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Tamerlin is offline Tamerlin
King
Toulouse (South-western France)
Apr 2002
time: 06:23
  Old Post 06-11-2002 05:26
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quote:
Originally posted by finbar
How could you know if I was joking if I didn't know myself?




Sixth sense !

quote:
I'm going to have a close look at the AB team before I consider betting on their match with England.


Here is the french team :

De Villiers
Ibanez
Crenca
Brouzet
Pelous (Stade Toulousain)
Magne
Harinordoquy
Betsen
Galthié
Gelez
Heymans (Stade Toulousain)
Trailles
Castaignède (the return of the "Petit Prince" of Rugby)
Clerc (Stade Toulousain)
Brusque

finbar is offline finbar
King
Castiglion Fiorentino, Italy
Jan 1970
time: 06:23
  Old Post 06-11-2002 05:43 Visit finbar's homepage!
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Got spare money?

The Steve Devine case - he was ruled eligible to play for the ABs - gets more and more bizarre:

quote:
Devine, 25, played for Australia in 1998, before stringent new rules designed to stop players for switching countries came into force two years ago.

The new regulation applies retroactively (sic) but New Zealand rugby chiefs asked the IRB to review Devine's case.

Under new eligibility laws implemented by the IRB in 2000, any player who has represented a country's test team, A team or in sevens, is unable to play for any other country.

According to the IRB, "the issue that required clarification was whether on the facts of this case the player's participation for an Australian sevens team on the one occasion in Dubai in 1998 meant that his eligibility was fixed for Australia."

And the game's world governing body insisted it had not ignored its own rules.

"This ruling is consistent with the rulings in previous similar cases involving players from Samoa, Australia, Canada and Hong Kong whereby in certain circumstances a player that played in a sevens match for one union prior to 2000, may be deemed eligible to play for another union," the IRB judgment said.

It added: "Having made enquires, the player (Devine) understood that participation in the Dubai tournament in 1998 would not affect his eligibility status which prior to the tournament he had committed to New Zealand."

And it maintained that he would not have participated if he had been aware that his one-off participation in a sevens tournament would have compromised his eligibility.


1. So the IRB's law that says a 7s rep appearance counts as a senior rep appearance - meaning you can't represent another country - is retrospective (not retroactive, as the NZRFU website puts it);

2. Devine had already committed to go to NZ before he represented Australia at 7s;

3. But, if he'd known the 7s appearance for Australia would affect his chances of representing New Zealand, he would have pulled out of the Australian 7s team;

4. The ABs knew he was ineligible when they selected him but did so in the hope of seeking dispensation;

5. The IRB says the decision isn't inconsistent with its own laws, and, in fact, is compatible with other decisions.

I have two observations:

(a) So a player's intent enters the equation?

(b) Why have the rules in the first place?

I don't have a problem with Steve Devine furthering his career - good luck to him, and congrats on his selection. Havak and I have had numerous discussions about the notions of eligibility - having agreed to disagree on the birth/eligibility factor - but the IRB really has a knack for making life difficult - for itself, and, in my debates with Havak, for me.

Last edited by finbar on 06-11-2002 at 05:54

Tamerlin is offline Tamerlin
King
Toulouse (South-western France)
Apr 2002
time: 06:23
  Old Post 06-11-2002 06:14
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quote:
Originally posted by finbar
The Steve Devine case - he was ruled eligible to play for the ABs - gets more and more bizarre...


In my own opinion, I have studied law for five years though that does not qualify me as an expert in Rugby law at all, the only thing that could be discussed is whether the sevens' team in which Steve Devine has played was a country test team or not.

I rather think the officials are actually embarassed with the fact the sevens has been included in this part of the law and that they are trying to establish a kind of "jurisprudence".

About retroactive and retrospective, my French/English dictionnary tells me they mean the same. "Rétroactif/ve is the french legal word with the same meaning.

finbar is offline finbar
King
Castiglion Fiorentino, Italy
Jan 1970
time: 06:23
  Old Post 06-11-2002 06:17 Visit finbar's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by finbar
I'm going to have a close look at the AB team before I consider betting on their match with England.


