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Ben Kenobi is offline Ben Kenobi
Emperor
McGregornobi!
Oct 2002
time: 21:36
  Old Post 01-06-2004 05:47
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In response to the title of the thread...

"Ever since I assumed my present office my main purpose has been to work for the pacification of Europe, for the removal of those suspicions and those animosities which have so long poisoned the air."

-Neville Chamberlain, 1938

axi is offline axi
Prince
Athens Greece
Sep 1999
time: 07:36
  Old Post 01-06-2004 06:20
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The world's first (and the only memorable) direct democracy has plunged all by itself into a war that lasted 30 years and led the state in question from superpower status to end up under a gruesome dictatorship.

Athens, 5th century B.C., The Peloponesian War

So do not be so confident about democratic or liberal regimes.

I wouldn't even reccomend placing your vote on coomunism either, even though I am a communist myself. The Soviet Union has been in a war situation with China before (1950 IIRC). Vietnam was invaded by China in 1980. Of course these were not strictly communist regimes, but still, as long as there are different state entities, however similar they may be, war is always a possible outcome.

War (strife) is the "father of everything", according to Heracletus. Some here may argue that all technological progress was made for war means, thus war is good for mankind's progress. however, destruction isn't. So our goal should be to have war without destruction. In other words, pure competition. My guess is that only a global revolution could approximate that, by reducing the state entities down to a size and importance that minimizes the attriting effect of strife and maximizes such competition (this, of course, on top of the effect of the cultural change that such an upheaval could bring).

on top of that, one should never forget that, as long as Capitalism is on the helm, it's internal shortcomings, concerning the accomodation of the produced surplus can only be solved by destruction. This means that, as long as destruction remains an essential part of the system, no solution, such as the one mentioned above can be realised. Hence, the need of the overthrow of Capitalism before war can be declared extinct from Europe or anywhere in the world, in that matter.

prey, do not misunderstand my ramblings, for I am quite drunk right now.

alva is offline alva
Emperor
Republic of Flanders
Sep 2001
time: 06:36
  Old Post 01-06-2004 06:37
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I can see one war happening in Europe over the next generation though, and that is one against foreigners.
I hope it won't happen but the signs are there.
IMHO it wouldn't be a bad thing to slow down imigration, to not put oil on the fire sort of speak.

Tripledoc is offline Tripledoc
Chieftain

Jan 2003
time: 05:36
  Old Post 01-06-2004 07:00
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I think the problem with Europe and war is that Europe is simply too urbanized.

Peasants make the best soldiers as they are not squamish at the sight of blood, and have a well-developed physique.

Waging war in an urbanized society where almost two thirds of the land, in central Europe almost all of the land, is built up area, is difficult. A war of maneuvre is next to impossible.

As seen in Palestine and Iraq once the chief urban centres are occupied it is impossible to maintain the peace, and the situation degenerates into guerilla warfare and civil unrest.

New methods of information technology, and the generally more critical populace makes pacifying propaganda against conquered peoples difficult.

Alexander's Horse is offline Alexander's Horse
Deity
Panmunjon, hands up!
Jan 1970
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  Old Post 01-06-2004 07:18 Visit Alexander's Horse's homepage!
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Sadly, there's potential for warfare in Eastern and Southern Europe, particularly in successor states to the Soviet Union - look at Chechnya, Moldova, the Baltic, particularly Russian populations in mini-states, the Kalinigrad region, Russian minorities in other states like Ukraine and Belorussia.

European integration via the EU has been enormously beneficial to those parts of Europe which are part of it in terms of mitigating conflict but Yugoslavia showed how fragile those kinds of integration can be.

The key avoiding conflict is economic development and integration. Let's hope there won't be any more major European wars in our lifetime.

Tripledoc is offline Tripledoc
Chieftain

Jan 2003
time: 05:36
  Old Post 01-06-2004 07:38
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Bear with some nitpicking here.

Isn't Chechnia technically still a part of the Russian homeland?

I don't know if was ever a Soviet Republic. Thus it cannot be called a succesor state.

I might be wrong.

PLATO is offline PLATO

King
Of the occupied South
Dec 2002
time: 23:36
  Old Post 01-06-2004 07:44
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quote:
Originally posted by Alexander's Horse
The key avoiding conflict is economic development and integration.


Regional, pan-regional, or international? What about competeing blocks? Isn't world wide economic integration necessary in order for it to prevent war? Couldn't regional integration actually spur war as competing blocks vie for the same markets and resources?

