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Sprayber is offline Sprayber

Emperor
Dixie
Oct 2000
time: 23:19
  Old Post 14-11-2004 23:39
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quote:
Originally posted by JohnT
quote:
For those that think it does, take a cue from WWI and Germany's navy philosophy. They didn't need enough ships to beat the British Fleet, they just needed enough ships to be able to sink enough of the British Fleet to basically cripple it. Britian then wouldn't want to fight because they'd want to maintain their Naval Superiority in the world.


Except...

... The Germans lost.
... They even lost the Naval war.
... Britian was nowhere near being knocked out of the fight, especially because of naval actions.
... Japan's similar strategy in WW2 didn't do them very well either.


Damn pesky details

GePap is offline GePap
King
of the Big Apple
Nov 2001
time: 23:19
  Old Post 14-11-2004 23:55
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Simplest equation:

Fictional Russia+China+ India+ Brazil allience goes to war with fictional US+EU allience.

Results? Nuclear war.

Side with most human beings left alive to inherit the ashes?

China+India+Brazil (sorry Russia)

Guess which side 'wins'?

Q Cubed is offline Q Cubed
Prince
t3h y3ll0w p3ril
Apr 1999
time: 23:19
  Old Post 14-11-2004 23:59 Visit Q Cubed's homepage!
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quote:
...
Kim Il Yong, don't **** around with real G's
Quick to snatch yo' ugly ass off tha street, so fudge peace
...

Pekka, who the **** is Kim Il Yong?

Sprayber is offline Sprayber

Emperor
Dixie
Oct 2000
time: 23:19
  Old Post 15-11-2004 00:00
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quote:
Originally posted by Q Cubed
quote:
...
Kim Il Yong, don't **** around with real G's
Quick to snatch yo' ugly ass off tha street, so fudge peace
...

Pekka, who the **** is Kim Il Yong?


the crazy half cousin of the dear leader.

Az is offline Az
King
MACEDONIA - It's the name of the sovereign country to the north of Greece
Apr 2000
time: 07:19
  Old Post 15-11-2004 00:01
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Gepap, I hardly think there is a problem to kill all of India's and china's pop. or in the high 90% of it, for the US.

Q Cubed is offline Q Cubed
Prince
t3h y3ll0w p3ril
Apr 1999
time: 23:19
  Old Post 15-11-2004 00:02 Visit Q Cubed's homepage!
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sprayber:

i was trying to make the point that he's not so much the one in nkorea who we're trying to kick out, it's kim jong-il.

GePap is offline GePap
King
of the Big Apple
Nov 2001
time: 23:19
  Old Post 15-11-2004 00:06
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quote:
Originally posted by Azazel
Gepap, I hardly think there is a problem to kill all of India's and china's pop. or in the high 90% of it, for the US.


Well, then, you are wrong.

A full US nuclear strike would not get to kill 90% of 2.5 Billion people, which is the combined population of Russia, India, and China. Maybe we would kill a billion, but no more.

Russia on the other hand would not be able to kill 90% of the 700 Million who live in the EU-US either.

People overestimate nuclear weapons.

Sprayber is offline Sprayber

Emperor
Dixie
Oct 2000
time: 23:19
  Old Post 15-11-2004 00:08
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quote:
Originally posted by Q Cubed
sprayber:

i was trying to make the point that he's not so much the one in nkorea who we're trying to kick out, it's kim jong-il.


i know, I'm just being difficult today

Jaguar is offline Jaguar
King
Montgomery County, MD
Apr 2000
time: 00:19
  Old Post 15-11-2004 00:11
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quote:
In terms of population, the coalition will have three quarters of the world population

Patroklos is offline Patroklos
Warlord
Back home in good ole Norfolk VA
Dec 2001
time: 05:19
  Old Post 15-11-2004 00:19
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Not only could we destroy their navies in a few days time, we would destory every major power plant, military base, government building and transportation/bridge node too.

Then the Airforce would get you.

Then the Marine Corps.

Then the Army.

It is not simply the scale of our military that deserves comparison, it is the class too. India and China are easily 50 years behind us in capablity. Russia 10-15, and Brazil doesn't even register. Of course if we are talking about full scale ground wars of conquest, which would not happen, then it will be grunt to grunt. What we are really talking about is strategic positioning wars, where one side makes the others as miserable as possible until the other gives up. US/EU wins hands down. Hell, US wins hands down.