I'm quoting myself. How arrogant!

The selected AB team is nowhere near full-strength - despite John Mitchell's denials. I only wish they'd played that halves combination against the Wallabies - one rookie, and one who proved only last week that he can suffer the most amazing brain fades.

I honestly don't know enough about some of the English combination to form an opinion. I think, though, that if England can't beat this AB side, they've got problems.

Tamerlin is offline Tamerlin
King
Toulouse (South-western France)
Apr 2002
time: 06:23
  Old Post 06-11-2002 06:25
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quote:
Originally posted by finbar
I'm quoting myself. How arrogant!


Please note no one has forced you to tell it !

quote:
The selected AB team is nowhere near full-strength - despite John Mitchell's denials.


Don't you think John Mitchell wants to test new players ? Bernard Laporte, for example, is clearly using this tests to throw new players in the arena as the RWC is nearing.

finbar is offline finbar
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Castiglion Fiorentino, Italy
Jan 1970
time: 06:23
  Old Post 06-11-2002 06:30 Visit finbar's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Tamerlin
In my own opinion, I have studied law for five years though that does not qualify me as an expert in Rugby law at all, the only thing that could be discussed is whether the sevens' team in which Steve Devine has played was a country test team or not.


He represented Australia at an international 7s tournament. Two years ago, the IRB decreed that representative 7s rugby constituted representing your country at senior level, which disqualified you from representing another country.

Now, they're saying it doesn't necessarily constitute representing your country if (it seems) you wouldn't have played if you'd known it would count against you representing another country.

quote:
I rather think the officials are actually embarassed with the fact the sevens has been included in this part of the law and that they are trying to establish a kind of "jurisprudence".


I think you are - as always - erring on the generous side.

quote:
About retroactive and retrospective, my French/English dictionnary tells me they mean the same. "Rétroactif/ve is the french legal word with the same meaning.


Yes, they do - ultimately - mean the same thing, but I would argue for "retrospective" in that context. But then I'm perverse.

Last edited by finbar on 06-11-2002 at 06:38

finbar is offline finbar
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Castiglion Fiorentino, Italy
Jan 1970
time: 06:23
  Old Post 06-11-2002 06:37 Visit finbar's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Tamerlin
Please note no one has forced you to tell it !


I'm not shy about boasting!

quote:
Don't you think John Mitchell wants to test new players ? Bernard Laporte, for example, is clearly using this tests to throw new players in the arena as the RWC is nearing.


I think that's exactly what he's doing - trying out alternatives. Everyone will - or should - be doing it. Ultimately, though, it's going to make the results - in statistical terms - only a measure of how well one experimental side performs against another experimental side.

Tamerlin is offline Tamerlin
King
Toulouse (South-western France)
Apr 2002
time: 06:23
  Old Post 06-11-2002 06:38
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Got spare money?

quote:
Originally posted by finbar
I think you are - as always - erring on the generous side.


I'am shocked! Do you mean the officials do what they want of the sacred laws of Rugby they have themselves voted, as those low grade individuals called politicians.

quote:
Yes, they do - ultimately - mean the same thing, but I would argue for "retrospective" in that context. But then I'm perverse.


Havak would say you are Australian.

Tamerlin is offline Tamerlin
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Toulouse (South-western France)
Apr 2002
time: 06:23
  Old Post 06-11-2002 06:48
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quote:
Originally posted by finbar
I'm not shy about boasting!




Naughty boy !

quote:
I think that's exactly what he's doing - trying out alternatives. Everyone will - or should - be doing it. Ultimately, though, it's going to make the results - in statistical terms - only a measure of how well one experimental side performs against another experimental side.


