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Provost Harrison is offline Provost Harrison
Emperor
The farce is strong with this one.
Feb 2000
time: 05:19
  Old Post 07-05-2005 16:59
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Ian Paisley must be the least lovable man in politics...he just bawls and screams and shouts all the time...arsehole...

molly bloom is offline molly bloom
Prince
Lundenwic
Oct 2001
time: 15:19
  Old Post 07-05-2005 17:02
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quote:
Originally posted by Provost Harrison
Ian Paisley must be the least lovable man in politics...he just bawls and screams and shouts all the time...arsehole...



It's no surprise his 'doctorate' is one of those American send off and buy ones.


He's as lovable as his sectarian opponents.


God is love.

Winston is offline Winston
King
Danmark
Mar 1999
time: 06:19
Lightbulb  Old Post 07-05-2005 17:17
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quote:
Originally posted by Drogue

quote:
Originally posted by Shi Huangdi

Not crack, just the sweet the thrill of victory. Three leaders ordered the invasion, three leaders re-elected All of the left's threats of electoral defeat for the coalitions have shown to add up to absolutely nothing!


Considering all leaders live in very safe seats, I can't remember the last time a leader of *any* party lost his seat. And the leftosty coalitions have managed to get George Galloway elected, a far far less likely thing than deposing any of the main party leaders.

Moreover, the votes in utterly safe Tory seats, like Howard, don't usually care about things like the Iraq war.


Um, Shi wasn't talking about British party leaders, but the three main leaders behind the Iraq war; Bush, Howard and Blair all got re-elected.

And also Anders Fogh Rasmussen as lotm was kind enough to point out.

Sandman is offline Sandman
Prince
Sinister Penguin
Aug 2001
time: 05:19
  Old Post 07-05-2005 17:30
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Ian Paisley reminds me of General Woundwart from Watership Down.

CerberusIV is offline CerberusIV
King

Oct 2002
time: 05:19
  Old Post 07-05-2005 17:36 Visit CerberusIV's homepage!
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The NI elections get more coverage here in Ireland than the British elections do - not surprising because they have more direct relevance.

the view here seems to be that it is a good thing Tony got back. Makes sense really as, if he is going to go in 2-3 years time, pushing hard for, and getting, a long term settlement in NI would be a memorable final achievement for him.

The DUP taking almost all the Unionist vote is actually not as bad as it looks. The political analysts here (or some of them at least) are beginning to make the point that the younger figures in the DUP who now have Westminster seats are likely to want to do more than just rant. Paisley may remain as the figurehead but a deal is likely regardless of his rhetoric.

Also, the DUP now have a clear mandate. When the UUP were the largest Unionist party the DUP could do little more than be obstructive. Now they have the power and the responsibility and there is nowhere to hide if they don't deliver. A similar argument applies to Sinn Fein.

It is going to be interesting. Peter Hain as NI Secretary (seen as a safe pair of hands) does suggest Tony is going to take an interest and want someone reliable on the spot to see things don't get messed up.

child of Thor is offline child of Thor
Emperor
UK
Jan 2002
time: 05:19
  Old Post 07-05-2005 17:52
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Peter Hain is also a welshman(if i've got the right guy ), which i've found counts for a lot when dealing with Irish folk, especialy in the south - celtic brotherhood and all that, so yes it seems a sensible post for getting a positive result from the westminster side of the equation.

alva is offline alva
Emperor
Republic of Flanders
Sep 2001
time: 06:19
  Old Post 07-05-2005 18:00
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quote:
Originally posted by Whoha
Ok html people, why the gobs of space here?