Az is offline Az
King
MACEDONIA - It's the name of the sovereign country to the north of Greece
Apr 2000
time: 07:19
  Old Post 15-11-2004 01:06
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quote:

Well, then, you are wrong.

A full US nuclear strike would not get to kill 90% of 2.5 Billion people, which is the combined population of Russia, India, and China. Maybe we would kill a billion, but no more.

Russia on the other hand would not be able to kill 90% of the 700 Million who live in the EU-US either.

People overestimate nuclear weapons.



Since the segment of population living in cities is more than 90%, and since the vast majority of those living in cities will be killed by H-bombs, I think that you're quite wrong.

GePap is offline GePap
King
of the Big Apple
Nov 2001
time: 23:19
  Old Post 15-11-2004 01:26
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Neither India nor China are even close to 80% urban. Not even close.

For example:
http://en.ce.cn/Life/social/200409/...7_1785225.shtml

China's urbanization rate expected to hit 60% in 2020. So today less than half of China's people live in large urban areas likely to be nuclear targets.

India is probably equally urban- meaning at least 1 billion of those 2.5 billion are subsistance farmers in non-urban regions.

And in general no one fields multi-megaton nukes anymore- the way to saturate a target is with multiple warheads spread out in a pattern to maximize killing.

The US and Russia, on the other hand, are 80-90% urban, and likely to get walloped. Ditto most of Europe.

But even then, i would not expect 80% fatalities.

GePap is offline GePap
King
of the Big Apple
Nov 2001
time: 23:19
  Old Post 15-11-2004 01:31
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In fact, China's urban rate in 2002 was 37%.

And according to this site:
http://www.indianchild.com/population_of_india.htm

70% of Indians live in villages (towns with less than 5000 people), hardly tempting nuclear targets.

Oerdin is offline Oerdin
King
of Internet Music.
Sep 2001
time: 21:19
  Old Post 15-11-2004 01:31
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Indian, China, and Russia will all get togehter and make grand statements then they will go home and immediately go back to persuing their own selfish interests. There is nothing to such an alliance.

laurentius is offline laurentius
King
Helsinki, Finland
Jun 2001
time: 07:19
  Old Post 15-11-2004 01:46
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Putin

The man is a dictator, and this only shows that he is unable to cooperate/coexist with his neighbourgs.

David Floyd is offline David Floyd
King
The bottom of a large bottle of beer
Jan 1970
time: 05:19
  Old Post 15-11-2004 01:57 Visit David Floyd's homepage!
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GePap,

Regarding your population numbers, you're quite right in theory, but you miss the point that if China were to lose 90% of it's urban population, it would also be losing all of its skilled workers, it's command and control centers, transportation hubs, industry, etc.

800 million peasants don't really mean much in a modern war, unless it's WW1 replayed (which means it isn't a modern war).

GePap is offline GePap
King
of the Big Apple
Nov 2001
time: 23:19
  Old Post 15-11-2004 09:06
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quote:
Originally posted by David Floyd
GePap,

Regarding your population numbers, you're quite right in theory, but you miss the point that if China were to lose 90% of it's urban population, it would also be losing all of its skilled workers, it's command and control centers, transportation hubs, industry, etc.

800 million peasants don't really mean much in a modern war, unless it's WW1 replayed (which means it isn't a modern war).


What Modern War? 800 Million peasants beat 50 million hungry people living in the ruins of their old suburbs, by a long shot. That is the point- simply by being more backwards a place like China or India would survive the devastation of a full nuclear exchange. Europe, Russia, and the US would not be so lucky.

chegitz guevara is offline chegitz guevara
King
Ft. Lauderdale, FL Communist Party of Apolyton
Jun 2000
time: 00:19
  Old Post 15-11-2004 09:27 Visit chegitz guevara's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by JohnT


What's this "we" ****, second worlder?


The 2nd world was the Soviet Bloc. New Zealand, despite it's anti-nuke stance, wasn't in it.

JohnT is offline JohnT

Emperor
Capitalist
Mar 1999
time: 00:19
  Old Post 15-11-2004 10:12
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Twas a joke, Che.

