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KrazyHorse is offline KrazyHorse
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May 2001
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  Old Post 25-08-2005 00:13 Visit KrazyHorse's homepage!
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I've always believed that Lance was clean.

But these tests have changed my mind.

Boo.

KrazyHorse is offline KrazyHorse
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  Old Post 25-08-2005 00:15 Visit KrazyHorse's homepage!
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I remember discussing this with TCO at the DC meet a couple of years ago. He thought that Lance was juicing. I said he wasn't....

Winston is offline Winston
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  Old Post 25-08-2005 00:19
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Every top level cyclist these days is juicing. I've seldom been more certain of anything in my life. And I'm baffled that other people continue to pretend those aren't the realities.

DanS is offline DanS
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  Old Post 25-08-2005 00:26 Visit DanS's homepage!
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I guess we're now substituting hunches for evidence, nowadays...

Pyrodrew is offline Pyrodrew
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Dec 2000
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Question  Old Post 25-08-2005 00:31
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quote:
Those we're just the IOC testers constantly out to get him.


L'Équipe ~= IOC ?

quote:
if Lance Armstrong himself admitted to being doped, they probably wouldn't believe it.


And if L'Équipe admitted they falsely accused Armstrong all these years, some still would believe Armstrong was an excessive drug user.

quote:
Every top level cyclist these days is juicing.


Why just cyclists and not all top level athletes?

KrazyHorse is offline KrazyHorse
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  Old Post 25-08-2005 00:33 Visit KrazyHorse's homepage!
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No, I was basing my earlier opinions on the tests done.

I'm basing my new opinion on this new test.

It's a credible claim, Dan. Pro athletes do take substances which are difficult to test for in order to avoid getting caught. I don't see why you're reacting so strongly to a claim backed by a positive test result when the claim is not that farfetched. EPO has only recently become detectable. For a long time it was known that the indirect EPO testing was pretty easy to fool. Lance got caught having doped in the past

Winston is offline Winston
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The evidence is all around and has been for years. In my view, it's like a variant of the anhtropic principle; if most athletes didn't avoid detection, there'd be no sport of cycling at all. And everybody - riders, aides, teams, sponsors, organizers, officials - have a common interest in keeping up the charade. It's their livelihoods, careers, reputations at stake here.

And everytime a rider is busted, it's quickly hushed up, and everyone continues as if nothing had happened. Well, over time, at least to me, the evidence mounted, and a larger picture started showing. That's when I abandoned all interest in the sport for good. And I was a pretty avid fan at one time, but no more.

rah is offline rah
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  Old Post 25-08-2005 00:39
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While it could be true, this is far from conclusive evidence.
And since there are no back up sample to test (which is why they keep 2 samples in the first place) I don't think it's fair to paint a person's whole career black based on one unsubstantiated test when he sampled most of his career an came up clean.

He deserves the benefit of doubt, but as with any successful athlete, he won't get it.

Flubber is offline Flubber
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  Old Post 25-08-2005 00:41
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quote:
Originally posted by KrazyHorse
No, I was basing my earlier opinions on the tests done.

I'm basing my new opinion on this new test.

It's a credible claim, Dan. Pro athletes do take substances which are difficult to test for in order to avoid getting caught. I don't see why you're reacting so strongly to a claim backed by a positive test result when the claim is not that farfetched. EPO has only recently become detectable. For a long time it was known that the indirect EPO testing was pretty easy to fool. Lance got caught having doped in the past


KH

did you rerad the Velosports article that Boris cited? It raises real questions as to how this test was done.

To Winston et al-- I will never state that "Armstrong is/was clean"-- I don't know that . . . But I want to give everyone the benefit of the doubt so until there is convincing proof, I will continue to give that benefit. The jury on this allegation is still out . But the methodology of gathering the information raises a lot of questions and the Velo article raises serious doubts. If the test was recent, how do they account for the degradation of the sample??

KrazyHorse is offline KrazyHorse
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  Old Post 25-08-2005 00:41 Visit KrazyHorse's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by rah
when he sampled most of his career an came up clean.


Not on tests for EPO because they didn't have them

Flubber is offline Flubber
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  Old Post 25-08-2005 00:42
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quote:
Originally posted by rah
While it could be true, this is far from conclusive evidence.
And since there are no back up sample to test (which is why they keep 2 samples in the first place) I don't think it's fair to paint a person's whole career black based on one unsubstantiated test when he sampled most of his career an came up clean.

