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MichaeltheGreat
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Apolyton Grand Executioner
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mooning the house that Ruth built.
Oct 1999 time: 21:27
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quote: Originally posted by Ned
gsmoove, looking back, as I said before, I do not believe that Franks had planned for a total collapse of government authority across the country. We certainly did not have enough troops in country to both fight the war and to police the cities. We needed the local police.
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There's nothing at all that indicates that the White House delegated occupation planning and other post-war duties to CentCom. Bush decided when to give Saddam his ultimatum, and a large number of elements of the war plan itself are out of CentCom's operational responsibility (for example, transfer of units out of CONUS are a FORSCOM responsibility, there's a big burecratic overlap between SOCOM/JSOC and the CentCom SOF command, transfer of forces out of Europe are a EurCom responsibility, etc.)
Franks essentially moved when he was told, with what he had on hand. Franks had no control over the failed negotiations with Turkey, or the positioning of 4ID assets and the schedule of their redeployment.
Availability of more forces along the line of advance would have allowed for much greater security of supply lines, would have likely prevented the mess that the 507 Maint Coy. got itself into (with some 27 USA and USMC KIA's largely avoidable), and would have allowed for much more rapid provision of security and control of large cities along the coalition line of advance.
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But when Saddam's regime fell, every form of government vanished: police, local government, utility workers ...everything. I don't think anyone had planned on the collapse being so great. As an example of this, I never once saw a single post in this forum predicting such a total collapse of government.
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And there's no posts predicting we'll all continue breathing oxygen tomorrow, either. 
The collapse of Iraqi government authority is so obvious and predictable it's nothing but a copout to say nobody anticipated it. Iraq was a cult of personality dictatorship with a centralized one party, top down bureacracy. Why in hell would Iraqi police go to work immediately during/after an invasion? They're armed Iraqis in uniform, thus extremely likely to be either treated as enemy combatants by US forces, and/or pressed into paramilitary service if there was any effective resistance. There's no electricity, nothing is safe to move, so there's no effective courts, minimally functioning jails, no likelihood of getting paid for risking your ass in meltdown conditions, no top-down supervision or authority, etc. More to the immediate point, there's tons of people running amok with better weaponry than the cop has, and no fear of party discipline keeping them in line, so the cop is outgunned and has no authority. Why in hell would anyone knowing anything about the functioning of the Saddamite Iraqi government assume there would be any functional local government or services immediately during and after the invasion?
quote: We apparently are going to repeat history. Some of the new government are going to be Ba'ath party members. We have no choice but to use them. |
And the smart Iraqi *******s know that the best way of preserving "options" isn't to take on US forces directly, but to lay low, engage in low-level sniping and harassment, and wait for the US to get bored, like it has every other time in recent history.
edit - damned quote tags. 
Last edited by MichaeltheGreat on 18-04-2003 at 04:34
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MichaeltheGreat
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Apolyton Grand Executioner
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mooning the house that Ruth built.
Oct 1999 time: 21:27
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quote: Originally posted by DinoDoc
Good job at stopping robbers from completely looting the Rasheed Bank in central Baghdad as well. They saved dozens of sacks of currency. Or are we still looking for negative examples? |
Since the ordinary state of a functioning country is the absense of people running amok with weaponry, preventing the occasional running amok is more of a neutral case than a positive one. That currency is going to be a collector's item eventually, so good job of saving it. I have a few thousand dinar of my own. 
BTW, while currency worth less than it's weight in toilet paper is being saved (trouble is, the *******s have billions of dinar hidden away, and there's no accounting for money supply, so no way of valuing the currency against durable goods), the top two medical types from USAID got plinked at enough times in Baghdad, despite their military escort, that they decided to high-tail it back to Kuwait.
Two or three more divisions of troops would be a whole lot more useful, augmented by independent MP forces.
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Lancer
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Oregon Coast, USA! or Bohol, Philippines!
Apr 1999 time: 05:27
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Saddam is gone, likely dead. The regime of torture and murder is over, the Iraqi people freed, and the museum got ripped off.
Oh the humanities...
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All times are GMT. The time now is 05:27. Apolyton Time is 00:27. |
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