I prefer to think in term of "potential".

finbar is offline finbar
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Jan 1970
time: 06:23
  Old Post 06-11-2002 07:24 Visit finbar's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Tamerlin
I'am shocked! Do you mean the officials do what they want of the sacred laws of Rugby they have themselves voted, as those low grade individuals called politicians.


Frankly, Tamerlin, by juxtaposing the IRB and politicians, you elevate the IRB.

quote:
Havak would say you are Australian.


And, indeed, he has said so. Nice to see him get something right.

finbar is offline finbar
King
Castiglion Fiorentino, Italy
Jan 1970
time: 06:23
  Old Post 06-11-2002 07:27 Visit finbar's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Tamerlin



Naughty boy !


Come on, Tamerlin, admit it - you think modesty's a vastly over-rated commodity, too.

quote:
I prefer to think in term of "potential".


Six of one, half a dozen of the other.

Now there's a colloquialism for you! Is there a French equivalent?

Havak is offline Havak
Prince
Swing Low, Sweet Chariots.
Aug 1999
time: 05:23
  Old Post 06-11-2002 14:27 Visit Havak's homepage!
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quote:
even so I will have to pay a $20 cover charge to see it.


That’s a tough break. I’m paying £10 to watch it in a London establishment myself – but that includes reserved table and a bar snack lunch.

quote:
I'm too upset to place a bet. I hope England beat the All Blacks, that way I wont be so disappointed about missing the game


You don’t really mean that.
quote:
In a word ... no way in the %#!@*^% world.

A three monkeys impression Finbar? See no good in Jonno, hear no good of Jonno, speak no good of Jonno?

quote:
Thus, yet again, Eddie Jones calls for a review of the citing system. It's getting beyond a joke.


It’s a serious situation, but you must get your own house in order first before you wag fingers excessively – remember the *cough* McCrae assault last year – six week ban in your off season. 13 punches in a combination would have you up at HQ defending a years ban in the UK. Gouging also warrants 12 months but the one player brought up on it last year got it over-turned on appeal – perhaps wrongly IMHO.
Let us not forget that Ireland take on the Wallabies too this weekend. Now I can’t bet on all the game sbecuase of the bizarre pot system we utilise whereby every time I picked the winner in the summer I lost because of the margins employed.
I therefore suggest a 21 point head start for England, France and Ireland. Sounds fair?

quote:
but the IRB really has a knack for making life difficult - for itself, and, in my debates with Havak, for me.




Not at all Finbar. But this one is as ludicrous as you suggest. Sadly this kind of court room nonsense is infiltrating rugby, but Devine should consider himself a lucky man. And I now see no problem with Larkham hopping over the England – after all had he known he would be offered the chance to play under Clive Woodward and with Jonno before he played for the Wallabies he would obviously have pulled out of the Australian side when first selected.

That is only a tiny little bit more ludicrous than the Devine case. It’s the old story, you are inside the applicable regs, or you aren’t. What does it matter that your intent was to stay within them?
Personally it beats me why a Kiwi would want to be Aussie (Paul) or vice versa (Devine) – but then you antipodeans have a very different outlook to we Anglo’s.

Loved the retroactive mistake by the way. Deliciously pedantic wordsmithying.

quote:
I think, though, that if England can't beat this AB side, they've got problems.



Believe me you would be amazed what England can contrive to lose to!!! It holds us back badly, we can face up to the World champions one week and struggle to put away the Pumas the next (autumn series 2000).

We even lost by one point to Wales back in 1998.
Seriously I’m counting no chickens - despite Mitchells word games these lads are the form players from NPC from what I gather – all the missing lads being the out of form Canterbury All Blacks who lost the semi?

quote:
Bernard Laporte, for example, is clearly using
this tests to throw new players in the arena as the RWC is nearing.


As is Woodward – Woodman at prop, Simpson-Daniel out wide.

quote:
Havak would say you are Australian.


Great line!

quote:
And, indeed, he has said so. Nice to see him get something right.