Serb is offline Serb
Prince
Siberia, Communist party of Apolyton
Nov 2001
time: 11:19
  Old Post 15-11-2004 10:26
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quote:
Originally posted by Patroklos
Not only could we destroy their navies in a few days time, we would destory every major power plant, military base, government building and transportation/bridge node too.

Then the Airforce would get you.

Then the Marine Corps.

Then the Army.

It is not simply the scale of our military that deserves comparison, it is the class too. India and China are easily 50 years behind us in capablity. Russia 10-15, and Brazil doesn't even register. Of course if we are talking about full scale ground wars of conquest, which would not happen, then it will be grunt to grunt. What we are really talking about is strategic positioning wars, where one side makes the others as miserable as possible until the other gives up. US/EU wins hands down. Hell, US wins hands down.


Bullshit.

First will be our nukes.

Then there will be a radiactive wasteland where remains of your fancy Airforce, Marine and Army will play Fallout.

Oerdin is offline Oerdin
King
of Internet Music.
Sep 2001
time: 21:19
  Old Post 15-11-2004 10:33
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quote:
Originally posted by Serb
Bullshit.

First will be our nukes.

Then there will be a radiactive wasteland where remains of your fancy Airforce, Marine and Army will play Fallout.


If the Russian nuclear missiles are as well taken care of as the Russian army and the Russian navy then I'd say half to three quarters won't even launch.

You seem to forget about the American National Missile Defense which, well not having the best record, is supposedly opporational next year.

Serb is offline Serb
Prince
Siberia, Communist party of Apolyton
Nov 2001
time: 11:19
  Old Post 15-11-2004 11:23
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quote:
Originally posted by Oerdin


If the Russian nuclear missiles are as well taken care of as the Russian army and the Russian navy then I'd say half to three quarters won't even launch.



Nukes were always well maintained, becuase it's pretty dangerous to maintain them poorly.


quote:
You seem to forget about the American National Missile Defense which, well not having the best record, is supposedly opporational next year.


NMD is just a worthless crap. Completely useless against our MIRV ICBMs.

Last Conformist is offline Last Conformist
King
of Calakmul
Jul 2003
time: 06:19
  Old Post 15-11-2004 11:52
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quote:
Originally posted by Serb


Nukes were always well maintained, becuase it's pretty dangerous to maintain them poorly.

Since when does Russia care 'bout such details?

Serb is offline Serb
Prince
Siberia, Communist party of Apolyton
Nov 2001
time: 11:19
  Old Post 15-11-2004 11:59
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Since 1949.

David Floyd is offline David Floyd
King
The bottom of a large bottle of beer
Jan 1970
time: 05:19
  Old Post 15-11-2004 14:35 Visit David Floyd's homepage!
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Actually, my understanding is that Soviet missiles were designed to be maintained by peasant conscripts, rather than professional soldiers (like US missiles are designed), and as such they require less, or at least less complicated, maintenance.

But discussing any potential conflict by comparing nuclear arsenals is stupid - Russia and the US both have enough to **** the world over on their own. The Russians might resort to nuclear weapons if US forces were marching on Moscow (which I concede is virtually impossible), while the US might resort to nukes if the Russians were landing on the East Coast (also laughably impossible).

As has been pointed out, the only war likely (if you can call it that) to be fought between major powers or power blocs is exactly the type of war that the US would win - an air/naval war, with limited ground fighting in areas easily isolated by air and naval power.

On the other hand, if it's a hypothetical US/EU vs. Russia/China/India/Brazil, and Russia has the cajones to actually invade Europe, there's little doubt in my mind that the Russian army, such as it is, would get it's ass handed to it, even without US ground troops landing in Europe.

Of course, Russia/China/etc., alliance would realize the gig was up pretty quick when they found themselves with no navy, few remaining modern aircraft (at least when and where the US chose to fight), and were being bombed with impunity (at least in the case of Brazil, India, and China), AND suddenly found their Middle Eastern oil cut off - if you think such an alliance could just march in and occupy the Middle East, you haven't paid much attention to the geography and accompanying logistics of the area, nor are you likely aware of where the bulk of the US army is likely to be deployed for some time. Besides, India would have to go through Pakistan, and that's just a nasty little war waiting to happen - even if India won, they'd be useless anywhere else (more so than they would be at the outset, that is).