He deserves the benefit of doubt, but as with any successful athlete, he won't get it.


I concur

Flubber is offline Flubber
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  Old Post 25-08-2005 00:43
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quote:
Originally posted by KrazyHorse


Not on tests for EPO because they didn't have them


Well yes they did from 2001 onward

Kontiki is offline Kontiki
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Aug 2001
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  Old Post 25-08-2005 00:45
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Winston:

While I understand your suspicion, I'm not sure I understand your giving up on a sport you apparently once liked quite alot. If you think all the top riders are juiced, wouldn't that just mean a level playing field where no one is really cheating vis-a-vis one another? I mean, correct me if I'm wrong, but cycling isn't like baseball where individual records keep going throughout the ages. They change the route of the Tour de France every year, so it's not like someone's total time is ever comparable to that of another year.

Flubber is offline Flubber
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  Old Post 25-08-2005 00:48
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Its such a moving target in sports as well. Five years ago a player could admit they were juiced in baseball and there was nothing. Now there are senate hearing s and suspensions.

Cyclists used to do "blood doping"-- they would transfuse themselves with Blood taken from their own bodies at a prior time-- (apparently there is an endurance benefit)- there is no foreign substance but I think they count various types of blood cells-- This probably still goes on since there is no way to test for it -- all they can spot are the results. There are vitamins and steroid creams and nutritional supplements. Some things are legal and some are not and I expect the bar will keep moving. Take caffene-- ist in lots of things but can be abused

KrazyHorse is offline KrazyHorse
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  Old Post 25-08-2005 00:49 Visit KrazyHorse's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Flubber


Well yes they did from 2001 onward


And by then the top cheaters had probably moved on to EPO mk 2

KrazyHorse is offline KrazyHorse
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  Old Post 25-08-2005 00:50 Visit KrazyHorse's homepage!
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This is why it's good that they go back and retest old samples with new tests. That way cheaters don't just have to fool the tests of today, but also the tests of the future

Boris Godunov is offline Boris Godunov
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Aug 2001
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  Old Post 25-08-2005 00:51
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quote:
Originally posted by KrazyHorse
This is why it's good that they go back and retest old samples with new tests. That way cheaters don't just have to fool the tests of today, but also the tests of the future


You didn't read the article I posted, did you?

KrazyHorse is offline KrazyHorse
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  Old Post 25-08-2005 00:55 Visit KrazyHorse's homepage!
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Uh...yes, I just did.

They've said that sometimes it degrades and sometimes some of it remains.

In this case, some remained.

What's your problem?

Flubber is offline Flubber
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  Old Post 25-08-2005 00:56
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quote:
Originally posted by KrazyHorse
This is why it's good that they go back and retest old samples with new tests. That way cheaters don't just have to fool the tests of today, but also the tests of the future


You know-- I am fine with the concept as long as

1. They keep sufficient samples so that retests are possible if someone gets a positive. I would hate for a false positive to ruin the career of an innocent. Once you get to one sample left, destroy it.

2. the samples do not degrade to materially affect the tests. What the Canadian researcher said was that a urine sample even at minus 20 will degrade in about 3 months such that EPO testing is not possible

If they want to test for things that were illegal at the time of the competition under those conditions, I would be fine with that.

If we could go back to the 1970s and 1980s Olympics I think we would see the east bloc losing a lot of medals

Japher is offline Japher
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Jun 2002
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  Old Post 25-08-2005 00:57
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quote:
They've said that sometimes it degrades and sometimes some of it remains.


6 years is an awfully long time... even for a twinkie

Flubber is offline Flubber
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  Old Post 25-08-2005 01:02
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quote:
Originally posted by Japher


6 years is an awfully long time... even for a twinkie


and if I understand it , here they are looking for abnormally electrically charged "bits" within the sample

Oh and japher shouldn't you be off changing diapers??

KrazyHorse is offline KrazyHorse
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quote:
Originally posted by Flubber
2. the samples do not degrade to materially affect the tests. What the Canadian researcher said was that a urine sample even at minus 20 will degrade in about 3 months such that EPO testing is not possible


The director of the Châtenay-Malabry lab, where the EPO test was developed claims otherwise. From Boris' article:

quote:
"One of two things happens," De Ceaurriz said. "Either EPO, which is a protein, degrades as time passes and becomes undetectable. In that case we have a negative test result or, as in this case, the EPO persists as it is. We have therefore no doubt about the validity of our results."