And I thought Tamerlins line was great.
In all fairness I seldom think of you in those terms – you are educated, articulate, reasoned – conforming to no stereotypes there at all. There is one of course – you see no merit in England and plenty in Australia (even if we are only talking rugby there!).

Tamerlin is offline Tamerlin
King
Toulouse (South-western France)
Apr 2002
time: 06:23
  Old Post 06-11-2002 14:28
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quote:
Originally posted by finbar
Frankly, Tamerlin, by juxtaposing the IRB and politicians, you elevate the IRB.


Oh !

Tamerlin is offline Tamerlin
King
Toulouse (South-western France)
Apr 2002
time: 06:23
  Old Post 06-11-2002 14:32
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quote:
Originally posted by finbar
Come on, Tamerlin, admit it - you think modesty's a vastly over-rated commodity, too.


I would say this is the quality (or flaw to others) that hampers me to succeed in the business world.

quote:
Six of one, half a dozen of the other.
Now there's a colloquialism for you! Is there a French equivalent?




In France we say "une bouteille à moitié pleine ou à moitié vide" (a half-full or half-empty bottle).

finbar is offline finbar
King
Castiglion Fiorentino, Italy
Jan 1970
time: 06:23
  Old Post 06-11-2002 16:09 Visit finbar's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Havak
That’s a tough break. I’m paying £10 to watch it in a London establishment myself – but that includes reserved table and a bar snack lunch.


Caligastia = US$20 = OZ$38
Havak = £10 = OZ$30

Mmmm. Looks like I'd be joining you, Havak.

quote:
A three monkeys impression Finbar? See no good in Jonno, hear no good of Jonno, speak no good of Jonno?


You forgot "think about him as little as possible".

quote:
It’s a serious situation, but you must get your own house in order first before you wag fingers excessively – remember the *cough* McCrae assault last year – six week ban in your off season.


I agree he should have got more.

quote:
Let us not forget that Ireland take on the Wallabies too this weekend.


I haven't forgotten. As I said earlier, with all the injuries, we can expect to some interesting names playing in interesting positions.

quote:
Now I can’t bet on all the game sbecuase of the bizarre pot system we utilise whereby every time I picked the winner in the summer I lost because of the margins employed.
I therefore suggest a 21 point head start for England, France and Ireland. Sounds fair?


In your dreams, bub.

As I also said earlier, I really have no idea how England and the ABs stack up against each other. You make reference later to John Mitchell's remark about form NPC players - well, I'd think there's a tad of a gap in standard between NPC and Test footy. You really should beat them. I suppose, if pushed, given the AB team, given where the match is being played, I'd give the ABs 7 1/2 points start.

France -v- Boks. It really depends on which game the Boks take onto the field. I'd, again, probably give the Boks 7 1/2 points start.

Wallabies -v- Ireland. I'd like to know the make up of the Wallaby team, but Keith Wood's missing, so I'd probably give the Irish 9 1/2 points start.

quote:
Not at all Finbar. But this one is as ludicrous as you suggest. Sadly this kind of court room nonsense is infiltrating rugby, but Devine should consider himself a lucky man. And I now see no problem with Larkham hopping over the England – after all had he known he would be offered the chance to play under Clive Woodward and with Jonno before he played for the Wallabies he would obviously have pulled out of the Australian side when first selected.


That's the logical conclusion to the IRB's thinking. It's madness.

quote:
Personally it beats me why a Kiwi would want to be Aussie (Paul) or vice versa (Devine) – but then you antipodeans have a very different outlook to we Anglo’s.


Steve Devine obviously wanted to lose two hours out of his life. (That's a very obscure gag. You might have to think about it)

quote:
Loved the retroactive mistake by the way. Deliciously pedantic wordsmithying.


What's he doing with a bloody dictionary beside his bloody computer anyway? Just because I've got two beside mine.

quote:
Seriously I’m counting no chickens - despite Mitchells word games these lads are the form players from NPC from what I gather – all the missing lads being the out of form Canterbury All Blacks who lost the semi?