You need to delete all the white space (quote this post to see what I mean and see the difference with yours)

UK NATIONAL RESULTS: IN DETAIL
PartySeatsGainLossNetVotes%+/-
Labour354047 -479,529,31936.2-5.8
Conservative197363 +338,737,15033.2+0.5
Lib Dem62165+115,970,54022.7+3.8
SNP620+2412,2671.6-0.2
Plaid Cymru301-1174,8380.7-0.1
Respect110+168,0650.3+0.3
Ind Kid Hosp100018,7390.10.0
UKIP0000605,2822.3+0.8
Green0000257,7581.0+0.3
BNP0000191,5730.7+0.5
Scottish Soc000043,5140.2-0.1
Scottish Grn000025,7600.1+0.1
Liberal000019,0680.10.0
Others110+1234,0060.6 
Turnout26,327,41961.3+2.2
After625 of 646 seats declared

Drogue is offline Drogue
Emperor
Omnipresent conscience
Oct 2002
time: 05:19
  Old Post 07-05-2005 18:09 Visit Drogue's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Winston
Um, Shi wasn't talking about British party leaders, but the three main leaders behind the Iraq war; Bush, Howard and Blair all got re-elected.

Ahh, sorry, I thought he meant Howard as in Michael Howard, the leader of the British opposition, who was also in favour of the war, and was refering to the fact that Howard and Blair both won their seats.

Since this is a British election thread, Howard would normally refer to Michael, as he is something of a prominent figure here.

child of Thor is offline child of Thor
Emperor
UK
Jan 2002
time: 05:19
  Old Post 07-05-2005 18:14
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quote:
Originally posted by Drogue

edit.....

Since this is a British election thread, Howard would normally refer to Michael, as he is something of a prominent figure here.


Your pic reminds me of him somehow?

Provost Harrison is offline Provost Harrison
Emperor
The farce is strong with this one.
Feb 2000
time: 05:19
  Old Post 07-05-2005 18:15
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It looks to me that the Lib Dems wouldn't need that much a larger proportion of the vote before they start taking quite hefty numbers of seats...same for the Tories...

Alexander's Horse is offline Alexander's Horse
Deity
Panmunjon, hands up!
Jan 1970
time: 15:19
  Old Post 07-05-2005 20:18 Visit Alexander's Horse's homepage!
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Tony Blah aside - fraternal congrats to Labour party members in the UK from Horse and all the other Aussie ALP members - we're cheering yah on comrades

You give us hope as we continue to patiently work to overthrow the Australian tory c^nts and all their works

Zulu Elephant is offline Zulu Elephant
Prince

Jun 1999
time: 05:19
  Old Post 07-05-2005 21:34
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quote:
Originally posted by Provost Harrison
It looks to me that the Lib Dems wouldn't need that much a larger proportion of the vote before they start taking quite hefty numbers of seats...same for the Tories...


I picture isnt quite as simple as that. Lib Dem support is scattered throughout the country and not concentrated enough to allow them to win a lot of seats without a MASSIVE swing.

Plus a lot of the Lib Dems extra votes this time came from Labour supporters pissed off about the war and tuition fees - this will fade over time, especially once Gordon Brown replaces Blair.

Zulu Elephant prediction 2009: Labour regains a lot of its support that it lost to the Lib Dems in 2005 and is returned with an increased majority.

Winston is offline Winston
King
Danmark
Mar 1999
time: 06:19
  Old Post 07-05-2005 21:53
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For an outside observer, I think the most interesting thing is the low turnout of only ~60%. It would seem there could be a lot to gain, for both the parties and society as a whole, by getting more people interested in their country's state of affairs.

It really is amazing for me to see such a low participation of voters. Here we always have 85-88% turnout for general elections.

Shi Huangdi is offline Shi Huangdi
Emperor
Pittsburgh, PA
Apr 1999
time: 00:19
  Old Post 07-05-2005 23:33
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Is it very likely when the boundary commision redraws constituencies it will be made so the distribution of seats better reflects the vote? In this election Labour only got 3% more votes then the Tories but got over 150 more seats.

child of Thor is offline child of Thor
Emperor
UK
Jan 2002
time: 05:19
  Old Post 09-05-2005 15:34
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quote:
Originally posted by Zulu Elephant


I picture isnt quite as simple as that. Lib Dem support is scattered throughout the country and not concentrated enough to allow them to win a lot of seats without a MASSIVE swing.