Japher is offline Japher
Prince
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Jun 2002
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  Old Post 25-08-2005 01:04
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quote:
Oh and japher shouldn't you be off changing diapers??


I'm at work.

quote:
here they are looking for abnormally electrically charged "bits" within the sample


Yeah, foreign particles are foreign particles. I wonder if his treatment for (or his having of) testicular cancer could be a sign?

DanS is offline DanS
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  Old Post 25-08-2005 01:13 Visit DanS's homepage!
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quote:
And by then the top cheaters had probably moved on to EPO mk 2


Nothing more than a KH hunch.

rah is offline rah
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Jan 1970
time: 23:37
  Old Post 25-08-2005 01:22
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Got spare money?

There's too many ifs and maybes here.
If there was another sample to test, I would feel more sure.

Like the football replay official. INCONCLUSIVE.

chegitz guevara is offline chegitz guevara
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Jun 2000
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  Old Post 25-08-2005 01:24 Visit chegitz guevara's homepage!
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I don't buy it.

Japher is offline Japher
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  Old Post 25-08-2005 01:32
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They can't beat him now

They couldn't beat him then

So, they're trying to beat him then now

Winston is offline Winston
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Mar 1999
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  Old Post 25-08-2005 01:34
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quote:
Originally posted by Kontiki
Winston:

While I understand your suspicion, I'm not sure I understand your giving up on a sport you apparently once liked quite alot. If you think all the top riders are juiced, wouldn't that just mean a level playing field where no one is really cheating vis-a-vis one another? I mean, correct me if I'm wrong, but cycling isn't like baseball where individual records keep going throughout the ages. They change the route of the Tour de France every year, so it's not like someone's total time is ever comparable to that of another year.


I personally think the 'level playing field' way of looking at it is ridiculous. It doesn't make any difference. They cheat, and the biggest cheater among the ones with some athletic ability to begin with, wins. Key word here is cheat. I don't like that. I especially don't like it when I start realising an entire sport is in on it - and the only suckers left are myself and all the other fans. Exit Winston, one sucker less.

For me, the suspicion started mounting about a year and a half after we had our own national winner of Tour de France, Bjarne Riis in 1996. He was a tremendous hero to virtually all of the population, until some doubts were starting to be raised - about his rapid ascent from a mediocre rider to the very peak of world cycling within just a couple of seasons. His association with doctors in the past who were now being exposed as suppliers of illegal substances. And so on, lots of revelations, but of course never any 100% conclusive incrimination. But he was off his pedestal, he remains off it, and he'll never come near it again. That's not just me, but the impression of a significant portion of the millions of people he cheated so massively a decade ago.

rah is offline rah
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  Old Post 25-08-2005 01:40
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You even said lots of revelations.

I don't think Lance is up to "lot's" of revelations, and until there are, should be given the benifit of the doubt.

And I don't go along with that level field thingie either.

Flubber is offline Flubber
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  Old Post 25-08-2005 01:54
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quote:
Originally posted by KrazyHorse


The director of the Châtenay-Malabry lab, where the EPO test was developed claims otherwise. From Boris' article:

quote:
"One of two things happens," De Ceaurriz said. "Either EPO, which is a protein, degrades as time passes and becomes undetectable. In that case we have a negative test result or, as in this case, the EPO persists as it is. We have therefore no doubt about the validity of our results."



Yup -- I saw that-- I also saw the bit where the Canadian said samples degrade inside 3 MONTHS and the bit where they talked about more qualitative testing instead of quantitative. When I hear 'qualitative" I start thinking "subjective" and "figure skating judging"

So lets sum up

1. its some form of new testing-- I wonder did they do control tests with 6 year old urine (some with EPO and some not)

2."the Paris lab had created the model to allow the application of "qualitative rather than quantitative" standards when interpreting test results" -- this says to me that there isn't some absolute number
quote:
[SIZE=1]

"Ayotte noted that earlier standards had called for the application of a "hard-number" interpretation of results, meaning that if a certain percentage of isoforms were positively or negatively charged, a result would be deemed to be an indication of EPO use. Ayotte said research subsequent to the development of the test has suggested that testers understand the reasons behind the formation of positive and negative isoforms and "recognize the presence of distinct populations in a sample." "


3. the urine is 6 years old when previously it was thought impossible to have a usable sample after 3 months

4. The linkage to Armstrong is suspect given the source of such linkage

5. Someone somewhere has violtaed ethics in a big-time way


All that said, Armstrong may be dirty but this whole thing stinks

 
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