I made my case earlier in the post. Good on him for giving the next tier of players a crack at the big time but it tends to make the result a tad meaningless in the real scheme of things.

quote:
In all fairness I seldom think of you in those terms – you are educated, articulate, reasoned – conforming to no stereotypes there at all.


Mmmmm. Trouble is, I don't qualify as an Italian stereotype either.

Last edited by finbar on 06-11-2002 at 16:19

finbar is offline finbar
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Castiglion Fiorentino, Italy
Jan 1970
time: 06:23
  Old Post 06-11-2002 16:17 Visit finbar's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Tamerlin
I would say this is the quality (or flaw to others) that hampers me to succeed in the business world.


I'm just glad there's no tax on immodesty, Tamerlin. We'd be bankrupt!

quote:
In France we say "une bouteille à moitié pleine ou à moitié vide" (a half-full or half-empty bottle).


I knew wine would have to rear its head somehow.

Speaking of half-full and half-empty, we have a saying related to optimists and pessimists. An optimist sees a glass as half-full, a pessimist sees a glass as half-empty. Is there a French equivalent?

LDiCesare is offline LDiCesare
King
La Ferté sous Jouarre France
Jan 2001
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  Old Post 06-11-2002 16:46
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I found Tamerlin's bets and prognosis of the future winner so good that I will place the same bets on England and France (10 gold each). I don't think we should have a margin for these matches.
For Ireland/Australia, well, we can bet but I think a margin in favour of Australia would be needed, whatever problems the Wallabies may have, something like 7 1/2 for instance.

It will be interesting to see Castaignede back as a center, particularly considering he will probably play after Traille, who should give him a few very good balls or openings, unless Gelez kicks them all.

finbar is offline finbar
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Castiglion Fiorentino, Italy
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  Old Post 06-11-2002 17:13 Visit finbar's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by LDiCesare
I found Tamerlin's bets and prognosis of the future winner so good that I will place the same bets on England and France (10 gold each). I don't think we should have a margin for these matches.


Don't forget you need someone to back the other team for there to be any money to win. Otherwise you just get your own money back. It's the margin situation that often attracts people to bet on teams they otherwise wouldn't in a win/lose situation.

Thus far, I think everyone is betting on England. Even Caligastia. Someone would have to bet on the ABs. Even I would bet on England in a straight win/lose bet. I would also bet on France in a straight win/lose bet. Is anyone going to bet on South Africa?

quote:
For Ireland/Australia, well, we can bet but I think a margin in favour of Australia would be needed, whatever problems the Wallabies may have, something like 7 1/2 for instance.


I think that's fair.

quote:
It will be interesting to see Castaignede back as a center, particularly considering he will probably play after Traille, who should give him a few very good balls or openings, unless Gelez kicks them all.


I'm really looking forward to seeing the French play. I liked them when they were out here and they're going to be a lot stronger this time.

Caligastia is offline Caligastia
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Sep 2000
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  Old Post 06-11-2002 20:04
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quote:
Originally posted by finbar
He represented Australia at an international 7s tournament. Two years ago, the IRB decreed that representative 7s rugby constituted representing your country at senior level, which disqualified you from representing another country.

Now, they're saying it doesn't necessarily constitute representing your country if (it seems) you wouldn't have played if you'd known it would count against you representing another country.


The IRB certainly needs to be more consistent.

I dont think 7s should enter into the equation though, its a different game.

quote:
Originally posted by Havak
That’s a tough break. I’m paying £10 to watch it in a London establishment myself – but that includes reserved table and a bar snack lunch.


I'm hoping the bar here will tape the game and show it later so I can watch it after work.

New York can really suck when it comes to certain things. Here the price of a beer in an irish bar on St Pat's goes up not down.
quote:
Originally posted by Havak
You don’t really mean that.



You're right, I don't.
quote:
Originally posted by finbar
Thus far, I think everyone is betting on England. Even Caligastia


Nah... if we agree on a 7 1/2 point start for NZ I will definitely put down 20 gold on the All Blacks.