These are all questions that need answers if we are to shut the door on war.

Tripledoc is offline Tripledoc
Chieftain

Jan 2003
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  Old Post 01-06-2004 07:49
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It depends on whether these economic blocs are autarkic.

Sava is offline Sava
King
GO GO GO!
Mar 2001
time: 23:36
  Old Post 01-06-2004 07:52
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I was just thinking about this topic today. I'm sure there will be a huge war some time in the future. Remember, WW1 was supposedly the "war to end all wars". If it's one thing I've learned about human beings is, they love to kill each other.

Humans suck. Hopefully an asteroid will obliterate us.

Lonestar is offline Lonestar
Prince
AECCP Dark Lord of the Sith
Aug 2000
time: 00:36
  Old Post 01-06-2004 07:54 Visit Lonestar's homepage!
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Klingons are worse.

PLATO is offline PLATO

King
Of the occupied South
Dec 2002
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  Old Post 01-06-2004 07:58
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quote:
Originally posted by Sava
I was just thinking about this topic today. I'm sure there will be a huge war some time in the future. Remember, WW1 was supposedly the "war to end all wars". If it's one thing I've learned about human beings is, they love to kill each other.

Humans suck. Hopefully an asteroid will obliterate us.


1st Armaggedon and then wormwood? Sava, your scaring me!

Sava is offline Sava
King
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Mar 2001
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  Old Post 01-06-2004 08:02
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quote:
Originally posted by PLATO


1st Armaggedon and then wormwood? Sava, your scaring me!
btw, your namesake had a great quote, "Only the dead have seen the end of war" -- Plato

PLATO is offline PLATO

King
Of the occupied South
Dec 2002
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  Old Post 01-06-2004 08:04
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How very true. A statement on human history wouldn't you say?

Sava is offline Sava
King
GO GO GO!
Mar 2001
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  Old Post 01-06-2004 08:06
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quote:
Originally posted by PLATO
How very true. A statement on human history wouldn't you say?
Which is why we need to all die.

PLATO is offline PLATO

King
Of the occupied South
Dec 2002
time: 23:36
  Old Post 01-06-2004 08:07
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quote:
Originally posted by Sava
Which is why we need to all die.


In time Sava...in time.

Sava is offline Sava
King
GO GO GO!
Mar 2001
time: 23:36
  Old Post 01-06-2004 08:14
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quote:
Originally posted by PLATO


In time Sava...in time.
If there's a God... I hope he's nicer than me. Because I don't think we deserve to exist. Plus, I doubt humanity is going to die out within my lifetime. Oh well, they smell.

MrFun is offline MrFun
King
of Iowa
Nov 2000
time: 23:36
  Old Post 01-06-2004 08:15 Visit MrFun's homepage!
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We try to live up to your standards Sava, but please forgive us for our failings.

Sava is offline Sava
King
GO GO GO!
Mar 2001
time: 23:36
  Old Post 01-06-2004 08:18
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quote:
Originally posted by MrFun
We try to live up to your standards Sava, but please forgive us for our failings.
nope, extinction for you all

Alexander's Horse is offline Alexander's Horse
Deity
Panmunjon, hands up!
Jan 1970
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  Old Post 01-06-2004 08:18 Visit Alexander's Horse's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Tripledoc
Bear with some nitpicking here.

Isn't Chechnia technically still a part of the Russian homeland?

I don't know if was ever a Soviet Republic. Thus it cannot be called a succesor state.

I might be wrong.


It's still part of Russia and I'm not sure if it's in Europe but you get the idea.

BeBro is offline BeBro
King
of the Krauts
Mar 2000
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  Old Post 01-06-2004 13:49 Visit BeBro's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by The Andy-Man
Actually, pre-WW1 germany was very democratic I beleive, and the German Constitution in the 20's is, to my mind, one of the most democratic there has ever been - it elected Hitler of its own accord. Democracy won't stop war at all.

Further more, the UK pre-WW1 did have, or was developing, a mass educational system (compulsory schooling had come in in the 1870's i beleive). And I have heard many say that Germany had the best system of Social Welfare at that time (SDP were v.popular, I think they were in power in 1914 aswell, but not to sure.)


Pre WWI Germany wasn't a democracy. Bismarck introduced certain social security measures, but that didn't turn a monarchy into a democracy. And the hint to constitution of the 20ies (Weimar Republic) is ok, but then it wasn't the Weimar Republic that started the war, it was Hitler's idea after he abolished everything democratic.....

