on the perimeter, once reached, will let you meet a particular girl. You are not led fatefully to one particular box.

By this example I have shown fate does not exist, in relationships or any other life challenge...assuming free will.

if you don't assume free will, all outcomes are completely deterministic and actual (not perceived) probabilities are 0 and 1, rather than being 0.25

tinyp3nis is offline tinyp3nis
Warlord
compensate this!!
May 2002
time: 07:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 20:51
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#15 Report this post to a moderator
Full PM-box? Change here!

There is no free will.

Inverse Icarus is offline Inverse Icarus
Emperor
flying too low to the ground
May 2001
time: 00:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 20:54 Visit Inverse Icarus's homepage!
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#16 Report this post to a moderator
Increase Your PM Length

i believe everything is predetermined, you cannot change the future. just because we cannot ascertain sufficient information to accurately predict it (as per the size of the universe, as well as the heisenberg(sp?) uncertainy principle) doesn't mean it's not predetermined.

Az is offline Az
King
MACEDONIA - It's the name of the sovereign country to the north of Greece
Apr 2000
time: 07:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 20:54
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#17 Report this post to a moderator
Enter the AD-FREE zone

what 20 boxes? Could you please give me a different example? or explain this one?

Immortal Wombat is offline Immortal Wombat
Prince
in perpetuity
Dec 2000
time: 05:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 20:55 Visit Immortal Wombat's homepage!
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#18 Report this post to a moderator
Full PM-box? Change here!

I can see how free will could be only an illusion, since everything we do depends soley on the balance of chemicals in our brain and whatnot, but I find it so very difficult to extend this line of thinking to the point where even before the universe expanded from its cosmic singularity, the existance of a spelling mistake on the front of a mini-cd for MSN 8 which landed on my doormat this morning, is pre-determined to exist and be noticed by me over a bowl of cornflakes so many billion years in advance.

Dauphin is offline Dauphin
Emperor
Caught in a tuna net
Jan 1970
time: 05:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 21:02
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#19 Report this post to a moderator
Got spare money?

quote:
Originally posted by Boddington's
Convergence is pretty much irrelevant here.

OK, let's say with relation to the initial question. Imagine a 5x5 grid where you start in the centre. A number lies on the outside of all 20 boxes on the perimeter. You move about the grid by a 1 in 4 chance of moving up, down, left or right.

By saying that "fate" exists, you are implying that the number you land at would have been landed at no matter which path you took.

The small steps you take obviously affect the bigger picture. If you want, make a larger grid, and a larger grid and so on.

Only when decisions (small steps) are infinitely small, and the outcome reached is infinitely huge is convergence a theoretical issue. This isn't the case in practice.

The small steps you take therefore affect the end-game result. It is illogical to claim you will land at one box regardless of the path taken.

To apply the analogy, imagine for example each move around the grid is a choice to go to the pub, cinema, beach or nothing on a particular day. Each 20 boxes on the perimeter, once reached, will let you meet a particular girl. You are not led fatefully to one particular box.

By this example I have shown fate does not exist, in relationships or any other life challenge...assuming free will.

if you don't assume free will, all outcomes are completely deterministic and actual (not perceived) probabilities are 0 and 1, rather than being 0.25


What are you going on about?

Who said fate was about meeting "one particular girl", or doing a particular thing on a particular date? Fate is what happens when no matter what you do the result will be the same. If making a choice can affect the result it is not fate, it is part of the path.

tinyp3nis is offline tinyp3nis
Warlord
compensate this!!
May 2002
time: 07:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 21:03
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#20 Report this post to a moderator
Help yourself to an AD-FREE life

quote:
Originally posted by Immortal Wombat
I can see how free will could be only an illusion, since everything we do depends soley on the balance of chemicals in our brain and whatnot, but I find it so very difficult to extend this line of thinking to the point where even before the universe expanded from its cosmic singularity, the existance of a spelling mistake on the front of a mini-cd for MSN 8 which landed on my doormat this morning, is pre-determined to exist and be noticed by me over a bowl of cornflakes so many billion years in advance.


If you could know x+1t but not x+1^10t you'd just have bad algorythms
If you don't know x+1^10t then you also didn't know x+1t, it's just very similar.
x is current situation t is time.

Did this make any sense?