Havak is offline Havak
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Guys if you look at the history between the teams and the relative world ranking points there is simply no way NZ get the points head start in the spread. England should.

And yes I know it defeats Finbars object of getting someone to bet on the ABs but it's still the logic we used earlier in the summer?

Havak is offline Havak
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The obvious answer is to set odds rather than use a pot?

So a 'neutral' caller, say Finbar sets the odds - in this case evens for England and 3-1 ON for the ABs for example - and you place your bets on that on a straight win basis?

It's all mythical money so whats the problem switching systems?

I'll be backing England, France and Ireland regardless of betting.

finbar is offline finbar
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Castiglion Fiorentino, Italy
Jan 1970
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  Old Post 07-11-2002 03:27 Visit finbar's homepage!
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quote:
Originally posted by Havak
Guys if you look at the history between the teams and the relative world ranking points there is simply no way NZ get the points head start in the spread. England should.

And yes I know it defeats Finbars object of getting someone to bet on the ABs but it's still the logic we used earlier in the summer?


Talk about a reality check! You've been telling us for months about the strength of the England/Twickers nexus, now it has suddenly vanished.

Our margins have always been calculated on a number of things but the major contributing factors have been recent form, where the game is played and make up of the teams. History and rankings have had little impact on margins because they are what they are - history. The England -v- AB history, in particular, can be discarded because their last match was 3 years ago. And rugby rankings, as has been noted any number of times, are as flawed as Test cricket rankings - for example, if Australia loses the Ashes series to England, South Africa becomes the top-ranked cricket nation yet they were destroyed by Australia within the last 12 months. Statistical rankings of sporting teams should be treated with the contempt they deserve.

But back to the point. England -v- ABs.

1. It's played at Twickers.
2. The England players are mid-season and match-fit. Some of the ABs played in the NPC finals a couple of weeks ago.
3. The AB team for the match is, like it not, a second-string outfit.
4. You've told us how strong the England pack is - the second row, in particular.
5. You've told us you have a world-class 5/8.
6. You've told us Austin Healy earns a place in a world team.
7. Et cetera.

There's no way in the world England could have a points start. Unless, of course, England are a pretty ordinary team.

Last edited by finbar on 07-11-2002 at 04:32

finbar is offline finbar
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quote:
Originally posted by Havak
The obvious answer is to set odds rather than use a pot?


I wouldn't worry about Havak's concerns about a margin for England. He's just getting very, very cold feet.

I went through the various betting options when we first set up the betting system. The bottom line is that a pot is needed no matter which system you use. The pot is the win pool.

The problem with odds betting is that the odds become a multiplier - stake x odds = how much you win. You need a bigger pot than we could ever manage in order to make odds betting viable. An upset result could break the bank - there wouldn't be the funds in the pot to pay the winners. Take the Wallabies -v- Italy match. What odds Italy? What if we made them, say, 2/1 and someone invested 100 Civ Gold on them? And they won? And there's only 150 Civ Gold in the pot?

That's the problem with odds betting. The margin system is much more practical for us. OTOH, we don't need to employ it for every match. In fact, we should probably restrict it to matches where there is an outright favourite - Wallabies -v- Italy, for example - so it becomes an incentive to back the outsider and thus create a win pool.

Thus I'm quite happy to go with straight win/lose betting on the weekend's matches. The only problem - I reiterate - is that we will need people to bet on all teams for there to be a win pool.

quote:
I'll be backing England, France and Ireland regardless of betting.


I thought you switched back to the ABs.

finbar is offline finbar
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Castiglion Fiorentino, Italy
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Stupid double post! Stupid server telling me to try again!

Last edited by finbar on 07-11-2002 at 04:28

finbar is offline finbar
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Stupid triple post! Stupid server telling me to try yet again!