BeBro is offline BeBro
King
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Mar 2000
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  Old Post 01-06-2004 15:09 Visit BeBro's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Kontiki


Military balance plays a huge roll in combination with today's weapons, and that ties directly into the last two world wars. It is now (and it basically became that way just prior to WWI, maybe even the US Civil War) impossible to wage war without massive destruction and loss for all parties unless one side has a huge military advantage. This is why NATO can gang up on Serbia without much thought, but France and Germany wouldn't have at it. There would be so much smoking rubble and so many dead bodies on both sides of that type of conflict that any "victory" would be hopelessly offset by the losses getting there. Which is exactly what you would have thought WWI had taught us, but apparently we needed WWII to really drive that point home.


Thats certainly true, but this (military balance) alone does not explain the foreign policy of most euro countries after WW2, and the absence of war between those countries.

East Street Trader is offline East Street Trader
Prince
London, United Kingdom
Jun 2000
time: 05:36
  Old Post 01-06-2004 15:41
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War is something that gets foisted on people. By leaders who indulge themselves by getting their followers to fight when this serves the power games with which they entertain themselves.

It has been ever thus.

The fact that the UK had Afghanistan and Iraq foisted on them by Blair demonstrates that we have not quite outgrown this here. But having a major war fought over your own territory helps you to grow up quite quickly about this and that was the experience France had in the Great War and that Germany had in WWII.

It is the commitment to ending such things in those countries which drives the establishment and the development of the European Union.

While the rest of us in Europe have not quite attained their level of maturity we can nevertheless see that they are right so we are gradually being led by them towards establishing an adult grip on our leaders through arrangements and institutions which prevent their warmongering - at least in europe - before it can get itself properly started.

And this process has indeed reached the point where it is inconceivable for me to receive a letter from the UK government sending me greetings and requiring me to set off to war with Germany or with France as my forfathers have so often had to do.

It will take vigilance to maintain this happy state of affairs. Because the modern communications media confer upon leaders even more ability to play on people's pride and feelings than existed before. Which gives leaders a powerful tool.

But I believe that establishing such close economic inter-dependance has turned out to be effective enough to achieve its object of making that process an extremely difficult one to begin in western europe.

And, indeed, there are some signs that the rest of the world is growing up a bit about all of this too. Before long I rather think the debate will be, not whether war between Eurpean countries is any longer possible, but rather whether war between any nation states is possible.

Although that does depend on a very large number of people coming to appreciate that having history books littered with wars is an illustration of political and social imaturity not some natural state.

VetLegion is offline VetLegion
Prince

Sep 1999
time: 06:36
  Old Post 01-06-2004 22:07
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Can someone point out to me a case of two parliaments declaring war on each other, or two democracies warring?

The Andy-Man is offline The Andy-Man
Prince
Tory Party of 'Poly
Jul 2001
time: 05:36
  Old Post 01-06-2004 22:33
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quote:
Originally posted by BeBro


Pre WWI Germany wasn't a democracy. Bismarck introduced certain social security measures, but that didn't turn a monarchy into a democracy. And the hint to constitution of the 20ies (Weimar Republic) is ok, but then it wasn't the Weimar Republic that started the war, it was Hitler's idea after he abolished everything democratic.....



I beleive there was actually full male sufferage pre-1914 germany.

And it was the weirmar republic that let Hitler get in, the people voted for him, and he had there support pretty much to the end.

The Viceroy is offline The Viceroy
Prince
tu mumbai se, mai Bombay se
Nov 2000
time: 05:36
  Old Post 01-06-2004 22:40
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VetLegion, I agree .. I have still to hear a solid argument for 2 democracies going to war ! There are some examples of country's who were developing democracy, or that had democratic chambre's at the time of war, but that does not mean they were democratic.

You could argue that Zimbabwe or Iran or even Syria are democratic .. ha ha ha .. but I think we know they are not.

I still stand by my earlier assertation, no 2 european democratic powers will declare war .. but a civil war within Europe, on ethnic/religious lines is a frighning possibility indeed.. but thats not what the first post asked.

The Viceroy is offline The Viceroy
Prince
tu mumbai se, mai Bombay se
Nov 2000
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  Old Post 01-06-2004 22:41
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Are we suggesting that Adolf Hitler was not a dictator ?

