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Lawrence of Arabia
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of the Gulag Archipelago
Apr 2001 time: 06:20
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More group 4 action. Everyone keeps on saying that France is in the drivers seat, but its really Ireland and Switzerland, who after we assume that the top four beat the bottom two, who will both have 15 points against France and Israels 14, AND will have 9 total points availalbe for them to get vs. only 6 for France and Israel.
Switzerland (15 points) 9 points available vs. France, Israel, Ireland
Ireland (15 points) 9 points available vs. France, Israel, Switzerland
France (14 points) 6 points available vs. Ireland, Switzerland
Israel (14 points) 6 points available vs. Ireland, Switzerland
IF
Switzerland ties all - 18 points
France - 15 points (3 points available)
Israel - 15 points (3 points available)
Ireland - 16 points (6 points available)
Three ties pretty much guarantees Switzerland at least 2nd place, depending on what Ireland does against France and Israel. If either France or Israel beat Ireland, then Switzerland will be the top seed of group 4 and automatically qualify on goal differential (+7)
IF
Switzerland WINS 1, TIES 2 - 20 points
France - 15 points (3 points available)
Israel - 14 points (3 points available)
Ireland - 16 points (6 points available)
Winning one game as opposed to none does not necessairly improve switzerlands position, since they hold the tiebreak advance. If Switzerland beats France or Israel, then they have a pretty good lock on second place due to goal differential. If instead of beating Israel, Switzerland beats Ireland, then Switzerland will lock up first place and be the winner of group 4.
IF
Switzerland WINS 1, TIES 1, LOSES 1 - 19 points
France - 17 points (3 points available)
Israel - 14 points (3 points available)
Ireland - 15 points (6 points available)
Even though this would give Switzerland more points, it makes them more vulnerable to not going on. If Switzerland beats Israel, ties Ireland and loses to France, they will only advance if Ireland does not win both of their matches. If Ireland ties both France and Israel, Switzerland is group winner. If Ireland beats Israel, and ties France, Switzerland takes second place by tie break. If Ireland loses to France, then Switzerland takes second place.
If Switzerland loses two matches, then they will not qualify. If they win two matches, they will win the group. I like our chances, more then I like Frances or Israels chances.
Ireland plays Israel on June 4th, so that will narrow down these options even more (and ireland will join France as having only 3 indirect points available, Israel will have no indirect points left, only direct points against switzerland)
Last edited by Lawrence of Arabia on 24-05-2005 at 21:46
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Lawrence of Arabia
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of the Gulag Archipelago
Apr 2001 time: 06:20
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YES!!!! Marco Streller, the Swiss international who plays for Stuttgart has been called up to the team for the June 4th game vs. Faroe Islands. The 23 year old striker. now we've got a bunch of strikers, but one less defender, as Murat Hakan is not in shape enough to play, and his brother Hakan Yakin was not called up for this match because he failed to make 1st team at Galatasray (thats alright, they are both kinda old anyways, keep them fresh for later)
Tranquillo Barnetta is also back (from torn ACL against Israel last year)
Arsenals Phillipe Senderos and Totenhams Reto Ziegler will also both be called up (3rd cap each)
What an offensive powerhouse of a club weve got now:
Alex Frei Stade Rennes - 25 years old, 17 goals in 34 international matches, top scorer by a large margin (20 goals) in the French Ligue A. Striker.
Johan Vonlanthen PSV Eindhoven - 19 years old, youngest goal scorer in Euro Cup history. Striker/midfield
Marco Streller Stuttgart - 23 years old, 6 ft 5, key to Euro2004 qualification. Striker
Daniel Gygax FC Zurich - 24 years old, plays on the left side. wing/midfield
Then you add Phillipe Senderos in the back from Arsenal. And big Ben Huggle in the middle. no one can see us. You play a 4 - 3 - 1 - 2, have Gygax and Frei play with each other up front, bring Streller as the attacking midfielder to get those big headers in. or you can play it Frei/Streller up front, Vonlanthen as the attacking midfielder, and Gygax on the left side of the midfield. Put Huggle as central midfielder (he is also attack minded) with Senderos and Muller in the back.
you guys got no chance.
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reds4ever
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of the Spion Kop
Mar 2001 time: 05:20
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The league position is irrelevant in this issue.
Last edited by reds4ever on 25-05-2005 at 18:49
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All times are GMT. The time now is 05:20. Apolyton Time is 00:20. |
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