Tamerlin is offline Tamerlin
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Toulouse (South-western France)
Apr 2002
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  Old Post 07-11-2002 05:19
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quote:
Originally posted by finbar
I'm just glad there's no tax on immodesty, Tamerlin. We'd be bankrupt!


The other taxes are enough for me.

quote:
I knew wine would have to rear its head somehow.


You are wrong, a bottle of wine is never full or empty a long time enough for this saying to be applied to wine, a bottle of wine is being emptied or changed.

quote:
Speaking of half-full and half-empty, we have a saying related to optimists and pessimists. An optimist sees a glass as half-full, a pessimist sees a glass as half-empty. Is there a French equivalent?


This is not really a saying but it sometimes surfaces in a conversation when someone talks about a half-empty or half-full bottle. Of course, it largely depends on the number of bottles fully emptied before.

We are not always drinking wine in France, we also drink beers.

Caligastia is offline Caligastia
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Sep 2000
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  Old Post 07-11-2002 05:50
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quote:
Originally posted by finbar
Statistical rankings of sporting teams should be treated with the contempt they deserve.


Unless they put your team on top of course...

quote:

1. It's played at Twickers.
2. The England players are mid-season and match-fit. Some of the ABs played in the NPC finals a couple of weeks ago.
3. The AB team for the match is, like it not, a second-string outfit.
4. You've told us how strong the England pack is - the second row, in particular.
5. You've told us you have a world-class 5/8.
6. You've told us Austin Healy earns a place in a world team.
7. Et cetera.


8. Its the All Blacks! AAAARRGGH!


We probably could still do odds betting because we are not playing with real money, so whenever we need more we just say "Let there be money" - and there is money.

finbar is offline finbar
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quote:
Originally posted by Caligastia


Unless they put your team on top of course...




quote:
We probably could still do odds betting because we are not playing with real money, so whenever we need more we just say "Let there be money" - and there is money.


On holidays from Enron, huh?

finbar is offline finbar
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quote:
Originally posted by Tamerlin
You are wrong, a bottle of wine is never full or empty a long time enough for this saying to be applied to wine, a bottle of wine is being emptied or changed.


Okay. Let me substitute absinthe for wine.

*Tamerlin checks the level of his bottle of absinthe*

quote:
We are not always drinking wine in France, we also drink beers.


Good to hear!

Havak is offline Havak
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Swing Low, Sweet Chariots.
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Nope, no cold feet. Nor is it related in any way to my total belief that we are a better side than any of the tri-nations visitors. I still think we are the best side that will be playing anywhere in the UK before the end of the year 2002. Only a heavy defeat in one game would shake me on that – a narrow win for one of the SH lot would simply be the fortunes of war – even the best of teams can be beaten after all.

Where on earth did you get the idea the England/HQ nexus had faded in my mind? I hope and trust we send all three of you ‘aristocrats’ of the game packing with your tales between your legs.

My concern is solely that, despite your assertions, you have set aside the sensible way margins have been set thus far simply because England are involved One might even suggest it is a prime case of the SH changing the laws as they go along.

Check the stats – no way at all is this a straight win situation. England warrant a substantial start. You can’t ignore history at the drop of a hat.

quote:
the major contributing factors have been recent form, where the game is played and make up of the teams


Nonsense – retroactive history even. My spreads for example were all factored on a ten match history weighted by world rankings.

quote:
There's no way in the world England could have a points start. Unless, of course, England are a pretty ordinary team.


Again this is rather ridiculous – you are as guilty of spinning things to suit your point as you could ever accuse me of being. England are a world class team – arguable whether they are THE world class team as it is – none of it means I’ll accept that as an excuse to cast aside common sense in the spreads.

Could it be that the ‘mighty’ All Blacks can’t overcome any kind of spread start? I remind you NZ strength in depth is closer to the English model than the Australian one – a third string NZ side is still a good team. Whether they are good enough…

Looks like I’ll have to save my betting for the games where sensible margins are being employed. Go IRELAND!!! :LOL:

 
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