The Andy-Man is offline The Andy-Man
Prince
Tory Party of 'Poly
Jul 2001
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  Old Post 01-06-2004 22:47
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quote:
Originally posted by The Viceroy
Are we suggesting that Adolf Hitler was not a dictator ?



Not at all, just that he had the support of a majority of the Germany nation. As I said, they did actually VOTE for him.

The Andy-Man is offline The Andy-Man
Prince
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Jul 2001
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  Old Post 01-06-2004 22:52
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BeBro:

quote:
Because he [Bismark] felt this way, he saw to it that both the constitution of the North German Confederation and that of the Reich that succeded it provided that elecrtions to Parliament should be by vote of all male citizens who had reached the age of 25 and that this vote should be held by secret ballot.


from Gordon A. Craig 'Germany 1866-1945'


This is about the constitution set up in 1871. the UK at this time did not even have such a liberal electorate (I don't think it did untill after the war, infact).

So I think it is fair to say pre ww1 Germany was quite Democratic.

Park Avenue is offline Park Avenue
Emperor
Liberal and defender of freedoms for the people
Oct 1999
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  Old Post 01-06-2004 22:53
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If Europe experiences a terroristic attack of similar or greater degree than the US, I think we will see civil war between Muslims and true Europeans. The majority of Muslims still think September 11th was justified.

East Street Trader is offline East Street Trader
Prince
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Jun 2000
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  Old Post 01-06-2004 23:23
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Examiners love questions which invite discussion of the causes of the Great War. Countless millions of words have been written on it and you can find as many learned opinions as you have patience to sit through about it.

What I have never seen much discussed is the personality of the key players and the part that played. Which seems to me silly. If you ask who benefited by what happened the answer is a tiny group of people - mostly in Germany and in the UK - who were sufficiently self important to consider it mattered which country occupied the most land and which exercised the greatest infleunce.

Civ players, but on the grand scale.

Had you lined up all the millions who then fought in the resulting war and asked them if they cared two hoots about such things they would have said they did not.

But, of course, once the small group of "leaders" get far enough down the line towards a war the last thing that happens is for people to examine closely exactly why events are taking place as they are and whether it is a good idea. Instead patriotism gets to be a stronger and stronger force, on each side the "enemy" is demonised and people take up their arms at some point or other along the path as tension rises.

So, in WWII my dad joined up after he saw the City of London set ablaze from one end to the other by a German air raid. That was why he fought. And he became a pilot leading planes which dropped bombs on German cities - no doubt leading some Germans to follow his example.

It is easier to try to cut through the crap about the Great War because the demonising process - from a historical perspective - does not obscure matters. The Kaiser was portrayed, in England, as someone who ate babies. But, in fact, of course he no more actually did so than our own king. What obsures things - a bit - about WWII is that Hitler was an actual monster. But it is worth bearing in mind that all this means is that the demonising process was an easy one to undertake. The fact that this is the only consequence - as opposed to his monstrosity being the direct cause of anyone deciding to oppopse him - is that his mistreatment of shoals of people started before he even secured full political power in Germany. And it then continued for year after year with not a soul suggesting that this was a caussus belli. It was when it was appreciated that he intended to invade Poland that the notion of going to war came up. As with Iraq, reminding people that the opponent is a deep died bastard is just an afterthought - to help reconsile them to war - not the cause.

War has been called the sport of kings. And if you look back to all the wars recorded down the last couple of thousand years it seems to me that what you see is always the same. Some guy who wants to be a bigger king or to govern a bigger country and some other guy who opposes that just for its own sake - because he does not want his own self esteem to drop a bit from giving up some part of those things which prop up his self esteem.

It has always been a pain. Partly for those who do the fighting but rather more so for those who live in the places where the fighting takes place. I recall a fine history book I read about the thirty years war. It had excellent stuff about all the rather romantic characters who flitted in and out of that extraordinary conflict. But it also had some stuff which allowed the reader to see exactly how appalling a life the wretched affair subjected an entire generation to in Europe.

I hope two thusand years turns out to be a short period in the history of the human race. That will only be true if we now kick the habbit of war. And if we manage that, which I believe we will, future generations will look back on the period before we grew up enough to drop that childish habbit and the thing which will then amaze them - as it already amazes me - is why the very large numbers of folk who suffer in war at the behest of so few put up with it.

The guys in the trenches should just have all gone home. Had they strung up the tiny number of imbeciles who put them there well and good.

Or maybe not bother.

But certainly go home.

 
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