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Guynemer
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quote: Originally posted by DinoDoc
Depends on where you are from. To someone from Ann Arbor he may appear to be akin to Genghis Khan. |
No. That's John Ashcroft.
What I meant was that if people were abandoning both Bush and Lott, then moderates like Specter are all that are left.
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chegitz guevara
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Ft. Lauderdale, FL Communist Party of Apolyton
Jun 2000 time: 00:24
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Actually Sava, your percentages are good, but I think your absolute numbers are off. I believe in this last election, 49% of registered voters voted. Of them, 49% voted for Bush, about 24%. Of them, about half were voting against Gore, not for Bush. So roughly 12% of the eligable voters voted for Bush. On top of that consider that many people are eligable to register to vote, but don't bother (but I don't know those numbers).
cyclotron7, people shouldn't be forced to vote. Either they aren't voting because either way, they're fine with the system or either way, they think the system is screwed. Either way, they are making a political choice not to vote.
Wow, real discussions pop-up in a thoroughly Fezzed thread. 
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Darius871
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Smith, Wesson, and the RODINA!!!
Mar 2002 time: 23:24
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quote: Originally posted by Sava
the point is that the amount of Republicans in this country is small. |
As Imran said there are a small number of Democrats as well, but you also seem to assume that if people who don't vote wouldn't vote Republican if they were forced to vote. No one can know this for sure.
quote: And that's why Gore won the popular vote. |
That doesn't prove in any way that there were more Gore supporters than Bush supporters, because the electoral college system automatically makes the 'popular vote' an unreliable statistic. Say you live in a state where it's painfully obvious that one of the candidates will win by a wide margin (like Texas or California), and you don't bother to vote.
Another example is uncounted absentee ballots. Say Gore wins in a state by a million votes, and then 999,999 absentee ballots come in. Those ballots aren't counted because they couldn't possibly have any effect on who wins that state. Since absentee ballots are traditionally tilted to the right, had those ballots been counted it might have changed the 100,000 or so margin in the popular vote.
For these two reasons you can say Gore won the popular vote as it is counted, but the 'popular vote' that we see in an election with the electoral college system isn't a carbon copy of the vote we'd see were the system based on a national popular vote. If there were no electoral college system Gore may still have won anyway, but you can't be sure based on a statistic as totally unreliable as the popular vote as it is collected under the current system.
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Boris Godunov
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Portland, OR
Aug 2001 time: 00:24
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quote: Originally posted by Darius871
You sure about that? At the time when people kept whining 'popular vote this' and 'popular vote that', I read that in fact over a million California ballots weren't entered into the popular vote because of their obsolescence. It was 2 years ago and I forget where, but if you want I'll look the damn thing up.
At any rate, the first factor I mentioned still holds. Don't get me wrong, I'm not making the bald-faced assertion that Gore didn't win the popular vote, just saying that it's an unrealistic stat when used to define the number of Dems and Republicans in the entire nation. Can we at least agree there? |
I can't think of anything in election law that would allow you to disregard legal ballots. Obsolesence isn't a factor--everyone's vote is counted.
Of course it doesn't prove there are more Democrats, as people aren't required to vote along party lines.
However, by registration numbers, Democrats still hold an edge in the country over Republicans. It has shrunk over the past few years, but they still have an edge. The problem is their voters are harder to get to the polls. Contrary to Sava's assertion, it isn't pure laziness. It's about time, having to work, disillusionment with the candidates, and in many cases blatant misinformation campaigns against poor urban and minority voters.
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All times are GMT. The time now is 05:24. Apolyton Time is 00:24. |
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