Inverse Icarus is offline Inverse Icarus
Emperor
flying too low to the ground
May 2001
time: 00:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 21:04 Visit Inverse Icarus's homepage!
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#21 Report this post to a moderator
Lose 30 kilos (of popups)

quote:
Originally posted by Immortal Wombat
I can see how free will could be only an illusion, since everything we do depends soley on the balance of chemicals in our brain and whatnot, but I find it so very difficult to extend this line of thinking to the point where even before the universe expanded from its cosmic singularity, the existance of a spelling mistake on the front of a mini-cd for MSN 8 which landed on my doormat this morning, is pre-determined to exist and be noticed by me over a bowl of cornflakes so many billion years in advance.


just because you couldnt measure it or predict it doesnt mean it didnt happen.

say you make an enclosed area, 20x20x20, and you recreate a small universe, or a planet, or whatever, completely irolated from the outside world.

if, at the time of inception, you knew the exact position, direction, and speed of every miniscule particle (quarks should work) in the entire area, you could have a computer simulation run and predict the next "instance" of time, essentially moving all the particles the way they would move. now, you have a new picture of the area, and could fid the next instance, and so on.

if your conputer program could advance through "time" faster than your environment (which is debatable), you could accurately predict the future of the environment, any amout of time in the future.

the problem with the universe is this:

1. the universe is too large to know everything about everywhere
2. even if we did know everything about everywhere, the computational power needed to actually progress faster than time itself would be impossible to ascertain (ie, storing every quark in the universe's information is quite memory intensive, not to mention running through them quickly)

even if we just took a section of space, say our solar system, and preformed this expiriment, it wouldn't work, because that completely ignores outside iteference, ie meteors comming to hit earth, aliens, radiation, whatever.

just because we cant do it doesnt mean it can't be done.

Park Avenue is offline Park Avenue
Emperor
Liberal and defender of freedoms for the people
Oct 1999
time: 05:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 21:06
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#22 Report this post to a moderator
Support Apolyton, buy Civilization III: Complete

quote:
Originally posted by Immortal Wombat
I can see how free will could be only an illusion, since everything we do depends soley on the balance of chemicals in our brain and whatnot, but I find it so very difficult to extend this line of thinking to the point where even before the universe expanded from its cosmic singularity, the existance of a spelling mistake on the front of a mini-cd for MSN 8 which landed on my doormat this morning, is pre-determined to exist and be noticed by me over a bowl of cornflakes so many billion years in advance.


I see a parallel with the tornade in a scrap yard analogy for evolution here...

Cruddy is offline Cruddy
Warlord

Mar 2003
time: 05:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 21:07 Visit Cruddy's homepage!
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#23 Report this post to a moderator
Browse Apolyton AD-FREE

quote:
Originally posted by tinyp3nis
There is no free will.


I choose not to believe you... we've had this argument before.

Dauphin is offline Dauphin
Emperor
Caught in a tuna net
Jan 1970
time: 05:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 21:10
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#24 Report this post to a moderator
Put an end to popups!

quote:
Originally posted by Uber KruX


just because you couldnt measure it or predict it doesnt mean it didnt happen.

say you make an enclosed area, 20x20x20, and you recreate a small universe, or a planet, or whatever, completely irolated from the outside world.

if, at the time of inception, you knew the exact position, direction, and speed of every miniscule particle (quarks should work) in the entire area, you could have a computer simulation run and predict the next "instance" of time, essentially moving all the particles the way they would move. now, you have a new picture of the area, and could fid the next instance, and so on.

if your conputer program could advance through "time" faster than your environment (which is debatable), you could accurately predict the future of the environment, any amout of time in the future.

the problem with the universe is this:

1. the universe is too large to know everything about everywhere
2. even if we did know everything about everywhere, the computational power needed to actually progress faster than time itself would be impossible to ascertain (ie, storing every quark in the universe's information is quite memory intensive, not to mention running through them quickly)

even if we just took a section of space, say our solar system, and preformed this expiriment, it wouldn't work, because that completely ignores outside iteference, ie meteors comming to hit earth, aliens, radiation, whatever.

just because we cant do it doesnt mean it can't be done.


You also get a paradox when you consider that the simulation will have to have a simulation which will have a simulation..(ad infinitum)..running inside of it.