Serb is offline Serb
Prince
Siberia, Communist party of Apolyton
Nov 2001
time: 11:19
  Old Post 15-11-2004 15:05
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quote:
Originally posted by David Floyd
Actually, my understanding is that Soviet missiles were designed to be maintained by peasant conscripts, rather than professional soldiers (like US missiles are designed), and as such they require less, or at least less complicated, maintenance.

David, maintenance of intercontinental ballistic missile and especially the one with nuclear device (or devices) inside cannot be easy and cheap by definition.
In USSR/Russia conscripts drafted to missile forces already have good technical education. Conscrips drafted to missile forces are people who just finished some kind of technical university, they are engineers and specialists in feild of physic and electronics. Also they already have military rank of junior leutenant. I don't know how in US, but in many Russian universities and institutes (mostly the ones that related to military somehow- physic, chemistry, electronics, etc) students learn military skills and disciplines during all five years of their education and when they finish their university they also recieve rank of junior leutenant. So they are not just a bunch of peasants. My father was drafted as junior leutenant to missile forces after he finished his education in university.
I have no idea about concripts/professionals ratio in Russian missile forces, but suspect that precentage of conscripts is way lesser, esp. in comparison with other brunches of our forces.

quote:

But discussing any potential conflict by comparing nuclear arsenals is stupid - Russia and the US both have enough to **** the world over on their own. The Russians might resort to nuclear weapons if US forces were marching on Moscow (which I concede is virtually impossible), while the US might resort to nukes if the Russians were landing on the East Coast (also laughably impossible).

As has been pointed out, the only war likely (if you can call it that) to be fought between major powers or power blocs is exactly the type of war that the US would win - an air/naval war, with limited ground fighting in areas easily isolated by air and naval power.

On the other hand, if it's a hypothetical US/EU vs. Russia/China/India/Brazil, and Russia has the cajones to actually invade Europe, there's little doubt in my mind that the Russian army, such as it is, would get it's ass handed to it, even without US ground troops landing in Europe.

Of course, Russia/China/etc., alliance would realize the gig was up pretty quick when they found themselves with no navy, few remaining modern aircraft (at least when and where the US chose to fight), and were being bombed with impunity (at least in the case of Brazil, India, and China), AND suddenly found their Middle Eastern oil cut off - if you think such an alliance could just march in and occupy the Middle East, you haven't paid much attention to the geography and accompanying logistics of the area, nor are you likely aware of where the bulk of the US army is likely to be deployed for some time. Besides, India would have to go through Pakistan, and that's just a nasty little war waiting to happen - even if India won, they'd be useless anywhere else (more so than they would be at the outset, that is).


Blah...blah...blah...
Good old myth about American supremacy.
You can't even deal with buch of ragheads in Iraq, and still whine you can easily beat us...
Indian Airforce equipped with our old planes absolutely f*cked your pathetic USAF during their last joint manoeuvres.
Beat Indians first, then we will talk.

Last edited by Serb on 15-11-2004 at 15:51

Az is offline Az
King
MACEDONIA - It's the name of the sovereign country to the north of Greece
Apr 2000
time: 07:19
  Old Post 15-11-2004 15:14
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quote:
Conscrips drafted to missile forces are people who just finished technical university


There were universities in the Soviet union?!!!!Stop lying!

anyway, they were probably shipped from the USA during lend lease.

Serb is offline Serb
Prince
Siberia, Communist party of Apolyton
Nov 2001
time: 11:19
  Old Post 15-11-2004 15:20
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Got spare money?

Add terrible Russian winter which saved our butts in WW2 and it will be a 100% Floyd's troll.

Last Conformist is offline Last Conformist
King
of Calakmul
Jul 2003
time: 06:19
  Old Post 15-11-2004 15:52
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Even in serbiverse, it should be clear that counterinsurgency capacity and the capacity to wreck airforces and navies aren't the same thing.

Serb is offline Serb
Prince
Siberia, Communist party of Apolyton
Nov 2001
time: 11:19
  Old Post 15-11-2004 16:13
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serbiverse

Re-read the part about joint maneouvres of Indian and American airforces.

 
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