Plus a lot of the Lib Dems extra votes this time came from Labour supporters pissed off about the war and tuition fees - this will fade over time, especially once Gordon Brown replaces Blair.

Zulu Elephant prediction 2009: Labour regains a lot of its support that it lost to the Lib Dems in 2005 and is returned with an increased majority.


Most likely true, still i would hope the Lib Dems can grow from here - i just think it makes a more rounded and healthy democracy when you have more effective choice

As for the 2009 prediction, for me to come back to Labour i'll want to see Brown bring in a load of his own people - bye bye all the Jack straws/blunketts/Reids and spin doctors. Basicaly anyone who had their finger in this whole Iraq issue. Then i will know the taint has been removed and the world will remain safer

Edit as a side note - seems pressure is building on Tony Blair? or maybe its just the media hypeing?

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_polit...age/4528009.stm

Bosh is offline Bosh
Emperor
Taehan Mingook
Jan 1970
time: 00:19
  Old Post 09-05-2005 17:37
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quote:
Originally posted by Shi Huangdi
Is it very likely when the boundary commision redraws constituencies it will be made so the distribution of seats better reflects the vote? In this election Labour only got 3% more votes then the Tories but got over 150 more seats.

Very doubful since that isn't really the boundary commision's fault since Conservative votes are much more bunched and Labour votes are much more spread out, which means that first past the post really hurts the conservatives.

Drogue is offline Drogue
Emperor
Omnipresent conscience
Oct 2002
time: 05:19
  Old Post 09-05-2005 17:58 Visit Drogue's homepage!
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Actually, I'm not so sure. Labour control the cities, and Tories the country, as a rule of thumb. That's why most of the country looks blue on a map, but Birmingham, Manchester, Liverpool, Cardiff (etc.) and most of London are red. This seems to suggest Labour voters are more bunched.

However there is the counter that within those boundaries, Tory voters seem to be more bunched, as the rich areas are usually villiages in the country or certain small districts in cities. I'm not sure how it evens out.

CerberusIV is offline CerberusIV
King

Oct 2002
time: 05:19
  Old Post 09-05-2005 18:18 Visit CerberusIV's homepage!
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The system for deciding constituency boundaries in the UK doesn't really take much notice of which way people vote. Basically the boundary commission reviews the boundaries every few years. The criteria are mainly that all parliamentary constituencies have about the same number of voters (around 85,000), that they don't cross local government boundaries if possible and that they represent "communities of interest" - basically the main shopping and employment centres in an area.

After draft proposals are drawn up the local party organisations, amongst others, comment and ask for changes they think will favour them. Sometimes they get those changes, sometimes they don't. The Secretary of State decides whether to implement the final recommendations and usually does so - if he makes obviously biased changes he risks being dragged off to the High Court for a judicial review of his decision.

So there isn't much political bias. Part of the reason Tories aren't doing well because most seats are really between 2 of the 3 main parties (3 way marginals get a lot of attention precisely because they are quite rare) and the Lib Dems and Labour won a lot of seats where the Tories came second.

Park Avenue is offline Park Avenue
Emperor
Liberal and defender of freedoms for the people
Oct 1999
time: 05:19
  Old Post 13-05-2005 17:07
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A policy of castrating paedophiles would get the turnout up to 90% I'm sure. And get the party elected who promised this.

Drogue is offline Drogue
Emperor
Omnipresent conscience
Oct 2002
time: 05:19
  Old Post 13-05-2005 20:04 Visit Drogue's homepage!
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Yeh Because people really want corporal punishment back.

Hole. Back. Crawl. In.

Park Avenue is offline Park Avenue
Emperor
Liberal and defender of freedoms for the people
Oct 1999
time: 05:19
  Old Post 13-05-2005 20:07
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It is surprisingly popular.

Bring back the cane too.

Provost Harrison is offline Provost Harrison
Emperor
The farce is strong with this one.
Feb 2000
time: 05:19
  Old Post 14-05-2005 21:59
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Look who's back

 
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