Inverse Icarus is offline Inverse Icarus
Emperor
flying too low to the ground
May 2001
time: 00:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 21:12 Visit Inverse Icarus's homepage!
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#25 Report this post to a moderator
Support Apolyton, buy Galactic Civilizations

quote:
Originally posted by Big Crunch


You also get a paradox when you consider that the simulation will have to have a simulation which will have a simulation..(ad infinitum)..running inside of it.


howso?

Dauphin is offline Dauphin
Emperor
Caught in a tuna net
Jan 1970
time: 05:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 21:17
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#26 Report this post to a moderator
Support Apolyton buy from Amazon

If you are making an accurate simulation of the solar system presumably you will have to simulate the Earth, the people on it, your existence, the computer in questions existence, and any programme it is running....

Unless of course you don't want a truly accurate simulation.

Inverse Icarus is offline Inverse Icarus
Emperor
flying too low to the ground
May 2001
time: 00:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 21:19 Visit Inverse Icarus's homepage!
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#27 Report this post to a moderator
Support Apolyton, pre-order Civilization IV

quote:
Originally posted by Big Crunch
If you are making an accurate simulation of the solar system presumably you will have to simulate the Earth, the people on it, your existence, the computer in questions existence, and any programme it is running....

Unless of course you don't want a truly accurate simulation.


oh, i see your point now, you're talking about my second point. good show BC

Park Avenue is offline Park Avenue
Emperor
Liberal and defender of freedoms for the people
Oct 1999
time: 05:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 21:20
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#28 Report this post to a moderator
Support Apolyton buy from Amazon

Becuase the simulation is inside the system, so you need to assess the simulation's effect on the system. For which you will need another simulation, etc.

Az is offline Az
King
MACEDONIA - It's the name of the sovereign country to the north of Greece
Apr 2000
time: 07:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 21:21
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#29 Report this post to a moderator
Support Apolyton, buy Civilization: The Boardgame

Ok, then, place the simulation in an isolated enviroment, leaving in the system only the sensors.


Park Avenue is offline Park Avenue
Emperor
Liberal and defender of freedoms for the people
Oct 1999
time: 05:29
  Old Post 21-06-2003 21:23
Edit/Delete Message Reply w/Quote
#30 Report this post to a moderator
Support Apolyton or Terrorists Win

How do we take the simulation outside of the universe?

 
Pages (5): [ 1   2   3   4     >> ]
< Last Thread     Next Thread > Post New Thread     Post A Reply
All times are GMT. The time now is 05:29.
Apolyton Time is 00:29.
    top of page
Rate This Thread:
archivepost
Forum Jump:
Forum Rules:
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
HTML code is ON
vB code is ON
Smilies are ON
[IMG] code is ON
 




Contact Us - Apolyton Civilization Site - Support Us!

Building a better Apolyton through better information. Click here and take our poll!
Non-US visitors, click here!

Powered by: vBulletin Version 2.0.3
Copyright ©2000, 2001, Jelsoft Enterprises Limited.

Page generated in 0.0676 seconds (90.78% PHP - 9.22% MySQL) with 34 queries
Page Loading Time:

Support Apolyton: Amazon USA | Amazon UK | Amazon DE | Amazon FR |
Support Apolyton and get FREE PLUS, Buy from Chips&Bits: Galactic Civilizations | Galactic Civilizations: Deluxe Edition | Call to Power 2 | Civilization: The Boardgame | GURPS/ Alpha Centauri | Alpha Centauri | Civilization IV | Civilization III: Complete |


Front Page | Civilization IV | Civilization III | Civilization II | Call to Power II | Alpha Centauri | Master of Orion III
Rise of Nations | Galactic Civilizations | Galactic Civilizations II | Misc
Alt.Civs | Civ I | C:CtP I | About | News | Directory | Apolyton Store | Forums | Chat | Columns | Interviews | Newsletter
Scenario League | CSC | Clash of Civs | Spanish Site | CtP Maps | Cradle of Civ | WesW's Ctp1/2 Site | Civ3 Haven

apolyton.net | apolyton.com | civilization2.net | civilization3.net | civilization4.net | civilizationiv.info | calltopower.net | galciv.net | galciv2.net | moo3.net